• 대기
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.511-520
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• 2015

Existing studies on radar rainfall uncertainties were performed to reduce the uncertainty for each stage by using bias correction during the quantitative radar rainfall estimation process. However, the studies do not provide quantitative comparison with the uncertainties for all stages. Consequently, this study proposes a suitable approach that can quantify the uncertainties at each stage of the quantitative radar rainfall estimation process. First, the new approach can present initial and final uncertainties, increasing or decreasing the uncertainty, and the uncertainty percentage at each stage. Furthermore, Maximum Entropy (ME) was applied to quantify the uncertainty in the entire process. Second, for the uncertainty quantification of radar rainfall estimation at each stage, this study used two quality control algorithms, two rainfall estimation relations, and two bias correction techniques as post-processing and progressed through all stages of the radar rainfall estimation. For the proposed approach, the final uncertainty (ME = 3.81) from the ME of the bias correction stage was the smallest while the uncertainty of the rainfall estimation stage was higher because of the use of an unsuitable relation. Additionally, the ME of the quality control was at 4.28 (112.34%), while that of the rainfall estimation was at 4.53 (118.90%), and that of the bias correction at 3.81 (100%). However, this study also determined that selecting the appropriate method for each stage would gradually reduce the uncertainty at each stage. Finally, the uncertainty due to natural variability was 93.70% of the final uncertainty. Thus, the results indicate that this new approach can contribute significantly to the field of uncertainty estimation and help with estimating more accurate radar rainfall.

• 한국산업정보학회논문지
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• 제20권6호
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• pp.47-56
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• 2015

다중센서 시스템에서 센서 바이어스를 제거하는 센서 등록 과정은 각각의 센서가 공통된 좌표를 갖게 하기 위해 반드시 필요하다. 만약 센서 등록 과정을 적절하게 처리하지 않는다면, 거대한 추적 에러 또는 같은 목표물을 향한 다수의 허수 트랙이 발생하게 되어 추적에 실패하게 된다. 특히, 발사체 추적에 있어서 각각의 추적 장비는 반드시 적절한 센서등록 과정을 거쳐야 하며, 이 후 다중센서 융합알고리즘을 활용하면 발사체 추적 성능을 높이고 다중 추적 시스템에 정확한 지향입력으로 활용 가능하게 된다. 본 논문에서는 실시간 바이어스 추정/제거 알고리즘과 비동기 다중 센서 융합 기법을 제안하였다. 제안된 바이어스 추정 알고리즘은 GPS와 다중 레이더 간의 의사 바이어스 측정치를 활용하였고, 비동기 센서 융합알고리즘 적용을 통해 추적 성능을 향상하였다.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.99-106
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• 2023

Purpose: This study aims to analyze the distribution of the role of adversity quotient in the estimation bias of future earnings. Adversity quotient is a cognitive ability that can be distributed as a reducer of bias effects that occur in profit forecasting or investment decision making. Research design, data and methodology: The study designs a full factorial within-subject 2×3 as a laboratory experiment. The study subjects are 30 accounting students who are proxied as investors. Results: The results show that the estimated earnings made by investors experience anchoring-adjustment heuristic bias which means the initial value becomes a basic belief that influences the decisions taken by investors. However, this study also provides evidence that heuristic bias can be reduced by the presence of adversity quotient. Investors who have high adversity ability are abler to reduce the estimation bias when compared to investors who have medium and low adversity ability so the higher the difficulty ability possessed by investors, the less likely the occurrence of bias in decision making. Conclusion: Thus, the adversity quotient is proven to be distributed as a reducing opportunity from the bias that will occur in estimating future earnings or making investment decisions.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제24권6호
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• pp.1543-1550
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• 2013

In this paper, we study Bayesian estimation for the finite population proportion in binary data under selection bias. We use a Bayesian nonignorable selection model to accommodate the selection mechanism. We compare four possible estimators of the finite population proportions based on data analysis as well as Monte Carlo simulation. It turns out that nonignorable selection model might be useful for weekly biased samples.

• Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.107-117
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• 2019

When a vehicle moves with a high rotation rate, it is not easy to measure the angular velocity using an off-the-shelf gyroscope. If the angular velocity is estimated using the extended Kalman filter in the gyro-free inertial navigation system, the effect of the accelerometer error and initial angular velocity error can be reduced. In this paper, in order to improve the navigation performance of the gyro-free inertial navigation system, an angular velocity estimation method is proposed based on an extended Kalman filter with an accelerometer random bias error model. In order to show the validity of the proposed estimation method, angular velocities and navigation outputs of a vehicle with 3 rev/s rotation rate are estimated. The results are compared with estimates by other methods such as the integration and an extended Kalman filter without an accelerometer random bias error model. The proposed method gives better estimation results than other methods.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제47권12호
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• pp.1227-1237
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• 2014

이중편파레이더는 강수의 형태를 구분하고 대기 중의 기상 현상뿐만 아니라 비강수에코에 대한 정보를 제공하기 때문에 보다 정확한 강수량 추정을 가능하게 한다. 그러나 수직, 수평으로 진동하는 전파를 송 수신하여 생성되는 이중편파레이더 관측변수들은 레이더 자체가 갖는 시스템적 관측오차를 포함하기 때문에 정량적 강수량 추정을 위해서는 이에 대한 보정이 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 2차원 영상우적계(2-Dimensional Video Disdrometer, 이하 2DVD) 관측 자료를 이용하여 비슬산 이중편파레이더가 갖는 Z, $Z_{DR}$ 관측오차를 계산한 후, 관측오차 보정에 따라 강수량이 정량적으로 얼마나 개선되는지를 살펴보았다. 총 33강수사례에 대한 분석결과, Z는 약-0.3~5.5 dB, $Z_{DR}$는 -0.1~0.6 dB의 관측오차를 가지며, 대부분의 사례에서 Z와 $Z_{DR}$는 모의된 값보다 낮게 관측하였다. 관측오차를 보정한 전 후 산출된 이중편파레이더 강수량 추정값을 지상관측 강우강도와 비교한 결과, 평균 bias와 RMSE는 각각 1.54 mm/hr, 1.73 mm/hr로 보정 전의 1.69 mm/hr, 2.54 mm/hr 보다 감소함으로써 지상우량계 관측값 대비 레이더 강수량 추정값이 약 7~61% 향상되었다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.47-55
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• 2001

직접(direct) 추정법, 합성(synthetic) 추정법, 복합(composite) 추정법, 베이즈(Bayes) 추정법 등 소지역 추정법들의 효율성을 비교, 분석하고자 '98 경제활동 인구조사에서 경기도의 실제 자료를 이용하여 각 시부지역의 실업자수 추정값의 편의(bias)와 평균제곱 오차(MSE)를 모의실험을 통해 계산하였다.

• International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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• 제18권2호
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• pp.344-351
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• 2017

This paper presents a method to estimate steady wind and airspeed bias error using an aircraft with GPS and airspeed sensor. The estimation uses the vector relation between the inertial, air, and wind velocities through a novel design of an extended Kalman filter. The observability analysis is also presented to show that the aircraft is required to keep changing its flight direction for the desired observability. The feasibility and performance of the proposed algorithm is demonstrated through simulations and flight experiments.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제20권3호
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• pp.16-21
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• 2012

Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) use dual frequency signals to remove ionosphere delay effect. GNSS receivers have their own biases, called inter-frequency bias (IFB) between dual frequencies due to differential signal delays in receiving each frequency codes. The IFB degrades pseudo-range and ionosphere delay accuracies, and they must be accurately estimated. Simultaneous estimation of ionosphere map and IFB is applied in order to analyze the IFB estimation accuracy and variability. GPS network data in Korea is used to compute each receiver's IFB. Accuracy changes due to ionosphere model changes is analyzed and the effect of external GNSS satellite IFB on the receiver IFB is analyzed.

• 한국음향학회지
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.87-91
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• 2008

본 논문은 동일한 주파수 파라미터를 가지고 다른 방위에서 입사하는 chirp신호의 방위각 (DOA : Direction-of-arrival) 추정에서 상호 간섭으로 인한 bias문제를 해결하기 위하여 적응 chirp 빔형성기법을 제안한다. 제안한 기법은 기존의 STMV (STeered Minimum Variance)기법에 chirp 신호의 시간-주파수 특성을 고려함으로써 chirp신호들의 상호 간섭을 보다 효과적으로 감소시켜 방위각 추정성능을 향상시킨다. 모의 실험에서 제안한 기법과 기존의 기법들에 의한 방위각 추정성능을 비교한다.