• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제51권5호
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• pp.69-78
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• 2009

In order to improve water quality of upper watershed of Paldang reservoir, it is necessary to evaluate non-point source pollution loads and identify critical watershed pollution sources. A GIS based Soil and Water Assessment Tool was applied to evaluate model application and reliability, estimate NPS pollution load, identify critical watershed by NPS pollution sources, and suggest various best management practices for Kyongan Stream watershed. Yearly NPS pollution loads were estimated 30.0% SS, 60.1% TN and 35.4% TP, respectably. The watershed pollution load is mainly decided by precipitation condition and SS and nutrients load have a significant regression relationship. Based on 10-year average yearly NPS pollution load, critical sub-watersheds were identified. The No. 5 and 17 which have lots of relatively intensive agricultural fields and scattered industrial area were vary critical sub-watersheds and under more intensive pollution load. In order to control critical watershed, watershed best management practices such as scientific fertilizer, contour farming and parallel terrace, transferring the sloppy farmland to grass or forest and constructing a buffer zone, and constructing wetlands and retention ponds will be applied. Overall the SWAT model can be efficiently used for identification of critical sub-watersheds in order to develop a priority watershed management plan to reduce water pollutions.

• 대기
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.697-709
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• 2016

This study estimates and evaluates the extreme value of 30 m-resolution daily maximum and minimum temperatures over South Korea, using inverse distance weighting (IDW), parameter-elevation regression on independent slopes model (PRISM) and generalized extreme value (GEV) method. The three experiments are designed and performed to find the optimal estimation strategy to obtain extreme value. First experiment (EXP1) applies GEV firstly to automated surface observing system (ASOS) to estimate extreme value and then applies IDW to produce high-resolution extreme values. Second experiment (EXP2) is same as EXP1, but using PRISM to make the high-resolution extreme value instead of IDW. Third experiment (EXP3) firstly applies PRISM to ASOS to produce the high-resolution temperature field, and then applies GEV method to make high resolution extreme value data. By comparing these 3 experiments with extreme values obtained from observation data, we find that EXP3 shows the best performance to estimate extreme values of maximum and minimum temperatures, followed by EXP1 and EXP2. It is revealed that EXP1 and EXP2 have a limitation to estimate the extreme value at each grid point correctly because the extreme values of these experiments with 30 m-resolution are calculated from only 60 extreme values obtained from ASOS. On the other hand, the extreme value of EXP3 is similar to observation compared to others, since EXP3 produces 30m-resolution daily temperature through PRISM, and then applies GEV to that result at each grid point. This result indicates that the quality of statistically produced high-resolution extreme values which are estimated from observation data is different depending on the combination and procedure order of statistical methods.

• 터널과지하공간
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.261-268
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• 2004

The main objectives of this study are to investigate the anisotropic characteristics of rocks and to evaluate the relationships between physical properties. A series of experiments were performed in three mutually perpendicular directions for three rock types, which are granite, granitic gneiss and limestone. The relationships of measured physical properties were evaluated. The results of ultrasonic wave velocity measurement show that granite of three rock types gives the largest directional difference, and that the wave velocity in a plane parallel to a transversely isotropic one is dominantly faster than that in a subvertical or vertical plane. It implies that ultrasonic wave velocity for rock could be used as a useful tool for estimating the degree of anisotropy. The ratio of uniaxial compressive strength to Brazilian tensile strength ranges approximately from 13 to 16 for granite. from 8 to 9 for granite gneiss, and from 9 to 18 for limestone. The directional differences for granite and granitic gneiss are very small, and on the other hand, is relatively large for limestone. It is suggested that strength of rock makes quite difference depending on the rock types and loading directions, especially for the anisotropic rocks such as transversely isotropic or orthotropic rocks. The ratio of uniaxial compressive strength to point load strength index ranges from 18 to 20 for granite, from 17 to 19 for granitic gneiss, and from 21 to 24 for limestone. These results show that point load strength index makes also a difference depending on rock types and directions. Therefore. it should be noted that the ratio of uniaxial compressive strength to point load strength index could be applied to all rock types. Uniaxial compressive strength shows relatively good relationship with point load strength index, Schmidt hammer rebound value, and tensile strength. In particulat, point load strength index is shown to be the best comparative relationship. It is indicated that point load test is the most useful tool to estimate an uniaxial compressive strength indirectly.

• 한국항행학회논문지
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.846-852
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• 2012

영상분할 결과는 알고리즘에 관련된 매개변수들에 따라 다르기 때문에 최적 분할을 위하여 시행 착오법이 많이 이용된다. 본 논문에서는 3차원 변량 분석법을 이용하여 영역기반 active contour 방법에 관련된 최적 매개변수들을 결정하는 방법을 제안한다. 3원 변량 분석법에 의해서 추출된 결과와 사용자가 영상에서 직접 그린 결과가 상호 비교된다. 마지막으로 각 매개변수들의 주요 효과와 상호작용 효과를 측정하고 최적 값을 추출하기 위하여 점 추정 및 구간 추정 값을 계산한다. 본 논문에서 제안한 방법은 구간 상수 모델을 대상으로 영상분할시 최적 매개변수들을 추출하는데 큰 도움을 줄 것이다.

• 한국지역지리학회지
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.245-258
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• 2011

최적관리방안 (Best Management Practices)은 토양 침식과 비점오염원으로 인한 수질악화를 개선하는 방안으로 널리 이용된다. 모델을 이용하여 토양침식이나 최적관리관행의 잠재적 효과를 추정하는 것은 해당 지역의 전반적인 조건과 문제점을 식별하고 이에 대한 보전계획을 수립하는데 도움이 된다. 그러나 데이터, 특히 GIS (Geographic Information System) 데이터, 데이터 스케일의 문제, 혹은 모델의 선택 등에서 오는 불확실성은 최적관리방안의 효과를 예측하는데 있어서 정확성과 신뢰성을 떨어뜨리고 있다. 따라서 이 논문에서는 수리모델의 발전과 배경, 데이터의 불확실성, 모델의 선택, 그리고 데이터의 스케일 등을 참고문헌을 통하여 전반적으로 정리하고 살펴봄으로서 불확실성의 전반적인 이해를 돕고자 하였다. 또한 모델을 이용한 최적관리방안의 효과를 예측함에 있어서 소규모(small scale) 모델과 분포형 (spatially distributed) 모텔의 장점에 대해서도 논의하였다.

• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제9D권4호
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• pp.603-612
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• 2002

소프트웨어공학에서 소프트웨어 측정분야는 30년 이상 수많은 연구가 있어 왔으나 아직까지 구체적인 소프트웨어 개발노력과 비용 추정 모델이 거의 없는 실정이다. 만약 소프트웨어 개발노력과 비용을 측정하려면 소프트웨어 규모를 추정해야 한다. 소프트웨어의 규모를 측정하기 위한 많은 소프트웨어 척도가 개발되었지만 가장 일반적인 척도가 LOC(line of code)와 FPA(Function Point Analysis)이다. FPA는 소프트웨어 규모를 측정하는데 LOC를 사용할 때의 단점을 극복할 수 있는 기법이다. 본 논문은 FP(Function Point)로 측정된 소프트웨어 규모로 소프트웨어 개발노력을 추정하는 단순회귀모델을 제안한다. 실험에 사용된 데이터들은 다양한 개발환경과 개발방법을 적용한 최근의 789개 소프트웨어 개발 프로젝트들이다. 실험 데이타들에 대한 산점도를 그려 개발노력과 FP의 적합한 관계로부터 단순회귀분석 모델을 유도하였다. 또한, 다양한 소프트웨어 개발환경과 개발방법 등을 고려해 개발된 최근의 대용량 프로젝트에 대해 제안된 단순회귀분석 모델이 기존의 회귀분석 모델들보다 개발노력 추정 정확성이 월등히 좋음을 보였다.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.267-272
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• 2012

에너지 생성에 따른 탄소배출문제로 국제 에너지 기구는 세계 주요국의 에너지 효율을 15~30[%]이상 향상시키도록 권고하고 있으며, 국내 에너지 정책 동향도 에너지 절감 및 탄소 배출에 대해 정부에서 인센티브 및 페널티 프로그램을 제고하는 방향으로 가고 있다. 각국의 산업 현장에서 유체 이송용 펌프가 전기에너지의 20[%]를 소비하고 있는 실정으로, 주요 에너지 낭비 요인으로는 장시간 운전에 따른 효율 저하, 부적절한 설계 및 설비 등이 있다. 이러한 낭비를 줄이기 위해 펌프의 효율을 측정하여 펌프의 운전 상태를 진단하고자, 본 논문에서는 열역학적 방법으로 온도와 압력센서만을 활용하여 펌프의 최고 효율점을 측정할 수 있는 방법을 제시하고 실제 펌프의 효율을 계산하여 펌프제조사에서 제공한 성능곡선과 비교한 결과 유사한 성능곡선을 얻어 그 유효성을 확인하였다.

• 한국임상수의학회지
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.319-323
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• 2015

The performance of diagnostic test accuracy is usually summarized by a variety of statistics such as sensitivity, specificity, predictive value, likelihood ratio, and kappa. These indices are most commonly presented when evaluations of competing diagnostic tests are reported, and it is of utmost importance to compare the accuracies of diagnostic tests to decide on the best available test for certain medical disorder. However, it is important to emphasize that specific point values of these indices are merely estimates. If parameter estimates are reported without a measure of uncertainty (precision), knowledgeable readers cannot know the range within which the true values of the indices are likely to lie. Therefore, when evaluations of diagnostic accuracy are reported the precision of estimates should be stated in parallel. To reflect the precision of any estimate of a diagnostic performance characteristic or of the difference between performance characteristics, the computation of confidential interval (CI), an indicator of precision, is widely used in medical literatures in that CIs are more informative to interpret test results than the simple point estimates. The majority of peer-reviewed journals usually require CIs to be specified for descriptive estimates, whereas domestic veterinary journals seem less vigilant on this issues. This paper describes how to calculate the indices and associated CIs using practical examples when assessing diagnostic test performance.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.99-106
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• 1998

This paper presents a procedure for determining the design rainfall depth and the design rainfall intensity at Incheon city area in Korea. In this study the eight probability distributions are considered to estimate the probable rainfall depths for 11 different durations. The Kolmogorov - Smirnov test and the Chi-square test are adopted to test each distribution. The probable rainfall intensity formulas are then determined by i) the least squares (LS) method, ii) the least median squares (LMS) method, iii) the reweighted least squares method based on the LMS (RLS), and iv) the constrained regression (CR) model. The Talbot, the Sherman, the Japanese, and the Unified type are considered to determine the best type for the Incheon station. The root mean squared (RMS) errors are computed to test the formulas derived by four methods. It is found that the Unified type is the most reliable and that all methods presented herein are acceptable for determining the coefficients of rainfall intensity formulas from an engineering point of view.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.531-541
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• 2012

In this study, we consider various methods to estimate the weights of a pairwise comparison matrix in the Analytic Hierarchy Process widely applied in various decision-making fields. This paper uses a data dependent simulation to evaluate the statistical accuracy, minimum violation and minimum norm of the obtaining weight methods from a reciprocal symmetric matrix. No method dominates others in all criteria. Least squares methods perform best in point of mean squared errors; however, the eigenvectors method has an advantage in the minimum norm.