• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
• /
• v.15 no.1
• /
• pp.41-49
• /
• 1983

A computer code, BERD (Bayesian Estimation of Reliability Data), has been developed and tested in order to update the data for the reliability analysis of safety related systems in a specific nuclear power plant. The code has been used to derive the plant-specific data for reliability analysis of the auxiliary feedwater system of a pressurized water reactor. The prior information for components selected was taken from the U.S. Reactor Safety Study, WASH-1400, and the operating experiences from published licensee event reports. The results show that the updated data are well fitted to log-normal distribution curves and the error factors are reduced significantly.

• Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
• /
• 2000.11a
• /
• pp.369-374
• /
• 2000

Despite their tilde application of some traditional project management techniques like the Program Evaluation and Review Technique, they lack of learning, one of important factors in many disciplines today due to a static view far prefect progression. This study proposes a framework for estimation by learning based on a Linear Bayesian approach. As a project progresses, we sequentially observe the durations of completed activities. By reflecting this newly available information to update the distribution of remaining activity durations and thus project duration, we can implement a decision support system that updates e.g. the expected project completion time as well as the probabilities of completing the project within talc due date and by a certain date. By Implementing such customized systems, project manager can be aware of changing project status more effectively and better revise resource allocation plans.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
• /
• v.6 no.2
• /
• pp.91-98
• /
• 2000

Despite their wide application of some traditional project management techniques like the Program Evaluation and Review Technique, they lack of learning, one of important factors in many disciplines today, due to a static view for project progression. This study proposes a framework for estimation by loaming based on a Linear Bayesian approach. As a project Progresses, we sequentially observe the durations of completed activities. By reflecting this newly available information to update the distribution of remaining activity durations and thus project duration, we can implement a decision support system that updates e.g., the expected project completion time as well as the probabilities of completing the project within the due bate and by a certain date. By implementing such customized system, project manager can be aware of changing project status more effectively and better revise resource allocation plans.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
• /
• v.26 no.7
• /
• pp.161-170
• /
• 2010

For the development of load and resistance factor design, reliability analysis is required to calibrate resistance factors in the framework of reliability theory. The distribution of measured-to-predicted pile resistance ratio was obrained based on only the results of load tests conducted to failure for the assessment of uncertainty regarding pile resistance and used in the conventional reliability analysis. In other words, successful pile load test (piles resisted twice their design loads without failure) results were discarded, and therefore, were not reflected in the reliability analysis. In this paper, a new systematic method based on Bayesian theory is used to update reliability indices of driven steel pipe piles by adding more proof pile load test results, even not conducted to failure, to the prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. Fifty seven static pile load tests performed to failure in Korea were compiled for the construction of prior distribution of pile resistance ratio. The empirical method proposed by Meyerhof is used to calculate the predicted pile resistance. Reliability analyses were performed using the updated distribution of pile resistance ratio. The challenge of this study is that the distribution updates of pile resistance ratio are possible using the load test results even not conducted to failure, and that Bayesian updates are most effective when limited data are available for reliability analysis.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
• /
• v.26 no.2
• /
• pp.139-146
• /
• 2013

This study is to update of vibration power generating model and to analyze electromotive force on subway. Analysis of electromotive force using power generation depending on classification of locations which are ballast bed and concrete bed. As the section between Seocho and Bangbae in the line 2 subway was changed from ballast bed to concrete bed, it could be analyzed at same condition, train, section. Induced electromotive force equation by Faraday's law was updated using Bayesian regression and correlation analysis with calculate value and experiment value. Using the updated model, it could get 40mV per one power generation in ballast bed, and it also could get 4mV per one power generation in concrete bed. If the updated model apply to subway or any train, it will be more effective to get electric power. In addition to that, it will be good to reduce greenhouse gas and to build a green traffic network.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2005.06a
• /
• pp.250-255
• /
• 2005

For navigation of a service robot, mapping and localization are very important. To estimate the robot pose, the map of the environment is required and it can be built by exploration or SLAM. Exploration is the fundamental task of guiding a robot autonomously during mapping such that it covers the entire environment with its sensors. In this paper, an efficient exploration scheme based on the position probability of the end nodes of a topological map is proposed. In this scheme, a topological map is constructed in real time using the thinning-based approach. The robot then updates the position probability of each end node maintaining its position at the current location based on the Bayesian update rule using the range data. From this probability, the robot can determine whether or not it needs to visit the specific end node to examine the environment around this node. Various experiments show that the proposed exploration scheme can perform exploration more efficiently than other schemes in that, in most cases, exploration for the entire environment can be completed without directly visiting everywhere in the environment.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
• /
• v.12 no.7
• /
• pp.693-699
• /
• 2006

An accurate and compact map is essential to an autonomous mobile robot system. For navigation, it is efficient to use an occupancy grid map because the environment is represented by probability distribution. But it is difficult to apply it to the large environment since it needs a large amount of memory proportional to the environment size. As an alternative, a topological map can be used to represent it in terms of the discrete nodes with edges connecting them. It is usually constructed by the Voronoi-like graphs, but in this paper the topological map is incrementally built based on the local grid map using the thinning algorithm. This algorithm can extract only meaningful topological information by using the C-obstacle concept in real-time and is robust to the environment change, because its underlying local grid map is constructed based on the Bayesian update formula. In this paper, the position probability is defined to evaluate the quantitative reliability of the end nodes of this thinning-based topological map (TTM). The global TTM can be constructed by merging each local TTM by matching the reliable end nodes determined by the position probability. It is shown that the proposed TTM can represent the environment accurately in real-time and it is readily extended to the global TTM.

• Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
• /
• v.6 no.3
• /
• pp.219-235
• /
• 2019

Scheduled inspections of common crossings are one of the main cost drivers of railway maintenance. Prognostics and health management (PHM) approach and modern monitoring means offer many possibilities in the optimization of inspections and maintenance. The present paper deals with data driven prognosis of the common crossing remaining useful life (RUL) that is based on an inertial monitoring system. The problem of scheduled inspections system for common crossings is outlined and analysed. The proposed analysis of inertial signals with the maximal overlap discrete wavelet packet transform (MODWPT) and Shannon entropy (SE) estimates enable to extract the spectral features. The relevant features for the acceleration components are selected with application of Lasso (Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regularization. The features are fused with time domain information about the longitudinal position of wheels impact and train velocities by multivariate regression. The fused structural health (SH) indicator has a significant correlation to the lifetime of crossing. The RUL prognosis is performed on the linear degradation stochastic model with recursive Bayesian update. Prognosis testing metrics show the promising results for common crossing inspection scheduling improvement.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartB
• /
• v.8B no.5
• /
• pp.455-462
• /
• 2001

The World Wide Web has become one of the major services provided through Internet. When searching the vast web space, users use bookmarking facilities to record the sites of interests encountered during the course of navigation. One of the typical problems arising from bookmarking is that the list of bookmarks lose coherent organization when the the becomes too lengthy, thus ceasing to function as a practical finding aid. In order to maintain the bookmark file in an efficient, organized manner, the user has to classify all the bookmarks newly added to the file, and update the folders. This paper introduces our learning agent called BClassifier that automatically classifies bookmarks by analyzing the contents of the corresponding web documents. The chief source for the training examples are the bookmarks already classified into several bookmark folders according to their subject by the user. Additionally, the web pages found under top categories of Yahoo site are collected and included in the training examples for diversifying the subject categories to be represented, and the training examples for these categories as well. Our agent employs naive Bayesian learning method that is a well-tested, probability-based categorizing technique. In this paper, the outcome of some experimentation is also outlined and evaluated. A comparison of naive Bayesian learning method alongside other learning methods such as k-Nearest Neighbor and TFIDF is also presented.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
• /
• v.8 no.6
• /
• pp.805-814
• /
• 2013

This paper proposes a robust hand segmentation method using view-invariant characteristic of a wrist-mounted camera, and deals with a hand shape recognition system based on segmented hand information. We actively utilize the advantage of the proposed camera device that provides view-invariant images physically, and segment hand region using a Bayesian rule based on adaptive histograms. We construct HSV histograms from RGB histograms, and update HSV histograms using hand region information from a current image. We also propose a user adaptation method by which hand models gradually approach user-dependent models from user-independent models as the user uses the system. The proposed method was evaluated using 16 Korean manual alphabet, and we obtained increases of 27.91% in recognition success rate.