• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian rule

Search Result 96, Processing Time 0.019 seconds

An Effective Stopping Rule for Software Reliability Testing

  • Yoon, Bok-Sik
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
    • /
    • v.3 no.2
    • /
    • pp.81-90
    • /
    • 2002
  • The importance of the reliability of software is growing more and more as more complicated digital computer systems are used for real-time control applications. To provide more reliable software, the testing period should be long enough, but not unnecessarily too long. In this study, we suggest a simple but effective stopping rule which can provide just proper amount of testing time. We take unique features of software into consideration and adopt non-homogeneous Poisson process model and Bayesian approach. A numerical example is given to demonstrate the validity of our stopping rule.

  • PDF

Development of an Expert System (ESRCP) for Failure Diagnosis of Reactor Coolant Pumps (원자로냉각재펌프 고장진단을 위한 전문가시스템의 개발)

  • Cheon, Se-Woo;Chang, Soon-Heung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.128-138
    • /
    • 1990
  • This paper presents a prototype expert system (ESRCP) for Reactor Coolant Pumps. The purpose of this system is to diagnose RCP failures and to offer corrective operational guides to plant operators. The first symptoms for the diagnosis are the alarms which are related to the RCP domain. Alarm processing is required to find a primary causal alarm when multiple alarms occur. The system performs the alarm processing by rule-based deduction or priority factor operation. To diagnose the RCP failure, the system performs rule-based deduction or Bayesian inference. Various sensor readings are required as symptoms to infer a root cause. When the symptoms are insufficient or uncertain to diagnose accurately, Bayesian inference is performed.

  • PDF

Laplace-Metropolis Algorithm for Variable Selection in Multinomial Logit Model (Laplace-Metropolis알고리즘에 의한 다항로짓모형의 변수선택에 관한 연구)

  • 김혜중;이애경
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.11-23
    • /
    • 2001
  • This paper is concerned with suggesting a Bayesian method for variable selection in multinomial logit model. It is based upon an optimal rule suggested by use of Bayes rule which minimizes a risk induced by selecting the multinomial logit model. The rule is to find a subset of variables that maximizes the marginal likelihood of the model. We also propose a Laplace-Metropolis algorithm intended to suggest a simple method forestimating the marginal likelihood of the model. Based upon two examples, artificial data and empirical data examples, the Bayesian method is illustrated and its efficiency is examined.

  • PDF

Bayesian Selection Rule for Human-Resource Selection in Business Process Management Systems (베이지안 규칙을 사용한 비즈니스 프로세스 관리 시스템에서의 인적 자원 배정)

  • Nisafani, Amna Shifia;Wibisono, Arif;Kim, Seung;Bae, Hye-Rim
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
    • /
    • v.17 no.1
    • /
    • pp.53-74
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study developed a method for selection of available human resources for incomingjob allocation that considers factors affecting resource performance in the business process management (BPM) environment. For many years, resource selection has been treated as a very important issue in scheduling due to its direct influence on the speed and quality of task accomplishment. Even though traditional resource selection can work well in many situations, it might not be the best choice when dealing with human resources. Humanresource performance is easily affected by several factors such as workload, queue, working hours, inter-arrival time, and others. The resource-selection rule developed in the present study considers factors that affect human resource performance. We used a Bayesian Network (BN) to incorporate those factors into a single model, which we have called the Bayesian Selection Rule (BSR). Our simulation results show that the BSR can reduce waiting time, completion time and cycle time.

Estimating the Failure Rate of a Large Scaled Software in Multiple Input Domain Testing (다중입력영역시험에서의 대형 소프트웨어 고장률 추정 연구)

  • 문숙경
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.186-194
    • /
    • 2002
  • In this paper we introduce formulae for estimating the failure rate of a large scaled software by using the Bayesian rule when a black-box random testing which selects an element(test case) at random with equally likely probability, is performed. A program or software can be treated as a mathematical function with a well-defined (input)domain and range. For a large scaled software, their input domains can be partitioned into multiple subdomains and exhaustive testing is not generally practical. Testing is proceeding with selecting a subdomain, and then picking a test case from within the selected subdomain. Whether or not the proportion of selecting one of the subdomains is assumed probability, we developed the formulae either case by using Bayesian rule with gamma distribution as a prior distribution.

Simulation studies to compare bayesian wavelet shrinkage methods in aggregated functional data

  • Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.30 no.3
    • /
    • pp.311-330
    • /
    • 2023
  • The present work describes simulation studies to compare the performances in terms of averaged mean squared error of bayesian wavelet shrinkage methods in estimating component curves from aggregated functional data. Five bayesian methods available in the literature were considered to be compared in the studies: The shrinkage rule under logistic prior, shrinkage rule under beta prior, large posterior mode (LPM) method, amplitude-scale invariant Bayes estimator (ABE) and Bayesian adaptive multiresolution smoother (BAMS). The so called Donoho-Johnstone test functions, logit and SpaHet functions were considered as component functions and the scenarios were defined according to different values of sample size and signal to noise ratio in the datasets. It was observed that the signal to noise ratio of the data had impact on the performances of the methods. An application of the methodology and the results to the tecator dataset is also done.

Bayesian Hypothesis Testing for the Ratio of Exponential Means

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1387-1395
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper considers testing for the ratio of two exponential means. We propose a solution based on a Bayesian decision rule to this problem in which no subjective input is considered. The criterion for testing is the Bayesian reference criterion (Bernardo, 1999). We derive the Bayesian reference criterion for testing the ratio of two exponential means. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

  • PDF

A Bayesian Diagnostic Measure and Stopping Rule for Detecting Influential Observations in Discriminant Analysis

  • Kim, Myung-Cheol;Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.337-350
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper suggests a new diagnostic measure and a stopping rule for detecting influential observations in multiple discriminant analysis (MDA). It is developed from a Bayesian point of view using a default Bayes factor obtained from the fractional Bayes factor methodology. The Bayes factor is taken as a discriminatory information in MDA. It is shown that the effect of an observation over the discriminatory information is fully explained by the diagnostic measure. Based on the measure, we suggest a stopping rule for detecting influential observations in a given training sample. As a tool for interpreting the measure a graphical method is sued. Performance of the method is used. Performance of the method is examined through two illustrative examples.

  • PDF

Development of high-speed paper currency recognition system based on Bayesian rule (Bayesian rule에 기초한 고속 Paper currency 인식 시스템 개발)

  • Cho, Youn-Ho;Lee, Sang-Hoon;Suh, Il-Hong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2004.07d
    • /
    • pp.2474-2476
    • /
    • 2004
  • 지폐 인식 자동화기기가 여러 분야에 보편화되면서 다양한 지폐를 고속으로 처리할 수 있는 고속지폐 인식 자동화 기기가 요구되고 있다. 하지만 대부분의 지폐 인식 자동화 기기가 고속화에 적합하지 않은 구조로 설계되어 있고 신권 추가가 용이하지 않다. 본 논문은 고속 Paper Currency 인식 시스템에 적합한 범용 하드웨어 시스템과 Bayes Rule 기반의 고속 인식 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안된 범용 하드웨어 구조는 고속의 CIS(Contact Image Sensor)와 DSP(Digital Signal Processor) 그리고 Dual Memory System으로 구성되었다. Bayes Rule에 기초한 고속 인식 알고리즘은 기존의 Paper Currency 인식 시스템에 사용되었던 기계학습 방법에 비해 신권 추가가 쉽고 적은 연산으로 권종을 판별할 수 있어 고속 지폐 인식 자동화기기에 적합하다. 본 논문에서는 제안된 방법들을 실제 자동화기기로 구현하여 그 유용성을 검증한다.

  • PDF

Pruning and Learning Fuzzy Rule-Based Classifier

  • Kim, Do-Wan;Park, Jin-Bae;Joo, Young-Hoon
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2004.08a
    • /
    • pp.663-667
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper presents new pruning and learning methods for the fuzzy rule-based classifier. The structure of the proposed classifier is framed from the fuzzy sets in the premise part of the rule and the Bayesian classifier in the consequent part. For the simplicity of the model structure, the unnecessary features for each fuzzy rule are eliminated through the iterative pruning algorithm. The quality of the feature is measured by the proposed correctness method, which is defined as the ratio of the fuzzy values for a set of the feature values on the decision region to one for all feature values. For the improvement of the classification performance, the parameters of the proposed classifier are finely adjusted by using the gradient descent method so that the misclassified feature vectors are correctly re-categorized. The cost function is determined as the squared-error between the classifier output for the correct class and the sum of the maximum output for the rest and a positive scalar. Then, the learning rules are derived from forming the gradient. Finally, the fuzzy rule-based classifier is tested on two data sets and is found to demonstrate an excellent performance.

  • PDF