• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian posterior

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Bayesian Inference and Model Selection for Software Growth Reliability Models using Gibbs Sampler (몬테칼로 깁스방법을 적용한 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모형에 대한 베이지안 추론과 모형선택에 관한 연구)

  • 김희철;이승주
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.125-141
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    • 1999
  • Bayesian inference and model selection method for software reliability growth models are studied. Software reliability growth models are used in testing stages of software development to model the error content and time intervals between software failures. In this paper, we could avoid the multiple integration by the use of Gibbs sampling, which is a kind of Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to compute the posterior distribution. Bayesian inference and model selection method for Jelinski-Moranda and Goel-Okumoto and Schick-Wolverton models in software reliability with Poisson prior information are studied. For model selection, we explored the relative error.

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A Bayesian Approach to Detecting Outliers Using Variance-Inflation Model

  • Lee, Sangjeen;Chung, Younshik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.805-814
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    • 2001
  • The problem of 'outliers', observations which look suspicious in some way, has long been one of the most concern in the statistical structure to experimenters and data analysts. We propose a model for outliers problem and also analyze it in linear regression model using a Bayesian approach with the variance-inflation model. We will use Geweke's(1996) ideas which is based on the data augmentation method for detecting outliers in linear regression model. The advantage of the proposed method is to find a subset of data which is most suspicious in the given model by the posterior probability The sampling based approach can be used to allow the complicated Bayesian computation. Finally, our proposed methodology is applied to a simulated and a real data.

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Bayesian estimation in the generalized half logistic distribution under progressively type-II censoring

  • Kim, Yong-Ku;Kang, Suk-Bok;Se, Jung-In
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.977-989
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    • 2011
  • The half logistic distribution has been used intensively in reliability and survival analysis especially when the data is censored. In this paper, we provide Bayesian estimation of the shape parameter and reliability function in the generalized half logistic distribution based on progressively Type-II censored data under various loss functions. We here consider conjugate prior and noninformative prior and corresponding posterior distributions are obtained. As an illustration, we examine the validity of our estimation using real data and simulated data.

Bayesian estimations on the exponentiated half triangle distribution under Type-I hybrid censoring

  • Kim, Yong-Ku;Kang, Suk-Bok;Seo, Jung-In
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.565-574
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    • 2011
  • The exponenetiated distribution has been used in reliability and survival analysis especially when the data is censored. In this paper, we derive Bayesian estimation of shape parameter and reliability function in the exponenetiated half triangle distribution based on Type-I hybrid censored data. Here we consider conjugate prior and noninformative prior and obtained corresponding posterior distributions. As an illustration, the mean square errors of the estimates are computed. Comparisons are made between these estimators using Monte Carlo simulation study.

Bayesian curve-fitting with radial basis functions under functional measurement error model

  • Hwang, Jinseub;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.749-754
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    • 2015
  • This article presents Bayesian approach to regression splines with knots on a grid of equally spaced sample quantiles of the independent variables under functional measurement error model.We consider small area model by using penalized splines of non-linear pattern. Specifically, in a basis functions of the regression spline, we use radial basis functions. To fit the model and estimate parameters we suggest a hierarchical Bayesian framework using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methodology. Furthermore, we illustrate the method in an application data. We check the convergence by a potential scale reduction factor and we use the posterior predictive p-value and the mean logarithmic conditional predictive ordinate to compar models.

Three-dimensional object recognition using efficient indexing:Part I-bayesian indexing (효율적인 인덱싱 기법을 이용한 3차원 물체 인식:Part I-Bayesian 인덱싱)

  • 이준호
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics C
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    • v.34C no.10
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 1997
  • A design for a system to perform rapid recognition of three dimensional objects is presented, focusing on efficient indexing. In order to retrieve the best matched models without exploring all possible object matches, we have employed a bayesian framework. A decision-theoretic measure of the discriminatory power of a feature for a model object is defined in terms of posterior probability. Detectability of a featrue defined as a function of the feature itselt, viewpoint, sensor charcteristics, nd the feature detection algorithm(s) is also considered in the computation of discribminatory power. In order to speed up the indexing or selection of correct objects, we generate and verify the object hypotheses for rfeatures detected in a scene in the order of the discriminatory power of these features for model objects.

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Reliability Demonstration Test for a Finite Population Based on the Conjugacy of the Beta-Binomial Distribution (베타-이항분포의 공액성을 근거로 한 유한 모집단의 신뢰성 입증 시험)

  • Jeon, Jong-Seon;Ahn, Sun-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.98-105
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    • 2012
  • This paper describes the Bayesian approach for reliability demonstration test based on the samples from a finite population. The Bayesian approach involves the technical method about how to combine the prior distribution and the likelihood function to produce the posterior distribution. In this paper, the hypergeometric distribution is adopted as a likelihood function for a finite population. The conjugacy of the beta-binomial distribution and the hypergeometric distribution is shown and is used to make a decision about whether to accept or reject the finite population judging from a viewpoint of faulty goods. A numerical example is also given.

Bayesian Estimations on the Exponentiated Distribution Family with Type-II Right Censoring

  • Kim, Yong-Ku;Kang, Suk-Bok;Seo, Jung-In
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.603-613
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    • 2011
  • Exponentiated distribution has been used in reliability and survival analysis especially when the data is censored. In this paper, we derive Bayesian estimation of the shape parameter, reliability function and failure rate function in the exponentiated distribution family based on Type-II right censored data. We here consider conjugate prior and noninformative prior and corresponding posterior distributions are obtained. As an illustration, the mean square errors of the estimates are computed. Comparisons are made between these estimators using Monte Carlo simulation study.

Noninformative priors for the ratio of parameters of two Maxwell distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.643-650
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    • 2013
  • We develop noninformative priors for a ratio of parameters of two Maxwell distributions which is used to check the equality of two Maxwell distributions. Specially, we focus on developing probability matching priors and Je reys' prior for objectiv Bayesian inferences. The probability matching priors, under which the probability of the Bayesian credible interval matches the frequentist probability asymptotically, are developed. The posterior propriety under the developed priors will be shown. Some simulations are performed for identifying the usefulness of proposed priors in objective Bayesian inference.

Bayesian ratio estimation in finite populations (有限 母集團에서 베이지안 比推定)

  • 이석훈;박래현;최종석
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 1992
  • In this paper we give a Bayesian approach to problems of estimation for the ratio in finite populations. Adopting the Ericson's superpopulatin approach in which the finite population of size N is viewed as arising form a random sample of N units from some superpopulation. We derive the exact posterior of the ratio under the noninformative prior on superpopulation parameters. Based on our results we compute an exact Bayesian confidence interval and compare this with the existing methods.

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