• 제목/요약/키워드: Bayesian Techniques

검색결과 165건 처리시간 0.03초

지화학자료를 이용한 금${\cdot}$은 광산의 배태 예상지역 추정-베이시안 지구통계학과 의사나무 결정기법의 활용 (Prediction of the Gold-silver Deposits from Geochemical Maps - Applications to the Bayesian Geostatistics and Decision Tree Techniques)

  • 황상기;이평구
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제38권6호
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    • pp.663-673
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    • 2005
  • 지화학 자료의 공간적 분포와 금은광산의 공간적 분포사이의 상관관계를 조사하였다. 활용된 자료는 한국자원연구소에서 발간된 지화학도 중 21개 원소에 대한 도면과, 현재까지 파악된 광산의 위치도면 및 1:100만 지질도이다. 지화학도는 250m 등간격의 격자형 화소로 제작된 도면 중 통계분석을 위하여 1km 간격의 자료를 추출하여 분석하였으며, 광산위치의 지화학 자료 역시 250m 간격의 화소에서 추출하여 분석을 수행하였다. 광산과 지화학자료의 공간적인 상관분석은 베이시안 중첩법과 의사결정나무 기법을 활용하였디. 베이시안 통계기법은 각 지화학도에 분포하는 원소의 화소값을 올림차순으로 정열한 후 자료의 개수가 자기 5, 25, 50, 75, 95, $100\%$에 해당하는 등급을 나누어 모든 지화학도를 6개의 등급을 갖는 도면으로 재분류 하였다. 자 등급에 속한 광산의 개수를 대상으로 광산이 발생할 확률이 계산되었으며, 이 확률을 취합하여 최종 사후확률이 계산되었으며, 사후확률로 광산이 배태될 예측 도면이 작성되었다. 금/은, 동, 철, 납/아연, 텅스텐광산 및 광산이 존재하지 않는 위치에 해당하는 지화학 자료와 암상을 기준으로 의사결정나무를 학습시키고, 학습된 결과를 전체 자료에 적용하여 예측도면을 작성하였다. 광산이 존재하지 않은 지역을 추출하기 위하여 지화학도의 화소를 1km간격으로 추출한 후 이들 중 광산과 750m이내에 있는 자료는 제외시키는 알고리듬을 활용하였다. 예측결과 베이시안 방법에 의한 광산의 위치 예측이 의사결정나무에 의한 예측보다 상대적으로 정확함이 확인되었다. 그러나 두 방법 모두 공히 기존의 광산위치를 적절히 예측하고 있어서 지화학 자료는 광산의 위치와 밀접한 관계를 갖고 있음이 확인되었다.

Enhancing Security Gaps in Smart Grid Communication

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Jeong, Heon;Moon, Kyung-Il
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.7-10
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    • 2014
  • In order to develop smart grid communications infrastructure, a high level of interconnectivity and reliability among its nodes is required. Sensors, advanced metering devices, electrical appliances, and monitoring devices, just to mention a few, will be highly interconnected allowing for the seamless flow of data. Reliability and security in this flow of data between nodes is crucial due to the low latency and cyber-attacks resilience requirements of the Smart Grid. In particular, Artificial Intelligence techniques such as Fuzzy Logic, Bayesian Inference, Neural Networks, and other methods can be employed to enhance the security gaps in conventional IDSs. A distributed FPGA-based network with adaptive and cooperative capabilities can be used to study several security and communication aspects of the smart grid infrastructure both from the attackers and defensive point of view. In this paper, the vital issue of security in the smart grid is discussed, along with a possible approach to achieve this by employing FPGA based Radial Basis Function (RBF) network intrusion.

Derivation of Design Flood Using Multisite Rainfall Simulation Technique and Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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    • pp.540-544
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    • 2009
  • Hydrologic pattern under climate change has been paid attention to as one of the most important issues in hydrologic science group. Rainfall and runoff is a key element in the Earth's hydrological cycle, and associated with many different aspects such as water supply, flood prevention and river restoration. In this regard, a main objective of this study is to evaluate design flood using simulation techniques which can consider a full spectrum of uncertainty. Here we utilize a weather state based stochastic multivariate model as conditional probability model for simulating the rainfall field. A major premise of this study is that large scale climatic patterns are a major driver of such persistent year to year changes in rainfall probabilities. Uncertainty analysis in estimating design flood is inevitably needed to examine reliability for the estimated results. With regard to this point, this study applies a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme to the NWS-PC rainfall-runoff model that has been widely used, and a case study is performed in Soyang Dam watershed in Korea. A comprehensive discussion on design flood under climate change is provided.

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Methods and Techniques for Variance Component Estimation in Animal Breeding - Review -

  • Lee, C.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.413-422
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    • 2000
  • In the class of models which include random effects, the variance component estimates are important to obtain accurate predictors and estimators. Variance component estimation is straightforward for balanced data but not for unbalanced data. Since orthogonality among factors is absent in unbalanced data, various methods for variance component estimation are available. REML estimation is the most widely used method in animal breeding because of its attractive statistical properties. Recently, Bayesian approach became feasible through Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods with increasingly powerful computers. Furthermore, advances in variance component estimation with complicated models such as generalized linear mixed models enabled animal breeders to analyze non-normal data.

범주형 시퀀스 데이터의 K-Nearest Neighbor알고리즘 (A K-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm for Categorical Sequence Data)

  • 오승준
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.215-221
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    • 2005
  • 최근에는 단백질 시퀀스, 소매점 거래 데이터, 웹 로그 등과 같은 상업적이거나 과학적인 데이터의 폭발적인 증가를 볼 수 있다. 이런 데이터들은 순서적인 면을 가지고 있는 시퀀스 데이터들이다. 본 논문에서는 이런 시퀀스 데이터들을 분류하는 문제를 다룬다. 분류 기법 으로는 의사결정 나무나 베이지안 분류기, K-NN방법 등 석러 종류가 있는데, 본 연구에서는 또-U방법을 이용하여 시퀀스들을 분류한다. 또한, 시퀀스들간의 유사도를 구하기 위한 새로운 계산 방법과 효율적인 계산 방법도 제안한다.

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IMAGE DENOISING BASED ON MIXTURE DISTRIBUTIONS IN WAVELET DOMAIN

  • Bae, Byoung-Suk;Lee, Jong-In;Kang, Moon-Gi
    • 한국방송∙미디어공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방송공학회 2009년도 IWAIT
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    • pp.246-249
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    • 2009
  • Due to the additive white Gaussian noise (AWGN), images are often corrupted. In recent days, Bayesian estimation techniques to recover noisy images in the wavelet domain have been studied. The probability density function (PDF) of an image in wavelet domain can be described using highly-sharp head and long-tailed shapes. If a priori probability density function having the above properties would be applied well adaptively, better results could be obtained. There were some frequently proposed PDFs such as Gaussian, Laplace distributions, and so on. These functions model the wavelet coefficients satisfactorily and have its own of characteristics. In this paper, mixture distributions of Gaussian and Laplace distribution are proposed, which attempt to corporate these distributions' merits. Such mixture model will be used to remove the noise in images by adopting Maximum a Posteriori (MAP) estimation method. With respect to visual quality, numerical performance and computational complexity, the proposed technique gained better results.

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의료 웹포럼에서의 텍스트 분석을 통한 정보적 지지 및 감성적 지지 유형의 글 분류 모델 (The Informative Support and Emotional Support Classification Model for Medical Web Forums using Text Analysis)

  • 우지영;이민정
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제11권sup호
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2012
  • In the medical web forum, people share medical experience and information as patients and patents' families. Some people search medical information written in non-expert language and some people offer words of comport to who are suffering from diseases. Medical web forums play a role of the informative support and the emotional support. We propose the automatic classification model of articles in the medical web forum into the information support and emotional support. We extract text features of articles in web forum using text mining techniques from the perspective of linguistics and then perform supervised learning to classify texts into the information support and the emotional support types. We adopt the Support Vector Machine (SVM), Naive-Bayesian, decision tree for automatic classification. We apply the proposed model to the HealthBoards forum, which is also one of the largest and most dynamic medical web forum.

저가 적외선센서를 장착한 이동로봇에 적용 가능한 격자지도 작성 및 샘플기반 정보교합 (Grid Map Building and Sample-based Data Association for Mobile Robot Equipped with Low-Cost IR Sensors)

  • 권태범;송재복
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.169-176
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    • 2009
  • Low-cost sensors have been widely used for mobile robot navigation in recent years. However, navigation performance based on low-cost sensors is not good enough to be practically used. Among many navigation techniques, building of an accurate map is a fundamental task for service robots, and mapping with low-cost IR sensors was investigated in this research. The robot's orientation uncertainty was considered for mapping by modifying the Bayesian update formula. Then, the data association scheme was investigated to improve the quality of a built map when the robot's pose uncertainty was large. Six low-cost IR sensors mounted on the robot could not give rich data enough to align the range data by the scan matching method, so a new sample-based method was proposed for data association. The real experiments indicated that the mapping method proposed in this research was able to generate a useful map for navigation.

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Synthesis of Machine Knowledge and Fuzzy Post-Adjustment to Design an Intelligent Stock Investment System

  • Lee, Kun-Chang;Kim, Won-Chul
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.145-162
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    • 1992
  • This paper proposes two design principles for expert systems to solve a stock market timing (SMART) problems : machine knowledge and fuzzy post-adjustment, Machine knowledge is derived from past SMART instances by using an inductive learning algorithm. A knowledge-based solution, which can be regarded as a prior SMART strategy, is then obtained on the basis of the machine knowledge. Fuzzy post-adjustment (FPA) refers to a Bayesian-like reasoning, allowing the prior SMART strategy to be revised by the fuzzy evaluation of environmental factors that might effect the SMART strategy. A prototype system, named K-SISS2 (Knowledge-based Stock Investment Support System 2), was implemented using the two design principles and tested for solving the SMART problem that is aimed at choosing the best time to buy or sell stocks. The prototype system worked very well in an actual stock investment situation, illustrating basic ideas and techniques underlying the suggested design principles.

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Bayesian analysis for the bivariate Poisson regression model: Applications to road safety countermeasures

  • Choe, Hyeong-Gu;Lim, Joon-Beom;Won, Yong-Ho;Lee, Soo-Beom;Kim, Seong-W.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.851-858
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    • 2012
  • We consider a bivariate Poisson regression model to analyze discrete count data when two dependent variables are present. We estimate the regression coefficients as sociated with several safety countermeasures. We use Markov chain and Monte Carlo techniques to execute some computations. A simulation and real data analysis are performed to demonstrate model fitting performances of the proposed model.