• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.14 no.8
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• pp.1809-1818
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• 2010

In order to detect the skin color area from input images, many prior researches have divided an image into the pixels having a skin color and the other pixels. In a still image or videos, it is very difficult to exactly extract the skin pixels because lighting condition and makeup generate a various variations of skin color. In this thesis, we propose a method that improves its performance using hierarchical merging of 3D skin color model and context informations for the images having various difficulties. We first make 3D color histogram distributions using skin color pixels from many YCbCr color images and then divide the color space into 3 layers including skin color region(Skin), non-skin color region(Non-skin), skin color candidate region (Skinness). When we segment the skin color region from an image, skin color pixel and non-skin color pixels are determined to skin region and non-skin region respectively. If a pixel is belong to Skinness color region, the pixels are divided into skin region or non-skin region according to the context information of its neighbors. Our proposed method can help to efficiently segment the skin color regions from images having many distorted skin colors and similar skin colors.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.422-427
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• 2010

Korean Game industry, especially MMORPG(Massively Multiplayer Online Game) has been rapidly expanding in these days. But As game industry is growing, lots of online game security incidents have also been increasing and getting prevailing. One of the most critical security incidents is 'Game Bots', which are programs to play MMORPG instead of human players. If player let the game bots play for them, they can get a lot of benefic game elements (experience points, items, etc.) without any effort, and it is considered unfair to other players. Plenty of game companies try to prevent bots, but it does not work well. In this paper, we propose a behavior pattern model for detecting bots. We analyzed behaviors of human players as well as bots and identified six game features to build the model to differentiate game bots from human players. Based on these features, we made a Naive Bayesian classifier to reasoning the game bot or not. To evaluated our method, we used 10 game bot data and 6 human Player data. As a result, we classify Game bot and human player with 88% accuracy.

• Economic Analysis
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.1-42
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• 2021

The outlook for Korea's consumer price inflation rate has a profound impact not only on the Bank of Korea's operation of the inflation target system but also on the overall economy, including the bond market and private consumption and investment. This study presents the prediction results of consumer price inflation in Korea for the next three years. To this end, first, model selection is performed based on the out-of-sample predictive power of autoregressive distributed lag (ADL) models, AR models, small-scale vector autoregressive (VAR) models, and large-scale VAR models. Since there are many potential predictors of inflation, a Bayesian variable selection technique was introduced for 12 macro variables, and a precise tuning process was performed to improve predictive power. In the case of the VAR model, the Minnesota prior distribution was applied to solve the dimensional curse problem. Looking at the results of long-term and short-term out-of-sample predictions for the last five years, the ADL model was generally superior to other competing models in both point and distribution prediction. As a result of forecasting through the combination of predictions from the above models, the inflation rate is expected to maintain the current level of around 2% until the second half of 2022, and is expected to drop to around 1% from the first half of 2023.

• Asia Marketing Journal
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.73-92
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• 2009

Consumers influence other consumers' brand choice behavior by delivering a variety of objective or subjective information on a particular product, which is called WOM (Word-Of-Mouth) activities. For WOM activities, WOM senders should choose messages to deliver to other consumers. We classify the contents of the messages a consumer chooses for WOM delivery into two categories: Subjective (positive or negative) evaluation and objective information on products. In our study, we regard WOM senders' activities as a choice behavior and introduce a choice model to study the relationship between the choice of different WOM information (WOM with positive or negative subjective evaluation and WOM with objective information) and its influencing factors (information sources and consumer characteristics) by developing two bivariate Probit models. In order to consider the mediating effects of WOM senders' product involvement, product attitude, and their characteristics (gender and age), we develop three second-level models for the propagation of positive evaluations, of negative evaluations, and of objective information on products in an hierarchical Bayesian modeling framework. Our empirical results show that WOM senders' information choice behavior differs according to the types of information sources. The effects of information sources on WOM activities differ according to the types of WOM messages (subjective evaluation (positive or negative) and objective information). Therefore, our study concludes that WOM activities can be partially managed with effective communication plans influencing on consumers' WOM message choice behavior. The empirical results provide some guidelines for consumers' propagation of information on products companies want.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.173-191
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• 2008

The goal of this paper is analyzing and modeling the trend of apartment market price in Seoul using the dynamic linear model(DLM). We use the market price per pyeong of 30-pyeong-apartment provided by "KB apartment market price database" of Kookmin bank. The data is collected from June $24^{th}$, 2003 to August $28^{th}$, 2006. The inspection of the data reveals that the trend of apartment market price in Seoul can be divided into two groups and we assume that the price is expressed by the common trend of divided groups. We try to estimate the price of apartment by DLM using the Bayesian method.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.723-733
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• 2009

The crucial problems of K-means clustering are deciding the number of clusters and initial centroids of clusters. Hence, the steps of K-means clustering are generally consisted of two-stage clustering procedure. The first stage is to run hierarchical clusters to obtain the number of clusters and cluster centroids and second stage is to run nonhierarchical K-means clustering using the results of first stage. Here we provide automated K-means clustering procedure to be useful to obtain initial centroids of clusters which can also be useful for large data sets, and provide software program implemented using R.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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• v.11B no.4
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• pp.471-476
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• 2004

Recently, provides information which is most necessary to the user the research against the web information recommendation system for the Internet shopping mall is actively being advanced. the back which it will drive in the object. In that Dynamic Web Recommendation Method Using SOM (Self-Organizing Feature Maps) has the advantages of speedy execution and simplicity but has the weak points such as the lack of explanation on models and fired weight values for each node of the output layer on the established model. The method proposed in this study solves the lack of explanation using the Bayesian reasoning method. It does not give fixed weight values for each node of the output layer. Instead, the distribution includes weight using Hybrid SOM. This study designs and implements Dynamic Web Recommendation Method Using Hybrid SOM. The result of the existing Web Information recommendation methods has proved that this study's method is an excellent solution.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.79-89
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• 2004

Since the amount of E-mail messages has increased , we need a new technique for efficient e-mail classification. E-mail classifications are grouped into two classes: binary classification, multi-classification. The current binary classification methods are mostly spm mail classification methods which are based on rule driven, bayesian, SVM, etc. The current multi- classification methods are based on clustering which groups e-mails by similarity. In this paper, we propose a novel method for e-mail classification. It combines the automatic category generation method based on the vector model and the dynamic category hierarchy construction method. This method can multi-classify e-mail automatically and manage a large amount of e-mail efficiently. In addition, this method increases the search accuracy by dynamic reclassification of e-mails.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.209-222
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• 1997

In this paper, we study a bargaining order problem where one buyer sequentially bargains with two sellers whose reservation prices are unknown to the buyer but correlated. Our main question is who the buyer should bargain first with to maximize his expected payoff. This type of problem is widely applicable to business and political situations where one party negotiates with multiple parties sequentially. One of the most important element in a sequential bargaining is "linkage effect" which exists when the aggreement of the previous bargaining affects the outcome of the following bargaining. To examine "linkage effect", we assume that the sellers'objects are similar so that the sellers' reservation prices are correlated. In addition, to consider incomplete information aspect regarding reservation prices, it is assumed that the sellers' reservation prices are unknown to the buyer. That is, we deal with one sided incomplete information case. In our model, there are two stages in each of which the buyer meets one seller. Since we are concerned with the bargaining order, we consider two different bargaining orders. Using game theory, we find a perfect Bayesian equilibrium and compute the buyer's expected payoff for each bargaining order. Finally we identify the advantageous bargaining order for the buyer by comparing the expected payoffs obtained under two different bargaining orders. Our results are as follows: the advantageous bargaining order depends on the prior probability of the seller type. However, in general, the buyer should bargain first with the seller whose object is less valuable to the buyer. The basic reason for our result is that the buyer wants to experiment in the first stage to find out the sellers' reservation prices and in doing so, to minimize the experimental cost and maximize potential gain in case of negotiation failure in the first stage. in the first stage.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.130-135
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• 2004

This paper presents a new design methods of the short-term load forecasting system (STLFS) using the data mining. The structure of the proposed STLFS is divided into two parts: the Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy model-based classifier and predictor The proposed classifier is composed of the Gaussian fuzzy sets in the premise part and the linearized Bayesian classifier in the consequent part. The related parameters of the classifier are easily obtained from the statistic information of the training set. The proposed predictor takes form of the convex combination of the linear time series predictors for each inputs. The problem of estimating the consequent parameters is formulated by the convex optimization problem, which is to minimize the norm distance between the real load and the output of the linear time series estimator. The problem of estimating the premise parameters is to find the parameter value minimizing the error between the real load and the overall output. Finally, to show the feasibility of the proposed method, this paper provides the short-term load forecasting example.