• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayes method

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Naive Bayes Classifier based Anomalous Propagation Echo Identification using Class Imbalanced Data (클래스 불균형 데이터를 이용한 나이브 베이즈 분류기 기반의 이상전파에코 식별방법)

  • Lee, Hansoo;Kim, Sungshin
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1063-1068
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    • 2016
  • Anomalous propagation echo is a kind of abnormal radar signal occurred by irregularly refracted radar beam caused by temperature or humidity. The echo frequently appears in ground-based weather radar due to its observation principle and disturb weather forecasting process. In order to improve accuracy of weather forecasting, it is important to analyze radar data precisely. Therefore, there are several ongoing researches about identifying the anomalous propagation echo with data mining techniques. This paper conducts researches about implementation of classification method which can separate the anomalous propagation echo in the raw radar data using naive Bayes classifier with various kinds of observation results. Considering that collected data has a class imbalanced problem, this paper includes SMOTE method. It is confirmed that the fine classification results are derived by the suggested classifier with balanced dataset using actual appearance cases of the echo.

Traffic Classification Using Machine Learning Algorithms in Practical Network Monitoring Environments (실제 네트워크 모니터링 환경에서의 ML 알고리즘을 이용한 트래픽 분류)

  • Jung, Kwang-Bon;Choi, Mi-Jung;Kim, Myung-Sup;Won, Young-J.;Hong, James W.
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.33 no.8B
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    • pp.707-718
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    • 2008
  • The methodology of classifying traffics is changing from payload based or port based to machine learning based in order to overcome the dynamic changes of application's characteristics. However, current state of traffic classification using machine learning (ML) algorithms is ongoing under the offline environment. Specifically, most of the current works provide results of traffic classification using cross validation as a test method. Also, they show classification results based on traffic flows. However, these traffic classification results are not useful for practical environments of the network traffic monitoring. This paper compares the classification results using cross validation with those of using split validation as the test method. Also, this paper compares the classification results based on flow to those based on bytes. We classify network traffics by using various feature sets and machine learning algorithms such as J48, REPTree, RBFNetwork, Multilayer perceptron, BayesNet, and NaiveBayes. In this paper, we find the best feature sets and the best ML algorithm for classifying traffics using the split validation.

Prediction of coal and gas outburst risk at driving working face based on Bayes discriminant analysis model

  • Chen, Liang;Yu, Liang;Ou, Jianchun;Zhou, Yinbo;Fu, Jiangwei;Wang, Fei
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2020
  • With the coal mining depth increasing, both stress and gas pressure rapidly enhance, causing coal and gas outburst risk to become more complex and severe. The conventional method for prediction of coal and gas outburst adopts one prediction index and corresponding critical value to forecast and cannot reflect all the factors impacting coal and gas outburst, thus it is characteristic of false and missing forecasts and poor accuracy. For the reason, based on analyses of both the prediction indicators and the factors impacting coal and gas outburst at the test site, this work carefully selected 6 prediction indicators such as the index of gas desorption from drill cuttings Δh2, the amount of drill cuttings S, gas content W, the gas initial diffusion velocity index ΔP, the intensity of electromagnetic radiation E and its number of pulse N, constructed the Bayes discriminant analysis (BDA) index system, studied the BDA-based multi-index comprehensive model for forecast of coal and gas outburst risk, and used the established discriminant model to conduct coal and gas outburst prediction. Results showed that the BDA - based multi-index comprehensive model for prediction of coal and gas outburst has an 100% of prediction accuracy, without wrong and omitted predictions, can also accurately forecast the outburst risk even for the low indicators outburst. The prediction method set up by this study has a broad application prospect in the prediction of coal and gas outburst risk.

Recommendation using Service Ontology based Context Awareness Modeling (서비스 온톨로지 기반의 상황인식 모델링을 이용한 추천)

  • Ryu, Joong-Kyung;Chung, Kyung-Yong;Kim, Jong-Hun;Rim, Kee-Wook;Lee, Jung-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.22-30
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    • 2011
  • In the IT convergence environment changed with not only the quality but also the material abundance, it is the most crucial factor for the strategy of personalized recommendation services to investigate the context information. In this paper, we proposed the recommendation using the service ontology based context awareness modeling. The proposed method establishes a data acquisition model based on the OSGi framework and develops a context information model based on ontology in order to perform the device environment between different kinds of systems. In addition, the context information will be extracted and classified for implementing the recommendation system used for the context information model. This study develops the ontology based context awareness model using the context information and applies it to the recommendation of the collaborative filtering. The context awareness model reflects the information that selects services according to the context using the Naive Bayes classifier and provides it to users. To evaluate the performance of the proposed method, we conducted sample T-tests so as to verify usefulness. This evaluation found that the difference of satisfaction by service was statistically meaningful, and showed high satisfaction.

The performance of Bayesian network classifiers for predicting discrete data (이산형 자료 예측을 위한 베이지안 네트워크 분류분석기의 성능 비교)

  • Park, Hyeonjae;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.309-320
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    • 2020
  • Bayesian networks, also known as directed acyclic graphs (DAG), are used in many areas of medicine, meteorology, and genetics because relationships between variables can be modeled with graphs and probabilities. In particular, Bayesian network classifiers, which are used to predict discrete data, have recently become a new method of data mining. Bayesian networks can be grouped into different models that depend on structured learning methods. In this study, Bayesian network models are learned with various properties of structure learning. The models are compared to the simplest method, the naïve Bayes model. Classification results are compared by applying learned models to various real data. This study also compares the relationships between variables in the data through graphs that appear in each model.

Estimators for Parameters Included in Cold Standby Systems with Imperfect Switches

  • Al-Ruzaiza A. S.;Sarhan Ammar M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.65-78
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    • 2005
  • In this paper we derive estimations of the parameters included in the distribution of the lifetime of k-out-of-m cold standby system with imperfect switches. Maximum likelihood and Bayes procedures are followed to get such estimations. Numerical studies, using Monte Carlo simulation method, are given in order to explain how we can utilize the theoretical results derived, and to compare the performance of the two different methods used. The criterion of comparisons is the mean squared errors associated with each estimate.

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On estimation of the probability of Yut (윷의 확률 추정에 대하여)

  • 박진경;박승선
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 1996
  • The probability of Yut was calculated by using the physical property in previous study, but this article suggested empirical estimators for probability of Yut. In practice, physics-based probability imposes too strong assumptions, which result in the difference between the calculated probabilies and empirical relative frequencies. Experiment shows the probabilities of Yut depend on the integrated shape of Yut rather than the floor type. Maximum likelihood estimator and empirical Bayes estimators are compared and all turn out to be almost identicla for more than 40 trials. For smaller number of trials, Bayes estimators are recommended for its stability. Regression approach is also adopted as an easy-to-use method without empirical trials.

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The Method of Effective Inference Using Rough Set and Fuzzy Naive Bayes Theory (러프집합과 퍼지 네이브 베이스 이론을 이용한 효율적인 추론 방법)

  • Hwang Jeong-Sik;Son Chang-Sik;Chung Hwan-Mook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.117-120
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    • 2005
  • 퍼지 규칙 기반 시스템에서 분류 및 경계를 결정하기 위한 방법으로 퍼지 규칙을 학습하는 다양한 방법들이 제안되고 있다. 그리고 추론 규칙간의 상관성을 고려하여 불필요한 속성을 제거함으로써 좀 더 효율적인 추론 결과를 얻을 수 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 퍼지 규칙 기반 시스템에서 각 규칙에 따른 결정 테이블를 작성하고 러프집합을 이용하여 불필요한 속성을 제거하였으며 규칙의 확신도에 퍼지 네이브 베이스 이론을 적용한 추론 방법을 제안한다.

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RELIABILITY ANALYSIS FOR THE TWO-PARAMETER PARETO DISTRIBUTION UNDER RECORD VALUES

  • Wang, Liang;Shi, Yimin;Chang, Ping
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.29 no.5_6
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    • pp.1435-1451
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    • 2011
  • In this paper the estimation of the parameters as well as survival and hazard functions are presented for the two-parameter Pareto distribution by using Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches under upper record values. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and interval estimation are derived for the parameters. Bayes estimators of reliability performances are obtained under symmetric (Squared error) and asymmetric (Linex and general entropy (GE)) losses, when two parameters have discrete and continuous priors, respectively. Finally, two numerical examples with real data set and simulated data, are presented to illustrate the proposed method. An algorithm is introduced to generate records data, then a simulation study is performed and different estimates results are compared.

A Bayesian Diagnostic for Influential Observations in LDA

  • Lim, Jae-Hak;Lee, Chong-Hyung;Cho, Byung-Yup
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.119-131
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    • 2000
  • This paper suggests a new diagnostic measure for detecting influential observations in linear discriminant analysis (LDA). It is developed from a Bayesian point of view using a default Bayes factor obtained from the imaginary training sample methodology. The Bayes factor is taken as a criterion for testing homogeneity of covariance matrices in LDA model. It is noted that the effect of an observation over the criterion is fully explained by the diagnostic measure. We suggest a graphical method that can be taken as a tool for interpreting the diagnostic measure and detecting influential observations. Performance of the measure is examined through an illustrative example.

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