• Title/Summary/Keyword: Basic Statistical Unit

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Simultaneous Unit Roots Tests for Both Regular and Seasonal Unit Roots

  • Sinsup Cho;Jeong Hyeong Lee;Young Jin Park;Heon Jin Park
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.663-676
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    • 1997
  • We obtain the simultaneous unit roots test statistics for both regular and seasonal unit roots in a time series with possible seasonal deterministic trends. The limiting distributions of the proposed test statistics are derived and empirical percentiles of the test statistics are tabulated for some seasonal periods. The power and size of the test statistics are examined for finite samples through a Monte Carlo simulation and Compared with those of the Lagrange multiplier test.

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Analysis of the Mixing Conditions by Domestic Ready-Mixed Concrete Rage Sphere (국내 레미콘의 권역별 배합특성에 관한 분석 - 경기 및 경상권역을 중심으로 -)

  • Seo, Hwi-Wan;Kim, Young-Il;Kang, Ghang-Un;Han, Cheon-Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.131-132
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    • 2011
  • This study analyzes the yearly-best delivered size range of truck mixer based on the specified mix, Water to Binder Ratio, aggregate proportion and unit amount with statistical method targeting on Kyeongi and Kyeongsang province and compares with the similar materials of Japan to propose as a basic standard for the quality control of mixer truck. As a result, in case of the Water to Binder Ratio of these areas, it is higher than Japan's due to the excessive safety rate reflecting the changes of differential value impact and unit amount, and the unit amount's standard deviation is very large by reflecting the changes of the amount used and chemical admixture susceptibility. In case of aggregate proportion, the frequency rate is about 50%, which is very similar value with Japan's one.

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Item Response Analysis on Items Related to Statistical Unit in the National Academic Aptitude Test -Empirical Study for Jellabuk-do Preliminary Testee- (대학수학능력시험의 통계단원 문제에 대한 문항반응분석 - 전북지역 예비 수험생을 대상으로 한 탐색연구 -)

  • Choi, Kyoung-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.327-335
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    • 2010
  • Item response theory provides a fixed results about students, regardless of the item difficulty and discrimina-tion and it is also a kind of item analysis methods which provides the same proper competence scores to students in spite of them taking different test repeatedly. In this paper, we researched item difficulty and item discrimina-tion and analyzed items in the national academic aptitude test which were given from 2000 to 2009 in the past 10 years through item response theory, especially, in connection with given items about statistical unit. As a result, we found that about 60 percents of the items were too difficult for high school students to solve, however, item discrimination proved to be great.

Some Tsets for Variance Changes in Time Series with a Unit Root

  • Park, Young-J.;Cho, Sin-Sup
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 1997
  • For the detection on variance changes in the nonstationary time series with a unit root two types of test statistics are proposed, of which one is based on the cumulative sum of squares and the other is based on the likelihood ratio test. The properties of the cusum type test statistic are derived and the performance of two tests in small samples are compared through Monte Carlo study. It is ovserved that the test based on the cumulative sum of squares can detect a samll change in the variance faster than the one based on the likelihood ratio.

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Robust extreme quantile estimation for Pareto-type tails through an exponential regression model

  • Richard Minkah;Tertius de Wet;Abhik Ghosh;Haitham M. Yousof
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.531-550
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    • 2023
  • The estimation of extreme quantiles is one of the main objectives of statistics of extremes (which deals with the estimation of rare events). In this paper, a robust estimator of extreme quantile of a heavy-tailed distribution is considered. The estimator is obtained through the minimum density power divergence criterion on an exponential regression model. The proposed estimator was compared with two estimators of extreme quantiles in the literature in a simulation study. The results show that the proposed estimator is stable to the choice of the number of top order statistics and show lesser bias and mean square error compared to the existing extreme quantile estimators. Practical application of the proposed estimator is illustrated with data from the pedochemical and insurance industries.

Unit Commitment for an Uncertain Daily Load Profile (불확실한 부하곡선에 대한 발전기 기동정지계획)

  • 박정도;박상배
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.334-339
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    • 2004
  • In this study, a new UC (Unit Commitment) algorithm is proposed to consider the uncertainty of a daily load profile. The proposed algorithm calculates the UC results with the lower load level than the one generated by the conventional load forecast and the more hourly reserve allocation. In case of the worse load forecast, the deviation of the conventional UC solution can be overcome with the proposed method. The proposed method is tested with sample systems, which shows that the new UC algorithm yields completely feasible solution even though the worse load forecast is applied. Also, the effects of the uncertain hourly load demand are statistically analyzed especially by the consideration of the average over generation and the average under generation. Finally, it is shown that independent power producers participating in electricity spot-markets can establish bidding strategies by means of the statistical analysis. Therefore, it is expected that the proposed method can be used as the basic guideline for establishing bidding strategies under the deregulation power pool.

Unit Commitment for an Uncertain Daily Load Profile

  • Park Jeong-Do
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • v.5A no.1
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    • pp.16-21
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    • 2005
  • In this study, a new Unit Commitment (UC) algorithm is proposed to consider the uncertainty of a daily load profile. The proposed algorithm calculates the UC results with a lower load level than that generated by the conventional load forecast method and the greater hourly reserve allocation. In case of the worst load forecast, the deviation of the conventional UC solution can be overcome with the proposed method. The proposed method is tested with sample systems, which indicates that the new UC algorithm yields a completely feasible solution even when the worst load forecast is applied. Also, the effects of the uncertain hourly load demand are statistically analyzed, particularly by the consideration of the average over generation and the average under generation. Finally, it is shown that independent power producers participating in electricity spot-markets can establish bidding strategies by means of the statistical analysis. Therefore, it is expected that the proposed method can be used as the basic guideline for establishing bidding strategies under the deregulation power pool.

Optimized Chinese Pronunciation Prediction by Component-Based Statistical Machine Translation

  • Zhu, Shunle
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2021
  • To eliminate ambiguities in the existing methods to simplify Chinese pronunciation learning, we propose a model that can predict the pronunciation of Chinese characters automatically. The proposed model relies on a statistical machine translation (SMT) framework. In particular, we consider the components of Chinese characters as the basic unit and consider the pronunciation prediction as a machine translation procedure (the component sequence as a source sentence, the pronunciation, pinyin, as a target sentence). In addition to traditional features such as the bidirectional word translation and the n-gram language model, we also implement a component similarity feature to overcome some typos during practical use. We incorporate these features into a log-linear model. The experimental results show that our approach significantly outperforms other baseline models.

An Analysis of the Concepts that Should be Taught to Achieve Class Objectives of Genetics Unit in Biology

  • Lim, Soo-Min;Kim, Jeong-A;Sonn, Jong-Kyung;Jeong, Jae-Hoon;Kim, Young-Shin;Song, Ha-Young
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.767-782
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    • 2009
  • The researchers who are studying biology and teachers who are teaching biology think that the genetics-related concepts are highly significant than other concepts in biology. With such background, researches on the identification of major concepts have been under way to guide in biology class. Minimal research has been carried out, however, on what concepts should be taught to achieve the specific objectives of the class in relation to the unit of genetics in middle and high school. Accordingly this study was designed to determine the concepts of genetics that should be taught to achieve the objectives of the genetics unit in secondary school. For this purpose 5 instructional objectives of the genetics unit on the 9th grade and 4 instructional objectives of Biology I were selected and the concepts that were taught to achieve class objectives. The survey was conducted among 114 science teachers from middle schools and 85 biology teachers from high schools. The results indicated that 9.1 and 10.2 concepts on average were taught in the 9th grade and in Biology I respectively. Moreover statistical difference in the number of concepts that were taught according to the teachers' teaching experiences appeared among the middle school teachers (p<.05). But such statistical difference did not appear among the high school teachers (p>.05). Furthermore the concepts for the 9th grade consist of the basic genetics concepts although Biology I concepts were integrated and advanced contents for same concepts. Thus this finding suggests that concepts of genetics units to be taught in middle and high school were in linkage.

Statistical Errors of Articles Published in the Journal of Oriental Rehabilitation Medicine(I) (한방재활의학과학회지의 통계적 오류에 관한 고찰(I))

  • Park, Tae-Yong;Heo, Tae-Young;Shin, Byung-Cheul
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.105-130
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    • 2010
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to assess the statistical methods errors used in the journal of Oriental Rehabilitation Medicine(JORM) and to identify the types of errors in statistical analysis. Methods : We reviewed quantitative articles that were published in the JORM from January 2005 through October 2009. Those were not used by statistical analysis such as literature studies, case study, review articles were not included in this analysis. A total of 296 articles was reviewed. We evaluated the adequacy and the validity of the statistical techniques with our checklist established be modified Lee's checklist, and three statistical evaluators assessed together to minimize bias. Results : Of the 222 articles, 213 were used in inferential and descriptive statistics. Of those 80% of articles adopting descriptive and inferential statistics were detected having statistical errors. One articles used 1.7 statistical method unit generally. Most frequently employed statistics were student t-test, one way ANOVA. pearson correlation analysis, Mann-whitney U test, paired t-test, and chi-square test in their order. However, most frequent statistics having errors were similar in order. The most common statistic errors were as follow: 1. absence of normality test, 2. misuse between paired test and unpaired test, 3. wrong choice of repeated measures analysis without consideration of time variables, 4, increase of Type I error by using inappropriate multiple test, 5. inappropriate application of discrete or categorical data instead of continuous data in correlation analysis, 6. poor consideration of basic consumption in chi-square test, 7. confusion between frequency comparison and average comparison, 8. mentioning the statistical technique without using it. Conclusions : We found various mistake or misuses in the applications of statistical methodologies in the articles published in the JORM. Careful consideration of statistical use and review from the specialist of statistics are warranted for improving the quality of JORM.