• Title/Summary/Keyword: Autocorrelated process

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Robust CUSUM chart for Autocorrelated Process (자기상관을 갖는 공정의 로버스트 누적합관리도)

  • 이정형;전태윤;조신섭
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.123-142
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    • 1999
  • Conventional SPC assumes that observations are independent. Often in industrial practice, however, observations are not independent. A common approach to building control charts for autocorrelated data is to apply conventional SPC to the residuals from a time series model of the process or is to apply conventional SPC to the weighted or unweighted subgroup means. In this paper, we propose a robust CUSUM control scheme for the detection of level change, without model identification or subgrouping of autocorrelated data. The proposed CUSUM chart and other conventional control charts are compared by a Monte Carlo simulation. It is shown that the proposed CUSUM chart is more effective than conventional CUSUM chart when the process is autocorrelated.

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Multivariate Control Charts for Autocorrelated Process

  • Cho, Gyo-Young;Park, Mi-Ra
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.289-301
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we propose Shewhart control chart and EWMA control chart using the autocorrelated data which are common in chemical and process industries and lead to increase the number of false alarms when conventional control charts are applied. The effect of autocorrelated data is modeled as a autoregressive process, and canonical analysis is used to reduce the dimensionality of the data set and find the canonical variables that explain as much of the data variation as possible. Charting statistics are constructed based on the residual vectors from the canonical variables which are uncorrelated over time, and the control charts for these statistics can attenuate the autocorrelation in the process data. The charting procedures are illustrated with a numerical example and simulation is conducted to investigate the performances of the proposed control charts.

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Multivariate Control Chart for Autocorrelated Process (자기상관자료를 갖는 공정을 위한 다변량 관리도)

  • Nam, Gook-Hyun;Chang, Young-Soon;Bai, Do-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.289-296
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposes multivariate control chart for autocorrelated data which are common in chemical and process industries and lead to increase in the number of false alarms when conventional control charts are applied. The effect of autocorrelated data is modeled as a vector autoregressive process, and canonical analysis is used to reduce the dimensionality of the data set and find the canonical variables that explain as much of the data variation as possible. Charting statistics are constructed based on the residual vectors from the canonical variables which are uncorrelated over time, and therefore the control charts for these statistics can attenuate the autocorrelation in the process data. The charting procedures are illustrated with a numerical example and Monte Carlo simulation is conducted to investigate the performances of the proposed control charts.

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A Study on the Autocorrelation function for Markov Modulated Gaussian Process (마코프 조정 가우시안과정의 자기상관함수에 관한 연구)

  • 이혜연;장중순;신용백
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2002
  • Most of process data control have been designed under the assumption that there are independence between observed data. However, it has been difficult to apply the traditional method to realtime data because they are autocorrelated, and they are not normally distributed. And the more, they have fluctuating means. Already the control method for these data was proposed by Markov Modulated Gaussian Process. Therefore, this study take into account MMGP's traits especially for the MMGP's autocorrelation.

Effects of Parameter Estimation in Phase I on Phase II Control Limits for Monitoring Autocorrelated Data (자기상관 데이터 모니터링에서 일단계 모수 추정이 이단계 관리한계선에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Lee, Sungim
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.1025-1034
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    • 2015
  • Traditional Shewhart control charts assume that the observations are independent over time. Current progress in measurement and data collection technology lead to the presence of autocorrelated process data that may affect poor performance in statistical process control. One of the most popular charts for autocorrelated data is to model a correlative structure with an appropriate time series model and apply control chart to the sequence of residuals. Model parameters are estimated by an in-control Phase I reference sample since they are usually unknown in practice. This paper deals with the effects of parameter estimation on Phase II control limits to monitor autocorrelated data.

Performance and Robustness of Control Charting Methods for Autocorrelated Data

  • Chin, Chang-Ho;Apley, Daniel W.
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.122-139
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    • 2008
  • With the proliferation of in-process measurement technology, autocorrelated data are increasingly common in industrial SPC applications. A number of high performance control charting techniques that take into account the specific characteristics of the autocorrelation through time series modeling have been proposed over the past decade. We present a survey of such methods and analyze and compare their performances for a range of typical autocorrelated process models. One practical concern with these methods is that their performances are often strongly affected by errors in the time series models used to represent the autocorrelation. We also provide some analytical results comparing the robustness of the various methods with respect to time series modeling errors.

A Comparative Analysis on the Efficiency of Monitoring between EWMA and Shewhart Chart in Instrumental Process with Autocorrelation (자기상관이 있는 장치 공정에서 EWMA와 Shewhart 관리도와의 모니터링 효율성 비교 분석)

  • Cho, Jin-Hyung;Oh, Hyun-Seung;Lee, Sae-Jae;Jung, Su-Il;Lim, Taek;Baek, Seong-Seon;Kim, Byung-Keug
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.118-125
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    • 2012
  • When monitoring an instrumental process, one often collects a host of data such as characteristic signals sent by a sensor in short time intervals. Characteristic data of short time intervals tend to be autocorrelated. In the instrumental processes often the practice of adjusting the setting value simply based on the previous one, so-called 'adjacent point operation', becomes more critical, since in the short run the deviations are harder to detect and in the long run they have amplified consequences. Stochastic modelling using ARIMA or AR models are not readily usable here. Due to the difficulty of dealing with autocorrelated data conventional practice is resorting to choosing the time interval where autocorrelation is weak enough then to using I-MR control chart to judge the process stability. In the autocorrelated instrumental processes it appears that using the Shewhart chart and the time interval data where autocorrelation is relatively not existent turns out to be a rather convenient and very useful practice to determine the process stability. However in the autocorrelated instrumental processes we intend to show that one would presumably do better using the EWMA control chart rather than just using the Shewhart chart along with some arbitrarily intervalled data, since the former is more sensitive to shifts given appropriate weights.

Estimation of the Change Point in Monitoring the Mean of Autocorrelated Processes

  • Lee, Jae-Heon;Han, Jung-Hee;Jung, Sang-Hyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2007
  • Knowing the time of the process change could lead to quicker identification of the responsible special cause and less process down time, and it could help to reduce the probability of incorrectly identifying the special cause. In this paper, we propose the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the process change point when a control chart is used in monitoring the mean of a process in which the observations can be modeled as an AR(1) process plus an additional random error. The performance of the proposed MLE is compared to the performance of the built-in estimator when they are used in EWMA charts based on the residuals. The results show that the proposed MLE provides good performance in terms of both accuracy and precision of the estimator.

Multioutput LS-SVR based residual MCUSUM control chart for autocorrelated process

  • Hwang, Changha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.523-530
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    • 2016
  • Most classical control charts assume that processes are serially independent, and autocorrelation among variables makes them unreliable. To address this issue, a variety of statistical approaches has been employed to estimate the serial structure of the process. In this paper, we propose a multioutput least squares support vector regression and apply it to construct a residual multivariate cumulative sum control chart for detecting changes in the process mean vector. Numerical studies demonstrate that the proposed multioutput least squares support vector regression based control chart provides more satisfying results in detecting small shifts in the process mean vector.