• 제목/요약/키워드: Asia-Pacific stock market

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주식분할과 투자자 매매행태 (Stock Splits and Trading Behavior of Investors)

  • 박진우;이민교
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.317-332
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study examines the information effect and trading behavior of investors for the 430 stock split data from January 2004 to June 2018 in the Korean stock market. Design/methodology/approach - The stock split samples are classified into two groups by split ratio as well as three groups by price level prior to split. We also investigate the trading behavior of investors categorized by institutional versus individual investors. Findings - First, we find a significantly positive information effect on the announcement day. In particular, the information effect is more distinct in the group of larger split ratio and higher price level of stocks. Second, we find a huge increase in turnover following the stock splits, which mainly results from the trading by individual investors. Also, the increase in turnover by individual investors is evident in the group of larger split ratio and higher price level of stocks. Third, the stock splits have a negative impact on the long-term stock performance. The negative buy-and-hold abnormal return(BHAR) makes no difference in the groups by split ratio as well as price level of stocks. Lastly, we find individual investors tend to buy splitted stocks, which exhibit the long-term under-performance. Research implications or Originality - The results in this paper suggest that the liquidity hypothesis is not supported in the Korean stock splits. In addition, we observe that individual investors are exposed to losses due to their unfavorable trading behavior following the stock split.

이익 변동성이 현재 주가의 미래 이익 기대에 대한 정보성에 미치는 영향: 미국기업을 중심으로 (The effect of earnings volatility on current stock price informativeness about expectations of future earnings)

  • 조중석
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.109-121
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This study investigates how earnings volatility influences current stock price informativeness about expectations of future earnings. Design/methodology/approach - I adopt the FERC model developed by Collins et al. (1994) and modified by Lundholm and Myers (2002) to investigate the connection between earnings volatility and future earnings reflected in current returns. I define five-year rolling standard deviations of earnings and components as earnings volatility measures and the degree of deviation of earnings from cash flows over the same five-year, which is developed by Jayaraman (2008). Finding - My results show that earnings volatility delays current stock price response to future operation expectations. They also verify that as earnings are more divergent from cash flows, current returns are less timely incorporating value-relevant future operation. Research implications or Originality This study shows that when volatile earnings deliver obscure and unreliable information about future operation expectations, they cause the market to be conflicting in understandings their implications and make it difficult in attaining correct future cashflow estimates.

스타트업과 벤처기업의 우수인력유치 위한 주식연계형 보상방안연구: 양도제한조건부주식(RSU) 도입 중심으로 (A Study for New Equity Compensation Alternative for Startups and Venture to Solid Staffing and Team Building in Korea: Focusing on Restricted Stock Units)

  • 황보윤;양영석
    • 벤처창업연구
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2023
  • 최근 스타트업과 벤처기업의 임직원이 기업 상장 후 적법한 절차에 따라 스톡옵션 행사를 하였지만, 상장 후 일시 매도로 주식시장의 주가에 악영향을 미치며 일반투자자 피해가 발생하는 등 도덕적 해이 논란이 촉발되었다. 이에 정부 당국은 스톡옵션 즉 주식매수선택권 제도에 대해 의무 보호 대상에 포함시키는 규제를 진행함에 따라 더 이상 스톡옵션이 스타트업과 벤처기업의 우수 인력확보 수단이 되기 어렵다는 논란이 제기되고 있다. 본 논문은 우수한 인력확보가 절실한 초기스타트업들에게 양도제한조건부주식(Restricted Stock Unit, 이하 RSU)제도 도입방안을 제시함으로써 주식매수선택권 제도(Stock Option, 이하 스톡옵션)의 문제점을 극복하는 돌파구를 제시하는 것이 목적이다. 이를 위해, 본 논문에서는 첫째, RSU의 국내 도입현황과 이의 개념을 제한조건부주식(Restricted Stock, 이하 RS)과 비교논의를 통해 제시하였다. 또한 RSU와 기존 스톡옵션제도의 특징을 비교설명하였다. 둘째, 탐색적 연구를 통해 RSU의 단점과 한계점을 설명하고 그 한계점을 극복하며 국내 스타트업과 벤처기업들이 이를 효과적으로 도입하는 방안을 제시하였다. 셋째 국내 관련 정책입안 과정에 참여하고 있는 법률전문가들을 대상으로 FGI를 실시하여 RSU 도입이 기존 스톡옵션제도의 문제점을 보완하며 스타트업 벤처 금융제도의 대안으로 안착할수 있는 방안에 대한 실증연구를 실시하였다. 넷째, 탐색적 연구와 실증연구를 토대로 스타트업 벤처금융 대안으로 RSU 도입 및 뿌리내림 위한 정책 방안들을 제안하였다. 이를 통해, 본 논문은 RSU가 기본 스톡옵션제도에 주어지는 도덕적 해이 논란을 벗어나, 스타트업의 새로운 주식연계형 보상 대안 역할을 할 수 있도록 하는 정책수립을 위한 이론적 기반을 제공하였다.

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아시아-태평양지역 국가들의 상호의존성 (Interdependence of the Asia-Pacific Emerging Equity Markets)

  • 문규현;홍정효
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.151-180
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구는 1995년 10월 4일부터 2000년 3월 31일까지(약 4년 6개월)의 미국, 일본, 영국, 싱가포르, 홍콩, 말레이시아, 한국의 주요 주가지수를 대상으로 상호의존성에 대한 연구를 실시하였다. 분석방법은 다양한 동태적인 금융시계열(time series) 분석방법들을 이용하였으며 주요 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 기초통계량분석에서 각 분석 국가들의 수익률의 변동성은 IMF 관리체제를 겪으면서 커졌으며, 각 지수들간의 장기균형관계를 보여주는 공적분검정은 전체분석기간 및 IMF 관리체제 전 후기간에도 통계적으로 유의하게 존재하지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 포트폴리오 이론에 근거하여, 분산투자로 인한 초과수익률(자산가격변동 위험축소)의 달성가능성을 보여 준다. 둘째, 실증분석에서 미국에 대한 다른 분석 국가들의 의존현상이 월등히 강하게 나타났으나, 미국 다음의 자본시장을 가진 일본에 대한 의존현상은 거의 나타나지 않았다. 셋째, 동일지역 국가인 동남아시아 국가들간의 상호의존성에 관해서는 특히 홍콩에 대한 싱가포르의 의존현상이 두드러지게 나타났다. 넷째, 한국의 주식시장도 동남아시아 지역 국가들인 싱가포르, 홍콩 및 말레이시아의 주식시장의 가격발견에 다소 도움을 주고받는 것으로 나타났다. 마지막으로 1997년의 IMF 관리체제를 전 후한 상호의존성에 관한 연구에서는 일관된 분석 결과를 보여주지 못했다.

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팬데믹 선언이 언택트 기업의 기업가치에 미치는 영향: 투자자 마니아 가설을 중심으로 (Does the Pandemic Declaration influence the Firm Value of the Untact Firms?)

  • 박수규;조진형
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.247-262
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of the Pandamic Declaration on 'untact firms' listed in KOSPI and KOSDAQ market in order to verify Investor Mania Hypothesis. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected financial data for 44 untact firms in KOSPI and KOSDAQ market. Then, we employed ESM(Event Study Methodology), EGARCH model and DID(Difference-In-Difference) for analysis. Findings - First, in contrast with the benchmarking index, KOSPI 200 which shows a negative (-) abnormal return trend, the untact firms have positive abnormal return trend consistently. Second, after the Pandemic Declaration, the variability of abnormal return for the untact firms is found to be significantly positive. Third, we find that the cumulative abnormal return and volatility of the untact firms significantly increase after the Pandemic Declaration. Research implications or Originality - Based on the Investor Mania Hypothesis, we confirm that the market potential of untact firms after the Pandemic Declaration is observed when compared with the KOSPI 200.

민영화를 위한 중국 국유기업 신규상장이 투자자의 장단기 주가 수익률에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Privatization of State-Owned Enterprises on IPO Firms' Initial and Long-term Returns)

  • 김성환;리신위;리우용샹
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.97-114
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of privatization of Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) on their initial returns and long-term performance after initial public offering(IPO). Design/methodology/approach - This study used 1,599 Chinese IPO firms, some of which were SOEs. The multivariate regression analyses were implemented to analyze their effects. Findings - First, the privatization of SOEs does not have any statistically significant effect on the initial return of IPO firms. Second, the shareholdings of government prior to IPOs for both privatizing of SOEs and non-privatizing firms and for both exchanges of Shanghai and Shenzhen have a statistically significant positive effect on the initial return of IPO firms. Third, the privatization of SOEs has statistically significant negative effect on the long-term returns of IPO firms. Fourth, the state-shareholdings prior to IPOs have statistically significant negative effects on the long-term return of IPO firms. Fifth, the state-shareholdings of the privatizing SOEs prior to IPOs have statistically significant positive effects on the long-term return of IPO firms. Research implications or Originality - The results imply that the higher shareholdings and ownership of the Chinese government on SOEs reduce the information asymmetry for the investors of IPO shares or maybe due to inefficiency of SOEs prior to IPOs lead to lower offer prices or higher opening prices leading to severe underpricing and relatively lower stock market returns in the long-run both for the privatizing firms and for the higher state-shareholding firms, while both factors interactively improve their long-term stock market returns.

우선주-보통주 괴리율이 우선주 수익률 및 종가에 미치는 영향: 동태적 패널 분석 (The Effects of the Price Difference Ratios between Preferred and Common Stocks on Preferred Stocks: Evidence from Dynamic Panel Models)

  • 최수정
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.207-222
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - This study investigates whether the lagged price difference ratio between preferred and common stocks is related to the return and closing price of the preferred stock using three panel models. Design/methodology/approach - As a first step, we use a two-way fixed effect panel model with stationary preferred stock returns as a dependent variable. For robustness, we then apply the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) and error correction model (ECM) with nonstationary closing prices of the preferred stocks as a dependent variable and compare the results of each model. The ARDL and ECM models provide an advantage of estimating a long-run equilibrium equation together if a long-run relationship exists between the two time-series variables compared to the fixed effect model. Findings - Our sample consists of 107 preferred stocks with at least four years of daily observations as of the end of December 2023. The coefficients of the error correction terms in the ARDL and ECM models are highly statistically significant, approximately -0.08. This indicates that the disequilibrium between the closing prices of common and preferred stocks adjusts by about 8% per day toward equilibrium. In all three models, the price difference ratio on day t-1 was statistically significant in explaining the preferred stock returns or closing prices on day t, implying that trading based on the previous day's price difference ratio is effective for one day. Research implications or Originality - Furthermore, the returns on preferred stocks are higher for firms with a lower proportion of foreign investors or a lower foreign market capitalization of preferred stocks. This suggests that foreign investors with informational advantages do not actively engage in profit-taking by trading preferred stocks, thus not narrowing the price difference. In summary, the recent surge in preferred stock prices is likely driven mainly by the irrational behavior of retail investors.

Risk Characteristic on Fat-tails of Return Distribution: An Evidence of the Korean Stock Market

  • Eom, Cheoljun
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study empirically investigates whether the risk property included in fat-tails of return distributions is systematic or unsystematic based on the devised statistical methods. Design/methodology/approach - This study devised empirical designs based on two traditional methods: principal component analysis (PCA) and the testing method of portfolio diversification effect. The fatness of the tails in return distributions is quantitatively measured by statistical probability. Findings - According to the results, the risk property in the fat-tails of return distributions has the economic meanings of eigenvalues having a value greater than 1 through PCA, and also systematic risk that cannot be removed through portfolio diversification. In other words, the fat-tails of return distributions have the properties of the common factors, which may explain the changes of stock returns. Meanwhile, the fatness of the tails in the portfolio return distributions shows the asymmetric relationship of common factors on the tails of return distributions. The negative tail in the portfolio return distribution has a much closer relation with the property of common factors, compared to the positive tail. Research implications or Originality - This empirical evidence may complement the existing studies related to tail risk which is utilized in pricing models as a common factor.

거래량이 복권특성 종목의 기대수익률에 미치는 영향 (Trading Volume and Overpricing of Lottery-type Stocks)

  • 전용호
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.113-129
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine whether trading volume amplifies the extent to which lottery-type stocks are overpriced, and whether economic sentiment index explains time-variation in the magnitude of the volume amplification effect. Design/methodology/approach - We examine monthly returns on 5x5 monthly bivariate portfolios formed by lottery characteristics (measured by maximum daily return) and trading volume. In addition, we perform time-series regression tests to examine how the volume amplification effect changes in high and low economic sentiment periods, after controlling for Fama-French three factors. Findings - Our bivariate portfolio analysis shows that the overpricing of lottery-type stocks are mostly pronounced among high trading volume stocks. In contrast, for low trading volume stocks, overpricing of lottery-type stocks appears to vanish. Furthermore, the amplification effect of trading volume on overpricing of lottery-type stock is concentrated in high economic sentiment periods. Research implications or Originality - This study is the first attempt to examine whether trading volume drives lottery-type stocks' overpricing in the Korean stock market. Furthermore, our analysis unveils the time-varying nature of volume amplification effect. The results suggest that trading volume might play a important hidden role in asset pricing, opening a new line of researches in the future.

기업의 기술혁신과 사회적 책임활동이 기업가치에 미치는 영향 (Firm Technological Innovation, CSR Initiatives, and Corporate Value)

  • 맹납매;변혜영
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.181-205
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - This study aims to examine the direct impact of corporate social responsibility initiatives on firm technological innovation and the moderating effect on the relationship between firm technological innovation and corporate value. Design/methodology/approach - This study collected 13,298 firm-year data by selecting A-share companies listed on the China Shenzhen Stock Exchange and Shanghai Stock Exchange from 2010-2017. This study runs the multivariate regression using random effect generalized least squares (GLS) regression model. Findings - The research results of this study are as follows. First, corporate social responsibility initiatives do not increase the firm technological innovation, but rather reduce it. Second, firm technological innovation generally improves corporate value, whether it is book value or market value. Third, corporate social responsibility initiatives reduce the positive influence of firm technological innovation on corporate value. Research implications or Originality - There may be discussions on whether Chinese patent application data is a good indicator of the innovation of Chinese companies, but previous studies prove that the number of patent applications has a significant correlation with R&D expenditures or financial performance. However, there is a clear limitation in that it is not possible to confirm the result of registration after a patent application, but it is expected that such limitations can be overcome by using patent registration information or detailed citation documents in the future.