• Title/Summary/Keyword: Arrival

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Development of destination arrival time prediction system for bus that applied smart-phone based real-time traffic information (스마트폰 기반 실시간 교통정보를 반영한 버스의 목적지 도착 시간 예측 시스템 개발)

  • Wang, Jong Soo;Kim, Dae Young
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2013
  • While there are many services that can check current traffic condition and application program such as bus arrival alarm are developed, since it only provide simple alarm and check level of information, it is still insufficient in many senses. Therefore, the program that try to develop in this study is the system that predict arrival time to destination and inform the bus passengers by applying real time traffic information. The system developed related to this study is still very inadequate. In the system developed in this thesis, when the user input the current bus number and destination using smart-phone, relevant server acquire the bus route information from bus information DB, and analyze real time traffic information based on the information from traffic information DB, and inform customer of expected arrival time to destination. In this thesis, traffic congestion can be eased off and regular operation of public transportation can be improved with reliable destination arrival alarm. Also, it is considered that pattern of bus users can be analyzed by using these information, and analyzing average transport speed and time of public transportation, travel time depending on various situation can give a boost to study related to transportation information and its development.

Correlation between temperature and the timing of arrival of geese in South Korea

  • Kim, Min-kyung;Lee, Sang-im;Jablonski, Piotr G.;Lee, Sang-Don
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.285-291
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    • 2018
  • The impact of climate change on animals has been globally documented. Especially, migration of birds has been extensively monitored as migratory birds are susceptible to any changes occurring both on breeding grounds and on wintering grounds. However, in contrast to spring migration, the patterns and the factors for autumn migration have not been well documented. In this study, we investigated the relationship with climate condition and the first arrival dates (FADs) of bean geese (Anser fabalis) and white-fronted geese (A. albifrons), the representative group of wintering birds in South Korea, using the data collected by Korean Meteorological Association during 1995-2016. Average temperature of September in wintering grounds has increased, and the FADs of the geese have advanced over the 22 years. Even when the influence of autumn temperature was statistically controlled for, the FADs of the geese have significantly advanced. This suggests that warming has hastened the completion of breeding, which speeded up the arrival of the geese at the wintering grounds. In order to assess the effect of climate condition on the arrival of the wintering migratory birds such as the geese in more detail, extensive data collection over many sampling sites and with long-term monitoring is needed.

A Macro Analysis of Tourist Arrival in Nepal

  • PAUDEL, Tulsi;DHAKAL, Thakur;LI, Wen Ya;KIM, Yeong Gug
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2021
  • The number of tourists visiting Nepal has shown rapid growth in recent years, and Nepal is expecting more tourist arrivals in the future. This paper, thus, attempts to analyze the tourist arrivals in Nepal and predict the number of visitors until 2025. This paper has examined the international tourist arrival trend in Nepal using the Gompertz and Logistic growth model. The international tourist arrival data from 1991 to 2018 is used to investigate international tourist arrival trends. The result of the analysis found that the Gompertz model performs a better fit than the Logistic model. The study further forecast the expected tourist arrival below one million (844,319) by 2025. Nevertheless, the government of Nepal has the goal of two million tourists in a year. The present study also discusses system dynamics scenarios for the two million potential visitors within a year. Scenario analysis shows that proper advertisement and positive word-of-mouth will be key factors in achieving a higher number of tourists. The current study could fill the gap of theoretical and empirical forecasting of tourist arrivals in the Nepalese tourism industry. Also, the study findings would be beneficial for government officers, planners and investors, and policy-makers in the Nepalese tourism industry.

ANALYSIS OF DYNAMIC PRIORITY QUEUE WITH APPLICATIONS IN ATM NETWORKS

  • Choi, Doo-Il;Lee, Yu-Tae
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.617-627
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    • 2000
  • ATM networks support diverse traffic types with different service requirement such as data, voice, video and image. This paper analyzes a dynamic priority queue to satisfy Quality of Service (QoS) requirements of traffic. to consider the burstiness of traffic, we assume the arrival to be a Markovian arrival process(MAP) . Performance measures such as loss and delay are derived, Finally, some numerical results show the performance of the system.

Transient diffusion approximation for $M/G/m/N$ queue with state dependent arrival rates

  • Shin, Yang-Woo
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.715-733
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    • 1995
  • We present a transient queue size distribution for $M/G/m/N$ queue with state dependent arrival rates, using the diffusion process with piecewise constant diffusion parameters, with state space [0, N] and elementary return boundaries at x = 0 and x = N. The model considered here contains not only many basic model but the practical models such as as two-node cyclic queue, repairmen model and overload control in communication system with finite storage buffer. For the accuracy check, we compare the approximation results with the exact and simulation results.

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An Arrival Time Approach to Discrete-Time Queues (도착시점 방법에 의한 이산시간 대기행렬의 분석)

  • 김남기;채경철
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2001
  • We demonstrate that the arrival time approach of Chae et al. [4], originally proposed for continuous-time queues, is also useful for discrete-time queues. The approach serves as a simple alternative to finding the probability generating functions of the queue lengths for a variety of discrete-time single-server queues with bulk arrivals and bulk services.

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MAP/G/1/K QUEUE WITH MULTIPLE THRESHOLDS ON BUFFER

  • Choi, Doo-Il
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.611-625
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    • 1999
  • We consider ΜΑΡ/G/ 1 finite capacity queue with mul-tiple thresholds on buffer. The arrival of customers follows a Markov-ian arrival process(MAP). The service time of a customer depends on the queue length at service initiation of the customer. By using the embeded Markov chain method and the supplementary variable method, we obtain the queue length distribution ar departure epochs and at arbitrary epochs. This gives the loss probability and the mean waiting time by Little's law. We also give a simple numerical examples to apply the overload control in packetized networks.

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An Analysis of the Behavior of Correlated Arrival Queues

  • Hur, Sun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 1996
  • In this research, we concentrate on the effects of dependencies in arrival processes on queueing measures. In particular, we use a specific form of arrival process which has the advantage of allowing us to change dependency properties without at the same time changing one dimensional distributional conditions. It is shown that the mean queue length can be made arbitrarily large with the same interarrival distributions and the same service time distributions with fixed smaller than one traffic intensity.

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ANALYSIS OF A QUEUEING SYSTEM WITH OVERLOAD CONTROL BY ARRIVAL RATES

  • CHOI DOO IL
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.18 no.1_2
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    • pp.455-464
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we analyze a queueing system with overload control by arrival rates. This paper is motivated by overload control to prevent congestion in telecommunication networks. The arrivals occur dependent upon queue length. In other words, if the queue length increases, the arrivals may be reduced. By considering the burstiness of traffics in telecommunication networks, we assume the arrival to be a Markov-modulated Poisson process. The analysis by the embedded Markov chain method gives to us the performance measures such as loss and delay. The effect of performance measures on system parameters also is given throughout the numerical examples.

POISSON ARRIVAL QUEUE WITH ALTERNATING SERVICE RATES

  • KIM JONGWOO;LEE EUI YONG;LEE HO WOO
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2005
  • We adopt the P/sub λ, T//sup M/ policy of dam to introduce a service policy with alternating service rates for a Poisson arrival queue, in which the service rate alternates depending on the number of customers in the system. The stationary distribution of the number of customers in the system is derived and, after operating costs being assigned to the system, the optimization of the policy is studied.