• Title/Summary/Keyword: Analyst Report

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Do Analyst Practices and Broker Resources Affect Target Price Accuracy? An Empirical Study on Sell Side Research in an Emerging Market

  • Sayed, Samie Ahmed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2014
  • This paper attempts to measure the impact of non-financial factors including analyst practices and broker resources on performance of sell side research. Results reveal that these non-financial factors have a measurable impact on performance of target price forecasts. Number of pages written by an analyst (surrogate for analyst practice) is significantly and directly linked with target price accuracy indicating a more elaborate analyst produces better target price forecasts. Analyst compensation (surrogate for broker resource) is significantly and inversely linked with target price accuracy. Out performance by analysts working with lower paying firms is possibly associated with motivation to migrate to higher paying broking firms. The study finds that employing more number of analysts per research report has no significant impact on target price accuracy -negative coefficient indicates that team work may not result in better target price forecasts. Though insignificant, long term forecast horizon negatively affects target price accuracy while stock volatility improves target price accuracy.

How the Title of Investment Strategy Report Affects Stock Price Forecast: Using Text Mining Method (투자전략 보고서의 제목이 주가 예측에 미치는 영향: 텍스트마이닝 중심으로)

  • Jang, Joon-Kyu;Lee, Kyu Hyun;Lee, Zoonky
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2016
  • There are various investment strategy reports available online, prepared by many financial analysts. If the correlation between the title of the report and analyst forecast can be found, we can tell from the title whether analyst' forecast will be reliable or not. The objective of this study is to see the correlation between the title of analyst investment strategy report and the actual result of forecast by using the Text Mining technique. The result of actual analysis showed that "strong buy and sell call" appeared in the title lead the higher accuracy of analyst forecast and fulfillment ratio. The results that potential investors can get better information by reading the title of the analyst report. We hope that this study could be the basis for new methodologies in this area.

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Development of a GIS Model for Projecting Eco-Friendly Forest Roads (GIS를 이용(利用)한 환경친화적(環境親和的) 임도(林道) 노선(路線) 선정(選定) 프로그램의 개발(開發))

  • Lee, Byungdoo;Chung, Joosang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.89 no.3
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    • pp.431-439
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    • 2000
  • In this study, a GIS-application model to determine the optimal route of eco-friendly forest roads and to evaluate the environmental and engineering features of the route was developed. The model consists of five modules for managing spatial and attribute data, determining the optimal route for forest road projection, evaluating environmental and engineering efficiency of forest roads, analyzing characteristics of mountain terrains and report-writing. Using the pull-down menu system, these modules were integrated to be user-friendly for forest field practitioners. Visual Basic 6.0 and Avenue were used as the programming tool and the commercial GIS softwares, ArcView 3.1, Spatial Analyst and 3-D Analyst were used as the basic engine of the model for GIS analysis. In this paper, discussed are the principles for forest road projection and evaluation and structures and application features of the model.

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Developing the Automated Sentiment Learning Algorithm to Build the Korean Sentiment Lexicon for Finance (재무분야 감성사전 구축을 위한 자동화된 감성학습 알고리즘 개발)

  • Su-Ji Cho;Ki-Kwang Lee;Cheol-Won Yang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.32-41
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    • 2023
  • Recently, many studies are being conducted to extract emotion from text and verify its information power in the field of finance, along with the recent development of big data analysis technology. A number of prior studies use pre-defined sentiment dictionaries or machine learning methods to extract sentiment from the financial documents. However, both methods have the disadvantage of being labor-intensive and subjective because it requires a manual sentiment learning process. In this study, we developed a financial sentiment dictionary that automatically extracts sentiment from the body text of analyst reports by using modified Bayes rule and verified the performance of the model through a binary classification model which predicts actual stock price movements. As a result of the prediction, it was found that the proposed financial dictionary from this research has about 4% better predictive power for actual stock price movements than the representative Loughran and McDonald's (2011) financial dictionary. The sentiment extraction method proposed in this study enables efficient and objective judgment because it automatically learns the sentiment of words using both the change in target price and the cumulative abnormal returns. In addition, the dictionary can be easily updated by re-calculating conditional probabilities. The results of this study are expected to be readily expandable and applicable not only to analyst reports, but also to financial field texts such as performance reports, IR reports, press articles, and social media.