• 제목/요약/키워드: Analysis of Credit Market

검색결과 125건 처리시간 0.029초

금융시장발전과 공적개발원조의 효과성: 양자간·다자간 원조를 중심으로 (Recipient Countries' Financial Development and the Effectiveness of ODA)

  • 안현미;박단비
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate the effectiveness of Offcial Development Assistance (ODA) in recipient countries' economy. ODA is designed to mitigate poverty and stimulate economic growth in the developing countries. We classify total ODA into bilateral ODA and multilateral ODA depending on the number of donor countries. If the ODA flows from one donor country to one recipient country, it is classified as bilateral ODA. If the multiple countries simultaneously become donor countries through the international organizations such as United Nations and World Bank, it is classified as multilateral ODA. This paper compares the effect of bilateral ODA and multilateral ODA in determining recipient countries' economic development, and tries to provide policy implications to Korean ODA. Research design, data, and methodology - Our primary explanatory variables are bilateral and multilateral ODA. Private credit in recipient countries is adopted as additional explanatory variables to capture the level of financial development in recipient countries. We measure the ODA effectiveness using economic growth and quality of life of the recipient countries as the dependent variable. We collect 142 recipient countries' data from OECD statistics, during the period from 1970-2014. Panel least squares estimation with country fixed effect is employed as the empirical model. Results - Our results support that ODA variable has a negatively significant impact on recipient countries' economic growth, while it is positively correlated with human development index. Recipient countries' private credit is positively correlated with economic growth and human development index. The interaction variable of ODA and financial development turns out to be significant in general. We find that the positive effect of ODA depends on recipient countries' financial market development and this effect is stronger in multilateral aid than bilateral one. Conclusions - From the analysis, we have confirmed that the recipient countries financial development is the necessity condition to achieve positive effect of ODA. Based on these results, we suggest that Korean government should increase the share of multilateral funding and pay attention to recipient countries' financial market development to maximize the effectiveness of ODA.

금융시장 불확실성의 효과: 금융시장 위기 기간 중 국면전환이 발생하였는가? (The Effects of Financial Market Uncertainty: Does Regime Change Occur During Financial Market Crises?)

  • 김시원
    • 경제분석
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.70-99
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 주가지수, 원달러 환율, 국채수익률 및 신용스프레드로 구성된 Stochastic volatility-in-mean VAR 모형을 이용하여 금융시장 불확실성이 금융시장에 미치는 효과를 분석하였다. 첫째, 불확실성 증가충격의 효과는 경기후퇴적(recessionary)이며, 특히 주가 하락효과와 원달러 환율 상승효과가 강력한 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 금융시장 스트레스에 따른 국면전환(regime shift) 효과에 대한 분석에서는 금융시장 위기 기간 중 불확실성의 효과가 평상시에 비해 더욱 강력해진다는 결과를 얻었다. 마지막으로 금융시장 불확실성 증가는 금융부문을 넘어 실물부문까지 영향을 미치는 실질효과 가능성에 대한 증거가 제시되었다.

어업인 신용평가모형 개발현황 및 과제 (The Present state and tasks of Fishermen Credit Scoring Model)

  • 홍재범;김정욱
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.43-61
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    • 2008
  • Excessive public loan with low interest and other tax benefits have been provided for fishermen, but much of them turned out to be little performed. There were the moral hazards of Suhyup in the process of executing the public loans. As the government gave the reimbursement on the financial loss of Suhyup resulting from the public loans, Suhyup had no responsibility of the bad debt loss. Therefore, Suhyup gave little efforts to reduce the non-performing. The government perceived this problem and tried to reduce the under-performing loans. Thus, the government decided to take limited responsibilities. Suhyup made the progress to reduce the under-performing public loans. Suhyup dealt with these situation and made the credit evaluation model of the fisherman's public loan. This paper is for the credit evaluation model in the fisherman's public loan, which explains the model development methodology and the model characteristics in detail. This evaluation model is composed of two sub-component model. the one is the quantitative model and the other is the qualitative model. The quantitative sub-model is for the identification of fishermen financial status and is based on the financial transaction information. Its development methodology is the CSS modeling for the consumer market. The qualitative sub-model is for the evaluation the business prospect and is based on the business information such as fisherman's management skills, technology, equipment. Its development methodology is the AHP. It provides the detailed information in the model development methodology, which is the ideal example such as the public loan. In addition it gives the information to the interest parties such as policy makers, suhyup and fishermen.

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투자등급과 투기등급의 결정요인 분석 (Determinants of Investment or Speculative Grades)

  • 김석진;정세진;임정대
    • 벤처창업연구
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 1999년부터 2015년까지 상장기업을 대상으로, 순위프로빗 모형을 이용하여 신용등급 관련 이해관계자 중 하나인 기업의 관점에서 신용등급에 영향을 미치는 요인을 투자등급과 투기등급으로 구분하여 분석하였다. 투자등급의 경우 영업이익률, 매출액, 시장가/장부가, 배당지급, 자본적 지출 비율, 유형자산 비율이 양(+)의 계수를, 장 단기 부채비율, 베타, 고유위험이 음(-)의 계수를 보였다. 투기등급의 경우 배당지급, 유보이익률, 자본적 지출 비율이 양(+)의 계수를, 장 단기 부채비율과 연구개발비가 음(-)의 계수를 가졌다. 글로벌금융위기 이후 "신용정보의 이용 및 보호에 관한 법률"이 강화된 2009년 전 후를 기준으로 분석한 결과, 투자등급에서 자본적 지출 비율, 현금비율, 유형자산 비율이 2009년 이전에는 양(+)의 계수를 보였으나 2010년 이후에는 유의하지 않았다. 투기등급의 경우 2009년 이전에 단기부채보다 장기부채가 더 유의한 음(-)의 계수를 보였으나 2010년 이후에는 장기부채보다 단기부채가 더 유의한 음(-)의 계수를 보였다. 흥미롭게도 연구개발비가 2010년 이후 투자등급과 투기등급 모두 유의한 음(-)의 계수를 보였다. 이는 연구개발에 대한 투자가 기업의 성장기회를 높여 더 많은 현금흐름을 창출하며 이것이 신용등급을 상승시킬 것이라는 선행연구와 일치하지 않는다.

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사업자간 관계 분석을 통한 핀테크 결제 활성화 방안 연구 (An Exploratory Study on the Activation of Fintech Payment through the Relation Analysis among Business Operators)

  • 길진세;김은진;김소담;김희웅
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.137-161
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    • 2017
  • Purpose In this study, the difficulties were analyzed with the field data from two domestic and interview with industry practitioners. And We presented initiatives with feasibilities to overcome the hurdle for progress of easy-payment. Design/methodology/approach We collected industry data from two domestic credit card companies and analyzed that data to prove 7 proposition in detail. Also We had interview data from industry practitioners who can understand the relationship between stakeholders. For this analysis, we used the causal loop diagram to find activation inhibition and activation elements about easy-payment. Findings The Fintech easy-payment industry has been organically involved in various partners such as customers, merchants, PGs, VANs, credit card issuers, banks, payment providers, terminal manufacturers, etc. and they have been competing against each other to hold leader position in the easy-payment market. Because of the reasons, the easy-payment does not spread out as much as it expects. In this study, the difficulties were analyzed with the field data and interview with industry practitioners and proposed five initiatives with feasibilities to overcome the hurdle for progress of easy-payment. This study helps to understand current situation and issues of Fintech and easy-payment for related research in future.

신용평가를 위한 데이터마이닝 분류모형의 통합모형에 관한 연구 (A Study of the Integration of Individual Classification Model in Data Mining for the Credit Evaluation)

  • 김갑식
    • 정보처리학회논문지D
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    • 제12D권2호
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 금융기관에서의 고객신용평가를 위한 최적의 데이터마이닝 모형을 제안한다. 이를 위해 할부금융시장에서의 고객정보 및 할부진행 과정에 대한 세부 내역을 바탕으로 다계층 퍼셉트론(Multi-Layered Perceptrons:MLP)과 다변량 판별분석(Multivariate Discrimination Analysis : MDA), 그리고 의사결정나무(Decision Tree)를 적용하여 각각의 개별모형을 도출하고 이론 유전자 알고리즘을 이용하여 통합한 최종 모형을 구해 그 결과론 각 단일모형과 비교${\cdot}$분석하였다. 그 견과 유전자 알고리즘을 통해 결합한 통합모형의 성능이 가장 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 이에 본 연구는 기존에 진행되었던 개변모형에 대한 검증은 물론, 단순히 여러 개의 모형을 비교${\cdot}$분석하여 우월한 모형을 평가하는 기존 방법론 상의 한계를 극복하기 위해 각각의 개별모형을 유전자 알고리즘을 통해 통합모형으로 구축하는 하나의 방법론을 제시하였다는데 그 의의가 있다.

Utilities Market: The Sphere of Protection of Subjects

  • Dzhumageldiyeva, Gulnara;Zablodska, Inna;Yukhymenko-Nazaruk, Irina;Dovgaliuk, Vita;Suprunova, Irina;Gylka, Ulyana
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.266-274
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    • 2021
  • The study covers three components of the facility for protecting public utilities market participants in the public utilities market: prevention of potential poverty, reduction of existing poverty and compensation to the injured party in a case of tort that exacerbates or threatens to exacerbate its poverty. The analysis is based on official statistical information on the activities of the public utilities sector. Operational information of public utility service providers regarding certain indicators of their activity in the work was not studied. This approach narrows the empirical basis of the study, but at the present stage in the context of different rates of implementation of changes in regions, sectors and at the level of individual entities, as well as lack of uniformity in the structure of indicators published by service providers, analysis allows to identify «bottlenecks» of legal regulation, which are systemic in nature and largely independent of the subjective factor.

중국 상업은행의 유가증권투자가 경영성과에 미치는 영향 (The Study on the Impact of China Banks' Securities Asset Management on Financial performance)

  • 배수현
    • 문화기술의 융합
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.89-94
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    • 2023
  • 최근 중국 회사채시장의 신용위험이 크게 증가하고 있으며, 회사채의 대부분을 중국 금융기관이 보유하고 있기 때문에 회사채 주요 투자자인 은행의 부실화 가능성을 배제할 수 없다. 따라서 본 연구는 중국 상업은행의 유가증권 투자비중이 경영성과에 미치는 영향을 실증분석 하였다. 분석결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 중국 상업은행의 유가증권 투자비중이 증가할수록 은행의 수익성은 낮아지는 것으로 추정되었다. 현재 중국 금융당국이 금융리스크를 축소하고 경영건전성을 제고하기 위해 노력하고 있으나 회사채시장의 신용위험 증가 및 한계기업 증가로 유가증권투자는 수익성에 긍정적인 영향을 주지 못한 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 중국 상업은행의 유가증권 투자비중이 증가할수록 은행의 건전성이 낮아지는 것으로 추정되었다. 유가증권투자가 고정이하여신비율에 직접적인 영향을 주지는 않지만 공격적인 경영으로 인해 대출자산의 부실여신이 증가한 것으로 예측된다. 중국 자본시장의 신용위험이 증가하고 있는 만큼 향후 지속적으로 부실자산에 대한 관리가 요구된다. 중국 상업은행들은 예대마진 중심의 수익확대로는 한계가 있으며, 수익성 제고를 위해 대출자산 외에 유가증권투자를 통한 포트폴리오 관리가 필요하다. 단, 회사채의 주요 투자자인 은행의 부실화 가능성이 존재함에 따라 변동성 관리를 위하여 유가증권 운용규모를 적정수준으로 조정하여 변동성을 줄이고 경영성과를 제고하기 위한 실무적 전략이 요구됨을 시사한다.

산림탄소상쇄 사업계획서를 이용한 산림탄소 배출권 분석 (Analysis of Forestry Carbon Offset Credits Using Project Design Documents)

  • 박진택;조용성;장진구
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 2016
  • Since 2013, the forest carbon offest scheme is operated by 'ACT ON THE MANAGEMENT AND IMPROVEMENT OF CARBON SINK'. Most of projects account for afforestation, reforestation and restoration. This study analyzed what is affected to pricing factors for the registered 71 project of forest carbon offset in Korea Forest Service. The purpose of this study is to introduce information on the business plans of forest carbon offset scheme and aid to understand the process from registration to issuing offset credits. Also it is meaningful to proposing a policy for price competitiveness and how to enable forest carbon offset schemes to produce activation by measuring the factors that affect the forest carbon offset scheme. The results showed forest carbon credit price is 92,827 won per ton on average, it could see less price-competitive than emission rights market when compared with the price.

Financial and Economic Risk Prevention and Countermeasures Based on Big Data and Internet of Things

  • Songyan Liu;Pengfei Liu;Hecheng Wang
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.391-398
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    • 2024
  • Given the further promotion of economic globalization, China's financial market has also expanded. However, at present, this market faces substantial risks. The main financial and economic risks in China are in the areas of policy, credit, exchange rates, accounting, and interest rates. The current status of China's financial market is as follows: insufficient attention from upper management; insufficient innovation in the development of the financial economy; and lack of a sound financial and economic risk protection system. To further understand the current situation of China's financial market, we conducted a questionnaire survey on the financial market and reached the following conclusions. A comprehensive enterprise questionnaire from the government's perspective, the enterprise's perspective and the individual's perspective showed that the following problems exist in the financial and economic risk prevention aspects of big data and Internet of Things in China. The political system at the country's grassroots level is not comprehensive enough. The legal regulatory system is not comprehensive enough, leading to serious incidents of loan fraud. The top management of enterprises does not pay enough attention to financial risk prevention. Therefore, we constructed a financial and economic risk prevention model based on big data and Internet of Things that has effective preventive capabilities for both enterprises and individuals. The concept reflected in the model is to obtain data through Internet of Things, use big data for screening, and then pass these data to the big data analysis system at the grassroots level for analysis. The data initially screened as big data are analyzed in depth, and we obtain the original data that can be used to make decisions. Finally, we put forward the corresponding opinions, and their main contents represent the following points: the key is to build a sound national financial and economic risk prevention and assessment system, the guarantee is to strengthen the supervision of national financial risks, and the purpose is to promote the marketization of financial interest rates.