• Title/Summary/Keyword: Akaike Information Criterion

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The Design of Fuzzy-Sliding Mode Control with the Self Tuning Fuzzy Inference Based on Genetic Algorithm and Its Application

  • Go, Seok-Jo;Lee, Min-Cheol;Park, Min-Kyu
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.182-182
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes a self tuning fuzzy inference method by the genetic algorithm in the fuzzy-sliding mode control for a robot. Using this method, the number of inference rules and the shape of membership functions are optimized without an expert in robotics. The fuzzy outputs of the consequent part are updated by the gradient descent method. And, it is guaranteed that the selected solution become the global optimal solution by optimizing the Akaike's information criterion. The trajectory trucking experiment of the polishing robot system shows that the optimal fuzzy inference rules are automatically selected by the genetic algorithm and the proposed fuzzy-sliding model controller provides reliable tracking performance during the polishing process.

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Reliability-based Design Optimization on Mobility of Deep-seabed Test Miner Using Censored Data of Current Speed (중도절단 해류속도자료를 이용한 심해저 시험집광기의 주행성능에 관한 신뢰성 기반 최적설계)

  • Park, Sanghyun;Cho, Su-Gil;Lim, Woochul;Kim, Saekyeol;Choi, Sung Sik;Lee, Minuk;Choi, Jong-Su;Kim, Hyung-Woo;Lee, Chang-Ho;Hong, Sup;Lee, Tae Hee
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.487-494
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    • 2014
  • Deep-seabed test miner operated by a self-propelled mining system moving on soft soil is an essential device to secure floating and towing performances. The performances of the tracked vehicle are seriously influenced by noise factors such as the shear strength of the seafloor, bottom current, seafloor slope, speed of tracked vehicle, reaction forces of flexible hose, steering ratio, etc. Due to uncertainties related to noise factors, the design of a deep-sea manganese nodules test miner that satisfies target reliabilities is difficult. Therefore, reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is required to guarantee system reliability under circumstances where uncertainties related to noise factors prevail. Among noise factors, the bottom current, a bimodal distribution, is censored due to the observation limit of measurement devices. Therefore, estimated distribution of the bottom current is inaccurate without considering these characteristics and the result of RBDO cannot be guaranteed. In this paper, we define censored data as unknown values over the limit of observation. If this data is estimated by using Akaike information criterion (AIC) that cannot consider the characteristics of censored data, the distribution of estimated data cannot guarantee accurate reliability. Therefore, censored AIC that can consider the characteristics of data is used to estimate accurate distribution of the bottom current. Finally, RBDO, under circumstances where uncertainties related to noise factors combined censored data are present, is performed on the mobility of a deep-sea manganese nodules test miner.

Applicability Evaluation of a Mixed Model for the Analysis of Repeated Inventory Data : A Case Study on Quercus variabilis Stands in Gangwon Region (반복측정자료 분석을 위한 혼합모형의 적용성 검토: 강원지역 굴참나무 임분을 대상으로)

  • Pyo, Jungkee;Lee, Sangtae;Seo, Kyungwon;Lee, Kyungjae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.1
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate mixed model of dbh-height relation containing random effect. Data were obtained from a survey site for Quercus variabilis in Gangwon region and remeasured the same site after three years. The mixed model were used to fixed effect in the dbh-height relation for Quercus variabilis, with random effect representing correlation of survey period were obtained. To verify the evaluation of the model for random effect, the akaike information criterion (abbreviated as, AIC) was used to calculate the variance-covariance matrix, and residual of repeated data. The estimated variance-covariance matrix, and residual were -0.0291, 0.1007, respectively. The model with random effect (AIC = -215.5) has low AIC value, comparison with model with fixed effect (AIC = -154.4). It is for this reason that random effect associated with categorical data is used in the data fitting process, the model can be calibrated to fit repeated site by obtaining measurements. Therefore, the results of this study could be useful method for developing model using repeated measurement.

Experimental Study on Microseismic Source Location by Dimensional Conditions and Arrival Picking Methods (차원 및 초동발췌방법에 따른 미소진동 음원위치결정 실험연구)

  • Cheon, Dae-Sung;Yu, Jeongmin;Lee, Jang-baek
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.243-261
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    • 2019
  • Microseismic monitoring technologies have been recognized for its superiority over traditional methods and are used in domestic and overseas underground mines. However, the complex gangway layout of underground mines in Korea and the mixed structure of excavated space and rock masses make it difficult to estimate the microseismic propagation and to determine the arrival time of microseismic wave. In this paper, experimental studies were carried out to determine the source location according to various arrival picking methods and dimensional conditions. The arrival picking methods used were FTC (First Threshold Cross), Picking window, AIC (Akaike Information Criterion), and 2-D and 3-D source generation experiments were performed, respectively, under the 2-D sensor array. In each experiment, source location algorithm used iterative method and genetic algorithm. The iterative method was effective when the sensor array and source generation were the same dimension, but it was not suitable to apply when the source generation was higher dimension. On the other hand, in case of source location using RCGA, the higher dimensional source location could be determined, but it took longer time to calculate. The accuracy of the arrival picking methods differed according to the source location algorithms, but picking window method showed high accuracy in overall.

Comparison of the fit of automatic milking system and test-day records with the use of lactation curves

  • Sitkowska, B.;Kolenda, M.;Piwczynski, D.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.408-415
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    • 2020
  • Objective: The aim of the paper was to compare the fit of data derived from daily automatic milking systems (AMS) and monthly test-day records with the use of lactation curves; data was analysed separately for primiparas and multiparas. Methods: The study was carried out on three Polish Holstein-Friesians (PHF) dairy herds. The farms were equipped with an automatic milking system which provided information on milking performance throughout lactation. Once a month cows were also subjected to test-day milkings (method A4). Most studies described in the literature are based on test-day data; therefore, we aimed to compare models based on both test-day and AMS data to determine which mathematical model (Wood or Wilmink) would be the better fit. Results: Results show that lactation curves constructed from data derived from the AMS were better adjusted to the actual milk yield (MY) data regardless of the lactation number and model. Also, we found that the Wilmink model may be a better fit for modelling the lactation curve of PHF cows milked by an AMS as it had the lowest values of Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, mean square error, the highest coefficient of determination values, and was more accurate in estimating MY than the Wood model. Although both models underestimated peak MY, mean, and total MY, the Wilmink model was closer to the real values. Conclusion: Models of lactation curves may have an economic impact and may be helpful in terms of herd management and decision-making as they assist in forecasting MY at any moment of lactation. Also, data obtained from modelling can help with monitoring milk performance of each cow, diet planning, as well as monitoring the health of the cow.

Basal Area-Stump Diameter Models for Tectona grandis Linn. F. Stands in Omo Forest Reserve, Nigeria

  • Chukwu, Onyekachi;Osho, Johnson S.A.
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 2018
  • The tropical forests in developing countries are faced with the problem of illegal exploitation of trees. However, dearth of empirical means of expressing the dimensions, structure, quality and quantity of a removed tree has imped conviction of offenders. This study aimed at developing a model that can effectively estimate individual tree basal area (BA) from stump diameter (Ds) for Tectona grandis stands in Omo Forest Reserve, Nigeria, for timber valuation in case of illegal felling. Thirty-six $25m{\times}25m$ temporary sample plots (TSPs) were laid randomly in six age strata; 26, 23, 22, 16, 14, and 12 years specifically. BA, Ds and diameter at breast height were measured in all living T. grandis trees within the 36 TSPs. Least square method was used to convert the counted stumps into harvested stem cross-sectional areas. Six basal area models were fitted and evaluated. The BA-Ds relationship was best described by power model which gave least values of Root mean square error (0.0048), prediction error sum of squares (0.0325) and Akaike information criterion (-15391) with a high adjusted coefficient of determination (0.921). This study revealed that basal area estimation was realistic even when the only information available was stump diameter. The power model was validated using independent data obtained from additional plots and was found to be appropriate for estimating the basal area of Tectona grandis stands in Omo Forest Reserve, Nigeria.

Determination of Proper Probability Distribution for Groundwater Monitoring Stations in Jeju Island (제주도 지하수위 관측지점별 적정 확률분포형의 결정)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Nam, Woosung;Kim, Min Gyu;Choi, Gian;Kim, Gee-Pyo;Park, Yun-Seok
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2018
  • Comprehensive statistical analysis for the 127 groundwater monitoring stations in Jeju Island during 2005~2015 was carried out for the re-establishment of management groundwater level. Three probability distribution functions such as normal distibution, GEV (General Extreme Value) distribution, and Gumbel distribution were applied and the maximum likelihood method was used for parameter estimation of each distribution. AIC (Akaike information criterion) was calculated based on the estimated parameters to determine the proper probability distribution for all 127 stations. The results showed that normal distribution and Gumble distribution were found in 11 stations. Whereas GEV distribution were found in 105 stations, which covered most of groundwater monitoring stations. Therefore, confidence levels should be established in accord with the proper probability distribution when groundwater level management is determined.

A Study on Extraction of Useful Information from Big dataset of Multi-attributes - Focus on Single Household in Seoul - (다속성 빅데이터로부터 유용한 정보 추출에 관한 연구 - 서울시 1인 가구를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jung-Min;Kim, Kun-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.59-72
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    • 2014
  • This study proposes a data-mining analysis method for examining variable multi-attribute big-data, which is considered to be more applicable in social science using a Correspondence Analysis of variables obtained by AIC model selection. The proposed method was applied on the Seoul Survey from 2005 to 2010 in order to extract interesting rules or patterns on characteristics of single household. The results found as follows. Firstly, this paper illustrated that the proposed method is efficiently able to apply on a big dataset of huge categorical multi attributes variables. Secondly, as a result of Seoul Survey analysis, it has been found that the more dissatisfied with residential environment the higher tendency of residential mobility in single household. Thirdly, it turned out that there are three types of single households based on the characteristics of their demographic characteristics, and it was different from recognition of home and partner of counselling by the three types of single households. Fourthly, this paper extracted eight significant variables with a spatial aggregated dataset which are highly correlated to the ratio of occupancy of single household in 25 Seoul Municipals, and to conclude, it investigated the relation between spatial distribution of single households and their demographic statistics based on the six divided groups obtained by Cluster Analysis.

Random Regression Models Are Suitable to Substitute the Traditional 305-Day Lactation Model in Genetic Evaluations of Holstein Cattle in Brazil

  • Padilha, Alessandro Haiduck;Cobuci, Jaime Araujo;Costa, Claudio Napolis;Neto, Jose Braccini
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.759-767
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this study was to compare two random regression models (RRM) fitted by fourth ($RRM_4$) and fifth-order Legendre polynomials ($RRM_5$) with a lactation model (LM) for evaluating Holstein cattle in Brazil. Two datasets with the same animals were prepared for this study. To apply test-day RRM and LMs, 262,426 test day records and 30,228 lactation records covering 305 days were prepared, respectively. The lowest values of Akaike's information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and estimates of the maximum of the likelihood function (-2LogL) were for $RRM_4$. Heritability for 305-day milk yield (305MY) was 0.23 ($RRM_4$), 0.24 ($RRM_5$), and 0.21 (LM). Heritability, additive genetic and permanent environmental variances of test days on days in milk was from 0.16 to 0.27, from 3.76 to 6.88 and from 11.12 to 20.21, respectively. Additive genetic correlations between test days ranged from 0.20 to 0.99. Permanent environmental correlations between test days were between 0.07 and 0.99. Standard deviations of average estimated breeding values (EBVs) for 305MY from $RRM_4$ and $RRM_5$ were from 11% to 30% higher for bulls and around 28% higher for cows than that in LM. Rank correlations between RRM EBVs and LM EBVs were between 0.86 to 0.96 for bulls and 0.80 to 0.87 for cows. Average percentage of gain in reliability of EBVs for 305-day yield increased from 4% to 17% for bulls and from 23% to 24% for cows when reliability of EBVs from RRM models was compared to those from LM model. Random regression model fitted by fourth order Legendre polynomials is recommended for genetic evaluations of Brazilian Holstein cattle because of the higher reliability in the estimation of breeding values.

Lunar Effect on Stock Returns and Volatility: An Empirical Study of Islamic Countries

  • MOHAMED YOUSOP, Nur Liyana;WAN ZAKARIA, Wan Mohd Farid;AHMAD, Zuraidah;RAMDHAN, Nur'Asyiqin;MOHD HASAN ABDULLAH, Norhasniza;RUSGIANTO, Sulistya
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.533-542
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    • 2021
  • The main objective of this article is to investigate the existence of the lunar effect during the full moon period (FM period) and the new moon period (NM period) on the selected Islamic stock market returns and volatilities. For this purpose, the Ordinary Least Squares model, Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity model, Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity model and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-in-Mean model are employed using the mean daily returns data between January 2010 and December 2019. Next, the log-likelihood, Akaike Information Criterion and Schwarz Information Criterion value are analyzed to determine the best models for explaining the returns and volatility of returns. The empirical results have deduced that, during the NM period, excluding Malaysia, the total mean daily returns for all of the selected countries have increased mean daily returns in contrast to the mean daily returns during the FM period. The volatility shocks are intense and conditional volatility is persistent in all countries. Subsequently, the volatility behavior tends to have lower volatility during the FM period and NM period in the Islamic stock market, except Malaysia. This article also concluded that the ARCH (1) model is the preferred model for stock returns whereas GARCH-M (1, 1) is preferred for the volatility of returns.