• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.41-47
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• 2022

A reliable prediction model of national occupational accident fatality rate can be used to evaluate level of safety and health protection for workers in a country. Moreover, the socio-economic aspects of occupational accidents can be identified through interpretation of a well-organized prediction model. In this paper, we propose a machine learning based relative comparison methods to predict and interpret a national occupational accident fatality rate based on socio-economic indicators. First, we collected 29 years of the relevant data from 11 developed countries. Second, we applied 4 types of machine learning regression models and evaluate their performance. Third, we interpret the contribution of each input variable using Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP). As a result, Gradient Boosting Regressor showed the best predictive performance. We found that different patterns exist across countries in accordance with different socio-economic variables and occupational accident fatality rate.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제32권6호
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• pp.143-149
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• 2017

According to traffic accidents statistics, the number of fatalities, injuries and the rate of increase of traffic accidents have been decreasing over last 5-years. The fatality rate is 1.9 for total accidents but the fatality rate for single vehicle accidents shows a 7.9, which is 4 times greater than the average for all accidents. Single vehicle accidents, usually occur as a vehicle impacts a fixed objects on the roadside as the vehicle runs-off from the road. However, few researches have been conducted considering the accident severity of single vehicle accidents which impact to the fixed objects on the road. The single vehicle accident is directly related to the composition of road cross section, (since it is the required the minimum width of a road for all run-off-the-road vehicles to recover or come to a safe stop). Therefore, this study analyzes the influence of road cross section on traffic accidents to find out the severity of single vehicle accident. To analyze the road elements which are related to the accident severity, the Ordered Probit Model was used. As variables, the element of road cross section such as the radius(m), vertical curve(%), cross sectional grade(%), road width(m). number of climbing lane, median, and curb, were used (as was the 3-years of accidents data). This study found out that cross slope(%), road width(m), and the number of climbing lane are related to the severity of accident. The result of this study could be expected to improve the road safety and to be used as the base data for further road safety research.

• 한방재활의학과학회지
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.101-111
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• 2010

Objectives : The purpose of this study was to investigate differences between traffic accident and non-traffic accident patients in the early stage, by analysis of the heart rate variability(HRV) and visual analogue scale(VAS). Methods : This study carried out on 38 patients who complained of nuchal or lower back pain. They have received hospital treatment in Dae-Jeon Univ. Cheonan Oriental Hospital. In the TA(Traffic accident) group, the pain caused by TA and in non-TA group, the pain caused by other reasons. We measured HRV and VAS twice(pre-treatment(Tx.) and post-Tx.). Then we analyzed the data. Results : As time goes by, patients who complained of pain showed the inclination to improve ability to balance autonomic nerve system. And fatigue and pain were improved. But they showed the inclination to increase stress index. At pre-Tx., TA group had more stress and worse ability to balance autonomic nerve system, but showed lower fatigue index than non-TA group. But, as time goes by, in TA group the fatigue and autonomic balance got worse. At pre-Tx., non-TA group complained of more severe pain than TA group, but at post-Tx., TA group complained of more severe pain than non-TA group. In other words, in TA group, the decreasing rate of pain was lower than non-TA group. Conclusions : Results from this investigation showed that TA have a negative effect on stress index, ability to balance autonomic nerve system, fatigue index and decreasing rate of pain. These results are expected to consider characteristics of patients who complained of pain caused by TA.

• 한국ITS학회 논문지
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.19-29
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• 2023

우리나라 도로 사고원단위는 도로 종류와 차로 수에 따라 단순 구분하고 있으나, 국외는 사고에 영향을 미치는 다양한 요소를 적용하고 있다. 본 논문은 TAAS(Traffic Accident Analysis System)의 사고 자료를 이용하여 일반국도 사고원단위를 도시부, 지방부, Older, 및 Modern 도로로 세분하였으며, 사고절감비용 산정 모형을 제시하였다. 국도 1,416.2km의 표본을 토대로 분석된 사망원단위(인/억대·km)는 도시부-Older 4.21, 도시부-Modern 1.37, 지방부-Older 2.18 및 지방부-Modern 0.99로 Older가 Modern 도로보다 높고, 도시부가 지방부보다 높게 분석되었다. 부상원단위(인/억대·km)는 도시부-Older 182.63, 도시부-Modern 103.42, 지방부-Older 67.44 및 지방부-Modern 42.96으로 사망원단위와 유사한 패턴으로 분석되었다. Modern 도로의 경우 KDI 지침의 사고원단위보다 매우 낮은 수준이다. 본 연구의 사고원단위를 적용하여 편익을 산정한 결과 사고비용절감편익 비율이 0.6%에서 14.1%로 증가하였으며, B/C는 0.626에서 0.724로 개선되었다.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.159-164
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• 2005

Maritime safety is influenced by several factors, for example, technical factors, human factors and operational factors. To improve maritime safety, each country should identify which factors will bring about a marine accident. This case study approached statistical method to find out correlations between marine accidents and safety records in Korean merchant fleet. There were no statistical significance between marine accident rate and PSC detention rate and human factor rate. But there was statistically significant relationship between marine accident rate and PSC inspection rate. It is possible to presume that in the developing country the stronger the government shows its will, the less such accidents occur.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.1-5
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• 2007

We construct the procedure to predict safety accidents following Bayesian approach. We make a model that can utilize the data to predict other levels of accidents. An event tree model which is a frequently used graphical tool in describing accident initiation and escalation to more severe accident is transformed into an influence diagram model. Prior distributions for accident occurrence rate and probabilities to escalating to more severe accidents are assumed and likelihood of number of accidents in a given period of time is assessed. And then posterior distributions are obtained based on observed data. We also points out the advantages of the bayesian approach that estimates the whole distribution of accident rate over the classical point estimation.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2022년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.216-217
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• 2022

After the financial crisis, the spread of indirect employment, which is an outsourcing method, is gradually becoming common in our society, and the risk of harm is relatively high or the proportion of simple jobs is high. Simple workers have a higher proportion of non-manufacturing industries such as the service industry, and production workers are intensively used in the manufacturing industry. In Article 63 of the Occupational Safety and Health Act, contractors must take necessary safety and health measures. In addition, due to the expansion of the scope of contracts under the Occupational Safety and Health Act, it is necessary to review the appropriateness of industrial accident prevention measures and implementation standards.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제18권5호
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• pp.7-16
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• 2000

본 논문은 고속도로사고의 시간-공간적 반복성을 검증하고 이러한 현상의 원인을 규명하는 연구이다. 이를 위해 중부고속도로를 대상으로 계절성 유무검증과 계절성인자의 요인분석을 위한 계절군집별 모형을 개발, 해석하였다. 먼저 자가조직지도와 사고지표(월평균 사고율과 월평균 대물피해환산치) 분석을 통해, 국내 고속도로사고의 계절성이 존재하는 것을 확인하였으며, 집합적 계층적 군집분석기법을 사용하여 적정 계절군집수를 분석한 결과 겨울군집 봄가을군집, 여름군집의 3개 군집으로 분리되었다. 또한 해당 군집의 대표값은 겨울군집이 사상 자수와 사고차량수는 적은 반면 사고의 치명도는 매우 높은 것으로 나타났으며, 여름군집은 사상자수와 사고차량수는 많은 반면, 사고의 치명도는 다소 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 계절군집별로 회귀모형식을 개발하여 계절군집별 사고특성을 검토한 결과, 계절성 유발인자(교통량, 안개, 결빙일수, 강설량, 강우량)와 계절군집의 사고가 매우 밀접한 관계를 가지고 있었으며 이들의 차이에 따라 국외 또는 지역별로 계절성의 특성이 다소 달라지는 것으로 분석되었다. 아울러, 이러한 연구결과는 사고다발지점선정기법, 사고예측 및 기술 모형 개발, 안전 관리를 위한 재원의 배분문제 등의 사고안전관리계획을 합리화하는 기초자료로 활용되리라 판단된다.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제2권3호
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• pp.101-115
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• 2000

Whenever a disaster occurs, people emphasizes that "Safety management is most important thing in the company". However, a situation of safety management is not changed dramatically after accidents in the past. Many small-and-medium sized industries neglect the importance of safety management. Current situation can be easily figured out when looks up an occurrence rate of accident, accident frequency rate and intensity rate. This paper investigated what workers of hotel-related industries think of a safety and types of accidents, effect of a safety education. On-site-survey was conducted for actual workers in four deluxe hotels and one condominium. 207 persons out of 400 people were replied. Statistical analysis was performed with SAS package about their reply. In injured type, cut from knife was most frequent. Main cause of accident was a unsafe posture and a unsafe behavior, so more safety education for these workers are necessary. In a physical pain which related with job, chronical pain was most dominant. As a result, a safety education has a high correlation with an experience of injured and treatment of safety, Cooking department has highest occurrence of accident than any other departments. Workers with an experience of five to ten years have most lowest treatment of safety, aid of safety education, safety feeling of their working environment, so peer attention must be put on these people to reduce accidents.accidents.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.23-33
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• 2015

Recently, the Ministry of Employment and Labor Management is a trend to strengthen all men death rate than the accident rate. Points reduction in the accident rate change orders related to credit rating score to +2 points in his plans as part of +1 point. In addition, according to the fancy linger RISK treatment in the event of a disaster site and fiction treatment to achieve accident-free during processing the scene interspersed with equity issues have been raised. In general disaster for the problem in the first two cases occurs when abnormal process according to the disaster site manager positions dismissal policy, each division headquarters itself, interspersed disasters performance compared to processing in accordance with the refrain, processing expenses in accordance with the composition of untreated industrial accident, costs and burdens partners FTC, there is a possibility that the issues raised, such as the Ministry of Employment and Labor. In response to domestic social practices focused on the construction site practices and prevention measures should be evaluated with respect to what.