• Title/Summary/Keyword: 2-period model

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Sensitivity Analysis for Joint Pricing and Lot-sizing Model with Price Dependent Demand under Day terms Supplier Credit in a Two-stage Supply Chain

  • Shinn, Seong-Whan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.270-276
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we analyze the buyer's joint pricing and lot-sizing model in a two-stage supply chain consisting of the supplier, the buyer and the customer. It is assumed that the supplier will permit a certain fixed period for settling the amount the buyer owes to him for the items supplied in order to stimulate the demand for the product. Generally, credit transactions would have a positive effect to the buyer. The availability of credit transactions from the supplier effectively reduces the cost of holding stocks for the buyer and therefore, the buyer has a lot of price options to choose his sales price for a customer in anticipation of increased the customer's demand and, as a result, it will appear to increase the buyer's inventory levels. On the other hand, in the case of decaying products in which their utility decay over time, the decaying rate with time may be expected to reduce inventory levels. In this regard, we need to analyze how much the length of credit period and the decaying rate affect the buyer's pricing and lot-sizing policy. For the analysis, we consider the situation where the customer's demand is represented as a linearly decreasing function of the buyer's sales price. From this perspective, we formulate the buyer's annual net profit and analyze the effect of the length of credit period and decaying rate of the product on the buyer's inventory policy numerically.

흰쥐의 심장을 이용한 Modified Isolated Working Heart Perfusion Technique (Perfusion Techniques Using the Modified Isolated Working Rat Heart Model)

  • 이종국;최형호
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.338-345
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    • 1980
  • We have modified an isolated perfusion rat heart model of cardiopulmonary bypass, with which we are able to screen the effects of various cardioplegic solutions and hypothermia upon the ability of the heart to survivie during and recover from period of ischemic arrest. The modified experimental model was differed from the original as follow : a heat coil chamber of atrial and aortic reservoir provided temperature control, and the perfusate was gassed with each pure oxygen and pure carbon dioxide in 95:5 ratio. The Langendorff perfusion was initiated for a 10 minute period by introducing perfusate at $37^{\circ}C.$ into the aorta from the aortic reservoir located 100 cm above the heart. The isolated perfused working rat heart model was a left heart preparation in which oxygenated perfusion medium (at $37^{\circ}C.$) entered the cannulated left atrium at a pressure of 20 cm $H_{2}O$ and was passed to the ventricle, from which it was sponeously elected(no electrical pacing) via an aortic cannula, against a hydrostatic pressure of 100cm $H_{2}O$. during this working period various indices of cardiac functin were measured. The cardiac functions were stable for over 3 hour with perfusion of Krebs-Henseleit bicarbonate buffer solution containing only glucose (11.1 mM/L). The percentage of cardiac functins were maintained about 94% on heart rate, 80.6% on peak aortic pressure, 87.7% on coronary flow and 76.3% on aortic flow rate after 3 hour of working heart perfusion at a pressure of 20 cm $H_{2}O$. We believe this preparation to be a good biochemical model for the human heart which offers many advantages including economic, speed of preparation, reproducibility, and the ability to handle large numbers.

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벡터오차수정모형을 이용한 유럽 탄소배출권가격 분석 (The analysis of EU carbon trading and energy prices using vector error correction model)

  • 부기덕;정기호
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.401-412
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 벡터오차수정모형을 이용하여 유럽 탄소배출권 현물가격의 일간 시계열자료를 분석한다. 내생변수로는 탄소배출권가격 이외에 오일가격, 천연가스가격, 전력가격, 석탄가격 등 모두 5개 변수를 고려하며, 분석기간은 유럽 배출권가격의 왜곡이 발생한 제1단계 기간 (2005~2007년)을 피해 제2단계 기간 (2008년 4월 21일~2010년 3월 31일)을 대상으로 하였다. 시계열변수의 안정성 및 공적분 검정 결과, 모든 변수들이 단위근을 갖으며 또한 공적분 벡터가 존재하는 것으로 나타나서 분석모형으로서 벡터자기회귀모형 대신에 벡터오차수정모형을 채택하였다. 분석결과, (1) 오일, 천연가스, 전력 등의 가격이 배출권가격에 대해 원인으로 작용하는 그랜저인과관계가 존재하였다. (2) 충격 반응분석에서 배출권가격은 오일가격의 외생적 충격에 대해 가장 크게 반응하였고, 석탄가격의 충격에 대해서는 초기 상승 후 하락, 전력가격과 천연가스가격의 충격에 대해서는 초기 상승 후 음 (-)으로 감소하는 반응을 보였다. (3) 예측오차 분산분해 분석에서 배출권가격에 대해 가장 큰 영향을 주는 요인은 초기 (3기)에는 오일가격>석탄가격>천연가스가격>전력가격의 순이었으나 이후 (20기)에는 전력가격>오일가격>석탄가격>천연가스가격의 순으로 나타났다.

Prediction of Climate Change Impacts on Streamflow of Daecheong Lake Area in South Korea

  • Kim, Yoonji;Yu, Jieun;Jeon, Seongwoo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.169-169
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    • 2020
  • According to the IPCC analysis, severe climate changes are projected to occur in Korea as the temperature is expected to rise by 3.2 ℃, the precipitation by 15.6% and the sea level by 27cm by 2050. It is predicted that the occurrence of abnormal climate phenomena - especially those such as increase of concentrated precipitation and extreme heat in the summer season and severe drought in the winter season - that have happened in Korea in the past 30 years (1981-2010) will continuously be intensified and accelerated. As a result, the impact on and vulnerability of the water management sector is expected to be exacerbated. This research aims to predict the climate change impacts on streamflow of Daecheong Lake area of Geum River in South Korea during the summer and winter seasons, which show extreme meteorological events, and ultimately develop an integrated policy model in response. We projected and compared the streamflow changes of Daecheong Lake area of Geum River in South Korea in the near future period (2020-2040) and the far future period (2041-2060) with the reference period (1991-2010) using the HEC-HMS model. The data from a global climate model HadGEM2-AO, which is the fully-coupled atmosphere-ocean version of the Hadley Centre Global Environment Model 2, and RCP scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) were used as inputs for the HEC-HMS model to identify the river basins where cases of extreme flooding or drought are likely to occur in the near and far future. The projections were made for the summer season (July-September) and the winter season(November-January) in order to reflect the summer monsoon and the dry winter. The results are anticipated to be used by policy makers for preparation of adaptation plans to secure water resources in the nation.

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PERIOD VARIATIONS OF RT PERSEI

  • Kim, Chun-Hwey
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.179-195
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    • 1995
  • RT Per has been known as a close binary of which the orbital period has unpredictably varied so far. Although there are no agreements with the working mechanism for the changes of the period, two interpretations have been suggested and waiting for to be tested: 1) light-time effects due to the unseen 3rd and 4rd bodies (Panchatsaram 1981), 2) Abrupt period-changes, due to internal variations of the system (e.g. mass transfer or mass loss) superimposing to the light-time effect by a 3rd body (Frieboes-Conde & Herczeg 1973). In the point of view that the former interprepation models could predict the behavior of the changes of the orbital period theoretically, we checked whether the recent observed times of minimum lights follow the perdictions by the first model or not. We confirmed that the observed times of minimum lights have followed the variations calculated by the light-times effects due to the 3rd and 4rd bodies suggested by Panchatsatam. In this paper a total of 626 times of minimum lights were reanalyzed in terms of the light-time effects by the 3rd and 4rd bodies. We concluded that the eclipsing pair in SVCam system moves in an elliptic orbit about center of mass of the triple system with a period of about $42.^y2$, while the mass center of the triplet is in light-time orbit about the center of mass of the quadruple system with a period of $120^y$. The mean masses deduced for the 3rd and 4rd bodies were $0.89m_\odot$ and $0.82m_\odot$, respectively.

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원판(圓板)의 열판건조(熱板乾燥)에서 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션에 의한 내부온도(內部溫度)와 함수율(含水率) 분포모형(分布模型) (Distribution Model Based on Computer Simulation for Internal Temperature and Moisture Content in Press Drying of Tree Disks)

  • 여환명;정희석
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 1994
  • This study was executed to find the applicability of press drying of tree disk by investigating the shrinkage and drying defect and to form appropriate model by comparing the actual moisture content(MC) and internal temperature in respect of drying time with calculated values based computer simulation to which was applied finite difference method. In press drying disk, heating period, constant drying rate period maintained plateau temperature at 100$^{\circ}C$ and falling drying rate period were significantly distinguished. Actual MC and internal temperature were analogous to those calculated at comparing points. Heat transfer model formed by Fourier's law using specific heat of moist wood and conduction coefficient considering fractional volume of each element of wood cell wall, bound water, free water and air showed applicability as basic data to developing heat expansion, shrinkage and drying stress during press drying. Also mass transfer model formed by Fick's diffusion law using water vapor diffusion coefficient showed applicability. Longitudinal shrinkage was developed by pressure of hot press and tangential shrinkage was restrained by hygrothermal recovery. The heart check, surface check and ring failure were occurred differently in species, but V-shaped crack didn't develop.

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강우자료의 비정상성을 고려한 재현기간 변화에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Changes of Return Period Considering Nonstationarity of Rainfall Data)

  • 신홍준;안현준;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제47권5호
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    • pp.447-457
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 초과확률 또는 비초과확률이 시간에 따라 변화한다는 비정상성을 가정하여 재현기간 산정에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 비정상성을 고려한 2가지 재현기간 산정 방법에 대해 검토하고 비정상성 Gumbel 모형을 이용한 빈도해석을 수행하여 초과확률및 비초과확률을 구한 뒤비정상성을 고려한 재현기간 정의에따른 우리나라 재현기간의 변화에 대해서 살펴보았다. 적용 대상으로는 자료기간 30년 이상을 보유하면서 일 강우 자료의 경향성이 나타나는 서귀포, 인제, 제천, 구미, 문경, 거창 등 6개 지점을 선정하였다. 적용결과 비정상성을 고려한 재현기간 산정 시 기존의 재현기간 산정방법과는 재현기간이 다르게 산정됨을 알 수 있었고, 재현기간이 커질수록 정상성 가정하의 재현기간과 비정상성 가정하의 재현기간 값의 차이가 더 커지는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 비정상성을 고려한 재현기간의 2가지 정의 중 기대 대기시간(expected waiting time) 정의에 의한 방법이 기대 초과사상 수(expected number of exceedance event) 정의에 의한 방법보다 작은 재현기간이 산정 되었다.

토양수분 저류구조를 가진 탱크모형의 보정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Calibration of Tank Model with Soil Moisture Structure)

  • 강신욱;이동률;이상호
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제37권2호
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2004
  • 토양수분 저류구조를 갖는 4단 탱크모형에 SCE-UA전역최적화 기법을 사용하여 목적함수에 따라 보정자료 기간을 달리하여 대청댐 유역에 332회, 소양강댐 유역에 대해 472회의 보정 및 검증을 수행하였다. 그리고 증발산량 산정방법에 따른 매개변수 추정 영향을 검토하기 위해 소형 증발계 증발량, 1963 Penman, FAO-24 Penman-Monteith, FAO-56 Penman-Monteith 방법을 사용하였다. 토양수분 저류구조를 갖는 탱크모형은 표준 4단 모형보다 우수한 결과를 나타내었다. 토양수분 저류구조를 갖는 탱크모형의 매개변수 추정에 적합한 목적함수 두 가지를 확인하였다. 매개변수 추정을 위해 적절한 자료기간은 3년 정도이었으며, 평균강수량 이상인 해와 가물었던 해를 포함하는 것이좋은 결과를 보였다. 그리고 유출률이 적절하지 않은 해를 포함하는 경우에는 8년 이상으로 하는 것이 적절하다고 판단된다. 4가지 증발산량 산정 방법에 의해 추정된 증발산량을 입력으로 모형을 보정한 결과 유사한 매개변수를 나타내었으며, 1963 Penman 방법만이 근소하게 열등하였다.

만성질환자 가족의 삶의 질 예측모형 구축에 관한 연구 (A Model for Quality of Life of Family Caregivers with a Chronically Ill Patient)

  • 박은숙;이숙자;박영주
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.344-357
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    • 1998
  • This study was designed to construct a model that predicts the quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. The hypothetical model was developed based on the findings from past studies on quality of life and on the family with a chronically ill patient. Data were collected by self-reported questionnaires from 200 family caregivers in Seoul & Kyung Gi-Do, from May 1 to July 21, 1997. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and correlation analysis. The Linear Structural Relationship(LISREL) modeling process was used to find the best fit model which predicts causal relationships among variables. The results are as follows : 1. The overall fit of the hypothetical model to the data was moderate [X$^2$=31.54(df=23, p=.11), GFI=.96, AGFI=.91, RMR=.04]. 2. Paths of the model were modified by considering both its theoretical implication and the statistical significance of the parameter estimates. Compared to the hypothetical model, the revised model has become parsimonious and had a better fit to the data expect chi-square value(GFI=.95, AGFI=.91, RMR=.04). 3. Some of predictive factors, especially economic status, physical ability to perform daily-life activity, period after disease-onset, social support and fatigue revealed indirect effects on the quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. 4. The factors, burden and role satisfaction revealed significant direct effects on the quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. 5. All predictive variables of quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient, especially economic status, physical ability to perform daily-life activity, period after disease-onset, social support, fatigue, burden and role satisfaction explained 38.0% of the total variance in the model. In conclusion, the derived model in this study is considered appropriate in explaining and predicting quality of life of family caregivers with a chronically ill patient. Therefore it can effectively be used as a reference model for further studies and suggests direction in nursing practice.

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Average Length and Bounds on the Busy Period for a k-out-of-n : G System with Non-identical Components

  • Jung, Kyung-Hee
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 1992
  • The model of k-out-of n : G repairable system with identical components is extended to a repairable system with n different components. The objective is to analytically derive the mean time of the busy period for a k-out-of-n : G system with unrestricted repair. Then, the lower and upper bounds on the average time of the busy period of the n-component system with restricted repair are also shown.

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