• Title/Summary/Keyword: 2-부문 모형

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Scenario Analysis of Renewable Transition by 2050 in Korea (2050년 재생가능 에너지 전환 시나리오 분석)

  • Park, Nyun-Bae;Jeon, Eui-Chan
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.134.2-134.2
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    • 2011
  • 정부의 제1차 국가에너지기본계획(국무총리실 외. 2008)과 제4, 5차 전력수급기본계획(지식경제부 2008, 2010)을 바탕으로 장기 에너지 시스템 분석모형인 LEAP(Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system) 모형을 이용하여 2050년까지 발전 부문에서 재생가능 에너지의 확대를 통한 에너지 전환 시나리오에 대하여 정량적인 분석을 하였다. 기준 시나리오, 정부 정책 시나리오, 지속가능 사회 시나리오에 대한 발전량 및 설비 구성, 수입의존도, 연료 다양성 등 에너지 시스템에 대해 분석하는 한편, 온실가스, 대기오염물질, 온배수, 토지이용 등 환경영향을 검토하고, 시나리오별 총 비용을 분석하였다. 본 연구의 의의는 영국, 독일, 미국, 일본 등 선진국에서 전력 장기 시나리오들을 검토하는 한편, 국내 발전 부문 재생가능 에너지 전환의 가능성과 의미에 대해 화두를 던지고자 함이다.

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An Integrated Accounting Data Model and Its Application - Based on Object-oriented Approaches (통합 회계 데이타모형과 그 응용 -객체 중심 접근법을 중심으로-)

  • 남천현;한경석;곽수근
    • The Journal of Information Technology and Database
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.35-54
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    • 1995
  • 회계시스템에 데이타베이스시스템을 도입하는 연구의 주류는 데이타베이스 분야에서 개발된 데이타모형(data mood)을 이용한 회계 데이타모형의 개발에 있었다. 본 연구의 목적은 데이타베이스 분야에서 최근 개발되어 널리 보급되고 있는 객체지향 데이타모형을 적용한 회계 데이타모형(Object-oriented Accounting Data Model; OADM)을 개발하고 응용하는 데 있다. OADM은 회계시스템의 정보제공능력 제고 및 시스템통합의 과제를 해결하는 데 유용한 도구가 될 것이다. OADM은 데이타모형 관점에서 규명된 전통적 회계시스템의 본질을 모형화의 배경으로, REA 모델을 모형화의 기초로, 그리고 객체지향 데이타모형을 모형화의 도구로하여 개발된다. 회계 데이타모형화에 있어서 복합적인 회계데이타의 표현, 복합적이고 까다로운 회계처리절차의 데이타화, 타부문과의 연계, 회계시스템의 변경 및 확장 등의 제 문제점은 기존의 데이타모형으로는 해결하기가 어려우나 객체지향 데이타모형을 회계 데이타모형화에 도입함으로써 이러한 문제점을 해결할 수 있다. 본 연구와 관련한 후행 연구로는 활동중심 원가계산의 모형화, 예산시스템의 모형화 그리고 사무정보시스템의 모형화 등을 들 수 있다. OADM은 이러한 모형화의 기초로 이용될 수 있다. 모형의 실증분석도 가치 있는 미래연구로 본다.

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Climate Change, Agricultural Productivity, and their General Equilibrium Impacts: A Recursive Dynamic CGE Analysis (기후변화에 따른 농업생산성 변화의 일반균형효과 분석)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang;Lee, Hanbin
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.947-980
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes the long-run impacts of climate change on Korean agriculture and economy. We estimate the impacts of climate change on the productivities of major agricultural products including rice, dairy and livestock using both a simulation approach and a semiparametric econometric model. The former predicts a decline in productivity while the latter predicts an increase in productivity due to climate change, especially for rice. A recursive dynamic CGE model is used to analyze the general equilibrium impacts of productivity change under the two different scenarios, derived from the two productivity analysis approaches. The loss of GDP in 2050 is 0.2% or 0.02% of total GDP depending on the scenario. It is shown that the losses in dairy and livestock sectors are larger than that in rice sector, although the losses in those two non-rice sectors have been ignored by most existing works.

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On the Efficacy of Fiscal Policy in Korea during 1979~2000 (우리나라 재정정책의 유효성에 관한 연구)

  • Hur, Seok-Kyun
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.1-40
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    • 2007
  • This paper mainly estimates a trajectory of GDP induced by variations in fiscal expenditure and taxation policy using three variable structural VAR models. By assigning different combinations of identifying restrictions on the disturbances and measuring the corresponding fiscal multipliers, we compare how robust the estimated values of fiscal multipliers are with respect to the restrictions. Then, considering the dependency of Korean economy on the foreign sector, we extend the three variable SVARs to four variable ones by adding a variable reflecting external shocks. Empirical analyses into the Korean quarterly data (from 1979 to 2000) with the three variable SVARs reveal that the size and the significance of the estimated fiscal multipliers in Korea are very small and low or they decay very fast. Results from the four variable SVARs confirm these results while the significance of the effectiveness of fiscal policy is enhanced in some cases.

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Study on Logistics Cost Accounting in University Libraries (대학도서관의 물류비 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Ham Sung-Hun
    • Journal of Korean Library and Information Science Society
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.77-92
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    • 1999
  • This study introduces a new method for Logistics Cost Accounting in University Libraries. Logistics Cost is the cost that arises in the course of physical distribution and causes a serious in crease in the unit cost of a product. Therefore, Logistics Cost Accounting has been used in manufacturing industries to reduce the unit costs of products. There is a definite similarity between the operations of a business and a library. The operations of a business consist of purchasing, production, selling, which is similar to that of a library, where they are called acquisitions, cataloging, physical preparations and circulation. So Logistics Cost Accounting may be applied to a library. With this in mind, we made a model for Logistics Cost Accounting' in University Libraries. Therefore, it can be applied to many university libraries because it is a general model.

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A Research on the development of evaluation model for the government's recognition regarding the program accrediting organizations in Higher Education (고등교육 프로그램 평가인증기관의 정부인정 평가모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Soo;Hwang, Myung-Ku;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2012
  • The Ministry of Education, Science and Technology has been implementing the government's recognition project regarding the program accrediting organizations in Higher Education. This research is to establish an evaluation model for the government's recognition process of the program accrediting organizations, and develop the evaluation categories, items and indices for the model. The research has set the concept for the government's recognition regarding the program accrediting organizations and designed an evaluation model for such organizations. The evaluation model embraces a preliminary evaluation process, assessing an eligibility of the accrediting organizations for the higher education based on the formalities set forth for the government recognition organization accrediting process. It also includes the main evaluation process, which assess the eligibility based on the evaluation standards stipulated in the associated legislation and regulations. In addition, through in-depth verification processes by experts, this research finalized 2 evaluation domains, 5 evaluation categories, 24 evaluation items and 33 evaluation indices.

A Study on Model Establishment of the Validity Evaluation for BTL Project Expenses Using an Analytic Hierarchy Process (계층분석법(AHP)을 이용한 BTL사업비 타당성 평가모형정립에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chun-Kyong;Jung, Young-Han;Park, Tae-Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.905-908
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    • 2008
  • The BTL project, 4 years since its operation, has benchmarked the PFI Project in Japan and has been introduced. Given the evaluation step to select a preferred bidder, in a technological factor, the basic plans are corrected and complemented, whereas in a price factor, the low price bidding system is being enforced. There is concern that how to select preferred bidders and how to operate project costs during operation and management period may be problematic. Thus, in this study, using the Analytic Hierarchy Process, the method of deciding the pribrity to select preferred bidders in an early stage of the project and the evaluation model to evaluate the validity of BTL project expenses in process of project enforcement are established. Targeting the group. composed of experts who have experiences in the BTL project. Then, the levelling of evaluation factors and grouping have been carried out as following: LCC analysis and disbursement for government including two more detailed factors.

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Environmental and Economic Impact of EV and FCEV Penetration into the Automobile Industry: A CGE Approach (전기 및 수소차 보급 확산의 환경적·경제적 영향분석: 계산가능일반균형모형(CGE)의 적용)

  • Han, Taek-Whan;Lim, Dongsoon;Kim, Jintae
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.231-276
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    • 2019
  • This paper analyzed the impact of the penetration of EV(electric vehicle) and FCEV(fuel cell electric vehicle) into the automobile industry, using a static CGE approach. There are contrasting view on the economic impact of EV/FCEV penetration: negative economic impact due to shrunken intermediate inputs versus positive impact because of input saving technical progress. Regarding environment, there is no clear consensus whether EV or FCEV will contribute to the reduction of $CO_2$ emissions in Korea. This study attempts to provide an answer to these questions. By giving shocks to the input coefficients of automobile industries and automobile using sectors, as well as to the final demands for energies. we integrated the Bass diffusion model into the CGE framework, The result suggests that the EV penetration has adverse impact on the $CO_2$ emission while the FCEV penetration has positive impact. On the other hand, both EV and FCEV have positive impacts on GDP. When considering automobile manufacturing sectors only, adverse impacts on $CO_2$ are demonstrated both for EV and FCEV. However, since the size of $CO_2$ increase is small, these results does not alter the overall effects.

Heat-Wave Data Analysis based on the Zero-Inflated Regression Models (영-과잉 회귀모형을 활용한 폭염자료분석)

  • Kim, Seong Tae;Park, Man Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2829-2840
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    • 2018
  • The random variable with an arbitrary value or more is called semi-continuous variable or zero-inflated one in case that its boundary value is more frequently observed than expected. This means the boundary value is likely to be practically observed more than it should be theoretically under certain probability distribution. When the distribution considered is continuous, the variable is defined as semi-continuous and when one of discrete distribution is assumed for the variable, we regard it as zero-inflated. In this study, we introduce the two-part model, which consists of one part for modelling the binary response and the other part for modelling the variable greater than the boundary value. Especially, the zero-inflated regression models are explained by using Poisson distribution and negative binomial distribution. In real data analysis, we employ the zero-inflated regression models to estimate the number of days under extreme heat-wave circumstances during the last 10 years in South Korea. Based on the estimation results, we create prediction maps for the estimated number of days under heat-wave advisory and heat-wave warning by using the universal kriging, which is one of the spatial prediction methods.

An Economic Evaluation on the Direct Payment System for Environment-friendly Agriculture in Korea Using AGE Model (AGE모형을 이용한 친환경농업직불제의 경제적 성과계측)

  • Kim, Myung-Su;Lee, Young-Ho;Kim, Bae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2016
  • This study analyses the macroeconomic effects of the direct payment system (DPS) for environment-friendly agriculture in Korea. We utilized the applied general equilibrium model (AGE model) for the general agricultural sector as well as the environmentally-friendly agricultural sector. We considered several scenarios based on various direct payment amounts to measure and analyze economic impacts. Scenario 1 considers the current direct payment system. Scenario 2 examines an additional 5% increase from the direct payment amount in scenario 1. Scenario 3 reviews an increase of 10% in direct payment amount while Scenario 4 considers an additional increase of 15% compared with Scenario 1. Lastly, scenario 5 examines a 20% increase in direct payment amounts compared with scenario 1. In addition, the baseline considers conditions prior to the introduction of the direct payment system. The simulation analysis results show that capital formation, production volume, and labor productivity increased in the environment-friendly agricultural sector. In contrast, employment in the environment-friendly agricultural sector decreased. The price of environment-friendly agricultural products following the introduction of the DPS remain consistent with the price of environment-friendly agricultural product before introducing the DPS. This results from price elasticity of supply and demand are inelastic, and there is no change in the income of consumers during the analysis period. However, additional research is necessary for improvement of the model using complementary statistical data for the environmental-friendly agriculture sector.