• Title/Summary/Keyword: 2차 회귀석

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Power Demand Estimation of Consuming Facility using Orthogonal Polynomial Regression Model (직교 다항 회귀모델을 이용한 수용설비의 소비전력 추정)

  • 고희석;이충식;지봉호;김일중
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents in the rrethod power demand estimated of consuming facility algorithm using orthogonal polynomial regression rmdel. Estimation rmdel presented can use mathematical rrethod consists. of extrapolation and correlation rrethod, Computation tirre and capacity of presented rmdel was rmre economic than multiple regression rrodel because low-order equation can use in the high-order equation without sorre correction, and vice-versa. Therefore this rmthed can be very usefulness rmthed in the power demand estimation Fourth-order rrodel was very good armng this rrodel that was coJTJp)Sed the estimation rmdel of second, third and fourth-order. Power demand estimated result of consuming facility using correlation rrethod was good in the percentage error of about 2[%1 Also It was to verify efficiency and awroPJiation the estimated rmdel that estimation percentage error was about 1[%] in the oower demand estimated result of 1997.

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Special-Days Load Handling Method using Neural Networks and Regression Models (신경회로망과 회귀모형을 이용한 특수일 부하 처리 기법)

  • 고희석;이세훈;이충식
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.98-103
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    • 2002
  • In case of power demand forecasting, the most important problems are to deal with the load of special-days. Accordingly, this paper presents the method that forecasting long (the Lunar New Year, the Full Moon Festival) and short(the Planting Trees Day, the Memorial Day, etc) special-days peak load using neural networks and regression models. long and short special-days peak load forecast by neural networks models uses pattern conversion ratio and four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models. There are using that special-days peak load data during ten years(1985∼1994). In the result of special-days peak load forecasting, forecasting % error shows good results as about 1 ∼2[%] both neural networks models and four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models. Besides, from the result of analysis of adjusted coefficient of determination and F-test, the significance of the are convinced four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models. When the neural networks models are compared with the four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models at a view of the results of special-days peak load forecasting, the neural networks models which uses pattern conversion ratio are more effective on forecasting long special-days peak load. On the other hand, in case of forecasting short special-days peak load, both are valid.

Evaluation of Efficiency in the Seoul's Arterial Bus Routes Considering Undesirable Outputs (유해산출물을 고려한 서울시 간선버스노선의 효율성 평가)

  • Han, Jin-Seok;Kim, Hye-Ran;Go, Seung-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2010
  • In order to improve the existing evaluation system of bus services and gain more reasonable analysis outputs, the authors evaluate the efficiency of 113 arterial bus routes in Seoul in 2009 using a modified BCC model considering not only desirable outputs but also undesirable outputs. Each Decision Making Unit (DMU) is assumed to use inputs such as possession costs, operating costs, the ratios of median bus stops overlapped route lengths to produce estimates of desirable outputs (the number of passengers and service satisfaction score) and undesirable outputs (CO2 emissions). According to the analysis, the modified BCC model considering both desirable outputs and undesirable outputs shows more appropriate results. DMUs would be more efficient on average to reduce nearly 10% of the 3 inputs (possession costs, operating costs, and overlapped route lengths) and increase by about 160% the ratios of median bus stops. Also, a Tobit regression analysis is conducted to identify the most effective variables for maximum efficiency and discover that the variable of possession costs and the ratios of median bus stops are statistically significant.

Inheritance of Fruit Texture Traits in Oriental Pear (Pyrus pyrifolia var. culta Nakai) (동양배 과실의 육질 관련 형질의 유전분석)

  • Hwang, Hae Sung;Byeon, Jae Kyun;Kim, Whee Cheon;Shin, Il Sheob
    • Horticultural Science & Technology
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.77-83
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    • 2014
  • To improve the breeding efficiency of oriental pear, the inheritance of major fruit traits were analyzed using 4,035 seedlings of 15 cross combinations combined with 13 cultivars. Yearly variation of parental cultivars, broad-sense heritability of the traits, and frequency of seedlings with commercially acceptable characteristics by the mid-parent values were studied. Despite the heritabilities of traits related with pear the fruit texture were different depending on cross combination, the average narrow-sense heritability ($h^2$) for firmness, flesh hardness, flesh density and grit were over 0.6, a relatively high value. However fruit firmness showed different heritability among the cross combination and its value of cross combination between 'Niitaka' and 'Choju' was very low as 0.11. Positive correlation was not observed on fresh hardness, fresh density and grit but observed on firmness between mid-parent value and average value of offspring. Regression of offspring on firmness, fresh hardness, fresh density and grit between mid-parent value and average value of offspring were 0.778, 0.343, -0.273, 0.313, respectively. Frequency distributions of fruit texture in 15 cross combinations of pear seedling was influenced by parental characteristics. When fruit firmness was estimated as low, low ${\times}$ high and high ${\times}$ high values in parental fruits, firmness in their offspring exhibited low, medium and high, respectively. In addition, when parental grit by sensory evaluation were light ${\times}$ light and light-medium ${\times}$ medium-heavy, most of offsprings showed light and medium grit, respectively.

감마선 동위원소 핵종비를 이용한 PWR 사용후핵연료의 연소도 결정

  • 박형종;박대규;박광준;서기석;엄성호;민덕기;노성기
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1998.05b
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    • pp.509-514
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    • 1998
  • ORIGEN-S 전산코드로 계산된 가압경수로(PWR)사용후핵연료 내에 존재하는 방사성핵종비 $^{134}$ Cs/$^{137}$Cs 및 $^{154}$ Eu/$^{137}$Cs 를 감마선 분광실험으로 측정한 값과 비교하여 핵연료의 연소도를 결정하였다. 고리 1호기 및 2호기 사용후핵연료봉에 대한 감마선 분광실험을 한국원자력연구소 조사재시험시설(IMEF)과 조사후시험시설(PIEF)의 시험기기 및 장치를 이용하여 수행하고 이 결과로부터 $^{134}$ Cs/$^{137}$Cs 와 $^{154}$ Eu/$^{137}$Cs 의 핵종비를 측정하였다. 이와 별도로 사용후핵연료의 연소도, 냉각시간, 초기농축도등에 따른 $^{134}$ Cs/$^{137}$Cs 와 $^{154}$ Eu/$^{137}$Cs의 핵종비를 ORIGEN-S 코드로 계산을 하였으며, 이 핵종비와 연소도 사이의 관계를 회귀분석하여 2차 다항식 함수로 유도하였다 이관계식과 감마선 분광실험으로 측정한 $^{134}$ Cs/$^{137}$Cs와 $^{154}$ Eu/$^{137}$Cs 의 핵종비를 이용하여 각각의 연소도를 결정할 수 있었다.

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Optimal Geometric Design of Linear Motor Using Response Surface Methodology (반응표면분석법을 이용한 리니어모터의 형상최적설계)

  • Lee, Tae-Won
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.29 no.9 s.240
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    • pp.1262-1269
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    • 2005
  • Thrust of linear motor is one of the important factor to specify motor performance. Maximum thrust can be obtained by increasing the current in conductor and is relative to the sizes of conductor and magnet. But, the current and the size of conductor have an effect on temperature of linear motor. Therefore, it is practically important to find design results that can effectively maximize the thrust of linear motor within limited range of temperature. Finite element analysis was applied to calculate thrust and the temperature of the conductor was calculated by the thermal resistance. The diameter of copper wire among design variables has discrete value and number of turns must be integer. Considering these facts, special techinque for optimum design is presented. To reduce excessive computation time of thrust in optimization, the design variables was redefined by analysis of variance and second order regression model for thrust was determined by response surface metheodology. As a result, it is shown that the proposed method has an advantage in optimum design of linear motor.

Comparison of nomograms designed to predict hypertension with a complex sample (고혈압 예측을 위한 노모그램 구축 및 비교)

  • Kim, Min Ho;Shin, Min Seok;Lee, Jea Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.555-567
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    • 2020
  • Hypertension has a steadily increasing incidence rate as well as represents a risk factors for secondary diseases such as cardiovascular disease. Therefore, it is important to predict the incidence rate of the disease. In this study, we constructed nomograms that can predict the incidence rate of hypertension. We use data from the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) for 2013-2016. The complex sampling data required the use of a Rao-Scott chi-squared test to identify 10 risk factors for hypertension. Smoking and exercise variables were not statistically significant in the Logistic regression; therefore, eight effects were selected as risk factors for hypertension. Logistic and Bayesian nomograms constructed from the selected risk factors were proposed and compared. The constructed nomograms were then verified using a receiver operating characteristics curve and calibration plot.

Real-space TB-LMTO-recursion Electronic Structure Calculations for Ferromagnetic Fe, Co, and Ni (실공간 TB-LMTO-recursion 전자구조 방법에 의한 자성연구 : Fe, Co, Ni)

  • 박진호;조화석;윤석주;민병일
    • Journal of the Korean Magnetics Society
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.846-853
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    • 1995
  • In order to study electronic structures for locally disordered systems, we have developed a first-principle self-con-sistent-spin-polarized real space band method (TB-LMTO-R), which combines the tight-binding(TB) linear-muffin-tin orbital(LMTO) band rrethod and the recursion(R) rrethod. The TB-LMTO-R rrethod has been applied to fer-romagnetic bec Fe, hcp Co, and fcc Ni. With varying cluster sizes, recursion coefficients, and the order of the TB-Hamiltonian, we have calculated the local density of states(LDOS) and magnetic moments. It is found that the calculation with 5,000 atoms cluster, 40 continued fractions, and the second-order TB-Hamiltonian yields a conver¬gent result in agreement with those from the conventional LMTO. In this way, we have demonstrated a physical transparency of the TB-LMTO-R method as a real space description.

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Labor market forecasts for Information and communication construction business (정보통신공사업 인력수급차 분석 및 전망)

  • Kwak, Jeong Ho;Kwun, Tae Hee;Oh, Dong-Suk;Kim, Jung-Woo
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2015
  • In this era of smart convergent environment wherein all industries are converged on ICT infrastructure and industries and cultures come together, the information and communication construction business is becoming more important. For the information and communication construction business to continue growing, it is very important to ensure that technical manpower is stably supplied. To date, however, there has been no theoretically methodical analysis of manpower supply and demand in the information and communications construction business. The need for the analysis of manpower supply and demand has become even more important after the government announced the road map for the development of construction business in December 2014 to seek measures to strengthen the human resources capacity based on the mid- to long-term manpower supply and demand analysis. As such, this study developed the manpower supply and demand forecast model for the information and communications construction business and presented the result of manpower supply and demand analysis. The analysis suggested that an overdemand situation would arise since the number of graduates of technical colleges decreased beginning 2007 because of fewer students entering technical colleges and due to the restructuring and reform of departments. In conclusion, it cited the need for the reeducation of existing manpower, continuous upgrading of professional development in the information and communications construction business, and provision of various policy incentives.

Effect of the Health Behaviors on Subjective Sleep Problems in an Employees (근로자의 건강행위가 주관적 수면문제에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Chaebong;Ko, Jesuk
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.337-345
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    • 2015
  • Korea worker is well known for its long work and amongst employees and to change un-healthy lifestyle. This study aims to investigate the association between health behaviors and sleep problems in employees. It employed data from the Third Korean Working Conditions Survey (KWCS). The total number of individuals included in the analysis was 34,788 employees, from the 2011 survey. The outcome was sleep problems, which had a prevalence rate of 2.5% in men and 2.3% in women. An adjusted odds ratios were as follows: 2.26(1.75-2.91) for hypertension, 2.21(1.60-3.06) for obesity, 26.82(21.51-33.45) for depression and 2.02(1.64-2.49) for high level of job stress. We need to invest to identify relevant and various health service promotion for sleep problem that un-healthy workers want will use.