• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.755-775
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• 2022

This study empirically analyzes that the asymmetry of domestic gasoline price adjustment to the crude oil price changes can vary depending on the level of gasoline price using quantile autoregressive distributed lag model. The data used are the weekly average Dubai price, domestic gasoline price at refiners and gas stations from the first week of May 2008 to the second week of October 2022. The study estimates three price transmission channels: changes in gas station gasoline prices in response to changes in Dubai oil prices, changes in refiners gasoline prices in response to changes in Dubai oil prices, and changes in gas station prices relative to refiners gasoline prices. As a result, the price adjustment of refiner's gasoline price with respect to Dubai oil price appears asymmetrically across all quantiles of gasoline price, whereas the adjustment of gas station prices for Dubai oil price and refiner's gasoline price tend to be more asymmetric as the quantile of gasoline price increases. Such a result is presumed to be due to changes in the inventory cost of gas stations. When the burden of inventory cost is high, gas stations have an incentive to more actively pass the increased buying price on their selling price.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.9 no.5
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• pp.509-515
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• 2023

Despite the continued development of alternative energies, fuel consumption is increasing. In particular, the price of gasoline fluctuates greatly according to fluctuations in international oil prices. Gas stations adjust their gasoline inventory to respond to gasoline price fluctuations. In this study, news datasets is used to analyze the gasoline consumption patterns through fluctuations of the gasoline inventory. First, collecting news datasets with web crawling. Second, summarizing news datasets using KoBART, which summarizes the Korean text datasets. Finally, preprocessing and deriving the fluctuations factors through N-Gram Language Model and TF-IDF. Through this study, it is possible to analyze and predict gasoline consumption patterns.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.251-279
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• 2013

Prices of oil products such as gasoline and diesel are deregulated since 1997 while electricity price is still controlled by government. This difference may explain recent discrepancy in the patterns of demand for oil products and electricity - constant increase in electricity consumption and stagnant demand for oil. To verify it empirically, we estimate price and income (production) elasticity of demand across time by using a rolling regression with 10 year-window based on monthly data for 1981-2011. Estimation results show that the sensitivity to price in demand for gasoline and diesel has increased since mid-90s while the elasticity of demand for electricity has become smaller. Second, income (production) elasticities of demand have shown no significant changes for both oil products and electricity. Third, cross-price elasticity was found meaningful only for gasoline before mid 1990s and for diesel after then.

• Proceedings of KHEA Conference
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• 2001.04a
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• pp.135-135
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• 2001

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.613-641
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• 2013

This paper uses the error correction model to analyse dynamic gasoline price adjustments of the four refiners. Unlike the existing studies, this model allows a refiner's asymmetric adjustment to changes in the other refiners' prices as well as in its own price and costs. With the estimation results, we can obtain the following findings. First, there are the asymmetric price adjustments to changes in exchange rate and international gasoline price, but showing opposing directions. Second, for most of the refiners, the prices respond immediately to the lagged deviation from the long run equilibrium price, but asymmetrically respond for a few refiners. Third, there are some refiners that adjust their price to the other refiners' price deviation from the long run equilibrium. For some refiners, there are competitive price adjustments to the others' price deviations. These findings imply that a refiner faces inelastic demand, intends to maintain implicitly a relative level of its own price to others, and tends to respond competitively to the others' price deviation from the equilibrium.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.159-164
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• 2024

The domestic petroleum market is highly sensitive to changes in international oil prices. So, it is important to identify and respond to those changes. In particular, it is necessary to clearly understand the factors causing the price fluctuations of gasoline, which exhibits high consumption. International gasoline prices are influenced by global factors such as gasoline supplies, geopolitical events, and fluctuations in the U.S. dollar. However, previous studies have only focused on gasoline supplies. In this study, we explore the causal relationship between economic indicators and international gasoline prices using various machine learning-based regression models. First, we collect data on various global economic indicators. Second, we perform data preprocessing. Third, we model using Multiple linear regression, Ridge regression, and Lasso(Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator) regression. The multiple linear regression model showed the highest accuracy at 96.73% in test sets. As a result, Our Multiple linear regression model showed the highest accuracy at 96.73% in test sets. We will expect that our proposed model will be helpful for domestic economic stability and energy policy decisions.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.495-516
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• 2016

This study empirically examines how asymmetric price adjustment of the retail gas price happens differently for various oil products, such as high-grade gasoline, regular gasoline, and diesel, by employing asymmetric error correction model within weekly data set from 2010~2015. Our estimation results show that the price adjustment, across the all oil types, predicated on shifting crude oil and wholesale oil prices is asymmetric. In addition, the duration of asymmetry was shorter in high-grade gasoline case than in other oil types. This took place by rapid price adjustment of high-grade gasoline price when faced with both cost increases and decreases, in comparison with regular gasoline and diesel cases. There results were attributed by characteristics of the consumer group and a high retail-wholesale margin of high-grade gasoline.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.643-670
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• 2013

This study analyzed the impact of crude oil inventory while gasoline price adjusts to international crude oil price(WTI) fluctuations. We mainly focused on asymmetric relationship between crude oil and petroleum product prices and added oil inventory as an variable, using the error correction model which is based on Borenstein et al.(1997). This paper selected the sample period from January 1988 to December 2012, analyzed the asymmetry of each intervals and the influence of crude oil inventory to the degree of asymmetry changes, both full period and five years period respectively. The results showed that when considering crude oil inventory, existence and degrees of time amount asymmetry varies.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.27-46
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• 2023

This paper investigates how interfuel substitution affects carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions with a focus on the use of biodiesel blended fuels. The results show that the Divisia elasticity of diesel demand is the greatest because the transportation sector relies heavily on diesel. Also, while the own-price elasticity of each fuel demand is negative, the results reveal that diesel demand is more inelastic than the demand for gasoline and LPG. Moreover, gasoline is a substitute for diesel and electricity, and diesel is a substitute for LPG and a complement for electricity. Regarding the effects on carbon dioxide emissions, this paper computes the potential CO₂ emissions associated with interfuel substitution using the coefficients of CO₂ emissions. The results show that using biodiesel blended fuels contributes to reducing CO₂ emissions, but it appears that the price-induced interfuel substitution is a main factor affecting CO₂ emissions.

• Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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• v.40 no.8
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• pp.153-166
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• 2002

This study aims to reveal the influence of price increase in gasoline on household expenditure trade-off. The subjects were 651 households, acquired the first quarter of 1996 and 1997. This study shows the change of the auto fuel budget share in the same household and they were analyzed with the paired t-test, independent t-test. The results are as follows; 1) the price increase of auto gasoline resulted in the increase of its budget share, regardless of a household's true increase or decrease of income. 2) according to price increase in gasoline, the auto fuel budget share has been changed, therefore I divided these changes into three group on the base of it's degree of change. 3) In the group that had a decrease in auto fuel budget share compared to the degree of change, there was a trade-off between the increase in food and light & light water and the decrease of education and auto fuel budget share. Auto fuel in this group was used as discretionary good. 4) In the group that had a similar change in auto fuel budget share compared to the degree of change, there were no trade-off between expenditure items except auto fuel budget share and miscellaneous decrease. This group is the highest income group among the three groups. 5) In the group that had and increase of change in auto fuel budget share compared to the degree of change, there was a trade-off between the increase of eating-out and auto fuel, and the decrease of education and miscellaneous budget share. Auto fuel in this group was used as a discretionary good. 6) trade-off expenditure budget share showed a mixed effect between the influence of increase in gasoline price and influence of increase in true income.