• Title/Summary/Keyword: 환경의 불확실성

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Dependence on Brand by Product type in Online Environment (온라인(Online) 상에서의 제품유형에 따른 소비자의 브랜드 의존성)

  • 최인혁;박주영;이철선
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.109-133
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    • 2002
  • This article examines how consumers in online environments depend on brand in making purchase decisions by product types. Previous research explains that the characteristics of online environments decrease the dependence on brand due to inexpensive search costs and affluent information quantity. But it is likely that in online environment, the dependence on brand will be differentiated by product types. We found that in search product, the availability of information decreased consumer's uncertainty, which, in turn, increased the dependence of brand. However, in experience products, the weakness of multi-sensory increased consumer's uncertainty, which resulted in the increase of the dependence of brand.

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Assessing uncertainty in future climate change in Northeast Asia using multiple CMIP5 GCMs with four RCP scenarios (RCP시나리오 기반 CMIP5 GCMs을 이용한 동북아시아 미래 기후변화 불확실성 평가)

  • Shin, Yonghee;Jung, Huicheul
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.205-216
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    • 2015
  • The CMIP5 climate change scenarios from 34 GCMs were analyzed to quantitatively assess future changes in temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation against the global region and the Northeast Asia region with a focus on South Korea, North Korea, or Japan. The resulting projection revealed that the Northeast Asia region is subjected to more increase in temperature and precipitation than the global means for both. In particular, temperature and precipitation in North Korea were projected to increase about $5.1^{\circ}C$ and 18%, respectively under the RCP 8.5 scenario, as compared to the historical means for 30 years (1971-2000), although a large uncertainty still exists among GCMs. For solar radiation, global mean solar radiation was predicted to decrease with time in all RCP scenarios except for the RCP 2.6 scenario. On the contrary, it was predicted that the amount of solar radiation in the Northeast Asia increases in the future period.

A Numerical Study on the Effects on Consolidation Settlement Behavior due to Uncertainty of Compression Index (압축지수의 불확실성이 압밀침하 거동에 미치는 영향에 대한 수치적 평가)

  • Byun, Yoseph;Kim, Kwangyoon;Lee, Changki;Chun, Byungsik
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.13 no.11
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2012
  • In this research, the value of consolidation index was investigated. The range of the investigated standard deviation was analyzed and the deviation based settlement was calculated. Also, the compression index, which is the effect of the uncertainty in the ground was analyzed using the flimsy ground construction method. The settlement behavior in each embankment compaction stage was analyzed by applying the precompression load method, drainage expediting method, and displacement method through numerical analysis. In addition to the above, the settlement behavior was studied by analyzing the Piled Raft method which is stable for long term settlement. As a result, the final settlement amount based on average analysis results was that the settlement based on each of the average interpretation value, mean value of the maximum and minimum value and average compression index was different. The result of the comparison shows the difference in variation coefficient by the difference in time. Amongst them, the Piled Raft method shows the most consistent variation coefficient regardless of time and it also was least affected by the compression index of uncertainty.

Uncertainty Analysis of Long-Term Behavior of Reinforced Concrete Members Under Axial Load (축력을 받는 철근콘크리트조 부재 장기거동 예측의 불확실성 분석)

  • Yoo, Jae-Wook;Kim, Seung-Nam;Yu, Eun-Jong;Ha, Tae-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.343-350
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    • 2014
  • A probabilistic construction stage analysis using the Monte Carlo Simulation was performed to address the effects of uncertainty regarding the material properties, environmental factors, and applied forces. In the previous research, creep and shrinkage were assumed to be completely independent random variables. However, because of the common influencing factors in the material models for the creep and shrinkage estimation, strong correlation between creep and shrinkage can be presumed. In this paper, an Monte Carlo Simulation using CEB-FIB creep and shrinkage equations were performed to actually evaluate the correlation coefficient between two phenomena, and then another Monte Carlo Simulation to evaluate the statistical properties of axial strain affected by partially correlated random variables including the material properties, environmental factors, and applied forces. The results of Monte Carlo Simulation were compared with measured strains of a column on a first story in a 58-story building. Comparison indicated that the variation due to the uncertainty related with the material properties were most severe. And measured strains was within the range of mean+standard deviation.

Performance Analysis of an Energy Detection Based Cooperative Spectrum Sensing with a Single Threshold in the Presence of Noise Uncertainty (잡음 전력의 불확실성이 존재하는 환경에서 단일 임계값을 사용하는 에너지 검파 기반 협력 스펙트럼 감지의 성능 분석)

  • Lim, Chang Heon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.23 no.12
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    • pp.1406-1411
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    • 2012
  • An energy detection based spectrum sensing has been found to be vulnerable to the noise power uncertainty. A cooperative spectrum sensing with an energy detector has appeared as one of the solutions to alleviate this difficulty. However, its performance analysis in a fading environment has not been reported yet in the literature. Motivated by this, this paper presents the performance analysis of the scheme by extending our previous work on evaluating the performance of an energy detector in the presence of noise power uncertainty. The analysis shows that the false alarm probability and detection probability gets higher as the sensing time and/or the number of the secondary users in the OR based cooperative spectrum sensing scheme increase when the noise power uncertainty exists.

Application of Remote Sensing Technology for Developing REDD+ Monitoring Systems (REDD+ 모니터링 시스템 구축을 위한 원격탐사기술의 활용방안)

  • Park, Taejin;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Jung, Raesun;Kim, Moon-Il;Kwon, Tae-Hyub
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.100 no.3
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    • pp.315-326
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    • 2011
  • In recent years, domestic and international interests focus on climate change, and importance of forest as carbon sink have been also increased. Particularly REDD+ mechanism expanded from REDD (Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation) is expected to perform a new mechanism for reducing greenhouse gas in post 2012. To conduct this mechanism, countries which try to get a carbon credit have to certify effectiveness of their activities by MRV (Measuring, Reporting and Verification) system. This study analyzed the approaches for detecting land cover change and estimating carbon stock by remote sensing technology which is considered as the effective method to develop MRV system. The most appropriate remote sensing for detection of land cover change is optical medium resolution sensors and satellite SAR (Synthetic Aperture Radar) according to cost efficiency and uncertainty assessment. In case of estimating carbon stock, integration of low uncertainty techniques, airborne LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging), SAR, and cost efficient techniques, optical medium resolution sensors and satellite SAR, could be more appropriate. However, due to absence of certificate authority, guideline, and standard of uncertainty, we should pay continuously our attention on international information flow and establish appropriate methods. Moreover, to apply monitoring system to developing countries, close collaboration and monitoring method reflected characteristics of each countries should be considered.

가입자망 투자비 분석 도구 개발을 관한 연구

  • 최재석;윤문길;차동완
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.249-252
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    • 1998
  • 막대한 투자비용이 소요될 것으로 예측되고 있는 초고속 정보통신 가입자망의 구축을 경제적으로 하는 것은 원가절감을 통해 경쟁에서 유리한 위치를 점하려고 하는 망 사업자의 입장에서 볼 때, 필수적 요건이 아닐 수 없다. 다양한 대체기술 존재와 극심한 수요 불확실성으로 대표되는 초고속 가입자망 시장환경은 망사업자의 투자결정을 늦추게 하는 주요한 요인이기도 하다. 본 연구의 목적은 여러 가지 망 구축 기술대안을 평가하기 위한 경제성 분석 절차에 대해 살펴보고 특정지역에의 시장진입시에 고려할 수 있는 망 구축 진화전략을 경제성 분석으로 연결시킬 수 있는 경제성 분석 툴 개발에 있다.

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A Study on Selection of Standard Scenarios in Korea for Climate Change (기후변화 표준 시나리오 선정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2010
  • One of the most important issues for projecting future water resources and establishing climate change adaptation strategies is 'uncertainty'. In Korea, climate change research results were very heterogeneous even in a same basin, but there have been few climate change studies dealt with the uncertainty reduction. This is because emission scenarios, GCMs, downscaling, and rainfall-runoff models that were used in the previous studies were almost all different. In this research, fifty one GCM scenarios based A and B emission scenarios were downloaded and then compared with the observed values for a period from January 2001 to December 2008. The downloaded GCM scenarios in general simulated well the observed but did not simulated well the observed precipitation especially for the flood season in Korea. The accuracy of each GCM scenario was measured with the model efficiency, PDF-based, and Relative Entropy methodology. Among the selected GCM scenarios with three methodologies, the four common GCM scenarios(CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, B1), MIROC3.2medress(NIES, B1), CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, A2), CGCM2.3.2(MRI-M, A1B) were finally selected. Results of the four selected GCMs were heterogeneity and projected increases of precipitation for the Korean Peninsula by from 27.36% to 12.49%, respectively. It seems very risky to rely a water planning or a management policy on use of a single climate change scenario and from this research results. Therefore, the four selected GCM scenarios proposed quantitatively were considered firstly for the water supply in the dry season and the drought management strategy in the Korean Peninsula for the future.

The Influence of Information Security Techno-stress and Organizational Justice on Compliance Intention: Focusing on the Theory of Planned Behavior (정보보안 기술 스트레스와 조직 공정성이 준수 의도에 미치는 영향: 계획된 행동이론을 중심으로)

  • In-Ho Hwang
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.741-752
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    • 2024
  • Organizations amplify their information security (IS) technical investments as the demand for IS escalates. This research suggests conditions for enhancing insider compliance with IS, focusing on the potential for behavior modification through techno-stress and organizational justice, based on the theory of planned behavior. To test the proposed hypothesis, this study utilized a survey methodology on 383 employees from companies with implemented IS. The test results showed that IS techno-stress (overload and uncertainty) caused by reduced attitudes of employees, and organizational justice increased subjective norms, influencing IS compliance intentions along with self-efficacy. Additionally, organizational justice has been found to alleviate the adverse effects of IS overload and uncertainty on attitudes. The findings are expected to help clarify measures for achieving IS performance within the organization by proposing organizational justice conditions to improve the negative IS environment of the organization.

장기에너지 정책방향

  • 이회성
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.46-48
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    • 1992
  • 1990년을 전후한 시기부터 에너지문제는 지구환경문제의 대두와 불확실성의 증대라는 새로운 도전에 직면하고 있다. 21세기의 선진복지국가 실현이라는 국가적인 목표를 달성하기 위해 지속적인 경제성장이 요구되는 우리나라로서는 이와 같은 도전을 극복함으로써 증가하는 에너지수요를 효율적이고도 안정적으로 충족시키는 것이 그 무엇보다 중요한 과제임에 틀림없다. (중략)

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