• Title/Summary/Keyword: 편의 오차

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Assessment of variability and uncertainty in bias correction parameters for radar rainfall estimates based on topographical characteristics (지형학적 특성을 고려한 레이더 강수량 편의보정 매개변수의 변동성 및 불확실성 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Ban, Woo-Sik;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.9
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    • pp.589-601
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    • 2019
  • Various applications of radar rainfall data have been actively employed in the field of hydro-meteorology. Since radar rainfall is estimated by using predefined reflectivity-rainfall intensity relationships, they may not have sufficient reproducibility of observations. In this study, a generalized linear model is introduced to better capture the Z-R relationship in the context of bias correction within a Bayesian regression framework. The bias-corrected radar rainfall with the generalized linear model is more accurate than the widely used mean field bias correction method. In addition, we analyzed variability of the bias correction parameters under various geomorphological conditions such as the height of the weather station and the separation distance from the radar. The identified relationship is finally used to derive a regionalized formula which can provide bias correction factors over the entire watershed. It can be concluded that the bias correction parameters and regionalized method obtained from this study could be useful in the field of radar hydrology.

이원배치모형에서 급내상관계수의 추정

  • 이장택
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.327-338
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    • 1998
  • 이원배치모형에서 급내상관계수에 대한 점 추정문제가 고려된다. 급내 상관계수에 대한 여러 가지 점추정량의 종류를 살펴보고 추정량의 평균자승오차(MSE)과 절대편의를 모의 실험을 통하여 서로 비교하여 본다. 결론적으로 이원배치모형에서의 급내 상관계수는 추정량의 종류에 큰 영향을 받지 않는 것으로 나타났으며, 따라서 계산량이 다른 추정량들에 비하여 적은 헨더슨의 방법 $\textrm{III}$ 추정량을 사용하는 것이 바람직한 것으로 판명되었다.

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Identification of Time-invariant Parameters of Distributed Systems via Extended Block Pulse Operational Matrices (확장된 블록 펄스 연산 행렬을 이용한 분포정수계의 시불변 파라미터 추정)

  • Kim, Tae-Hoon;Lee, Seung;Kim, Jong-Boo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.82-88
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    • 2001
  • This paper considers the problem of the identification of the time invariant parameters of distributed systems. In general, the parameters are identified by using the CBPOM(Conventional Block Pulse Operational Matrices), but in this paper, the parameters ard identified by using the EBPOMS(Extended Block Pulse Operational Matrices) which can reduce the burden of operation md the volume of error caused by matrices multiplication. The simulation cloves the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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확률적(確率的) 변동성하(變動性下)의 통화(通貨)옵션가격결정모형(價格決定模型)의 실증분석(實證分析)

  • Park, Byeong-Su
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.329-357
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    • 1996
  • 본 논문은 확률적 변동성하의 통화옵션가격결정모형에 대하여 실증적으로 검증하였다. 연구결과 OTM, ATM, ITM에서 일정한 변동성을 가정하는 모형가격은 확률적 변동성하의 통화옵션가격결정모형에 비교하여 일치적으로 높게 나타나고 있으며 OTM옵션에 가격결정오차의 크기는 ATM 옵션보다 크게 나타나고 있다. 또한 옵션의 만기가 길수록 가격결정오차의 크기는 커진다는 것을 보여주고 있다. 확률적 변동성하의 통화옵션가격결정모형이 일정한 변동성을 가정하는 통화옵션가격결정모형보다 행사가격과 만기편의를 감소시키며 특히 단기의 만기를 가진 범위에서는 매우 큰 오차감소효과가 나타났다. 따라서 통화옵션가격결정모형을 이용하여 옵션가격을 예측함에 있어 환율변동성이 일정하다는 가정하에서 변동성을 모형에 투입하는 것보다는 환율변동성의 이분산성을 고려하여 추정된 변동성을 모형에 투입하는 것이 통화옵션가격의 예측력을 개선시킬 수 있다고 할 수 있다. 그리고 회귀분석결과 설명력을 나타내는 $R^2$값이 높게 나타나고 있으며, 확률적 변동성하의 통화옵션가격결정모형의 $R^2$값이 일정한 변동성을 가정하는 모형의 $R^2$보다는 높게 나타나고 있다.

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A Study on the Fracture Behavior of Composite Laminated T-Joints Using AE (AE를 이용한 복합재료 T 조인트부의 파괴거동에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, J.H.;Ahn, B.W.;Sa, J.W.;Park, B.J.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.277-287
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    • 1999
  • Quasi-static tests such as monotonic tension and loading/unloading tension were performed to investigate the bond characteristics and the failure processes for the T-joint specimens made from fiber/epoxy composite material. Two types of specimens, each consists of two components, e. g. skin and frame. were manufactured by co-curing and secondary bonding. During the monotonic tension test, AE instrument was used to predict AE signal at the initial and middle stage of the damage propagation. The damage initiation and progression were monitored optically using m (Charge Coupled Device) camera. And the internal crack front profile was examined using ultrasonic C-scan. The results indicate that the loads representing the abrupt increase of the AE signal are within the error range of 5 percent comparing to the loads shown in the load-time curve. Also it is shown that the initiation of crack occurred in the noodle region for both co-cured and secondarily bonded specimen. The final failure occurred in the noodle region for the co-cured specimen. but at the skin/frame termination point for the secondarily bonded specimen. Based on the results, it was found that two kinds of specimen show different failure modes depending on the manufacturing methods.

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Evaluation of Ground-Truth Results of Radar Rainfall Depending on Rain-Gauge Data (우량계 강우 자료에 따른 레이더 강우의 지상보정 결과 검토)

  • Kim, Byoung-Soo;Kim, Kyoung-Jun;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2007
  • This study compares various ground-truth designs of radar rainfall using rain-gauge data sets from Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), AWS and Ministry of Construction and Transportation (MOCT). These Rain-gauge data sets and the Mt. Gwanak radar rainfall data for the same period were compared, and then the differences between two observed rainfall were evaluated with respect to the amount of bias. Additionally this study investigated possible differences in bias due to different storm characteristics. The application results showed no distinct differences between biases from three rain-gauge data sets, but some differences in their statistical characteristics. In overall, the design bias from MOCT was estimated to be the smallest among the three rain-gauge data sets. Among three storm events considered, the jangma with the highest spatial intermittency showed the smallest bias.

Tension Tests of Copper Thin Films (구리박막 시험편의 인장시험)

  • Park, Kyung Jo;Kim, Chung Youb
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.41 no.8
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    • pp.745-750
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    • 2017
  • Tension tests for copper thin films with thickness of $12{\mu}m$ were performed by using a digital image correlation method based on consecutive digital images. When calculating deformation using digital image correlation, a large deformation causes errors in the calculated result. In this study, the calculation procedure was improved to reduce the error, so that the full field deformation and the strain of the specimen could be accurately and directly measured on its surface. From the calculated result, it can be seen that the strain distribution is not uniform and its variation is severe, unlike the distribution in a common bulk specimen. This might result from the surface roughness introduced in the films during the fabrication process by electro-deposition.

Experimental Study on Source Locating Technique for Transversely Isotropic Media (횡등방성 매질의 음원추적기법에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Choi, Seung-Beum;Jeon, Seokwon
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.56-67
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    • 2015
  • In this study, a source locating technique applicable to transversely isotropic media was developed. Wave velocity anisotropy was considered based on the partition approximation method, which simply enabled AE source locating. Sets of P wave arrival time were decided by the two-step AIC algorithm and they were later used to locate the AE sources when having the least error compared with the partitioned elements. In order to validate the technique, pencil lead break test on artificial transversely isotropic mortar specimen was carried out. Defining the absolute error as the distance between the pencil lead break point and the located point, 1.60 mm ~ 14.46 mm of range and 8.57 mm of average were estimated therefore it was regarded as thought to be 'acceptable' considering the size of the specimen and the AE sensors. Comparing each absolute error under different threshold levels, results showed small discrepancies therefore this technique was hardly affected by background noise. Absolute error could be decomposed into each coordinate axis error and through it, effect of AE sensor position could be understood so if optimum sensor position was able to be decided, one could get more precise outcome.

Error cause analysis of Pearson test statistics for k-population homogeneity test (k-모집단 동질성검정에서 피어슨검정의 오차성분 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Heo, Sunyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.815-824
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    • 2013
  • Traditional Pearson chi-squared test is not appropriate for the data collected by the complex sample design. When one uses the traditional Pearson chi-squared test to the complex sample categorical data, it may give wrong test results, and the error may occur not only due to the biased variance estimators but also due to the biased point estimators of cell proportions. In this study, the design based consistent Wald test statistics was derived for k-population homogeneity test, and the traditional Pearson chi-squared test statistics was partitioned into three parts according to the causes of error; the error due to the bias of variance estimator, the error due to the bias of cell proportion estimator, and the unseparated error due to the both bias of variance estimator and bias of cell proportion estimator. An analysis was conducted for empirical results of the relative size of each error component to the Pearson chi-squared test statistics. The second year data from the fourth Korean national health and nutrition examination survey (KNHANES, IV-2) was used for the analysis. The empirical results show that the relative size of error from the bias of variance estimator was relatively larger than the size of error from the bias of cell proportion estimator, but its degrees were different variable by variable.

단일 시료 재현법에 의한 와편의 연대 측정

  • No, Hui-Sam;Kim, Su-Gyeom;Seo, Man-Cheol;Hong, Sa-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2001
  • The roof tiles excavated from the mountain fortress at Namsan-ri Seocheon-gun in Chungnam province were dated by using SAR protocol, Sample preparation was done with the quartz exclusion method. The paleodoses from 6 kinds of roof tiles were obtained from OSL measurements and the does rates of the soil around the excavated roof tiles and the tile themselves were measured from ICP/MS and ICP/AES with the conversion table. From the evaluated paleodose and the dose rate, the age of the roof tiles were determined to be from(733 ± 50)AD to (1160 ± 50)AD and the error was less than 10%.

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