• Title/Summary/Keyword: 퍼지위험분석

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Virtual Construction System for Visualizing Risk Management Information (건설공사 리스크관리기법의 가상건설시스템 연동 방법론 연구)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Seung;Park, Jin-Jung;Park, Nam-Jin;Choi, Gwang-Yeol;Seo, Hwa-Jin;Kang, Leen-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.77-80
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    • 2010
  • 최근 건설 프로젝트의 대형화 및 다양한 신공법들의 도입으로 불확실한 위험도 요인들이 점점 증가함으로써 일련의 시스템적 절차에 따른 리스크관리 (Risk Management)체계와 프로젝트 참여자들간의 효율적인 정보전달 방안이 요구되고 있다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 '리스크 시각화 시뮬레이션 구축 방법론'을 제시한다. 이는 최근 각종공사 정보 시각화부분에서 주목받고 있는 4D CAD 기술과 리스크 분석을 시스템적인 절차로 구성하여 연계한 방법이다. 시스템적 리스크 분석 절차는 리스크관리기법인 AHP 및 퍼지 분석기법을 동시에 적용하여 합리적인 리스크 정량화를 수행할 수 있도록 구성하였다. 그리고 이로부터 산출된 리스크 요인별 위험정도는 WBS 코드체계 기반으로 4D CAD의 공종과 연계되어 리스크 정도 수준에 따라 설정된 색상으로 시뮬레이션이 구현되도록 구성하였다. 이러한 방법론은 IDEF0 모델링 기법으로 제시함으로써 향후 시스템 구축의 기초 자료로 활용할 수 있도록 하였다.

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Implementation of Intelligent Container System and Information Processing Using Fuzzy Logic (지능형 컨테이너 시스템의 구현과 퍼지 논리를 이용한 정보처리)

  • Son, Sang-Hyuk;Kang, Geun-Taek;Lee, Won-Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.398-403
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    • 2009
  • The recent trend of logistics demands for improved monitoring system of the inside of containers including current temperature and other environmental conditions. This paper presents an information processing technique with fuzzy logic that recognizes the current situations inside the target container and can be implemented on intelligent container systems. The ZigBee modules are used to collect information such as temperature, humidity, and shock inside the container in ubiquitous environment. The information processing system using fuzzy logic and the InTouch, one of SCADA(Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition) systems, is implemented to monitor the inside of the container and predict the emergency state.

Early Criticality Prediction Model Using Fuzzy Classification (퍼지 분류를 이용한 초기 위험도 예측 모델)

  • Hong, Euy-Seok;Kwon, Yong-Kil
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.1401-1408
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    • 2000
  • Critical prediction models that determine whether a design entity is fault-prone or non fault-prone play an important role in reducing system development cost because the problems in early phases largely affected the quality of the late products. Real-time systems such as telecommunication system are so large that criticality prediction is more important in real-time system design. The current models are based on the technique such as discriminant analysis, neural net and classification trees. These models have some problems with analyzing cause of the prediction results and low extendability. In this paper, we propose a criticality prediction model using fuzzy rulebase constructed by genetic algorithm. This model makes it easy to analyze the cause of the result and also provides high extendability, high applicability, and no limit on the number of rules to be found.

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A Comparative Study of Fuzzy Relationship and ANN for Landslide Susceptibility in Pohang Area (퍼지관계 기법과 인공신경망 기법을 이용한 포항지역의 산사태 취약성 예측 기법 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Jin Yeob;Park, Hyuck Jin
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.301-312
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    • 2013
  • Landslides are caused by complex interaction among a large number of interrelated factors such as topography, geology, forest and soils. In this study, a comparative study was carried out using fuzzy relationship method and artificial neural network to evaluate landslide susceptibility. For landslide susceptibility mapping, maps of the landslide occurrence locations, slope angle, aspect, curvature, lithology, soil drainage, soil depth, soil texture, forest type, forest age, forest diameter and forest density were constructed from the spatial data sets. In fuzzy relation analysis, the membership values for each category of thematic layers have been determined using the cosine amplitude method. Then the integration of different thematic layers to produce landslide susceptibility map was performed by Cartesian product operation. In artificial neural network analysis, the relative weight values for causative factors were determined by back propagation algorithm. Landslide susceptibility maps prepared by two approaches were validated by ROC(Receiver Operating Characteristic) curve and AUC(Area Under the Curve). Based on the validation results, both approaches show excellent performance to predict the landslide susceptibility but the performance of the artificial neural network was superior in this study area.

A Comparative Study of Fuzzy Based Frequency Ratio and Cosine Amplitude Method for Landslide Susceptibility in Jinbu Area (빈도비와 Cosine Amplitude Method를 이용한 진부지역의 퍼지기반 산사태 취약성 예측기법 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Kang Min;Park, Hyuck Jin
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.195-214
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    • 2017
  • Statistical landslide susceptibility analysis, which is widely used among various landslide susceptibility analysis approaches, predicts the unstable area by analyzing statistical relationship between landslide occurrence locations and landslide controlling factors. However, uncertainties are involved in the procedures of the susceptibility analysis and therefore, fuzzy approach has been used to deal properly with uncertainties. The fuzzy approach used fuzzy set theory and fuzzy membership function to quantify uncertainties involved in landslide controlling factors. Various fuzzy approaches were suggested in the procedure of the membership value determination and fuzzy operation in the previous researches. However, few studies were carried out to compare the analysis results obtained from various approaches for membership function determination and fuzzy operation. Therefore, in this study, the authors selected Jinbu area, which a large number of landslides were occurred at in 2006, to apply two most commonly used methods, the frequency ratio and the cosine amplitude method to derive membership values for each controlling factor. In addition, the integration of different thematic layers to produce landslide susceptibility map was performed by several fuzzy operators such as AND, OR, algebraic product, algebraic sum and Gamma operator. The results of the landslide susceptibility analysis using two different methods for the determination of fuzzy membership values and various fuzzy operators were compared on the basis of ROC graph to check the feasibility of the fuzzy based landslide susceptibility analysis.

AIS 데이터를 활용한 선박궤적의 분석

  • Jeong, Jung-Sik;Park, Gye-Gak;Kim, Eun-Gyeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2012.06a
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    • pp.38-40
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    • 2012
  • 해상 교통량 증가로 급증하는 선박 사고 위험을 줄이기 위해 안전 운항 관리를 위한 연구가 필수적이다. 최근 SOLAS에서 300톤 이상 급에 대해서는 AIS의 의무 장착이 제정되면서 선박 운항의 안전에 크게 기여하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 AIS의 정적, 동적 데이터를 수집하여 항계내 통항 선박의 궤적의 곡률을 분석하여 불규칙 이동 조종선박의 움직임을 파악하였다. 기존의 과거 누적 데이터의 퍼지이론을 활용한 이상 거동의 선박식별 시스템은 전문가 시스템에 의존하여 항적의 비정상성을 판단하므로 항로의 특성에 따른 실 항해상황을 간과할 수 있는 문제점이 있다. 본 연구는 선박 움직임에 대한 궤적의 시간 AIS 정보를 활용하여 항로이탈의 변화율에 해당하는 곡률분석, 항로선으로부터 좌우의 변동을 보다 정확하게 모니터링 할 수 있는 이상 거동 선박을 식별하는 방법을 제안한다. 본 연구는 VTS 및 VMS의 응용서비스로서 해양사고의 사전예방을 위한 연안 및 항만수로의 효율적인 관리에 기여할 것이다.

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A Study on Network based Intelligent Intrusion Prevention model by using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps on Denial of Service Attack (서비스 거부 공격에서의 퍼지인식도를 이용한 네트워크기반의 지능적 침입 방지 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Se-Yul;Kim, Yong-Soo;Sim, Kwee-Bo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.148-153
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    • 2003
  • A DoS(Denial of Service) attack appears in the form of the intrusion attempt and Syn Flooding attack is a typical example. The Syn Flooding attack takes advantage of the weak point of 3-way handshake between the end-points of TCP which is the connection-oriented transmission service and has the reliability This paper proposes a NIIP(Network based Intelligent Intrusion Prevention) model. This model captures and analyzes the packet informations for the detection of Syn Flooding attack. Using the result of analysis of decision module, the decision module, which utilizes FCM(Fuzzy Cognitive Maps), measures the degree of danger of the DoS and trains the response module to deal with attacks. This model is a network based intelligent intrusion prevention model that reduces or prevents the danger of Syn Flooding attack.

A Study on the Flooding Control System in Underground Premises using Fuzzy Theory and Time Series Forecasting (퍼지이론과 시계열 예측을 통한 지하구내 침수 상황 통제 시스템에 대한 연구)

  • Gang, Min-Hui;Gwon, Dong-Min;Jo, Seong-Won;Kim, Jun-Beom;Jeong, Jong-Uk;Jeong, Jin-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.370-373
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    • 2007
  • 지하구내에 물이 유입되기 시작하면 미리 설치되어 있는 펌프를 동작시켜서 배수를 해야한다. 이 경우 지하구내로 유입되는 물의 경로로 구분한 내수와 외수의 양을 알 수 있다면 위험도의 평가에 있어서 좋지만 유입량을 정확히 알 수 없으므로 시계열 분석으로 미래의 값을 예측하는 방법을 제시하고자 한다. 시계열 분석으로 예측한 값을 토대로 퍼지 이론을 이용한 지하구내 침수 상황 통제 시스템을 구현하였다.

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Application of the Fuzzy Set Theory to Analysis of Accident Progression Event Trees with Phenomenological Uncertainty Issues (현상학적 불확실성 인자를 가진 사고진행사건수목의 분석을 위한 퍼지 집합이론의 응용)

  • Ahn, Kwang-Il;Chun, Moon-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.285-298
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    • 1991
  • An example application of the fuzzy set theory is first made to a simple portion of a given accident progression event tree with typical qualitative fuzzy input data, and thereby computational algorithms suitable for application of the fuzzy set theory to the accident progression event tree analysis are identified and illustrated with example applications. Then the procedure used in the simple example is extended to extremely complex accident progression event trees with a number of phenomenological uncertainty issues, i.e., a typical plant damage state‘SEC’of the Zion Nuclear Power Plant risk assessment. The results show that the fuzzy averages of the fuzzy outcomes are very close to the mean values obtained by current methods. The main purpose of this paper is to provide a formal procedure for application of the fuzzy set theory to accident progression event trees with imprecise and qualitative branch probabilities and/or with a number of phenomenological uncertainty issues.

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Allocation Order of SRU using Analytic Network Process (ANP법을 이용한 수색구조선의 우선 배치순위)

  • Jang, Woon-Jae;Cho, Jun-Young;Keum, Jong-Soo
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.245-251
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    • 2006
  • This is paper aims to evaluate allocation order of SRU using Analytic Network Process. For evaluation, in this paper, assess about person, ship and environment related risk by fuzzy logic and AHP(Analytic hierarchy Process). Also, quantity and quality operation efficiency assess by DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) and Liquate scale. finally total weight calculate by ANP. At the result, Rescue Units of MP, YS RCC/RSC is order higher. Thus, it needs to have more rescue ships and rescue devices for relieving the risk in the future.

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