• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통행속도 추정

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Development of Fuzzy Travel Time Estimator for Interrupted Traffic Flow (단속류 퍼지 통행시간 추정기의 개발)

  • 오기도;김영찬
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2000
  • Two fuzzy travel time estimators for interrupted traffic flow were developed based on field survey data and simulation data 7hat is collected from DETSIM, which is microscopic traffic simulation model that car-following theory is applied. One is FETTOS(Fuzzy Estimator of Travel Time using Occupancy and Spot speed) and the other is FETTOS(Fuzzy Estimator of Travel Speed using Volume and Occupancy). Fuzzy logic controller was applied to the estimators to deal with non-linear relationship between traffic variables and travel time. According to results of simulation and field survey. estimation of travel time can be modeled by using percent occupancy better than any other traffic variables. Detector location from storyline and signal timing Plan of intersection are affected to estimate travel time. With a few findings, the estimator was constructed and its performance was tested for observed travel time data and simulated data. FETTOS which needs signal timing plan and detector location estimates travel time with accurate better than FETSVO does. However. FETSVO has excellent transferability because the estimator needs set of input data only; volume and time mean speed.

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Imputation Model for Link Travel Speed Measurement Using UTIS (UTIS 구간통행속도 결측치 보정모델)

  • Ki, Yong-Kul;Ahn, Gye-Hyeong;Kim, Eun-Jeong;Bae, Kwang-Soo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2011
  • Travel speed is an important parameter for measuring road traffic. UTIS(Urban Traffic Information System) was developed as a mobile detector for measuring link travel speeds in South Korea. After investigation, we founded that UTIS includes some missing data caused by the lack of probe vehicles on road segments, system failures and etc. Imputation is the practice of filling in missing data with estimated values. In this paper, we suggests a new model for imputing missing data to provide accurate link travel speeds to the public. In the field test, new model showed the travel speed measuring accuracy of 93.6%. Therefore, it can be concluded that the proposed model significantly improves travel speed measuring accuracy.

Development of a Freeway Travel Time Estimating and Forecasting Model using Traffic Volume (차량검지기 교통량 데이터를 이용한 고속도로 통행시간 추정 및 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 오세창;김명하;백용현
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.83-95
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    • 2003
  • This study aims to develop travel time estimation and prediction models on the freeway using measurements from vehicle detectors. In this study, we established a travel time estimation model using traffic volume which is a principle factor of traffic flow changes by reviewing existing travel time estimation techniques. As a result of goodness of fit test. in the normal traffic condition over 70km/h, RMSEP(Root Mean Square Error Proportion) from travel speed is lower than the proposed model, but the proposed model produce more reliable travel times than the other one in the congestion. Therefore in cases of congestion the model uses the method of calculating the delay time from excess link volumes from the in- and outflow and the vehicle speeds from detectors in the traffic situation at a speed of over 70km/h. We also conducted short term prediction of Kalman Filtering to forecast traffic condition and more accurate travel times using statistical model The results of evaluation showed that the lag time occurred between predicted travel time and estimated travel time but the RMSEP values of predicted travel time to observations are as 1ow as that of estimation.

A Study on Algorithm for Travel Time Estimation using Restricted GPS Data (제한된 GPS정보를 활용한 통행 시간 추정 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Nam-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.9 no.12
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    • pp.1373-1380
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    • 2014
  • In order to calculate accurate traffic and traffic speed, qualified and sufficient GPS data should be provided. However, it is difficult to provide accurate traffic information using restricted GPS data from probe vehicles because of communication costs. This paper developed a algorithm that recovers links omitted by restricted GPS data with topology information, and calculate traffic speed with original links and recovered links. T traffic information service of city with a new algorithm can provide more accurate traffic and traffic speed than the original system.

A Study on the Travel Speed Estimation Using Bus Information (버스정보기반 통행속도 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Bin, Mi-Young;Moon, Ju-Back;Lim, Seung-Kook
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2013
  • This study was conducted to investigate that bus information was used as an information of travel speed. To determine the travel speed on the road, bus information and the information collected from the point detector and the interval detection installed were compared. If bus information has the function of traffic information detector, can provide the travel speed information to road users. To this end, the model of recognizing the traffic patterns is necessary. This study used simple moving-average method, simple exponential smoothing method, Double moving average method, Double exponential smoothing method, ARIMA(Autoregressive integrated moving average model) as the existing methods rather than new approach methods. This study suggested the possibility to replace bus information system into other information collection system.

Estimation of Link Travel Speed Using Single Loop Detector Measurements for Signalized Arterials (단일루프검지기를 이용한 간선도로 실시간 통행속도 추정 방법론)

  • 김영찬;최기주;김도경;오기도
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.53-71
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents a methodology for estimating average travel speed using volume and occupancy data from single magnetic loop detectors for signalized arterials. Three methods were developed and evaluated using field data: VPLUSKO method, fuzzy control method, and neural network method. While the VPLUSKO method is easy to apply, it results poor performances compared to other methods. The neural network method showed the best performances among the candidate methods. This method revealed the weakness in transferability, however. From limited cases of field test, it was concluded that the method of the fuzzy control application showed reasonable performance of estimation. It was also demonstrated that the fuzzy control method has the capability of transferability.

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A Travel Speed Prediction Model for Incident Detection based on Traffic CCTV (돌발상황 검지를 위한 교통 CCTV 기반 통행속도 추정 모델)

  • Ki, Yong-Kul;Kim, Yong-Ho
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2020
  • Travel speed is an important parameter for measuring road traffic and incident detection system. In this paper I suggests a model developed for estimating reliable and accurate average roadway link travel speeds using image processing sensor. This method extracts the vehicles from the video image from CCTV, tracks the moving vehicles using deep neural network, and extracts traffic information such as link travel speeds and volume. The algorithm estimates link travel speeds using a robust data-fusion procedure to provide accurate link travel speeds and traffic information to the public. In the field tests, the new model performed better than existing methods.

Predicting Average Speed within the Enterance and Exit Ramp Junction Areas of Urban Freeway (도시고속도로의 진출·입 연결로 접속구간 내 평균속도의 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae Gon;Kwon, Mi Hyeon;Ji, Seung Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3D
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 2010
  • Average speed denotes a travel speed based on the average travel time of vehicles to traverse a segment of roadway, and average travel speed is used as a measure of effectiveness (MOE) suggested in the highway capacity manual (HCM) for evaluating the level of service (LOS) of roadway. Most of the urban freeways in our country are having congestion problem regardless of the rush hours as a high-speed highway with a speed limit of 80km/h or less. Especially traffic congestion within the ramp junction areas is becoming worse by the increased traffic and lack of links with the arterials around the urban freeway. So, the purpose in this study is to identify the traffic characteristics within the ramp junction areas of urban freeway, predict the average speed within the ramp junction areas based on the traffic characteristics identified, and finally prove the validity of the average speed predicted.

On-Line Travel Time Estimation Methods using Hybrid Neuro Fuzzy System for Arterial Road (검지자료합성을 통한 도시간선도로 실시간 통행시간 추정모형)

  • 김영찬;김태용
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.171-182
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    • 2001
  • Travel Time is an important characteristic of traffic conditions in a road network. Currently, there are so many road users to get a unsatisfactory traffic information that is provided by existing collection systems such as, Detector, Probe car, CCTV and Anecdotal Report. This paper presents the results achieved with Data Fusion Model, Hybrid Neuro Fuzzy System for on - line estimation of travel times using RTMS(Remote Traffic Microwave Sensor) and Probe Data in the signalized arterial road. Data Fusion is the most important process to compose the various of data which can present real value for traffic situation and is also the one of the major process part in the TIC(Traffic Information Center) for analyzing and processing data. On-line travel time estimation methods(FALEM) on the basis of detector data has been evaluated by real value under KangNam Test Area.

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A Study on the Development of a Technique to Predict Missing Travel Speed Collected by Taxi Probe (결측 택시 Probe 통행속도 예측기법 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Byoung Jo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.1D
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2011
  • The monitoring system for link travel speed using taxi probe is one of key sub-systems of ITS. Link travel speed collected by taxi probe has been widely employed for both monitoring the traffic states of urban road network and providing real-time travel time information. When sample size of taxi probe is small and link travel time is longer than a length of time interval to collect travel speed data, and in turn the missing state is inevitable. Under this missing state, link travel speed data is real-timely not collected. This missing state changes from single to multiple time intervals. Existing single interval prediction techniques can not generate multiple future states. For this reason, it is necessary to replace multiple missing states with the estimations generated by multi-interval prediction method. In this study, a multi-interval prediction method to generate the speed estimations of single and multiple future time step is introduced overcoming the shortcomings of short-term techniques. The model is developed based on Non-Parametric Regression (NPR), and outperformed single-interval prediction methods in terms of prediction accuracy in spite of multi-interval prediction scheme.