• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.36 no.1
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• pp.49-62
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• 2023

Solar energy, which is rapidly increasing in proportion, is being continuously developed and invested. As the installation of new and renewable energy policy green new deal and home solar panels increases, the supply of solar energy in Korea is gradually expanding, and research on accurate demand prediction of power generation is actively underway. In addition, the importance of solar radiation prediction was identified in that solar radiation prediction is acting as a factor that most influences power generation demand prediction. In addition, this study can confirm the biggest difference in that it attempted to predict solar radiation using medium-term forecast weather data not used in previous studies. In this paper, we combined the multi-linear regression model, KNN, random fores, and SVR model and the clustering technique, K-means, to predict solar radiation by hour, by calculating the probability density function for each cluster. Before using medium-term forecast data, mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) were used as indicators to compare model prediction results. The data were converted into daily data according to the medium-term forecast data format from March 1, 2017 to February 28, 2022. As a result of comparing the predictive performance of the model, the method showed the best performance by predicting daily solar radiation with random forest, classifying dates with similar climate factors, and calculating the probability density function of solar radiation by cluster. In addition, when the prediction results were checked after fitting the model to the medium-term forecast data using this methodology, it was confirmed that the prediction error increased by date. This seems to be due to a prediction error in the mid-term forecast weather data. In future studies, among the weather factors that can be used in the mid-term forecast data, studies that add exogenous variables such as precipitation or apply time series clustering techniques should be conducted.

• Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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• 2019.07a
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• pp.461-462
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• 2019

본 논문은 실제 차량 운행 조건에서 차량에 적용한 태양광 발전모듈의 발전특성을 분석하였다. 태양광 발전모듈 적용차량의 발전특성 분석을 위해 조도계 및 온도계를 이용한 실제 데이터를 활용하였으며, 차량 조건 및 온도 조건에 따라 발전 가능한 최대전력량을 도출하였다. 태양광 발전모듈에 대한 특성 데이터 및 태양광 발전모듈 적용차량의 실제 도로 운행 시 측정된 일사량 데이터를 통하여 태양광 발전모듈을 탑재한 차량의 발전특성을 연구하였다.

• 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2008.11a
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• pp.208-213
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• 2008

Since The measured solar radiation incident on tilted surfaces by all directions has been widely used as important solar radiation data in installing solar flat-plate collectors. To maximize the incident beam radiation, the slope, which is the angle between the plane of the surface in question and the horizontal, and the solar azimuth angles are needed for these solar thermal systems. This is because the performance of the solar thermal system is much affected by angle and direction of incident rays. Recognizing those factors mentioned above are of importance, actual experiment has been performed in this research to obtain the angle of inclination with which the maximum incident rays can be absorbed. The results obtained in this research could be used in installing optimal solar flat-plate collectors.

• Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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• 2016.07a
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• pp.473-474
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• 2016

최근 신재생에너지의 보급 정책으로 인해 태양광 또는 풍력과 같은 신재생에너지가 전체 전력 계통에서 차지하는 비율이 증가되고 있는 실정이다. 그러나 신재생에너지는 변동 적이기 때문에 계통의 안정성을 저해하는 원인이 될 수 있다. 이에 따라 각 나라에서는 계통 안정성을 위한 기능들을 요구하고 있으며, 그 요구는 점차 강화되고 있다. 이와 같이 신재생에너지 비율의 증가로 인해 계통 안정성에 대한 문제가 강조되고 있지만, 태양광 분산 발전 시스템의 경우에는 일사량에 의존하여 운전하기 때문에 일사량이 낮거나 야간에는 계통 안정성을 위한 기능을 수행하지 못하는 단점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 일사량이 낮거나 야간에도 계통 안정화를 위해 무효전력 지원이 가능한 확장된 무효전력 운전(EF-RPO: Extended feed-in Reactive Power Operation)방법의 제어 전략을 제안하며, 제안한 방식은 1MVA 계통 연계형 인버터의 제작과 실험을 통해 검증하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.19-25
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• 2004

The measured solar radiation incident on tilted surfaces by all directions has been widely used as important solar radiation data in installing photovoltaic modules. To maximize the incident beam radiation, the slope, which is the angle between the plane of the surface in question and the horizontal, an4 the solar azimuth angles are needed for these solar photovoltaic systems. This is because the performance of the solar photovoltaic systems is much affected by angle and direction of incident rays. Recognizing those factors mentioned above are of importance, actual experiment has been performed in this research to obtain the an91e of inclination with which the maximum incident rays can be absorbed. The results obtained in this research could be used in installing optimal photovoltaic modules.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.146-156
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• 2010

The objective of this study was to improve the accuracy of calculation and estimation of solar radiation and duration of sunshine, which are the most important variables of photovoltaic power generation in deciding the location of photovoltaic facilities efficiently. With increasing interest in new and renewable energies, research on solar energy is also being conducted actively, but there have not been many studies on the location of photovoltaic facilities. Thus, this study calculated solar duration and solar radiation based on geographical factors, which have the most significant effect on solar energy in GIS environment, and corrected the results of analysis using diffuse radiation. Moreover, we performed ordinary kriging, a spatial statistical analysis method, for estimating values for parts deviating from the spatial resolution of input data, and used variogram, which can determine the spatial interrelation and continuity of data, in order to estimate accurate values. In the course, we compared the values of variogram factors and estimates from applicable variogram models, and selected the model with the lowest error rate. This method is considered helpful to accurate decision making on the location of photovoltaic facilities.

• Plant Journal
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.41-52
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• 2021

In this study, the PV output and module temperature values were predicted using the Meteorological Agency data and compared with actual data, weather, solar radiation, ambient temperature, and wind speed. The forecast accuracy by weather was the lowest in the data on a clear day, which had the most data of the day when it was snowing or the sun was hit at dawn. The predicted accuracy of the module temperature and the amount of power generation according to the amount of insolation decreased as the amount of insolation increased, and the predicted accuracy according to the ambient temperature decreased as the module temperature increased as the ambient temperature increased and the amount of power generated lowered the ambient temperature. As for wind speed, the predicted accuracy decreased as the wind speed increased for both module temperature and power generation, but it was difficult to define the correlation because wind speed was insignificant than the influence of other weather conditions.

• Solar Energy
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.3-8
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• 1991

There are fifteen solar radiation measurement stations over the entire country in Korea. However, they are not capable of supplying reliable solar radiation data for remote areas including islands. The un-manned automated insolation measurement station is suitable for these areas due to the electric power shortage and the maintenance problems at these isolated areas. Our main aim in this work is to develop a solar radiation measurement system which collects and stores data by itself utilizing a PV module and a battery as power source for entire system irregardless of the environmental condition. A developed KIER's prototype system along with an independent HWS reference system has been installed at the designated remote island, Dok-do. Global solar radiation has been measured every hour for a 6-month period of time by both systems at this site. A comparison between the measured solar radiation data by each system indicates that there is an excellent agreement showing average 3.0% of an absolute error. It has been observed that the 8-month average global solar radiation was $2,330W/m^2$ day at this island. We came to the conservative conclusion that the developed KIER system is applicable for measuring solar radiation and for supplying reliable fundamental design data for solar energy utilization system at the remote areas.

• ICROS
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.19-27
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• 2009

최근에는 여름철 냉방부하가 현격하게 증가하고 있는 상황에서, 일사량 특성공선과 부하특성곡선의 유사성을 이용하여 여름철에 상호보완효과를 얻을 수 있는 태양광발전방식의 보급 활성화는 에너지 소비 측면에서도 매우 바람직하다 할 수 있다.

• Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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• v.32 no.6
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• pp.44-52
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• 2012

In all building's energy simulation applications, solar radiation must be calculated on inclined surfaces. Various solar radiation models based on measured data of specific region were used in building simulation programs. Therefore, we should choose the appropriate solar radiation model for Seoul. The purpose of this study is to compare four solar radiation models on inclined surfaces that are widely used in building energy simulations. In this case, it can be said the appropriate model in Seoul is the Isotropic model.