• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.41 no.10
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• pp.997-1004
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• 2017

The life of elevator wire ropes is one of the most important characteristics of an elevator, which is closely related to the safety of users and its maintenance policy. It is not cost effective to measure the lifetime of elevator wire ropes during their use. In this study, the life estimation of elevator wire ropes (8x19W-IWRC) is considered using accelerated degradation test data. A bending fatigue tester is used to perform the accelerated degradation tests, incorporating the acceleration factor of tensile force. Assuming that the life of wire ropes is log-normally distributed, two life estimation methods are suggested and their results are compared. The first method estimates the life of wire ropes utilizing the accelerated life model with pseudo lives obtained from a linear regression model. The second method estimates the life using a logistic model based on failure probability.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.41 no.4
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• pp.417-428
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• 2021

Since future maintenance cost estimation of infrastructure involves uncertainty, it is important to make use of a failure prediction model. However, it is difficult for local governments to develop accurate failure prediction models applicable to infrastructure due to a lack of budget and expertise. Therefore, this study estimated the life expectancy of asphalt road pavement of national highways using the Bayesian Markov Mixture Hazard model. In addition, in order to accurately estimate life expectancy, environmental variables such as traffic volume, ESAL (Equivalent Single Axle Loads), SNP (Structural Number of Pavement), meteorological conditions, and de-icing material usage were applied to retain reliability of the estimation results. As a result, life expectancy was estimated from at least 13.09 to 19.61 years by region. By using this approach, it is expected that it will be possible to estimate future maintenance cost considering local failure characteristics.

• Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.1-8
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• 2004

In this paper, we propose three estimators of Kullback-Leibler Information functions using the data from accelerated life tests. This acceleration model is assumed to be a cumulative exposure model. Some asymptotic properties of proposed estimators are proved. Simulations are performed for comparing the small sample properties of the proposed estimators under use condition of accelerated life test.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.35 no.4
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• pp.393-400
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• 2011

In this study, a procedure for the inverse estimation of the fatigue life parameters of springs which utilize the field fatigue life test data is proposed to replace real test with the FEA on fatigue life prediction. The Bayesian approach is employed, in which the posterior distributions of the parameters are determined conditional on the accumulated life data that are routinely obtained from the regular tests. In order to obtain the accurate samples from the distributions, the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique is employed. The distributions of the parameters are used in the FEA for predicting the fatigue life in the form of a predictive interval. The results show that the actual fatigue life data are found well within the posterior predictive distributions.

• Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.325-335
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• 2012

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.68-76
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• 2016

The present study proposes the definition of service life and the end-of-life criterion for bridge maintenance. Bridges begin to deteriorate as soon as they are put into service. Effective bridge maintenance requires sound understanding of the deterioration mechanism as well as the expected service life. In order to determine the expected service life of a bridge for effective bridge maintenance, it is necessary to have a clear definition of service life and end-of-life. However, service life can be viewed from several perspectives based on literature review. The end of a bridge's life can be also defined by more than one perspective or performance measure. This study presents definition of service life which can be used for bridge maintenance and the end-of life criterion using the performance measure such as a damage score. The regression model can predict an average service life of bridges using the proposed end-of-life criterion.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.11 no.6
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• pp.1997-2003
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• 2010

Mean Residual Life (MRL) function plays a very important role in the area of engineering, medical science, survival studies, social sciences, and many other fields. Specially, in the reliability study of technical systems, the MRL estimation of a component is very important because the sudden stop of a system brings a serious problem. So, many simulation studies of MRL estimation have been done considering various situation variables. In this paper, four estimators of MRL are proposed under random censoring and their performances re compared through bias and Mean Square Error (MSE) by Monte Carlo simulation.

• Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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• 2010.04a
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• pp.620-623
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• 2010

구조요소의 설계에서 유한요소해석은 매우 효과적인 방법이며 정확한 해석 기술을 요구한다. 그러나 제조 공정이나 환경에 따라 달라지는 재료 물성이나 불확실성을 내포하는 피로 물성을 확정적인 값으로 이용하는 등 입력 변수의 부정확한 정보로 인해 유한요소해석 결과를 신뢰하지 못하는 경우가 자주 발생한다. 실제 시험을 통해 설계의 결과를 예측하는 것은 경제적인 측면과 시간소요 면에서 한계가 따르기에 신뢰할 수 있는 유한요소해석 방법이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 고주기의 피로 해석을 위해 유한요소해석을 이용하여 스프링의 응력-수명(S-N) 파라미터를 역 추정하고 수명을 예측해 보았다. 이를 위해 실제 산업현장에서 쓰이는 자동차 서스펜션 코일 스프링을 예제로 사용하였다. 시험 모델에 대해 불확실성을 고려한 베이지안 접근법을 이용하여 입력변수의 파라미터를 역 추정하였으며, 마코프체인몬테카를로(Markov Chain Monte Carlo) 기법을 이용하여 얻어진 피로 물성 파라미터의 샘플 데이터를 이용해서 유한요소해석을 실시하고 신뢰수준 내에서 새로운 구조요소의 피로수명을 예측하였다.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.8 no.1 s.27
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• pp.131-138
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• 2006

Methods of back calculation for either design procedures or elastic moduli obtained from FWD(Falling Weight Deflectometer) tests have widely been used to predict remaining life of airfield concrete pavements. Since the variation of the elastic modulus obtained from the FWD test depends on the back calculation methods, prediction of remaining life of airfield pavement using the back calculation method has not been reliable. In addition, the FWD method only concentrates on the structural integrity of the pavement without considering functional distress. In this study, a newly developed remaining life estimation procedure is proposed. This methodology includes both structural and functional consideration and suggests models and decision criteria for each stage. In order to improve the estimation procedure on remaining life of pavement, conducted the several tests on an old airfield concrete pavement. As a result, it is concluded that the load transfer efficiency on joint is better for predicting remaining life of pavement than the elastic modulus, which is commonly used. In order to verify applicability of the newly developed estimation procedure and detailed models, investigation and analysis were conducted according to the new methodology on C-airfield pavement. Finally, it is confirmed that the efficiency of the proposed method for practical application was good enough.

• Journal of IKEEE
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.1098-1103
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• 2020

This paper deals with a method for estimating the battery state-of-health(SOH) through electrical experiments and electrochemical modeling of lithium-ion secondary battery. In order to confirm the actual battery SOH through the battery electrical aging experiment, the current integration method was used. The SOH is estimated using the internal resistance value derived from the electrical experiment. Also, in electrochemical modeling, the SOH is estimated through the change of the SEI layer with the increase of the number of cycles. The new SOH is derived by applying weighting factor to the three methods of estimating SOH, including the actual battery SOH.