• Title/Summary/Keyword: 추정가치

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Estimation of citizen's willingness to pay for water quality improvement on urban rivers (도시하천 수질개선을 위한 시민의 지불의사액 추정 연구)

  • Kang, Jiyoon;Yang, Jinwoo;Hwang, Youngsoon;Kim, Keewook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.225-233
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    • 2023
  • Urban rivers and their surrounding environments have been altered due to factors such as rapid economic growth and urban development. This alteration have caused the rivers to lose their original value and become exposed to various pollution, resulting decrease in citizens' quality of life. This study aims to estimate citizens' Willingness To Pay (WTP) for water quality improvement in Suyeong River in Busan. To estimate the non-market value of the Suyeong River, the WTP of Busan citizens for water quality improvement was estimated, applying Contingent Valuation Method (CVM). The WTP for improving the water quality from Grade 4(polluted water) to Grade 2(game fish like bass can live in it) was estimated using the water quality ladder concept of the US Environmental Protection Agency, assuming annual donations for five years. For the CVM, the logistic distribution and Spike Model were adopted. As a result, citizens residing in the surrounding area of Suyeong River expressed a higher WTP. Considering more than half of the Busan citizens are aware of the "conservation of nature and ecosystems" as a major function of the Suyeong River, this higher WTP could serve as a basis for improving the value of urban rivers.

Study to Estimate the Economic Value of Railway Services Using a Contingent Valuation Method Focusing on Tourist Train Service in Korea (조건부 가치추정법을 활용한 국내 관광열차서비스의 가치추정 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Jae;Kim, Hyun-Koo;Ahn, Se-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.120-127
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    • 2017
  • The South Korean rail authority is constructing a nationwide tourism belt by developing new rail tour routes in an effort to combine local tourism resources with rail service and to create value in regional areas. As massive financial resources are required to develop and operate such tourist trains, governing authorities are required to examine the feasibility of this project as a sound business model and to assess the public benefit and profitability of the project. In this study, the economic feasibility of the tourist trains was assessed with the contingent valuation method (CVM). According to an estimation of the willingness to pay of potential tour train passengers, the surveyed subjects were willing to pay fares that were higher than prices currently published at the time of this study, thereby demonstrating that the economic value they invest on tourist trains may be higher than published prices at the time. For instance, they were willing to pay 28.4% and 54.9% more for the O-train and V-train types, respectively, according to the study, suggesting that the quality as perceived by train passengers for tourist train services is relatively high. The study is significant in that it succeeded in quantifying the satisfaction level of tourist train passengers using quantitative data (additional funds people are willing to pay).

Valuing Reduction of Mortality and Cancer Risks from a Contingent Valuation (사망위험감소 및 암 발생확률감소가치의 추정)

  • Hocheol Jeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-26
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    • 2023
  • This study employs the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method to estimate the Value of a Statistical Life (VSL) and the Value per Statistical Case (VSCC) of cancer risk. In contrast to the previous studies, which presented the mortality risk probability directly, the study uses conditional probability, which combines the chance of getting cancer and dying from it. In addition, the study examines the impact of variables that may affect willingness to pay for reducing the risk of death from cancer and getting cancer, such as the impact on daily life and pain levels associated with cancer. The results indicate that the estimated cancer VSL ranges from approximately 952 million won to 3.359 billion won, while the VSCC is estimated to be between about 0.42 billion won and 2.72 billion won. The study finds a significant difference in the VSL depending on whether the reduction in mortality risk is from a decrease in the chance of getting cancer or a decrease in the chance of dying from cancer. However, the effect of impacts on daily activities and pain on willingness to pay is inconclusive.

Option and non-use values of rail services (철도의 선택 및 비사용 가치에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Justin Su-Eun;Kang, Ji-Hye;Lee, Beom-Shin;Yun, Suk-Kang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2008
  • This paper considers option and non-use values of rail services. The total economic value of a given transport service can be classified into use, option and non-use values, other grouping rules can be applied though. The use value is the consumer's surplus from the actual rides of a specific mode. The option value, on the other hand, can be defined as a traveler's willingness to pay for reserving a travel mode, which is not his or her main choice, as a standby alternative. Finally, the non-use value represents benefits that are not attributable to the actual use or option use, but to the vicarious, altruistic, functional and existing worth of a transport service. A stated preference survey based on a double-bounded dichotomous choice is conducted. A survival model is applied to the data collected. Calculations of trip makers' willingness to pay for option and non-use values are based on the parameters of the estimated survival model. Some suggestions for transport appraisal are also presented.

Research of Cognition Degree and Non-market Value for Yeosu World Exposition Expost Facto Service (여수세계박람회장 사후시설 인식도 조사 및 비시장가치 분석)

  • Shin, Seungsik
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to look through the progress of Yeosu Exposition ex-post facto service, to survey the cognition degree of the general public for it, and to estimate the nonmarket value. For such a reason, this paper examines the planning direction and enforcement situation of ex-post facto service first and then conducts a cognition degree survey of the 900 general public in the nation. Also, this paper carries out the nonmarket value of Yeosu EXPO ex-post facto service using CVM. Estimation results is that the annual value of it is 50.8 billion won and the total value for 5 years is 217.1 billion won. These results mean that there is nonmarket high value besides general market value for Yeosu EXPO ex-post facto service, and government should consider this to determine the future of it.

Estimating Confidence Interval of Value of Travel Time(II) (통행시간가치의 신뢰구간 추정(II))

  • 조종래;박철규
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.193-198
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    • 1999
  • An asymptotic distribution of the ratio of two normal vectors is estimated. Using the estimated asymptotic distribution, an approximation method to estimate confidence interval of passenger's value of travel time is proposed. As a result of empirical study the 95% confidence interval of value of travel time of home-to-work trips in city of Seoul is estimated at ₩7341.25$\pm$1945.05/hr.

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Estimation of the value of dam flushing by using Bayesian analysis - the case of Chungju dam (베이지안 추정법을 활용한 댐 추가방류수의 경제적 가치 추정 - 충주댐 사례)

  • Lee, Joo-Suk;Choi, Han-Joo;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.7
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    • pp.467-473
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    • 2017
  • Recently as algae phenomenon has been intensified, the need for additional dam flushing has been raised. To establish the more rational policies concerning the dam flushing, it is necessary to evaluate the dam flushing. This paper attempts to examine households' willingness to pay (WTP) for dam flushing by using a contingent valuation (CV). Especially, unlike other CV studies which used maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), this study employed Bayesian approach. This study surveyed a randomly selected sample of 1,000 households nation-widely, and asked respondents questions in person-to-person interviews about how they would be willing to pay for the additional dam flushing. Respondents overall accepted the contingent market and were willing to contribute a significant amount (1,909.4 won), on average, per household per year. The aggregate value amounts to approximately 35.7 billion won per year.

Estimating the Economic Impacts of Extreme Climate Events on Agriculture: the Case of Gangwon-do (극한 기후변수가 농업에 미친 경제적 효과 추정 -강원도의 사례-)

  • Jeong, Jun-Ho;Lee, Seung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.459-470
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    • 2012
  • This study attempts to estimate the economic effects of extreme climate events on agriculture with the case of Gangwon-do, drawing upon the Ricardian approach based upon the panel data on extreme climate events, soil and geography, farmland prices, and economic and social variables for the 11 municipal units of Gangwon-do during the period of 1993-2010. Our empirical analysis shows that the heavy rainfall-related extreme climate variable negatively affects the prices of rice paddy and dry farm field. The summer-related extreme temperature variables have negative economic impacts on the land values of both farmlands, while the winter-related ones positively affect them except for the extreme cold wave variable.

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Valuation of Han River Waterside Landscape with a Double-bound Dichotomous Choice Model and Policy Implications: Focused on the Exponential Willingness to Pay Model (이중양분선택법에 의한 한강 수변 경관의 가치 추정과 그 시사점 -지수지불의사 모형을 중심으로-)

  • Han, Taek-Whan;Hong, Yiseok;Park, Chang Sug
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.179-214
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    • 2013
  • This paper estimated the value of waterside landscape and ecosystem of Han River basin with a double-bound dichotomous choice type of CVM. We used the exponential willingness to pay model to represent the nonnegative willingness to pay. This model is found to be especially important in analyzing a double-bound dichotomous choice model. The total willingness to pay was estimated as 705.5 billion won per annum. This suggests that current budget size for water quality and ecosystem conservation for Han River needs to be expanded.

Ex-ante and Ex-post Economic Value Analysis on Ecological River Restoration Project (생태하천복원사업 전후 경제적 가치 비교분석)

  • Lee, Yoon;Chang, Hoon;Yoon, Taeyeon;Chung, Young-Keun;Park, Heeyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 2015
  • To assess an economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project, an in-depth exit survey data was collected to apply travel cost method in this study. Poisson model, Negative Binomial, Zero-truncated Poisson, and Zero-truncated Negative Binomial model were executed due to the nature of count data. Empirical results showed that regressors were statistically significant and corresponded to general consumer theory. Since our survey data showed over-dispersion, Zero-truncated Negative Binomial was selected as an optimal one to analyze travel demand of Cheonggyecheon by model goodness of fit test among those aforementioned empirical models. Estimating an economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project, which is known as an ecological river restoration project, we used annual visit of individual traveler and an optimal model. Suffice to say that the annual economic value of Cheonggyecheon river restoration project was estimated as 193.4 billion won in 2013.