• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최우추정

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Trace-Back Viterbi Decoder with Sequential State Transition Control (순서적 역방향 상태천이 제어에 의한 역추적 비터비 디코더)

  • 정차근
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.40 no.11
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a novel survivor memeory management and decoding techniques with sequential backward state transition control in the trace back Viterbi decoder. The Viterbi algorithm is an maximum likelihood decoding scheme to estimate the likelihood of encoder state for channel error detection and correction. This scheme is applied to a broad range of digital communication such as intersymbol interference removing and channel equalization. In order to achieve the area-efficiency VLSI chip design with high throughput in the Viterbi decoder in which recursive operation is implied, more research is required to obtain a simple systematic parallel ACS architecture and surviver memory management. As a method of solution to the problem, this paper addresses a progressive decoding algorithm with sequential backward state transition control in the trace back Viterbi decoder. Compared to the conventional trace back decoding techniques, the required total memory can be greatly reduced in the proposed method. Furthermore, the proposed method can be implemented with a simple pipelined structure with systolic array type architecture. The implementation of the peripheral logic circuit for the control of memory access is not required, and memory access bandwidth can be reduced Therefore, the proposed method has characteristics of high area-efficiency and low power consumption with high throughput. Finally, the examples of decoding results for the received data with channel noise and application result are provided to evaluate the efficiency of the proposed method.

A probabilistic fragility evaluation method of a RC box tunnel subjected to earthquake loadings (지진하중을 받는 RC 박스터널의 확률론적 취약도 평가기법)

  • Huh, Jungwon;Le, Thai Son;Kang, Choonghyun;Kwak, Kiseok;Park, Inn-Joon
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.143-159
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    • 2017
  • A probabilistic fragility assessment procedure is developed in this paper to predict risks of damage arising from seismic loading to the two-cell RC box tunnel. Especially, the paper focuses on establishing a simplified methodology to derive fragility curves which are an indispensable ingredient of seismic fragility assessment. In consideration of soil-structure interaction (SSI) effect, the ground response acceleration method for buried structure (GRAMBS) is used in the proposed approach to estimate the dynamic response behavior of the structures. In addition, the damage states of tunnels are identified by conducting the pushover analyses and Latin Hypercube sampling (LHS) technique is employed to consider the uncertainties associated with design variables. To illustrate the concepts described, a numerical analysis is conducted and fragility curves are developed for a large set of artificially generated ground motions satisfying a design spectrum. The seismic fragility curves are represented by two-parameter lognormal distribution function and its two parameters, namely the median and log-standard deviation, are estimated using the maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) method.

Impact of U.S. Trade Pressure on Korean Domestic Automobile Industry: Centering on Trade Protectionism Expansion (미국의 통상압력에 따른 국내 자동차산업 파급효과: 보호무역주의 확대를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Nam-Suk
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.25-45
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    • 2018
  • This paper estimates the export losses of the Korean domestic automobile industry due to US trade pressure and its economic ripple effects. Using the HS 6 digit tariff and export data from 2010 to 2017, this paper estimates the tariff elasticity of Korea's US automobile exports against a US tariff increase by applying the Poisson Pseudo maximum likelihood estimation method. After estimating Korea's export losses to the US in three trade pressure scenarios, we estimate its impact on Korean domestic production, value-added and job creation by applying the tariff impact accumulation model based on the industry input-output analysis. Empirical results show that the impact of 25% global tariff by the US on the Korean domestic economy is estimated to result in $30.8 billion in export losses for the five years from 2019 to 2023, about 300 thousand job losses, 88.0 trillion in production inducement losses, and 24.0 trillion in value-added inducement losses. The impacts of withdrawal of the automobile tariff concession are estimated at $4.27 billion export losses and 41.7 thousand job losses. A 15% tariff rate on automobile parts for 3 years is estimated to result in $1.93 billion export losses and 18.7 thousand job losses.

Detecting Influential Observations in Multivariate Statistical Analysis of Incomplete Data by PCA (주성분분석에 의한 결손 자료의 영향값 검출에 대한 연구)

  • 김현정;문승호;신재경
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.383-392
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    • 2000
  • Since late 1970, methods of influence or sensitivity analysis for detecting influential observations have been studied not only in regression and related methods but also in various multivariate methods. If results of multivariate analyses sometimes depend heavily on a small number of observations, we should be very careful to draw a conclusion. Similar phenomena may also occur in the case of incomplete data. In this research we try to study such influential observations in multivariate statistical analysis of incomplete data. Case of principal component analysis is studied with a numerical example.

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Derivation of Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency Equation Based on the Approproate Probability Distribution (지속기간별 강우자료의 적정분포형 선정을 통한 확률강우강도식의 유도)

  • Heo, Jun-Haeng;Kim, Gyeong-Deok;Han, Jeong-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 1999
  • The frequency analyses of annual maximum rainfall data for 22 rainfall gauging stations is Korea were performed. The method of moments (MOM), maximum likelihood (ML), and probability weighted moments (PWM) were used in parameter estimation. The GEV distribution was selected as an appropriate model for annual maximum rainfall data based on parameter validity condition, graphical analysis, separation effect, and goodness of fit tests. For the selected GEV model, spatial analysis was performed and rainfall intensity-duration-frequency equation was derived by using linearization technique. The derived rainfall intensity-duration-frequency equation can be used for estimating rainfall quantiles of the selected stations with convenience and reliability in practice.

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Characteristics on the Extreme Value Distributions of Deepwater Design ave Heights off the Korean Coast (한국 연안 심해 설계파고의 극치분포 특성)

  • Shin Taek Jeong;Jeong Dae Kim;Cho Hong Yeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.130-141
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    • 2004
  • For a coastal or harbor structure design, one of the most important environmental factors is the appropriate design wave condition. Especially, the information of deepwater wave height distribution is essential for reliability design. In this paper, a set of deep water wave data obtained from KORDI(2003) were analyzed for extreme wave heights. These wave data at 67 stations off the Korean coast from 1979 to 1998 were arranged in the 16 directions. The probability distributions considered in this research were the Weibull, the Gumbel, the Log-pearson Type-III, and Lognormal distribution. For each of these distributions, three parameter estimation methods, i.e. the method of moments, maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments, were applied. Chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit tests were performed, and the assumed distribution was accepted at the confidence level 95%. Gumbel distribution which best fits to the 67 station was selected as the most probable parent distribution, and optimally estimated parameters and 50 year design wave heights were presented.

Low Flow Frequency Analysis of Steamflows Simulated from the Stochastically Generated Daily Rainfal Series (일 강우량의 모의 발생을 통한 갈수유량 계열의 산정 및 빈도분석)

  • Kim, Byeong-Sik;Gang, Gyeong-Seok;Seo, Byeong-Ha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.265-279
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    • 1999
  • In this study, one of the techniques on the extension of low flow series has been developed, in which the daily streamflows were simulated by the Tank model with the input of extended daily rainfall series which were stochastically generated by the Markov chain model. The annual lowest flow serried for each of the given durations were formulated form the simulated daily streamflow sequences. The frequency of the estimated annual lowest flow series was analyzed. The distribution types to be used for the frequency analysis were two-parameter and three-parameter log-normal distribution, two-parameter and three-parameter Gamma distribution, three-parameter log-Gamma distribution, Gumbel distribution, and Weibull distribution, of which parameters were estimated by the moment method and the maximum likelihood method. The goodness-of-fit test for probability distribution is evaluated by the Kolmogorov-Sminrov test. The fitted distribution function for each duration series is applied to frequency analysis for developing duration-low flow-frequency curves at Yongdam Dam station. It was shown that the purposed technique in this study is available to generate the daily streamflow series with fair accuracy and useful to determine the probabilistic low flow in the watersheds having the poor historic records of low flow series.

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The Comparative Software Cost Model of Considering Logarithmic Fault Detection Rate Based on Failure Observation Time (로그형 관측고장시간에 근거한 결함 발생률을 고려한 소프트웨어 비용 모형에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Soo;Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.335-342
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    • 2013
  • In this study, reliability software cost model considering logarithmic fault detection rate based on observations from the process of software product testing was studied. Adding new fault probability using the Goel-Okumoto model that is widely used in the field of reliability problems presented. When correcting or modifying the software, finite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process model. For analysis of software cost model considering the time-dependent fault detection rate, the parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation of inter-failure time data was made. In this research, Software developers to identify the best time to release some extent be able to help is considered.

A Study on Attribute Analysis of Software Development Cost Model about Life Distribution Considering Shape Parameter of Weibull Distribution (수명분포가 와이블 분포의 형상모수를 고려한 소프트웨어 개발 비용모형에 관한 속성분석 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.645-650
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    • 2018
  • Software stability is the possibility of operating without any malfunction in the operating environment over time. In a finite failure NHPP for software failure analysis, the failure occurrence rate may be constant, monotonically increasing, or monotonically decreasing. In this study, based on the NHPP model and based on the software failure time data, we compared and analyzed the attributes of the software development cost model using the exponential distribution Rayleigh distribution and inverse exponential distribution considering the shape parameter of the Weibull distribution as the life distribution. The results of this study show that the Rayleigh model is the fastest release time and has the economic cost compared to the inverse-exponential model and the Goel-Okumoto model. Using the results of this study, it can be expected that software developers and operators will be able to predict the optimal release time and economic development cost.

Comparative Analysis on the Performance of NHPP Software Reliability Model with Exponential Distribution Characteristics (지수분포 특성을 갖는 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형의 성능 비교 분석)

  • Park, Seung-Kyu
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.641-648
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the performance of the NHPP software reliability model with exponential distribution (Exponential Basic, Inverse Exponential, Lindley, Rayleigh) characteristics was comparatively analyzed, and based on this, the optimal reliability model was also presented. To analyze the software failure phenomenon, the failure time data collected during system operation was used, and the parameter estimation was solved by applying the maximum likelihood estimation method (MLE). Through various comparative analysis (mean square error analysis, true value predictive power analysis of average value function, strength function evaluation, and reliability evaluation applied with mission time), it was found that the Lindley model was an efficient model with the best performance. Through this study, the reliability performance of the distribution with the characteristic of the exponential form, which has no existing research case, was newly identified, and through this, basic design data that software developers could use in the initial stage can be presented.