• Title/Summary/Keyword: 초과변동

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An analysis of changes in the influence of GDP gap on inflation (GDP갭의 물가영향력 변화 분석)

  • Chang, Youngjae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.1377-1386
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    • 2015
  • GDP gap is closely related with economic activity of a country as a whole, especially with the economic fluctuations which is called business cycle. GDP gap is regarded as an important variable for the monetary policy of the central bank because it provides information on the excess demand pressures and employment matters. However, GDP gap may not provide enough information of the effect of recent economic structural change or the environmental change of domestic and external economic condition. In this paper, the GDP is decomposed by statistical filtering techniques and various models are fitted to estimate the influence of GDP gap on Inflation and see if it has been changed. Analysis results show that the influence of GDP gap on inflation decreased in the 2000s while that of global GDP gap increased. These results also support that recent low inflation rate is due to the change of overseas economic condition, such as a slowdown in exports resulting from the global recession, as well as domestic factors.

The Singular Position Detection Method from the Measured Path Loss Data for the Cellular Network (이동 통신 망에서 측정하여 계산된 경로 손실의 급격한 변동 위치 추출 방법)

  • Park, Kyung-Tae;Bae, Sung-Hyuk
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2014
  • The path loss data was re-calculated according to the distance between the base station and a mobile station in the mobile telecommunications network. In this paper, the averaged path loss data was plotted with the conventional path loss models(free space, plane earth, Hata model ${\ldots}$). The standard deviations for the 2 Km, 1 Km, 0.5 Km-interval averaged path loss were 2.29 dB, 3.39 dB, 4.75 dB, respectively. Additionally, the derivative values for the 2 Km, 1 Km, 0.5 Km-interval averaged path loss were evaluated to find the positions with more than 1 times or 2times of the standard deviation. The situations with the sharply fluctuated path loss were calculated to 5 positions in the 2 Km interval, to 7 positions in the 1 Km interval, to 19 positions in the 0.5 Km interval, respectively. And, the exact distances between the base station and a mobile station were found with the sharply fluctuated path loss.

Seasonal Variation in Heavy Metal Removal Efficiency and Application of Risk Assessment for Constructed Wetlands (인공습지에서 중금속 제거율의 계절적 변동 및 위해성평가)

  • Shin, Yu-Ri;Yoon, Chun-Gyeong;Son, Yeong-Kwon;Kim, Hyung-Joong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.52 no.6
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 자유수면형 인공습지에서의 시기적인 중금속 제거율의 변동을 평가하기 위하여 수행되었다. 대상 인공습지의 유입수는 하수처리수가 포함된 하천수이다. 인공습지에는 갈대 (Phragmites australis)와 부들 (Typha latifolia)이 주로 분포하며, 이들 두 종은 습지의 95 % 이상을 차지하는 우점종이다. 2009년 5월부터 9월까지 습지의 유입과 유출부분에서 유입수와 유출수를 시료 채취하였다. 채취된 시료는 ICP-AES 방법을 이용하여 6가지 중금속을 분석하였으며, 위해성 평가를 이용하여 카드뮴 (Cd), 크롬 ($Cr^{+6}$), 비소 (As), 납 (Pb), 니켈 (Ni), 구리 (Cu)의 분석 결과를 평가하였다. 위해성평가는 농부와 레크리에이션에 대한 두가지 시나리오를 바탕으로 이루어졌다. 연평균 중금속 제거율은 계절적인 변화 측면에서 큰 변화를 나타내지 않았다. 위해성 평가 결과 시료가 채취된 부분 및 계절적인 변화 대부분에서 US EPA의 기준인 $10^{-4}$를 초과하지 않는 수준으로 허용가능한 수준이었다. 하지만, 봄철 농부에 대한 위해성평가 결과 위해도가 $10^{-4}$ 수준이며, $10^{-6}-10^{-8}$ 수준은 질병의 이동이 우려되는 수준 (US EPA)임을 감안하여, 인공습지에 중금속 농도 저감 시설의 설치를 고려해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 위해성 평가를 가상의 시나리오에 적용하여 평가를 시도함으로서, 수치적인 자료로 제시할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 중금속의 정량적인 평가를 수행할 수 있었다. 따라서 위해성 평가는 인공습지의 안전성에 대하여 대중과 소통할 수 있는 도구로서 이용할 수 있으며, 인공습지의 효율적인 운영 및 현장 적용에 있어서 스크리닝 도구로서의 역할이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

Standardization of Factors Classification Associated with Cost and Schedule Variations in Road Construction Projects (도로건설공사 공사비·공사기간 증감요인 분류체계 표준화 연구)

  • Mun, Junbu;Lee, Juhui;Baek, Seungwon;Lee, Kangwook;Yun, Sungmin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.821-830
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    • 2023
  • Various studies has tried to unveil causes of cost overrun and schedule delay in the road construction project. However, these causes need standardization due to difference by guidelines, relevant research, and facilities. Therefore, this study identifies and elaborate standard road construction cost and schedule variation factors that can be used in the planning and execution of the project. variation factors have been derived and grouped through literature review and modified and supplemented through expert interview. In addition, the connection with the relevant guidance factors is confirmed and the usability is reviewed by applying actual road construction cases. The factors suggested in this study comprehensively include factors of related guidelines and previous research, more clearly distinguish, support decision making.

Application of Statistical Analysis to Analyze the Spatial Distribution of Earthquake-induced Strain Data (지진유발 변형률 데이터의 분포 특성 분석을 위한 응용통계기법의 적용)

  • Kim, Bo-Ram;Chae, Byung-Gon;Kim, Yongje;Seo, Yong-Seok
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.353-361
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    • 2013
  • To analyze the distribution of earthquake-induced strain data in rock masses, statistical analysis was performed on four-directional strain data obtained from a ground movement monitoring system installed in Korea. Strain data related to the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake and two aftershocks of >M7.0 in 2011 were used in x-MR control chart analysis, a type of univariate statistical analysis that can detect an abnormal distribution. The analysis revealed different dispersion times for each measurement orientation. In a more comprehensive analysis, the strain data were re-evaluated using multivariate statistical analysis (MSA) considering correlations among the various data from the different measurement orientations. $T_2$ and Q-statistics, based on principal component analysis, were used to analyze the time-series strain data in real-time. The procedures were performed with 99.9%, 99.0%, and 95.0% control limits. It is possible to use the MSA data to successfully detect an abnormal distribution caused by earthquakes because the dispersion time using the 99.9% control limit is concurrent with or earlier than that from the x-MR analysis. In addition, the dispersion using the 99.0% and 95.0% control limits detected an abnormal distribution in advance. This finding indicates the potential use of MSA for recognizing abnormal distributions of strain data.

A Study on the Announcement Effect of Corporate Size and Ownership Structure in the Corporate Division (분할기업의 규모와 소유구조에 따른 공시효과에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Bo-Hyung;Chung, Taik-Young;Kim, Byeong-Su;Oh, Hyeon-Tak
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.257-263
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    • 2010
  • We studied about the difference of division public announcements by corporation size and ownership structure from 1999 to 2005. The results is as follow : First, we found most positive numbers in division corporation's CAR. This supports the existing research that corporation division is evaluated positively in the market. We found CAR as largest shareholders' holding more than 40%, which is greater than 0-20% & 20-40%, that shows relatively more negative CAR. So, the exceeded largest shareholders' holding rate (i.e., over 40%) can be a factor for decreasing corporations' value. Also, most positive CAR shows relatively small variation regarding corporation size knowing that big sized corporations have relatively small variation than small sized corporations. Second, we studied about relationship between corporate ownership structure and division public effects and found relatively a little effect by large shareholders, foreign investors' holding variables on division public.

Analysis of Real Estate Investment Trusts' Performance By Risk Adjustment Model (위험조정모형을 활용한 미국 REITs의 부동산 유형별 성과 분석)

  • Park, Won-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.665-680
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    • 2009
  • This study aims at analyzing the performance of Real Estate Investment Trusts(REITs) by Risk Adjustment Model. The main results are as follows. Firstly, most property types of REITs gain positive(+) excess overall returns at first and second period. On the contrary, most property types of REITs gain negative(-) excess overall returns and their standard deviations are larger at financial crisis period. Secondly, lodging, regional mall and commercial mortgage show lower risk-lower return, and freestanding, apartment and specialty show higher risk-higher return than average REITs, according to the CAPM results of . Moreover CAPM results of show the characteristics of REITs as investment commodities changes into higher risk-higher return for financial crisis period. Lastly, risk adjusted demanded returns of REITs are affected positively(+) by systemic risks and negatively(-) by unsystemic risks, according to the Risk Adjustment Model results of both and . Comparing risk adjusted demanded returns of REITs with their realized returns, healthcare reveals the largest outperformance.

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Uncertainty Analysis of Wave Forces on Upright Sections of Composite Breakwaters (혼성제 직립벽에 작용하는 파력의 불확실성 해석)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.258-264
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    • 2011
  • A MCS technique is represented to stochastically analyze the uncertainties of wave forces exerted on the upright sections of composite breakwaters. A stochastical models for horizontal and uplift wave forces can be straightforwardly formulated as a function of the probabilistic characteristics of maximum wave height. Under the assumption of wave forces followed by extreme distribution, the behaviors of relative wave forces to Goda's wave forces are studied by the MCS technique. Double-truncated normal distribution is applied to take the effects of uncertainties of scale and shape parameters of extreme distribution into account properly. Averages and variances of relative wave forces are quantitatively calculated with respect to the exceedance probabilities of maximum design wave height. It is found that the averages of relative wave forces may be decreased consistently with the increases of the exceedance probabilities. In particular, the averages on uplift wave force are evaluated slightly larger than those on horizontal wave force, but the variations of coefficient of the former are adversely smaller than those of the latter. It means that the uncertainties of uplift wave forces are smaller than those of horizontal wave forces in the same condition of the exceedance probabilities. Therefore, the present results could be useful to the reliability based-design method that require the statistical properties about the uncertainties of wave forces.

Decadal Changes in Subsoil Physical Properties as Affected by Agricultural Land Use Types in Korea (농업적 토지이용에 따른 토양물리성 변동 평가)

  • Cho, Hee-Rae;Zhang, Yong-Seon;Han, Kyung-Hwa;Ok, Jung-Hun;Hwang, Seon-Ah;Lee, Hyub-Sung;Kim, Dong-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.567-575
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    • 2018
  • The soil physical quality is a core factor in achieving two of sustainable agriculture's goals: productivity and environment. The purpose of this study was to assess changes in soil physical properties for nearly a decade through periodic monitoring of three cultivation types: upland, orchard, and paddy. Field surveys and lab analysis were conducted to determine the soils physical properties after every 4 years; upland (2009, 2013, and 2017), orchard (2010 and 2014), and paddy (2011 and 2015). In each year soil samples from 162-338 sites were collected. The bulk density of upland subsoil decreased from $1.53Mg\;m^{-3}$ to $1.50Mg\;m^{-3}$ while the plowing depth and subsoil organic matter increased from 13.7 cm to 19.5 cm and from $12.6g\;kg^{-1}$ to $18.3g\;kg^{-1}$ respectively during the period 2009-2017. Plowing depth for orchard increased from 16.7 cm to 18.9 cm. However, organic matter content decreased from $15.9g\;kg^{-1}$ to $15.4g\;kg^{-1}$ during the 2010-2014 period. For paddy, plowing depth and subsoil organic matter decreased from 17.5 cm to 16.7 cm and from $17.5g\;kg^{-1}$ to $15.8g\;kg^{-1}$ respectively. The subsoil bulk density increased from $1.47Mg\;m^{-3}$ to $1.52Mg\;m^{-3}$ from 2011-2015. Excess ratio for soil physical standards increased from 16% to 22% in orchard, 56% to 62% in paddy, and decreased from 41% to 29% in upland. The overall soil physical quality had been ameliorated for upland, but degraded for paddy. Improved tillage practices and application of appropriate organic matter is necessary to enhance the quality of soils, especially in the paddy field.

Development of the voltage management recorder using o dual-slope A/D converter for power distribution lines (Dual-slope A/D 변환을 이용한 배전선 전압관리용 계측기 개발)

  • 손수국
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.38-44
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    • 2002
  • This paper describes the development of a new voltage recorder for the voltage management of power distribution lines. The voltage characteristics and measurement problems for the power distribution lines are analyzed and the functions required for the recorder are discussed. Applying a dual-slope A/D converter with low noise characteristics the voltage measurement algorithm, design and implementation for the recorder are discussed. Finally, the voltage variations of long-duration over-voltages or under-voltages, and short-duration temporary interruption based on IEEE 1159 are analyzed. It is verified with the experiment.