• Title/Summary/Keyword: 증감요인

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An Analysis on the Container Terminal Operation by Considering the Key Factors for Fluctuating Container Traffic Volume (물동량 변동요인이 터미널 운영에 미치는 영향력 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Hyun-Jae;Yeo, Gi-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.95-109
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    • 2011
  • The aim of this study is to analyze the container terminal operation by considering the key factors that fluctuates the container traffic volume using the System Dynamics (SD) method. The target area of this study is the 'A' container terminal which is located in the Port of Incheon and the simulation period is from 2004 to 2020. As evaluation indexes for container terminal operation, three factors such as 'total sales', 'operating ratio of C/Y' and 'operating ratio of G/C' are selected, and as for the key factors of fluctuating container traffic volume, 'variation ratio of world trade', 'variation ratio of trade among three countries in North-East Asia' and 'variation ratio of won-dollar rate are used. As of 2020, the result of this study is that import-export container traffic volume increases almost 880,000TEU and total sales and operating ratio of G/C each reach 7.1 bilion won and 65 percent. No changes however in loadage and operating ratio of C/Y in 'A' container terminal are indicated. The reason is that capability of C/Y is exceeded. Therefore this study suggest that decision-makers of 'A' container terminal realize the importance of additional space of C/Y.

A Study on Forecasting Demand and Supply of Marine Officer for Korean Ocean-Going Merchant Vessels (외항 상선 해기사 인력 수요 및 공급 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Sang-hoon Shin;Yong-John Shin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2024
  • Although the number of ocean-going merchant ships is increasing, the number of Korean marine officers is decreasing. This manpower shortage problem is becoming more serious. This study objectively measured factors determining the demand and supply of ocean-going merchant ship officers and forecasted the exact manpower demand and supply. Demand was predicted by applying the number of ship officers required for each ship size to the number of ships forecasted. The supply was predicted by segmenting by position and age using the Markov model, reflecting increase/decrease factors such as promotion, turnover, retirement, and new entry by year. The demand for ocean-going merchant ship officers will increase from 11,638 in 2023 to 13,879 in 2030 while the supply will decrease from7,006 in 2023 to 6,426 in 2030, with the shortage expected to exceed 10,000 in 2040. This study can be used as a reference to solve the problem of manpower shortage for ocean-going merchant ship officers by improving the accuracy of predictions through objective data, scientific analysis methods, and logical reasoning.

포트폴리오 수익률 예측력에 관한 연구 -다요인모형과 단일요인모형 비교-

  • Ju, Sang-Ryong;Jeong, Mun-Gyeong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.145-170
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    • 2004
  • Roll의 비판 이후 실행된 많은 국내외 연구결과 CAPM으로 설명이 되지 않는 이례 현상(Anomaly)들이 발견되고 있다. 이례 현상들은 다 요인 모형(multi-factor model)과 같은 추가 위험 요인이론, 표본차이이론, 과잉반응 및 특성이론들로 설명되고 있고 이러한 이례 현상들은 재무관리의 지속적인 관심사인 미래의 주가수익률 예측과 밀접한 관계에 있다. 본 연구에서는 이례 현상들이 주가수익률에 미치는 영향을 알아보기 써하여 Haugen and Baker(1996)의 다 요인 및 수익률 추정 방법론을 국내 증권시장에 적용한 다 요인 모형과 $\beta$, 기업규모, PBR, 과거 1년 주가 수익률에 의한 단일 요인 모형을 이용하여 개별 기업의 포트폴리오 구성기준을 결정하고 이 기준에 의거하여 월별로 편입 주식들을 재조정한 포트폴리오들의 년간 누적 실제수익률 예측력을 비교 분석한 결과 다음과 같은 결과를 얻었다. 첫째, 다 요인모형의 경우 기대수익률이 높은 주식으로 구성된 포트폴리오가 기대수익률이 낮은 주식으로 구성된 포트폴리오보다 실제 년간 수익률이 높게 나타난 반면, $\beta$, 기업규모, PBR, 과거 1년 주가 수익률의 요인에 의한 단일 모형을 적용한 포트폴리오는 이들 순위와 실제 수익률간에는 상관성이 높지 않게 나타나 다요인 모형이 주가 수익률 예측력에 있어서 단일요인 모형보다 우수한 것으로 판단된다. 단일모형 중에서는 PBR을 이용한 포트폴리오가 $\beta$ 단일모형보다 좋은 주가수익률 예측력을 보여 주었다. 둘째, 주가 수익률을 결정하는 유의성있는 요인들은 당기순이익의 증감, 당해연도의 당기순이익의 분포, 자산증가율, 매매 유동성, 매출액 변동, 거래량 추세, 기업크기(시가총액), 과거 1개월간의 주가수익률, 자기자본증가율등으로 나타났다.

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Analysis of the Characteristics of Water Quality Difference Occurring between High Tide and Low Tide in Masan Bay (만조와 간조시 마산만 수질의 농도차 발생 특성의 분석)

  • Yoo, Youngjin;Kim, Sung Jae
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.102-113
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    • 2019
  • Slack-tide sampling was carried out at 6 stations at high and low tide for a tidal cycle during spring tide of the early summer (June) and summer (July, August) of 2016 to determine the difference of water quality according to tide in Masan Bay, Korea. The mixing regime of all the water quality components investigated was well explained through the correlation with SAL. In the early summer and summer, TURB, DSi and NNN which mainly flow into the bay from the streams and SS, COD, AMN and $H_2S$ which mainly indicate the internal sink and source materials have a property of conservative mixing and non-conservative mixing, respectively. The conservative mixing showed a good linear relationship of the water quality between high and low tide, and the non-conservative mixing showed a variation of different pattern each other. Factor analysis performed on the concentration difference data sets between high and low tide helped in identifying the principal latent variables for them. In early summer, multiple effects (tidal action, natural influx and internal sinks and sources etc.) acted in combination for the differences to be distributed evenly in four factors (VF1~4), since there were few allochthonous inputs as a low-water season. On the contrary, in summer, the parameters showing large concentration difference at ST-1 affected by stream water were concentrated in one factor (VF1) and clearly distinguished from the parameters affected by the internal sinks and sources. In fact, there is no estuary (bay) that always maintains steady state flow conditions. The mixing regime of an estuary might be changed at any time due to the change of flushing time, and furthermore the change of end-member conditions due to the internal sinks and sources makes the occurrence of concentration difference inevitable. Therefore, when investigating the water quality of the estuary, it is necessary to take a sampling method considering the tide to obtain average water quality data.

LMDI Decomposition Analysis for GHG Emissions of Korea's Manufacturing Industry (LMDI 방법론을 이용한 국내 제조업의 온실가스 배출 요인분해분석)

  • Kim, Suyi;Jung, Kyung-Hwa
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.229-254
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we decomposed Greenhouse-Gas emissions of Korea's manufacturing industry using LMDI (Log Mean Divisia Index) method. Changes in $CO_2$ emissions from 1991 to 2007 studied in 5 different factors, industrial production (production effect), industry production mix (structure effect), sectoral energy intensity (intensity effect), sectoral energy mix (energy-mix effect), and $CO_2$ emission factors (emission-factor effect). By results, the structure effect and intensity effect has a role of reducing GHG emissions and The role of structure effect was bigger than intensity effect. The energy mix effect increased GHG emissions and emission-factor effect decreased GHG emissions. By time series analysis, IMF regime affected the GHG emission pattern. the structure effect and intensity effect in that regime was getting worse. After 2000, in the high oil price period, the structure effect and intensity effect is getting better.

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Analysis of Factors Influencing Oil Tanker Fleet Composition of Domestic Refineries (국내 정유회사의 선대구성에 영향을 미치는 요인의 분석)

  • 백기언;이태우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.257-264
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    • 2003
  • The international oil majors have been reducing the size of their own oil tanker fleet since from the beginning of 1980s. Like international oil majors, the Korean refineries are getting more dependent on tanker chartering than tanker ownership for their oil transportation since 1990s. They also prefer spot charter to time charter and this kind of trend continue up to today. Consequently, this paper attempted to find out factors influencing changes in tanker fleet composition. To attain the object, a empirical study is adopted using the ten decision making factors derived from the preceeding study. The findings are that MARPOL and OPA 90, and transportation cost are the most important factors influencing on oil tanker fleet composition.

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A Study on Factors which affect Immediacy Indexes for Biology Journals (생물학 학술지 즉시성지수(Immediacy Index)의 영향 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Eun-Ja
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.169-186
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    • 2009
  • This paper examined what factors affect the immediacy index showing the average number of times an article is cited in the year it is published. Not only Seventy-one immediacy indexes for subject field biology on JCR 2008 edition were gathered, but also many characteristics of scholarly journals that may influence the indexes directly or indirectly were aggregated. Simple correlation coefficient analysis, factor analysis, and regression analysis were performed on the paper. Therefore factors such as physical volume, availability, forthcoming issue, age and language explaining 67.64% of total variance were identified. After regression analysis using these factors as independent variables, the results were statistically significant. The results showed physical volumes, the total pages of publication, have an influence upon immediacy indexes obviously, although it is expected that journal reputations may affect immediacy indexes. Generally open access journals had high immediacy indexes. High ranked journals on immediacy index were apt to be issued frequently, uploaded very often on PMC, and published in major countries including United States and United Kingdom.

A Study on the Logistics Service Factor of Third Party Logistics Companies (3자 물류기업의 물류서비스 요인분석)

  • Jeong, Jae-Yun;Park, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Hwan-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.129-130
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    • 2019
  • Korea manufacturers(SMEs) try to reduce logistics costs and make its efficiency by out-sourcing to a third party logistics company. It will improving logistics service for customers by reducing logistics management factors and decreasing related logistics. To reduce logistics cost, recently, logistics services have had a great effect on customer satisfaction, particularly, it is necessary to conduct detailed study on the effect on cost. In this study, firstly, we analyze the factor of improvement of logistics service of the third party logistics company based on the questionnaire and analyze quantitatively the effect of cost reduction compared to logistics service improvement through sensitivity analysis for each factor do. The purpose of this study is to clarify the relationship between logistics costs and the increase the logistic service factor.

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모바일 데이터 서비스 사용량 증감에 영향을 미치는 요인들에 관한 연구;이요인 이론(Two Factor Theory)을 바탕으로

  • Lee, Sang-Hun;Kim, Il-Gyeong;Lee, Ho-Geun;Park, Hyeon-Ji
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.06a
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    • pp.885-890
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    • 2007
  • This study is to investigate factors that affect usage change in mobile data service (MDS). In the first, an exploratory study based on 378 survey responses was conducted to learn about important decision factors of MDS usage. It revealed discrepancy between the influencing forces of usage increase and those of usage decrease. Based on the findings from the exploratory study and the two-factor theory, we postulated information quality as the motivator and system quality as the de-motivator (or hygiene) of MDS. Then, a confirmative study was undertaken on their respective role in encouraging and discouraging the usage of mobile data service. A research model was proposed and subsequent hypotheses were empirically tested with partial least square (PLS) based on 478 responses from the users of mobile data service. It was learned that information quality (as a motivator) was positively associated with usage increase in mobile data service, but system quality (as a de-motivator) was not. Also, system quality was negatively associated with usage decrease, but information quality was not. Lastly, their association strength was partially moderated by the type of motivation for using MDS.

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A Study on Developing Building Fire Risk Assessment Model and Its Application in Nonlife Insurer's (손해보험회사의 건물의 화재위험도 평가 모형개발과 적용기법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Dal;Yoon, Myong-O
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 2010.10a
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    • pp.52-62
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    • 2010
  • 우리나라 손해보험 업계의 경영실적을 보면 2003년부터 2007까지 5년간 연평균 1조 1,130억원의 당기순이익이 발생하였으나 이는 투자이익에 기인한 것이고 손해보험사업 본업인 보험영업 손익에 있어서는 연평균 5,218억원의 손실을 기록하고 있다. 이와 같이 손실이 발생한 원인은 손해율 증감에 따른 보험요율의 조정미흡, 손해율상승 및 사업비 증가 등의 요인이 있으나 근본적인 요인은 해외 출수재의 불균등과 과다한 해외출재로 인한 수지차의 역조현상에 기인하고 있다. 특히 화재위험을 담보하고 있는 보험상품인 화재보험과 재산종합보험의 출재보험료는 약3,670억원으로써 전체 해외출재보험료에서 가장 높은 30.8%를 차지하고 있다. 이는 방재기술(Loss Control)의 활용미흡과 방재기술에 근간을 두고 있지 못한 보험인수 정책 즉 언더라이팅(Underwriting)기법의 낙후 때문이라고 할 수 있다. 따라서 전통적인 보험 상품인 화재보험에서 보험인수시 물건의 위험도를 측정할 수 있는 화재위험도 평가기법이 필요하고 이를 근간으로 위험을 인수하고 보유의 규모를 결정할 수 있는 체계의 구축이 필요한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 특정물건의 화재보험 인수과정에서 건물에 내재된 잠재 화재위험의 고저 또는 양 불량을 판정할 수 있는 화재위험도 평가 모형을 개발한 후 이 평가 모형에서 산출된 화재위험도보유계수를 활용하여 보유금액을 결정할 수 있는 보험인수 모형을 도출 하였다.

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