• Title/Summary/Keyword: 중단자료

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종속관측중단이 관측중단된 자료의 적합도 검정에 미치는 영향

  • 김주한;김정란
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 1995
  • 종속 관측중단(dependent censoring)이 카이제곱 형태의 적합도 검정에 어떻게 영향을 미치고 종속도와 관측중단된 정도에 따라 검정의 오류와 검정력이 변화하는 형태를 시뮬레이션을 통해 경험적으로 알아보았다. Sakar(1987)가 제안한 이변량 지수분포로부터 종속 관측중단된 자료를 만들어 Kim(1993)이 제안한 방법과 Akritas(1988)가 제안한 적합도의 검정방법을 적용하였다. 전체적으로 Kim(1993)의 검정법이 더 효과적이었으며 관측 중단된 정도가 클 때는 중속도에 따라 검정의 오류와 검정력이 무척 크게 변하였다.

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Testing for $P(X_{1}\;<\;X_{2})$ in Bivariate Exponential Model with Censored Data (중단자료를 갖는 이변량 지수 모형에서 $P(X_{1}\;<\;X_{2})$에 대한 검정)

  • Park, Jin-Pyo;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.143-152
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we obtain maximum likelihood estimators for $P(X_{1}\;<\;X_{2})$ in the Marshall and Olkin's bivariate exponential model with bivariate censored data. The asymptotic normality of the estimator is derived. Also we propose approximate testing for $P(X_{1}\;<\;X_{2})$ based on the M.L.E. We compare the test powers under vsrious conditions through Monte Carlo simulation.

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Wave Height and Downtime Event Forecasting in Harbour with Complex Topography Using Auto-Regressive and Artificial Neural Networks Models (자기회귀 모델과 신경망 모델을 이용한 복잡한 지형 내 항만에서의 파고 및 하역중단 예측)

  • Yi, Jin-Hak;Ryu, Kyong-Ho;Baek, Won-Dae;Jeong, Weon-Mu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.180-188
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    • 2017
  • Recently, as the strength of winds and waves increases due to the climate change, abnormal waves such as swells have been also increased, which results in the increase of downtime events of loading/unloading in a harbour. To reduce the downtime events, breakwaters were constructed in a harbour to improve the tranquility. However, it is also important and useful for efficient port operation by predicting accurately and also quickly the downtime events when the harbour operation is in a limiting condition. In this study, numerical simulations were carried out to calculate the wave conditions based on the forecasted wind data in offshore area/outside harbour and also the long-term observation was carried out to obtain the wave data in a harbour. A forecasting method was designed using an auto-regressive (AR) and artificial neural networks (ANN) models in order to establish the relationship between the wave conditions calculated by wave model (SWAN) in offshore area and observed ones in a harbour. To evaluate the applicability of the proposed method, this method was applied to predict wave heights in a harbour and to forecast the downtime events in Pohang New Harbour with highly complex topography were compared. From the verification study, it was observed that the ANN model was more accurate than the AR model.

Joint model of longitudinal data with informative observation time and competing risk (결시적 자료에서 관측 중단을 모형화하기 위해 사용되는 경쟁 위험의 적용과 결합 모형)

  • Kim, Yang-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2016
  • Longitudinal data often occur in prospective follow-up studies. Joint model for longitudinal data and failure time has been applied on several works. In this paper, we extend it to the case where longitudinal data involve informative observation time process as well as competing risks survival times. We use a likelihood approach and derive an EM algorithm to obtain maximum likelihood estimate of parameters. A suggested joint model allows us to make inferences for three components: longitudinal outcome, observation time process and competing risk failure time. In addition, we can test the association among these components. In this paper, liver cirrhosis patients' data is analyzed. The relationship between prothrombin times measured at irregular visiting times and drop outs is investigated with a joint model.

Individual, Social Factors, and Experience after School Dropout: Differences between Delinquent and Non-delinquent Dropout Youth (학업중단청소년 중 비행과 일반청소년의 개인사회적요인과 중단후 경험에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Ah
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.216-226
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    • 2012
  • The current study investigated delinquent school- dropout adolescents and general dropouts' differences in individual, social factors and experiences after school dropout. Data was collected through a nationwide survey(N=209) from dropout adolescents. Findings reveal that gender, age, disabilities, work experience parent cohabitation, and residential area were significant in the individual factor. Dropout time, social agency, school return experience, and GED exam pass were significant in the social factors. Groups showed differences in experiences after dropout, and self evaluation while the general group had needs for vocational education. Dropouts wanted to go back to school. Implications such as focusing on differences of each group and developing various education system and policies are needed. Limitations and implications of the study are discussed.

임의중단모형에서 신뢰도의 비모수적 통합형 추정량

  • 이재만;차영준;장덕준
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.685-694
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    • 1998
  • 임상실험이나 신뢰성공학 분야에서 임의 중단자료를 이용한 비모수적 신뢰도 추정량으로 Kaplan-Meier 추정량과 Nelson형 추정량이 많이 사용되고 있다. 그러나 Nelson형 추정량은 평균제곱오차의 관점에서 Kaplan-Meier 추정량보다 추정능력이 우수한 반면 편의는 신뢰도가 감소함에 따라 양의 방향으로 점증하는 소표본 특성을 갖는다. Nelson형 추정량의 이러한 특성 때문에 신뢰도의 함수로 표현되는 잔여수명 분위수함수 등의 추정시에는 평균제곱오차의 관점에서 Kaplan-Meier 추정량보다 추정능력이 떨어짐을 볼 수 있다. 이러한 점을 고려하여 이 두 추정량을 가중평균으로 통합한 새로운 비모수적 신뢰도 추정량을 제안하고 추정량의 특성을 비교 분석하였다.

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The Experience of School Dropout among Multicultural Adolescents (다문화 청소년의 학업중단 경험)

  • Oh, Jung-A;Byoun, Soo-Jung
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.125-136
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to understand school dropout experiences of multiculrual adolescents and to suggest policy of promoting their school adjustment. In-depth interviews are conducted with four multicultural adolescents who have dropped out from school and the interviews were analyzed using the phenomenological analysis method. The current study finds that school dropout experiences of multicultual adolescents could be classified in seven themes and those themes are divided again into 19 sub-themes. The seven main themes are as follows: 'the family in crisis', 'maladjustment in school life', 'discrimination and conflict', 'school-violence victimization', 'school dropout crisis', 'nonoperating the mandatory delay before school dropout program', and 'school dropout'. Based on these results, we would like to provide basic information to prevent multicultural youth's academic suspension.

Hierarchical Bayes Estimation of Parameter and Reliability Function in Doubly Censored Exponential Distribution (양쪽중단된 지수분포의 모수와 신뢰도에 대한 계층적 베이즈추정)

  • 조장식;강상길
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 1999
  • 양쪽중단(doubly censored)된 지수분포에서 모수와 신뢰도함수를 계층적 베이지안(hierarchical Bayesian)방법을 이용하여 추정하였다. 베이즈 계산은 깁스표본기법(Gibbs sampler)을 이용하고 또한 완전조건부 분포(full conditional distribution)의 정량화 상수를 모르는 경우에는 적합기각방법(adaptive rejection sampling)을 이용하였다. 그리고 실제자료를 이용하여 분석을 하였다.

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이변량 1종 중단된 Marshall-Olkin 모형에서 동일성과 독립성 검정

  • 김희재;조장식
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.557-563
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    • 1997
  • Marshall-Olkin의 이변량 지수모형을 따르는 두개의 부품으로 이루어진 시스템에서, 두 부품의 수명들이 이변량 1종 중단된 자료로 관찰되는 경우, 모수에 대한 최우추정량을 구한다. 그리고 두 부품의 수명에 대한 근사적 독립성과 동일성 검정법을 제안하고 몬테칼로 모의실험을 통하여 검정력을 비교하였다.

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The Effects of Depression on Self-Esteem Among School Dropout Adolescents: An Analysis of the Mediating Effect Parental Attachment of Peer Attachment (학업중단 청소년 우울이 자아존중감에 미치는 영향: 부모애착·또래애착의 매개효과)

  • Kim, Nyeon-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.343-350
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to investigate the relationship between depression, self-esteem and parental attachment·peer attachment. The study also examines the mediating effect of parental attachment·peer attachment between depression and self-esteem. For these purposes, 315 school dropout adolescent, excluding missing values, were finally analyzed from the 5th School Dropout Adolescent Panel Study(SDAPS). Correlation analysis, mediation analysis performed using SPSS(21.0 version). The findings of the study were as follows. First, it was identified that parental attachment significantly mediated the relationship between depression and self-esteem. Second, it was identified that peer attachment significantly mediated the relationship between depression and self-esteem. Based on the study results, this research suggested the practice and policy implications to increase parental attachment·peer attachment, especially to the school dropout adolescent as well as to increase their self-esteem.