• Title/Summary/Keyword: 주가반응

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A Study on the Motives of Accounting Changes and Stock Price Effects (회계변경 동기와 주가반응 - 이익유연화와 법인세유연화 측면에서-)

  • Ban, Seon-Seop
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.11
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    • pp.255-276
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    • 1998
  • This study investigates whether listed companies change accounting methods primarily to smooth reported earnings and income taxes, and how the informations of accounting changes affect stock prices. The information of accounting changes includes tax savings, income smoothing, and tax smoothing. The results show that accounting changes are used as an income or tax smoothing instrument(device) in the listed companies which changed their accounting methods from 1991 to 1996. Also, those have a tendency to smooth income and tax simultaneously by accounting changes. Tax savings, income smoothing, and tax smoothing variables by accounting changes are irrelevant to stock prices. Income smoothing variable has a positive association with stock returns in the periods that the abnormal returns cumulated over four months. But tax smoothing variable has a negative association with stock returns in the same periods. More studies on the firms' accounting changes are needed to get a definitive conclusion.

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The Lead-Lag Relationship between KRX Construction Index and Business Survey Index (KRX건설 주가지수와 기업경기실사지수 간의 선행-후행 관계)

  • Han-Soo Yoo
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2023
  • This study explores the interrelationship between 'KRX Construction' and 'Business Survey Index'. KRX Construction is a leading economic indicator of construction industry, implying the potential interdependence with BSI Construction. Previous papers have investigated the relationship between the released stock price index and BSI. Using Granger causality tests, this study investigates how the BSI Construction is associated with the trend and noise-trading components of KRX Construction, respectively. The decomposition of KRX Construction of trend and noise-trading is based on the state-space model. The results document unilateral Granger causalities from released KRX Construction, trend component, noise-trading component to BSI Construction. In sum, this study demonstrates that construction company CEOs view stock price index as a leading economic indicator.

Bigdata Analysis of Fine Dust Theme Stock Price Volatility According to PM10 Concentration Change (PM10 농도변화에 따른 미세먼지 테마주 주가변동 빅데이터 분석)

  • Kim, Mu Jeong;Lim, Gyoo Gun
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.55-67
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    • 2020
  • Fine dust has recently become one of the greatest concerns of Korean people and has been a target of considerable efforts by governments and local governments. In the academic world, many researches have been carried out in relation to fine dust, but the research on the economic field has been relatively few. So we wanted to know how fine dust affects the economy. Big data of PM10 concentration for fine dust and fine dust theme stock price were collected for five years from 2013 to 2017. Regression analysis was performed using the linear regression model, the generalized least squares method. As a result, the change in the fine dust concentration was found to have a effect on the related theme stocks' price. When the fine dust concentration increased compared to the previous day, the fine dust theme stocks' price also showed a tendency to increase. Also, according to the analysis of stock price change from 2013 to 2017 based on fine dust theme stocks, companies with large regression coefficients were changed every year. Among them, the regression coefficients of Monalisa were repeatedly high in 2014, 2015, 2017, Samil Pharmaceutical in 2015, 2016 and 2017, and Welcron in 2016 and 2017, and the companies were judged to be sensitive to the concentration of fine dust. The companies that responded the most in the past 5 years were Wokong, Welcron, Dongsung Pharmaceutical, Samil Pharmaceutical, and Monalisa. If PM2.5 measurement data are accumulated enough, it would be meaningful to compare and analyze PM2.5 concentration with independent variables. In this study, only the fine dust concentration is used as an independent variable. However, it is expected that a more clear and well-explained result can be found by adding appropriate additional variables to increase the explanatory power.

Lock-up Expiration and VC Investments: Impact on Stock Prices (의무보유 종료와 VC투자가 주가에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Jinsuk;Hong, Min-Goo
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.133-145
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    • 2023
  • This paper examines whether investors have adapted to the venture capital(VC) investment style. VC firms invest in privately held companies and generate returns by selling them after the lock-up period expires. We analyze the impact on stock prices before and after the lock-up period expiration, and compare the Cumulative Abnormal Return(CAR) between the past period(2015-2017) and the recent period(2020-2022) to investigate the effect of the second venture boom. The main findings are as follows. First, unlike in the past, stock price returns around the lock-up period expiration have been lower than the KOSDAQ index in recent years. Second, the impact on stock prices is significant for both 1-month and 12-month lock-up periods. Specifically, it is confirmed that stocks held by venture capital and professional investors with a 1-month lock-up period respond in advance to their information after the second venture boom. Finally, we find that there is a difference in CAR depending on whether or not the company received VC investment after the second venture boom. Based on our findings, we suggest that VC firms need to revise their exit strategies to improve performance. This includes finding ways to reduce information asymmetry and fees, as well as developing strategies to mitigate market volatility. Additionally, the current lock-up period for VCs should be reconsidered as it may increase the risk of stock price decline. We recommend that the government revise the scope and duration of lock-up periods to protect investors after IPO.

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Empirical Investigation on Information Breach Effect on the Market Value of the Firm: Focused on Source and Long Term Performance (정보유출이 기업가치에 미치는 효과분석: 원천 및 장기성과)

  • Kwon, Sun Man;Han, Chang Hee
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 2016
  • This paper analyzes the impact of information breach on shareholder value by measuring the stock price reaction associated with the announcements of data breach. The breach firms in the sample lost, on average, 1.3% of their market value, amounting to 98.9 million won of loss within two-day of the event period after the announcement. We examine the abnormal returns in various categories (i.e., source, type, size, etc.) of information breach. Although the market does not react significantly to the announcements of outside breach, we find statistically significant market reactions to inside breach. We estimate abnormal returns over the following 60 days. The mean 60-day cumulative abnormal return and BHAR (buy-and-hold abnormal returns) are both significantly far from zero. We conclude that there is a coherent market reaction following the announcement. The difference between the market reactions to IT firms and Non-IT firms is statistically significant. But breach amount, firm size, and the year the breach occurred do not show to be significant variables.

Information Arrival and Stock Market Volatility Dynamics (정보(情報)의 발생(發生)과 주가(株價)의 변동성(變動性))

  • Rhee, Il-King
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.285-308
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    • 1999
  • 증권의 가격형성에 유리한 뉴스와 불리한 뉴스가 도착할 때 이 뉴스가 주가의 변동성에 미치는 영향의 정도는 차이가 있다. 불리한 뉴스가 변동성에 미치는 영향도가 유리한 뉴스가 변동성에 미치는 영향도보다 크다. 따라서 불리한 뉴스가 발생할 때 형성되는 변동성의 양이 유리한 뉴스의 도착시보다 크다. 그리고 충격의 크기에 따라 이 충격이 야기하는 변동성의 양의 크기에도 차이가 존재한다. 일반 자기회귀 조건부 이분산 과정은 유리한 뉴스와 불리한 뉴스를 대칭적으로 반영하고 있다. 이 뉴스들을 비대칭적으로 포착하는 자기회귀 조건부 이분산 과정의 모형들을 실증적으로 분석하였다. 뉴스의 비대칭성과 규모를 적절히 포착하고 있는 모형들이 비선형 일반 자기회귀 조건부 이분산 과정, 지수 일반 자기회귀 조건부 이분산 과정과 정보 포착 자기회귀 조건부 이분간 과정임이 발견되었다. 이 중 비선형 일반 자기회귀 조건부 이분산 과정이 가장 좋은 모형으로 보인다. 비선형 일반 자기회귀 조건부 이분산 과정의 경우 예측오차의 승멱(power)이 약 1.5이다. 따라서 일반 자기회귀 조건부 이분산 과정의 예측오차의 승멱인 2에 비하여 작다. 이 사실은 일반 자기회귀 조건부 이분산의 예측오차의 승멱이 과도하게 측정되고 없음을 알 수 있다. 뉴스의 비대칭성과 규모를 반영하고 있는 모형들은 한결같이 예측오차의 크기에 적절한 가중치를 부여하여 예측오차의 크기를 조정하고 있다. 이 모형의 성질과 실증분석의 결과에 의하여 예측오차의 승멱은 2 이하로 수정하여 사용해야 한다는 점이 시사되고 있다. 음의 충격이 양의 충격보다 주가의 변동성을 크게 하고 없음이 발견되었다. 주가형성에 유리한 뉴스와 불리한 뉴스가 주가의 변동성에 미치는 영향의 차이와 충격의 중대성을 양으로 표시하는 규모의 차이를 반영해주는 변수들의 추정된 계수가 미국과 일본보다 절대값에 있어서 상당히 작다. 이 현상은 뉴스의 비대칭성과 규모보다는 발생하는 충격, 즉 뉴스 자체에 보다 민감하게 반응하고 있음을 보여주고 있다. 물론 투자자들이 뉴스의 비대칭성과 규모를 완전히 무시하고 투자활동을 전개하고 있다는 것을 의미하는 것은 아니다.

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Liquidity-related Variables Impact on Housing Prices and Policy Implications (유동성 관련 변수가 주택가격에 미치는 영향 및 정책적 시사점에 관한 연구)

  • Chun, Haejung
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.585-600
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study related to the liquidity impact of the housing market variables using vector auto-regressive model(VAR) and empirical analysis is to derive some policy implications. October 2003 until May 2012 using monthly data for liquidity variables mortgage rates, mortgage, financial liquidity, as the composite index and nation, Seoul, Gangnam, Gangbuk, the Apartment sales prices were analyzed. Granger Causality Test Results, mortgage rates and mortgage at a bargain price two regions had a strong causal relationship. Since the impulse response analysis, Geothermal difference there, but housing price housing price itself, the most significant ongoing positive (+) reactions were liquidity-related variables are mortgage loans is large and persistent positive (+), financial liquidity weakly positive (+), mortgage interest rates are negative (-), KOSPI, the negative (-) reacted. Liquidity and housing prices that the rise can be and Gangnam in Gangbuk is greater than the factor that housing investment was confirmed empirically. Government to consider the current economic situation, while maintaining low interest rates and liquidity of the market rather than the real estate industry must ensure that activities can be embedded and local enforcement policies should be differentiated according to the policy will be able to reap significant effect.

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Additional Evidence on the Market Reaction to Stock Option Grants (스톡옵션 부여공시에 따른 주가상승효과 재검토)

  • Sul, Won-Sik;Kim, Soo-Jung
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.61-92
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    • 2003
  • As an extension of previous researches with the conclusion that the announcement of adopting stock options generates positive abnormal returns, this paper examined whether the abnormal return changes over time or varies depending on the number of stock options granted. Empirical analysis was made to find whether the announcement of stock option awards has the same response in the stock market from the early days when stock option plans had been introduced in the Korean stock market till today when it was widespread. Results indicate that the announcement effect had been on a gradual decline since 2000. In addition, it is found that if a company announces stock option awards several times, the abnormal return gradually declines in proportion of the number of stock options granted. This implies that as the stock option awards become widespread, the positive effect that the announcement of adopting stock options generates as news has been on a relatively steady decrease. In short, it leads to a conclusion that the more companies grant stock options, and the more stock options a company announces, the less impact it has on the increase in the firm's value.

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An Examination on Asymmetric Volatility of Firm Size Stock Indices (기업규모 주가지수의 비대칭적 변동성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Minkyu;Lee, Sang Goo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.387-394
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    • 2016
  • The volatility in the stock market responds differently to information types. That is, the asymmetric volatility exists in the stock market which responds more to unexpected negative returns due to bad news than unexpected positive returns due to good news. This paper examines the asymmetric response of the volatility of KOSPI, large-cap, middle-cap, and small-cap indices returns which is announced in Korea exchange (KRX) by using the MA-GJR model and the MA-EGARCH model. According to empirical analyses, it shows that the asymmetric response of volatility exists in all indices regardless of volatility estimation models and the degree of the asymmetric volatility response of the small-cap index returns is greater than that of the large-cap index returns. Moreover, this results also observed robustly during the period of both before and after the global financial crisis.

금융위기 전후의 시장간 동태적 균형관계 분석

  • Kwak, Jong-Mu
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.191-212
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    • 1999
  • 1997년에 우리 나라는 외환충격으로 인한 금융위기 속에서 시장가격이 급격하게 변동하였다. 이로 인해 차익거래를 가능하게 하는 차입과 대출이 크게 제약되었고, 이것은 시장간 균형관계에 중요한 영향을 줄 수 있다. 이에 이러한 금융위기에서도 주요 시장간의 균형관계가 유지되었는지를 검정하는 것이 이 연구의 목적이다. 분석자료로 KOSPI 200 현물 종가 및 선물 결제가격, 연간 회사채 수익률, 양도성 예금 연간이자율, 기준환율의 일일 자료를 사용하였다. 1996년 5월 3일부터 1998년 5월 21일까지의 기간을 외환충격에 의한 금융위기 전, 중, 후의 3단계로 구분하여 각 단계별로 백터오차수정모형 분석과 충격반응분석을 하였다. 금융위기 이전인 제1단계에서는 5개 내생변수간의 균형관계가 존재하였다. 금융위기가 급속하게 진행된 제2단계에서는 균형관계가 존재하지 않았다. 그러나 주가지수, 주가지수 선물가격 및 기준환율 변수를 내생변수로 하고, 나머지 변수를 외생변수로 분석한 경우에는 균형관계가 존재하였다. 금융위기 진정단계인 제3단계에서는 5개 내생변수간의 균형관계가 성립하였다.

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