• Title/Summary/Keyword: 조위

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Hierarchical Bayesian Model Based Nonstationary Frequency Analysis for Extreme Sea Level (계층적 베이지안 모델을 적용한 극치 해수위 비정상성 빈도 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Tak;Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Hwang, Kyu Nam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.34-43
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    • 2016
  • Urban development and population increases are continuously progressed in the coastal areas in Korea, thus it is expected that vulnerability towards coastal disasters by sea level rise (SLR) would be accelerated. This study investigated trend of the sea level data using Mann-Kendall (MK) test, and the results showed that the increasing trends of annual average sea level at 17 locations were statistically significant. For annual maximum extremes, seven locations exhibited statistically significant trends. In this study, non-stationary frequency analysis for the annual extreme data together with average sea level data as a covariate was performed. Non-stationary frequency analysis results showed that sea level at the coastal areas of Korean Peninsula would be increased from a minimum of 60.33 mm to a maximum of 214.90 mm by 2100.

Decomposition of Wave Components in Sea Level Data using Discrete Wavelet Transform (이산형 웨이블릿 변환을 통한 조위 자료 내 파고 성분 분리)

  • Yoo, Younghoon;Lee, Myungjin;Lee, Taewoo;Kim, Soojun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we investigated the effect of wave height in coastal areas using discrete wavelet transform in Taehwa river basin in Ulsan. Through the decomposition result of tide data using daubechies level 7 wavelet and Curve Fitting Function, we confirmed that detail components of d3 and d4 were semidiurnal and diurnal components and approximation component(a6) was the long period of lunar fortnight constituent. The decomposed tide data in six level was divided into tide component with periodicity and wave component with non-periodicity using autocorrelation function and fourier transform. Finally, we confirmed that the tide component is consisted 66% and wave component is consisted 34%. So, we quantitatively assessed the effect of wave on coastal areas. The result could be used for coastal flood risk management considering the effect of wave.

An analysis of Haeundae Beach Coastal Topography change and Sea Level Rise (해수면 상승과 해운대 해수욕장해안지형 변화분석)

  • Kim, Ji-Yong;Choe, Cheol-Ung;Kim, Yeong-Seop
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.173-174
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    • 2008
  • 해안 침식이 진행되고 있는 부산 해운대 해수욕장을 중심으로 해수면 상승에 따른 해안선 변화에 대한 분석을 실시하였다. 1947년부터 2008년까지 항공사진을 활용하여 해안선을 추출하였는데 사진촬영시간에 따라 해안선의 위치가 현저히 변화하기 때문에 위치만으로는 비교할 수 없고, 평균적인 해안선 부근의 경사와 촬영시의 조수상태를 고려한 수심별 해빈 면적 산정 공식을 활용하여 해안선 면적을 구하였다. 또한 조위자료를 통하여 40년 동안의 해수면 상승량을 산출하고, 이를 바탕으로 미래의 해안선 후퇴거리를 계산해 보았다. 그 결과 3008년도 해빈 면적은 1947년도와 비교하면 약 29% 면적이 감소하였고, 1992년도에는 일시적으로 해빈 면적이 상승하는데 이는 양빈 사업으로 인한 것으로 이후 다시 감소현상을 보인다. 그리고 조위자료 분석 결과 해수면은 연평균 2.462mm/year의 속도로 상승하였다.

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the On-Line Prediction of Water Levels using Kalman Filters (칼만 필터를 이용한 실시간 조위 예측)

  • 이재형;황만하
    • Water for future
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 1991
  • In this paper a discrete extended Kalman filter for the tidal prediction has been developed. The filter is based on a set of difference equations derived from the one dimensional shallow water equations using the finite difference scheme proposed by Lax-Wendroff. The filter gives estimates of the water level and water velocity, together with the parameters in the model which essentially have a random character, e.g. bottom friction and wind stress. The estimates are propagated and updated by the filter when the physical circumstances change. The Kalman-filter is applied to field data gathered in the coastal area alon the West Sea and it is shown that the filter gives satisfactory results in forecasting the waterlevels during storm surge periods.

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Stability Analysis for a Dyke Subjected to Tidal Fluctuations (조위변동(潮位變動)을 받는 호안제(護岸堤)의 사면안정해석(斜面安定解析))

  • Kim, Sang Kyu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 1988
  • Assuming that tidal level is constantly changed with an amplitude of 10 meters and a cycle of 12 hours, the slope stability for a typical dyke is analysed. The variation of pore water pressure within the dyke during the tidal change is obtained using a computer program, FLUMP, which is incorporated with saturated-unsaturated and transient flow. The results show that the variation of free water surface and distribution of pore water pressure within the dyke during the tidal fluctuations can be clearly predicted with the computer program. When a tide is lowered to the minimum level, the predicted pressure head is higher than the level of the free water surface in some parts of the dyke; that is, excess pore water pressure is generated in a zone affected by the tidal change. Also an unsaturated zone which shows negative pore water pressure is temporally created when a tide is lowered. The shear strength of the zone can be predicted based on the proposal suggested by Fredlund et al. It is emphasized that the excess pore water pressure generated during tidal fluctuations and strength parameters for the unsaturated zone should be considered in analyzing the slope stability of dykes. When those are considered, the critical slip surface seems to be located below the free water surface obtained when a tide is at the lowest.

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Seepage in to a Dike due to Tidal Fluctuation (조위변동(潮位變動)으로 인한 호안제내(護岸堤內)의 침투(浸透))

  • Kim, Sang Kyu
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 1985
  • Using a saturated-unsaturated transient flow equation the change of hydraulic heads within a dike due to tidal fluctuation is investigated in this study. The calculation is done by the use of a software computer program called FLUMP, which is based on a FEM technique and useful to the analyses of unsaturated flow problems. Some of the program has been supplemented in this study for the application to the rise of a tide. It is assumed that a dike is composed of two materials, that the tide rises and falls with a constant amplitude of 10 meters, and that water tables are located at 0m, 5m, and lam from the minimum tidal level. For these conditions the hydraulic heads are calculated for 8 cycles(96 hours) of tidal changes. It is known from the analysis that the hydraulic heads change with tidal level in some extent and that the amplitudes of the head varies depending on the location within the dike: the maximum amplitude shows near the toe of the dike, the amplitude decreases with increasing distance from the upstream face, and beyond a certain location the heads are unaffected by the tidal differences. Assuming that the dike has been completed in a moment the hydraulic heads are nearly stabilized in 96 hours towards some constant values corresponding to a specified water table.

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A Study on Estimation of Design Tidal level Considering Sea Level Change in the Korean Peninsula (한반도의 해수면 상승을 고려한 설계조위 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Choo, Tai Ho;Sim, Su Yong;Yang, Da Un;Park, Sang Jin;Kwak, Kil Sin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.464-473
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    • 2016
  • The air temperatures of the coast and inland are rising due to an increase in carbon dioxide emissions and abnormal climate phenomena caused by global warming, El Nino, La Nina and so on. The sea levels of the Earth are rising by approximately 2.0 mm per year (global average value) due to the thermal expansion of sea water, melting of glaciers and other causes by global warming. On the other hand, when it comes to designing a hydraulic structure or coastal hydraulic structure, the standard of the design water level is decided by analyzing four largeness tide values and a harmonic constant with the observed tidal water level or simulating numerical model. Therefore, the design tidal water level needs to consider an increasing speed of the seawater level, which corresponds to the design frequency. In the present study, the observed tidal water levels targeting 46 tidal stations operated by the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Administration (KHOA) from the beginning of observations to 2015 per hour were collected. The variation of the monthly and yearly and increasing ratio were performed and divided into 7 seas, such as east and west part of the Southern Sea, south part and middle of the East Sea, south part and middle of the Western Sea, and Jeju Sea. The current study could be used to determine the cause of local seawater rises and reflect the design tidal water level as basic data.

Statistical Characteristics of Hourly Tidal Levels around the Korean Peninsula (한반도 연안 1시간 조위자료의 통계적 특성)

  • Ko, Dong Hui;Jeong, Shin Taek;Cho, Hongyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.365-373
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    • 2013
  • Representative tidal gauging (TG) stations are selected to cover the tidal characteristics of the Korean peninsula coastal seas, and the statistical parameters of the data are analysed from the perspective of the probability distribution at that TG station. The shape of the distribution in the Incheon and Gunsan TG stations, which are tide-dominated areas, shows two clear modes at HWONT and LWONT in the distributions, and in the Mokpo station, shows an asymmetric double peak distribution. In contrast, the frequency distribution shape shows a smoothed flat peak in the Jeju, Yeosu and Busan TG stations, and a single peak in the Pohang and Sokcho TG stations. The emersion and submersion equations suggested as the 6-parameter Gaussian mixture models in this study are accurate, and well fitted to the observed tidal elevation data. The ${\mu}_1$, ${\mu}_2$ parameters are highly correlated to the LWONT and HWONT, and the ${\sigma}_1$ and ${\sigma}_2$ parameters are also closely correlated to the mean tidal range. The ${\mu}_1$ and ${\mu}_2$ parameters coincide with the modes of the suggested probability distribution of the hourly tidal level data.

A Study on the Tidal Harmonic Analysis, and long-term Sea Level Ocillations at Incheon Bay (인천만의 조석조화해석 및 장기해수면 변동연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.505-513
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    • 2010
  • This study investigate the characteristics of tidal constituents, and long-term mean sea level oscillations at Incheon bay. For this, the conditions of three tide stations around Incheon bay have examined, and carried out harmonic analysis on water level data for periods of about 40 years(1960~2007). Four major tidal constituents($M_2$, $S_2$, $K_1$, $O_1$) of each tide station showed tendency that change over the 18.61year lunar node cycle, and the type of tide at three stations is mainly semi-diurnal tides. And also, the past monthly tidal modulations are especially sensitive to the cumulative year of water level data in accuracy of tidal prediction. In case that regard the detached data at three tide stations as a single time series data of 40 years, the results of analysis on a single time series, long-term mean sea level oscillations and modulations of tidal datum at tide stations appears with a range of about 10cm, respectively. In addition, the predicted tides at the Inchcon harbor by global and regional tide models of OSU(Oregon State University) based on various satellite altimetric(Topex Poseidon, Topex Tandem, ERS, GFO) data are compared with the observed tides by KHOA(the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Administration). The results show that the high resolution regional model is a quite good agreement at coastal shallow water region.

영산강하구둑에 의한 조위변화의 재평가

  • 최병호;노상준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers Conference
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    • 1996.10a
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    • pp.129-132
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    • 1996
  • 최(1984)에서는 일차적으로 1956-1982년의 목포항 검조기록을 분석하여 하구둑 건설에 따른 조위변화를 보고한 바 있다. 검조자료의 연장이 14년 더 확보되어 본 연구에서는 하구둑 건설전후인 1962-1979년, 1982-1992년의 두 그룹으로서 검조기록을 분석하여 하구둑에 의한 조석체계의 변화를 정량적으로 보고하고자 한다. 변화된 조석체계는 해안대수층의 수위변화, 범람급험도의 증가 등 실생활에 큰 영향을 줌에도 불구하고 이에 대한 조사가 철저하지 못한 실정이다. (중략)

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