• Title/Summary/Keyword: 조건부 가치추정법

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Estimation on the Future Traffic Volumes and Analysis on Information Value of Tidal Current Signal in Incheon (인천항의 장래 교통량 추정 및 조류신호의 정보가치 분석)

  • Kim, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Se-Won;Gug, Seung-Gi
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.455-462
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    • 2007
  • This paper estimated the future traffic volume incoming and outgoing in Incheon port, and analyzed the value of information serviced by tidal current signal operation center in Incheon. The cargo traffic in 2020 will increase twice as much as in 2005 according to the national ports basis plan. The maritime traffic will increase greatly consequently. Also, MOMAF has operated tidal current signal operation center to prevent marine accidents caused by current influence on vessels navigating through Incheon. However the quantitative effect is not known because there is no analysis about its value. Therefore the value of information serviced by tidal current signal operation center in Incheon was calculated with contingent valuation method(CVM), and the information value was analyzed considering future traffic in this study. Thus, the annual information value was calculated at about $170{\sim}280$ million won, considered traffic volume using the information of tidal current directly in 2020 since 2006.

Estimation of value of freeway traffic information using Contingent Valuation Method (조건부가치측정법을 이용한 고속도로 교통정보의 가치 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Eui-Eun;Kim Jun-jung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.3 no.2 s.5
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    • pp.55-68
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    • 2004
  • On this research, Contingent Valuation Method which is universally applicable to non market goods and being developed in a field of the environmental economics is used to estimate appropriate value of freeway traffic information. Imaginary scenario is designed to estimate appropriate value of freeway traffic information and major in traffic-related field is used & man-to-man interview carried out to enhance a reliance of questionnaire. Open-ended question and a way of payment card are in use each other. make use of Multiple Regression Model in Contingent Valuation Method of traffic information and find an effect on the value of the traffic information. As a result of research, intention to pay for usage per information is regarded as a somewhat higher but monthly cost is lower than they have to. It is concluded that value and usefulness of the individual information is nod in approval but a majority of user's recognition that publish information must be provided free of charge lowers intention of payment.

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A Study on the Measuring of the Economic Value of a Public Library (공공도서관 경제적 가치 측정에 관한 연구 - 대출 서비스를 중심으로 -)

  • Pyo Soon-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.243-261
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    • 2006
  • Variety methods are applied to estimating the value of a public library. This study explored the methods valuing of a public library focused on the consumer surplus and contingent valuation and measured the direct economic value of a public library by using these methods. 84% of the respondents are perceived that public library impact their life. And the users indicated that they are willing to pay 8,720 won per month to use a public library and 1,470 won to borrow a book from the library. Given reasonable assumptions about the cost of service, users place a value on the use of a public library is 1/3 times, the borrowing a book from the library is 3 times.

An Economic Valuation Analysis of Building the Second Ice-Breaking Research Ship in Korea with Using Bayesian Approach (베이지안 접근법을 활용한 제2쇄빙연구선 건조사업의 경제적 편익 산정연구)

  • Cho, Seung-Kuk;Lee, Joo-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.569-575
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    • 2018
  • The need for ice-breaking research ships is growing as interest in the Arctic grows. In Korea the 7,500 ton ship Araon, launched in 2009, is the only icebreaker, and difficulty remains when conducting research at the North and South Pole. Thus, the Ministry of Maritime Affairs and Fisheries is pushing for the construction of a second icebreaker, and an economic valuation of a second icebreaker is needed. Such a study will help reduce controversy about the construction of a second icebreaker and help ensure reasonable decisions. The economic benefits of a second icebreaker were calculated using a contingent valuation method. In this study, a Bayesian Approach was applied, in contrast to previous methodology utilizing the maximum likelihood estimation method. According to this analysis, the average WTP per household was estimated at 1,999 won per year, and the total benefit from the construction of a second icebreaker was estimated at 373.9 billion won per year.

무응답자편의(無應答者偏倚) 검정(檢定)과 총지불의사금액(總支佛意思金額)에 미치는 영향(影響) - 우편설문조사(郵便設問調査)를 이용한 조건부가치측정법(條件附價値測定法) 중심으로 -

  • Jo, Yong-Seong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.31-51
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    • 1998
  • 우편설문조사를 이용한 조건부가치측정법을 통해 자료를 수집할 경우 무응답자의 발생은 보편적이며, 그러한 무응답자의 존재는 무응답자편의(無應答者偏倚) 가능성을 내재하고 있으므로, 표본의 통계치를 이용한 모집단에 대한 확대 적용을 위해서는 우선적으로 무응답자편의(無應答者偏倚)에 대한 검정(檢定)이 이루어져야 하며. 또한 무응답자편의(無應答者偏倚) 발생시 이에 대한 적절한 조치가 취해져야 한다. 본 연구에서는 다단계 우편설문발송법을 통해 수집된 자료를 이용하여 효과적인 무응답자편의(無應答者偏倚) 검정(檢定)의 수행과 무응답자군(無應答者群)의 평균지불의사액을 별도로 추정한 후 이를 이용하여 보다 합리적이고 정확한 총지불의사액(Aggregate WTP)의 도출방법을 제시하였다. 이는 우선적으로 무응답자편의(無應答者偏倚)를 분산분석을 통해 검정(檢定)한 후 선형외삽법으로 무응답자군(無應答者群)의 평균지불의사액을 추정하여 이를 모집단의 총지불의사액을 산출하는데 이용하는 방법으로 기존의 보수적인 방법들보다 상대적으로 저렴한 비용으로 무응답자편의(無應答者偏倚) 검정(檢定)을 가능하게 하며, 사회적 또는 인구특성상의 차이를 이용한 통계적 가중치 이용방법과는 달리 연구자의 직접적인 관심의 대상이 되는 지불의사액을 이용하여 무응답자편의(無應答者偏倚) 테스트를 하고 또한 무응답자군(無應答者群)의 평균지불의사액을 추정하여 보다 효율적이며 타당성이 있는 총지불의사액을 산출해 낼 수 있다는 장점이 있다.

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Estimating the Conservation Value of Recreation Forests in Chungbuk through CVM (CVM을 활용한 충북지역 자연휴양림의 보전가치 추정연구)

  • Kang, Kee-Rae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.99 no.6
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    • pp.900-907
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    • 2010
  • Recreation forests are offer to personal development through recreation, education about nature, association with people, mind relaxation in forests. Most efficient method for measuring Recreational value of natural forest is economic approach, and Obtained by this approach, visitors to the recreational forests and other people will be able to explain recreational value. The value of the environment goods are not traded in the market, it's real value is difficult to measure. People have appreciated the value of the natural environment but it is not easy to answer the question how much monetary value a natural enjoy prosperity environment. This study is involved in giving the right recognition to the value of recreation and environment by estimating economically the value of the environment in which visitors stay, and presenting the appropriate price. The environmental value of a recreation forests is estimated through contingent valuation method (CVM). The annual recreation value per person of surveyed recreational forests is WTP with a mean between about \14,000 and 16,500. The recreation value of one recreational forest surveyed is annually between approximately 1.2 billion won and 1.4 billion won. The annual recreation value of Chungbuk Province recreation forests is presumed to be between about 15 billion won and 16.9 billion won.

An Estimation of Economic Value on Street Plan for a Walking Tour - In the Case of 'Welcome Avenue Project' in Gwacheon - (걷고 싶은 거리 조성사업의 경제적 가치 추정 - 과천 특화거리 사업 중 '환영의 거리'를 사례로 -)

  • Ko, Dong-Wan;Yu, In-Hye;Kim, Hyoun-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.12-21
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    • 2009
  • This study focused on the estimation of econcmic value and the evaluation of attitudes toward plans for the establishment of a walking tour as a public service in the city of Gwacheon. A value analysis based upon 152 questionnaires returned by the residents of Gwacheon and 175 questionnaires from the users of Seoul Race Park in Gwacheon utilized a CVM(Contingent Valuation Method) approach to estimate use value, non-use value, and potential value. The results show that 69.8% of residents and 60.0% of Seoul Race Park users had an interest, 81.6% of residents and 89.7% of Seoul Race Park users agreed to the proposed plan, and 67.8% of residents and 69.7% of Seoul Race Park users expressed a willingness to pay an additional tax or admission fee. The estimated WTP for an additional resident tax per household/year is 11,721 won while it was an additional 750 won per admission for the Seoul Race Park user group. Based on these results, the estimated total economic value of all households/year and the user group over a period of 5 years is 9,997 hundred million won, which was a doubling of the 1.4 in value of total construction costs. The results of this study strongly support the establishment of a walking tour street plan as a public service commodity.

Estimating Willingness to Pay for the Tap Water Quality Improvement in Busan Using Nonparametric Approach (비모수추정법에 의한 부산시 가정용수 수질개선에 대한 지불의사액 추정)

  • Pyo, Hee-Dong;Park, Cheol-Hyung;Choo, Jae-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2011
  • The paper is to estimate willingness-to-pay (WTP) for residential water quality improvement in Busan, using non-parametric approach. There are several significant advantages of non-parametric approach, compared to parametric methods. That is, no probability distribution assumption is necessary so that there are no needs to assume or test goodness of fit, model specification and heteroscedasticity statistically. For the reliability and the validity of contingent valuation method a survey was conducted for 665 respondents, who were sampled by stratified random sampling method, by personal interview method. The result of mean WTP for residential water quality improvement in Busan was estimated to be 3,190 won to 3,331 won per month per household, while median WTP being 1,750 won. Provided that our sample is broadly representative of the Busan's population, an estimate of the annual aggregated benefit of residential water improvement for all Busan households is approximately 50.2 billion won in case of mean WTP or 27.5 billion won in case of median WTP.

A Study on Estimating the Benefits by Pedestrian Environment Improvement Using CVM (조건부가치측정법(CVM)을 이용한 보행환경개선사업에 대한 편익 추정)

  • Kim, Jang-Wook;Kang, Soon-Yang;Kim, Kyung-Tae;Kang, Young-Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.7-19
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    • 2012
  • In this study of estimating the benefits of environmental materials, the CVM method used in environmental economics was applied to estimate the value of pedestrian environment improvement. After finding the Willingness To Pay (WTP) level of residents through CVM, this study attempts to calculate quantitative benefits from the pedestrian environment improvement. In this study, a survey targeting the inhabitants in Seongbuk-gu adjacent to a business area was carried out for pedestrian environment improvement considering form of payment, willingness to pay and such by establishing and showing several virtual scenarios depicting a quiet and comfortable pedestrian environment. As a result, the willingness to pay level of the Seongbuk-gu residents was 627 won of surcharge for pedestrian environment improvement per month. Additionally, the annual total benefits by pedestrian environment improvement was estimated within a range from 1,247,516,820 won to 286,305,110 won.

Cost-Benefit Analysis on Marine Transportation Safety Facility Using CVM(Contingent Valuation Method) (CVM을 이용한 해상교통안전시설 투자 편익 분석)

  • Kim, Sooyeob;Lee, Gunwoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2014.06a
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    • pp.73-75
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    • 2014
  • Marine transportation facility is public goods for the general public and their safety. The study used the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM), a method to estimate economic value of non-market goods, such as environmental goods. In order to analyze economic effects of marine accidents preventable by the VTS, the study estimated costs caused by marine accident cases. It conducted surveys with people and shipping companies in local areas where VTS is to be established in the future. According to a survey with people in areas where marine transportation control center is to be built (Tongyoung), the yearly benefit from building new VTS is estimated at KRW 11billion. If fees are paid in the form of income tax for five years from 2014, corresponding benefits during the same period will reach KRW 47.3 billion in current value. An analysis on economic validity of VTS establishment in Tongyong showed the B/C ration stood at 3.193, far higher than 1. The Net Present Value (NPV) was KRW 32.5 billion and the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) turned out to be 37.4% which was higher than social discount rates of 53.5%. On balance, the establishment has reasonable economic validity.

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