• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정치적 위험

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Assessment Models of Political Risk and the Sensitivity Analysis (정치적 위험의 평가모형과 민감도분석)

  • Moon, Chang-Kuen;Yim, Chun-Ho
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.105-122
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    • 2007
  • This paper identifies the dimensions of political risk on the basis of the classification between risk and uncertainties to implement the precise identification and assessment of the various types of political risk and develop the sound assessment model to accomplish their practical applications. This paper shows the concrete and detailed processes of deriving the assessment models and applying them with the microsoft excel spreadsheet, confirms the result of Butler and Joaquin(1998), and presents the methods of identifying the various combination effects of the political risk impact and the covariance relationship with the market portfolio return through the sensitivity analysis.

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Analysis of Determinants on the Entry Modes of Multinational Firms: Focused on the Effects of Corruption and Political Instability (해외진출 기업 유형의 결정요인 분석: 부패와 정치적 위험 영향을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Jung-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Hwang
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.177-197
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims to analyze the effects of external uncertainty on the entry modes decision of multinational firms. On the basic assumption that the entry modes of the firms are dependent on ex-ante or ex-post perceived risk, we empirically analyzed the impacts of perceived risk factors on the investment patterns of firms. We found that the larger the population, the higher the level of GDP per capita, and the larger the trade volume as a ratio of GDP resulted in increased M&A FDI and greenfield FDI. The economic growth rate variables were found to be significantly positive effect on only greenfield entry mode. Regarding the main variables, lower levels of corruption and increased stability regarding political issues resulted in the host country receiving increased M&A investment. However, we found only a positive statistical significance of the political stability variable on the explaining greenfield FDI. Results show that M&A entry mode is affected by both corruption and political instability level. However, the greenfield FDI featuring sunk costs, seems more responsive to political instability.

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Analysis of Risk Factors in Ex-Ante Evaluation of Large-Scale Government R&D Programs (대형 R&D사업 사전평가에서의 위험요인에 대한 인식 분석)

  • Lee, Yoon Been;Yoon, Ji Woong
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.289-308
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    • 2014
  • We analyze the risk factors identified for ex-ante evaluation regarding government R&D programs. In particular, we empirically examined to what extent each risk factor is perceived to be important by the stage of R&D, technology field, researcher's career and experience. The empirical results show that technology risk is perceive to be less important for basic research, while market risk more perceived to be important in the IT field. Political risk is perceived to be less important for the university faculty, while researchers with government R&D project experience gave more value to legal risk factor.

Comparative Analysis of Factors in Country Risk between Cambodia and Vietnam (캄보디아와 베트남의 국가위험도 영향요인 비교 분석)

  • Lee, Changkeun;Choo, Yongsik
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.65-77
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to compare and analyze factors in country risk between Cambodia and Vietnam. OECD and the Export-Import Ban of Korea assess country risk of Cambodia more highly than Vietnam. As results of the parametric tests for evaluation factors on the basis of country risk classification, the economic growth rate, the foreign trade index, and the foreign exchange reserves among the economic risks with the corruption index as the political and social risk have statistically significant effect on the difference between country risks of two countries. However, discriminant factor analysis indicates that the economic growth rate, the foreign exchange reserves, and the corruption index are key variables, which represent the difference between country risks of Cambodia and Vietnam. Consequently, the government of Cambodia needs to try to root out the corruption and to expand trade through increasing export for lowering the country risk to the level of Vietnam. Vietnam would also need to focus on attaining the sustainable high economic growth rate and increasing the foreign exchange reserves.

Title: Research on Lee Won-ik(李元翼)'s the view on people(百姓) and the view on politics in Seonjo(宣祖) (선조대 이원익의 백성관과 정치관 연구)

  • Lee, Wook Keun
    • (The)Study of the Eastern Classic
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    • no.72
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    • pp.217-264
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this research is to understand the view on people(百姓) and Lee Won-ik(李元翼)'s view on politics, comparing with Seonjo(宣祖)'s view on them. They as political actors sufficiently cognized the condition of life of people had been very desperate. Seonjo had approached from politics to the life of people, while Lee from the life of people to politics. The former has the precariousness of transformation and instrumentalisation of the life of people. The latter has the possibility of the life of people to lead the politics. Lee's stance was on the latter aspect. He had tried to conceive the people as they are, in other words as reality, not as they should be, in other words as idea. He refrained the elucidation of people from confining it within dichotomy structure of ruling-ruled. He had tried to conceive the organic relationship between people and other existences within community. He did not give knowledge-centered question of what is the life of people, but gave situation-phenomenon-centered question of how people has been living. This approach eulciates Lee's focus on the problems of Gongyi(工役), military service(軍役), Labour service(?役), the reduction and exemption of the tax, and the appointment of provincial officer(守令). As for Lee Won-ik, the best form of life of people is to make people have mind to deserve to live, to economize their power(寬民力), to make them savor their life(樂民生), and to make their life easy(安民).

Is the Precautionary Principle Unscientific?: 'Rationality' of the Precautionary Principle and its Conflicts with Risk Analysis Framework (사전주의의 원칙은 비과학적인가?: 위험 분석과의 논쟁을 통해 본 사전주의 원칙의 '합리성')

  • Ha, Dae-Cheong
    • Journal of Science and Technology Studies
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.143-174
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    • 2010
  • How can a regulatory policy to address potential hazards be made legitimate in the face of scientific uncertainty? The precautionary principle has been gradually regarded as the most persuasive answer to this intricate question in Europe since the 1970s and generally recognized as a guiding principle in international environmental law. This principle, however, has often been subject to diverse concerns and criticisms due to its vague definition. This article tries to elaborate the precautionary principle while reviewing both the validity and unreasonableness of these criticisms over this principle. Then, this article explores the policy relevance of this principle by applying this elaborated definition to the concrete case of risk governance such as the risk assesment of food safety. In the end, this paper emphasizes the fact that the precautionary principle can be applied in the field of risk governance, refuting the argument that the precautionary principle is only a moral attitude or a political position.

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An Empirical Study on the Political Cost in Korean Shipping Industry (한국해운산업의 정치적 비용에 관한 실증연구)

  • Jo, Joon-Gul;Ahn, Ki-Myung;Pai, Hoo-Seok
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.687-697
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    • 2004
  • This paper is aimed to guide ocean-going companies to reasonable decisions and to increase the competitiveness of Korean shipping industry by clarifying the determinants of political costs of ocean-going companies, which only depend for the enormous amount of money to introduce the operating fixed assets, or the vessels, upon the supporting policy from the government or the loan from the related financial institutions. As independent variables of the political costs, 5 elements were settled such as company size(sales, total assets and market share), debit ratio, capital concentration ratio, profitability(operating profit) and marine risk(sales fluctuation). To verify the relations and the effect level between dependent variables and political costs, the Multiple Regression Analysis Model was applied The result of the analysis shows significantly positive relations between size variables and political cost of shipping industry. Moreover, debt ratio and profitability were proved significant related with political costs of shipping industry.

Analysis of Public Perception of Nuclear Power Generation Reflected in the Times (시대성이 반영된 원자력발전에 대한 일반인들의 인식 분석)

  • Park, Cheol Koo;Hwang, Chul Hwan;Kim, Dong Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.483-491
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    • 2017
  • This study investigates the perception of the general public through analysis of various potential risk factors reflecting nuclear power generation and nuclear power (radiation) and risks. A total of 293 copies of the data were collected from various strata in Busan. As a result, among the potential factors in everyday life, there was a high awareness of the risk to the fire. Next, the perception of risk for radiation terror and nuclear (nuclear) energy was relatively high compared to other risk factors. In the analysis according to age, educational background, and political ideological tendency, the results were contradictory to the necessity, risk and safety of nuclear power generation. The potential risk factors and the perception of nuclear power according to the tendency of political ideology were analyzed to be positive recognition of conservative ideology and negative recognition of progressive group. In other words, the perception of nuclear power was analyzed differently according to the tendency of political ideology. Therefore, it should be decided to reflect the opinions of experts and various opinions of the general public in the setting of nuclear radiation (radiation), it is believed that ordinary people need to take flexible action without having a vague sense of anxiety about various potential risks and nuclear power (radiation) based on objective and scientific grounds.

Politicized Risk and Failed Management of Technological Risk (정치화된 위험과 기술위험 관리의 실패: 미국산 쇠고기 수입과 광우병 논란)

  • Jung, Byung-Kul;Seong, Jie-Un
    • Journal of Science and Technology Studies
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.27-56
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    • 2008
  • The controversy over the mad cow disease in Korea can be understood as a demonstration of complex and skeptical public sentiments toward the government that were all mixed with expectations, demands, hope and mistrust. The governments decision to resume the import of American beef turned such expectations into mistrust and public hope into nationwide resistance expressed in the form of candlelight vigils. This phenomenon can not be simply explained as a fear of risks. Concerns over mad cow disease were a trigger but they were riot sufficient cause to explain the nationwide controversy involving all the Koreans. It was mad cow disease that triggered a sharp confrontation between the government trying to stick to its decision to resume the import of American beef and the opponents who were not convinced by the government. In fact, this is not simply an issue of a disease. It is rather a complex issue of the acceptance of risks, the consistency of the government policy, trust in the government, and the public consensus on the government policy. In this context, this study analyzes the controversy over the mad cow disease from the perspectives of risk management, public policy-making, and public trust and social consensus-building.

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접경지역연구의 이론적 고찰

  • 김상빈;이원호;이현주;박삼옥
    • Proceedings of the KGS Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2003
  • 경계 및 접경지역 연구는 일찍이 근대지리학, 특히, 정치지리학의 시작과 함께 중요한 연구 주제였으며, 2차 대전 이후 전후 유럽의 재편과 함께 크게 각광을 받았고, 꾸준히 정치지리학의 주요한 주제였다. 1990년 이후 유럽 사회주의 국가의 물락 이후, 동서 냉전 체제의 해체는 전 세계적으로 수많은 접경지역의 변화를 가져왔다. 또한, 전 세계적으로 전면적인 전쟁의 위험이 사라진 대신 국지적인 전쟁에 의하여 국경분쟁이 자주 발생하여 접경지역에 대한 연구는 많은 관심을 불러 일으켰다. 특히 이스라엘과 팔레스타인간의 갈등 그리고 파키스탄과 인도간의 갈등. 러시아 연방내에서 러시아 정부와 체첸간의 갈등은 국경분쟁의 대표적인 예이다. (중략)

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