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Empirical Bayes Estimation and Comparison of Credit Migration Matrices (신용등급전이행렬의 경험적 베이지안 추정과 비교)

  • Kim, Sung-Chul;Park, Ji-Yeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.443-461
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    • 2009
  • In order to overcome the lack of Korean credit rating migration data, we consider an empirical Bayes procedure to estimate credit rating migration matrices. We derive the posterior probabilities of Korean credit rating transitions by utilizing the Moody's rating migration data and the credit rating assignments from Korean rating agency as prior information and likelihood, respectively. Metrics based upon the average transition probability are developed to characterize the migration matrices and compare our Bayesian migration matrices with some given matrices. Time series data for the metrics show that our Bayesian matrices are stable, while the matrices based on Korean data have large variation in time. The bootstrap tests demonstrate that the results from the three estimation methods are significantly different and the Bayesian matrices are more affected by Korean data than the Moody's data. Finally, Monte Carlo simulations for computing the values of a portfolio and its credit VaRs are performed to compare these migration matrices.

The LAE Burn Strategy Planning for Geostationary Satellite (정지궤도 위성의 LAE Burn Strategy Planning)

  • Kim, Bang-Yeop;Lee, Ho-Hyoung
    • Aerospace Engineering and Technology
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.96-103
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    • 2007
  • A program for LAE (liquid Apogee Engine) firing strategy calculation was developed. This program can be used as the first stage of transfer orbit analysis, which process receives input parameters as like initial orbit elements, ground TT&C stations positions, satellite performances and makes firing user-selectable strategies. The developed program is dedicated to GEO satellites which using LAE generally and it can calculate six back-up strategies and deals situation its maximum firing number is six. The MS-EXCEL software was used for the input and output process. And the numerical calculation part was embodied with MATLAB functions.

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타원편광분석법을 이용한 AlP 유전함수 연구

  • Jeong, Yong-U;Hwang, Sun-Yong;Mangesh, S.D.;Gong, Tae-Ho;Kim, Yeong-Dong;Sin, Sang-Hun;Song, Jin-Dong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.42-42
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 광학소자에 폭넓게 이용되는 AlGaP III-V족 화합물 반도체 중에서 한쪽 끝 이 종화합물인 AlP의 유전함수를 0.75~5.05 eV의 에너지 영역에서 타원편광분석법을 이용하여 분석하였다. AlP는 산소와 급격히 반응하기 때문에, 대기 중에서 물질 고유의 광특성이 유지되기 어려울 뿐만 아니라, 박막 위에 생성되는 산화막 때문에 순수한 AlP의 유전함수 측정이 불가능 하다. 본 연구에서는 물질의 유전함수에 미치는 산화 효과를 최소화하기 위하여 Molecular Beam Epitaxy로 성장한 $1.0{\mu}m$ 두께의 AlP 박막을 초고진공 상태의 chamber 안에서 타원편광분석기를 이용하여 실시간으로 측정하였다. 박막의 투명도에 의해 나타나는 간섭 pattern과 표면거칠기 효과로 인한 유전함수의 왜곡을 보정하기 위하여 변수화 모델이 이용되었으며 다층 변수화모델 계산을 통하여 순수한 AlP의 유전함수를 얻어낼 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 측정된 순수한 AlP의 유전함수는 타원편광분석기를 이용한 최초의 실험결과로서 이차미분을 이용한 전이점 (Critical Point) 분석결과 이론적인 electronic band structure에서 $E_1$, $E_1+_{{\Delta}_1}$, $E_2$에 해당하는 전이점들을 확인할 수 있었다.

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자연 생태계에서 형질 전환에 의한 세균들 간의 유전 물질의 전이

  • ;Stotzky, G.
    • Korean Journal of Microbiology
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.203-209
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    • 1997
  • 형질전환은 가장 먼저 연구된 유전물질 전이 기작으로(3,29,36), 자연적 형질 전환과 인위적 형질 전환으로 구별할 수 있다. 자연적 형질 전환은 세균에게서만 일어나며, 이때 수여체 세균은 적정 조건, 즉, 형질 전환 능력이 있는 생리적 상태(competene)가 되면 능동적으로 세포의 DNA를 받아들여 그들 유전 정보에 합치게 된다. 하지만 재조합 DNA 기술이 발달된 이후로 인위적 형질 전환이 원핵세포와 진핵세포에서 사용되었다(48). 자연적 형질 전환은 DNase와의 반응이 민감하다는 점에서 접합과 형질 도입과 구별된다. 형질 전화에 의한 유전자 전이가 세포으 DNA에 의해서 일어나는 한 DNase가 공격할 수 있고, DNA는 분해되어 형질 전환이 방해될 수 있다. 하지만, 형질 도입되는 DNA는 파지의 단백질막(capsid)에 보호되어 세포외로 절대 노출되지 않아 DNase에 의해서 영향을 받지 않고, 접합에서도 DNA는 세포와 세포의 접촉에 의해서 전이되어 공여체에서 수여체로 DNA가 전이될 때 역시 DNase에 노출되지 않고 일어날 수 있다.

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Metastatic Pathologic Fractures in Lower Extremities Treated with the Locking Plate (잠김 금속판을 이용한 하지의 전이성 병적 골절에 대한 치료)

  • Seo, Chang-Young;Jung, Sung-Taek
    • The Journal of the Korean bone and joint tumor society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.80-86
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: The skeleton is commonly affected by metastatic cancer. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the results of treating metastatic pathologic fractures in lower extremities using locking plates. Materials and Methods: Between 2004 and 2010, we evaluated 12 patients (13 cases) of metastatic pathologic fractures in lower extremities, treated with the locking plate. Mean patient age was 62.2 years (range, 50-81 years), the locations of the fractures were; proximal femur in 2 cases, femoral mid-shaft in 3, distal femur in 3, proximal tibia in 4, and distal tibia in 1 case. The interval to wheelchair ambulation, pain relief and complications were evaluated. Additionally, we assessed operation time and postoperative blood loss. Results: Mean time from operation to wheelchair ambulation was 3.2 days (range, 1-6 days). Mean VAS scores improved from a preoperative score of 8.1 points (range, 7-9 points) to a score of 2.7 points (range, 2-4 points) at 1 week postoperatively. No early complications associated with surgery were encountered. Mean operation time was 88.4 minutes (range, 70-105 minutes), and mean postoperative blood loss was 246.5 ml (range, 130-320 ml). Conclusion: Internal fixation of metastatic pathologic fractures using a locking plate in the lower extremity can be an effective treatment option in the meta- or diaphyseal area of long bones with massive bony destruction or poor bone stock by offering early ambulation, pain relief and low postoperative complications.

The Effect of the Learning Transfer Climate of Korea Coast Guard on the Learning and Learning Transfer (해양경찰공무원의 학습전이풍토가 교육훈련의 전이효과에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Seung-Hyun;Yoon, Sung-Hyun
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.51
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    • pp.61-78
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to empirically validate the relationship between organizational learning transfer climate and the transfer of training and to enhance the transfer of training among South Korean coast guards. The empirical data was collected through 526 South Korean coast guards admitted to the institute, and support by managers and peers, and potential for organizational change were selected as independent variables for multiple regression. As a result, the transfer of training is positively correlated with support of mangers and peers, and potential for organizational change, thus suggesting factors like supervisor participation and long-term educational planning as policy implications for the effective transfer of training to work environment. Though findings from research cannot be generalized to the broader population due to limitations of sampling, this study does find its significance in that organizational learning transfer climate was considered as a key factor influencing the transfer of learning for the first time.

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OPTIMUM AKN BURN PLANNING FOR ORBITAL TRANSFER OF KOREASAT (무궁화 위성의 궤도전이를 위한 최적 원지점 점화 계획)

  • 송우영;최규홍
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.296-307
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    • 1994
  • Using X-Window system (Motif Graphic User Interface), the AKM (Apogee Kick Motor) firing software for Koreasat which will be launched in 1995 has been developed to transfer the spacecraft from its transfer orbit, provided by the DeltaII launch vehicle, into a nearly geostationary drift orbit. The AKM firing software runs in one of two modes. In mission analysis mode, using a fixed magnitude impulsive velocity change, it provides the necessary data for planning the burn parameters. In insert mode, it uses the orbit propagator function to integrate the spacecraft state through the AKM burn. In this case, an AKM thrust profile and specific impulse are applied to the necessary data for planning the burn parameters to obtain the best possible drift orbit. The apogee burn planning simulation for orbital transfer of Koreasat has been performed using the AKM firing software. And the result of this simulation has been analyzed.

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전이행렬을 이용한 수익데이터 분석

  • Im, Seung-Beom;Kang, Chang-Wan;Kim, Gyu-Gon
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2003
  • 최근 활발히 행하여지고 있는 금융 CRM(customer relationship management)의 주요 목적은 고객의 이해도 증진을 통하여 은행의 수익성을 높이는데 있으며 또한 그 과정에서 높은 수익과 낮은 수익을 주는 고객을 여러 가지 유형으로 나누어 관리에 효율성을 도모한다. 일반적으로 고객 세분화의 중요변수로 고객수익성을 고려하고 이러한 고객 세분화 결과에 의해 마케팅 시사점을 도출하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 고객 세분화 그룹에 따른 수익성 변동과정을 모형화하여 보다 효율적인 고객관계 관리를 가능하게 하는데 있다. 수익성 변동의 모형화 과정은 수익금액에 따라 고객을 몇 개의 범주로 분류하여 여러 기간에 걸쳐 나타내는 고객별 범주의 변화 추이를 전이행렬(transition matrix)로 나타내고 마코프 모형을 이용한 전이 확률의 추정을 통하여 다음 시점에서의 각 범주별 고객의 수를 예측 가능함을 보인다.

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Analysis on Analogical Transfer between Mathematical Isomorphic Problems with Different Level of Structuredness (구조화 정도가 다른 수학적 동형 문제 사이의 유추적 전이 분석)

  • Sung, Chang-Geun;Park, Sung-Sun
    • Education of Primary School Mathematics
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.59-75
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    • 2012
  • This study aims to find whether the solutions for well-structured problems learned in school can be transferred to the moderately-structured problem and ill-structured problem. For these purpose, research questions were set up as follows: First, what are the patterns of changes in strategies used in solving the mathematics problems with different level of structuredness? Second, From the group using and not using proportion algorithm strategy in solving moderately-structured problem and ill-structured problem, what features were observed when they were solving that problems? Followings are the findings from this study. First, for the lower level of structuredness, the frequency of using multiplicative strategy was increased and frequency of proportion algorithm strategy use was decreased. Second, the students who used multiplicative strategies and proportion algorithm strategies to solve structured and ill-structured problems exhibited qualitative differences in the degree of understanding concept of ratio and proportion. This study has an important meaning in that it provided new direction for transfer and analogical problem solving study in mathematics education.