• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.162-162
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• 2017

최근 우리나라는 전 지구적인 기후변화로 인하여 집중호우 및 돌발 홍수와 같은 극치 사상들이 증가하고 있는 추세이며, 이에 대한 분석을 위해 극치 분포를 이용한 수문통계적 특성에 대한 접근이 주로 이루어지고 있다. 이를 위해서는 충분한 수의 자료가 필요하나 우리나라 강우자료는 지점별로 자료 보유 년 수가 비교적 많지 않기 때문에, 이러한 문제를 극복하기 위하여 하나의 지역, 즉 주어진 지점을 포함하여 수문학적으로 동일한 조건을 만족하는 주변 지점의 자료를 모두 포함하여 빈도해석을 실시하는 지역빈도해석이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 지역빈도해석과 두 개의 형상매개변수를 포함하여 다양한 극치 수문통계특성을 나타낼 수 있다고 알려진 Burr XII 분포를 이용하여 우리나라 강우자료에 대한 그 적용성을 살펴보았다. 이를 위해 군집분석을 통한 강우지점의 지역화 과정을 거치고 분류된 지역을 L-moment ratio diagram에 도시하여, Burr XII 분포 영역 내 포함여부를 통해 Burr XII 분포의 적합도를 도시적으로 살펴보고, Hosking and Wallis (1997)이 제안한 적합성 척도($^{IST}$)를 통한 적합성 여부를 판별하였다. 또한 우리나라 강우자료에 비교적 적합하다고 알려진 분포인 generalized extreme value, generalized logistic, Gumbel 분포와의 비교를 위해, 전체 지역에 대하여 재현기간에 따른 상대편의 (relative bias)와 상대평균제곱근오차 (relative root mean square error)를 산정하여 Burr XII 분포형의 적용 가능성을 살펴보았다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.463-463
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• 2017

최근 다변량 확률모형 연구 및 기후변화에 따른 강우패턴 연구의 증가에 따라 시계열로 기록되어 있는 강우량 자료로부터 강우사상(Event)을 분리하는 연구 또한 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 일반적으로 강우사상은 최소무강우시간(Inter-Event Time)을 기준으로 전후강우가 독립적인 강우인지 연속적인 강우인지 구별하는데 이 최소무강우시간을 결정하는 방법이 각 사용되는 분야마다 일관되지 않은 점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 30년 이상 기록된 기상청 강우관측소 자료를 이용하였으며, 설계강우의 시간분포를 위한 Huff 4분위법에서 사용되는 6시간의 최소무강우시간분터 지수확률분포 방법으로 얻어지는 최소무강우시간(일반적으로 12시간 내외)까지 최소무강우시간의 변화에 따라 분리된 강우사상의 특성을 분석하였다. 또한 강우사상의 이변량 빈도해석 적합성을 검토하기 위해 연최대강우량 사상을 선정하여 빈도해석을 수행하였으며 최소무강우 시간에 따라 이변량 확률분포형 적합성을 검토하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.178-178
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• 2011

현재 환경적인 면과 실용적인 면을 고려한 한강 르네상스 사업중 한강공원 특화사업을 시행하고 있다. 하지만 이러한 환경적인 면과 실용적인 면을 고려할 시 문제점이 될 수 있는 것은 결국 치수성의 문제을 생각하여야 하므로 본 연구는 한강공원 특화사업으로 인하여 발생할 수 있는 치수 문제를 사전에 예방하고자 한강공원특화사업의 RAMS모형을 이용하여 200년 빈도 유량에 대한 2차원 수치모의 및 수리모형실험을 하여 한강공원 특화사업으로 인해 발생할 수 있는 수리학적 흐름 특성 변화를 분석하여 홍수에 대한 안정성을 검토하였으며, 자연형 호안공법을 비교하여 각 권역에 맞는 호안공법을 선정하고자 하였다. 수치모의를 통한 분석결과 뚝섬권역의 수위분포는 잠실대교 하류 부근에서 0.02m 정도의 편수위가 발생하였고, 유속분포는 약2m/s~2.5m/s이며, 현단면과 계획단면 비교시 수위, 유속의 변화는 거의 없는 것으로 나타났으며, 수치모의와 수리실험결과로 인하여 수리적 안전성을 확보하고 친환경, 경제성 등의 검토로 보수가 용이하고 배수성이 양호한 사석공법과 세굴방지 효과가 우수하며, 자연경관이 뛰어난 자연석공법이 적합하다고 판단된다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.33 no.3
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• pp.297-308
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• 2020

We focus on the functional autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (fARCH) modelling to analyze intraday volatilities based on high frequency financial time series. Multivariate volatility models are investigated to approximate fARCH(1). A formula of multi-step ahead volatilities for fARCH(1) model is derived. As an application, in implementing fARCH(1), a choice of appropriate time interval for the intraday return is discussed. High frequency KOSPI data analysis is conducted to illustrate the main contributions of the article.

• The Journal of Korean Academy of Prosthodontics
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• v.49 no.2
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• pp.101-105
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• 2011

The purpose of this study was to assess the marginal fit of three-unit bridges produced using LAVA CAD/CAM (computer-aided design/computer-aided manufacturing) system and conventional PFG in vitro. Materials and methods: #11, 13 resin teeth were prepared on dentiform, then duplicated. Twenty resin models were fabricated, ten for PFG 3-unit bridges and ten for LAVA 3-unit bridges. Each bridge was cemented on the resin model. Marginal discrepancy was measured with stereoscopic microscope (Nikon DS-Fi 1, Nikon, Japan) at a magnification of ${\times}75$. Independent t-test was done for the statistical analysis. Results: The mean marginal discrepancy values and standard deviations of the PFG bridges was $97.1{\pm}18.7\;{\mu}m$ for incisors, $76.6{\pm}21.8\;{\mu}m$ for canines; that of the LAVA bridges was $90.4{\pm}26.7\;{\mu}m$ for incisor, $110.2{\pm}30.2\;{\mu}m$ for canines. The mean marginal discrepancy between PFG and LAVA for incisor did not show significant difference (P<.05). But for canine, the mean marginal discrepancy of PFG bridges was smaller than that of LAVA bridges (P<.05). Conclusion: The LAVA CAD/CAM 3-unit bridges and the PFG 3-unit bridges showed clinically acceptable marginal discrepancy.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.16 no.12
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• pp.1423-1434
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• 1991

This paper extends TTCN, a conformance test notation, using object oriented concepts including object, class and inheritance. In distributed system environments, since test systems that should test the implementations for application protocols whether they conform to the standard protocol include protocol test behaviours executed in parallel, the converntional TTCN can't describe whole thest suites explicitly. ISO is working the extension of TTCN including parallel notations, but concurrently if TTCN could be applied by the object model that regards a parallel test component as a object, we would gain the advantages of reliability and software reusability, and make TTCN a test language.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.30 no.3
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• pp.279-291
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• 1997

This study is to evaluate the accuracy and practicality of the existing four conceptual models, two linear models of Clark and Nash model and two nonlinear models of Laruenson and WBN model, and to select an appropriate model to simulate the rainfall-runoff process in a given catchment. The variability of parameters for linear models is generally larger than that of nonlinear models. The errors in peak discharge are similar among the four conceptual models buy the errors in time to peak are quite different. Nonlinear models produce better results for time distribution than linear models. A comparison of the conceptual models to predict overall hydrograph using Friedman two-way analysis of variance by rank test indicates that nonlinear models are slightly better than linear models.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.28 no.3
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• pp.429-442
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• 2015

Volatility forecasting in financial markets is an important issue because it is directly related to the profit of return. The volatility is generally modeled as time-varying conditional heteroskedasticity. A generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) model is often used for modeling; however, it is not suitable to reflect structural changes (such as a financial crisis or debt crisis) into the volatility. As a remedy, we introduce the Markov regime switching GARCH (MRS-GARCH) model. For the empirical example, we analyze and forecast the volatility of the daily Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) data from January 4, 2000 to October 30, 2014. The result shows that the regime of low volatility persists with a leverage effect. We also observe that the performance of MRS-GARCH is superior to other GARCH models for in-sample fitting; in addition, it is also superior to other models for long-term forecasting in out-of-sample fitting. The MRS-GARCH model can be a good alternative to GARCH-type models because it can reflect financial market structural changes into modeling and volatility forecasting.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.433-439
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• 2022

The purpose of the study was to determine the suitability of the research model on the intentions of university students to watch mega sports events for people with disabilities to which the theory of planned behavior was applied, and to examine the influence relationship between variables. Based on the items of sub-variables derived from the previous research, the questionnaire was optimally constructed through expert meetings, validity, and reliability verification. For data analysis, Cronbach's 𝛼 and exploratory factor analysis were performed using SPSS 21.0, and structural equation model analysis (SEM) and confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) were performed using AMOS 18.0. The results were as follows; first, as a result of verification of the research model of intentions of university students to watch mega sports events with people with disabilities to which the theory of planned behavior was applied, the evaluation indices of CFI, NFI, and IFI met the acceptance criteria, indicating that this research model was well suited. Second, as a result of examining the influence relationship of the research model on the intentions of university students to watch mega sports event for people with disabilities, it was found that the behavioral beliefs and normative beliefs of university students had a significantly positive (+) influence to intentions. However, it was found that there was a significantly negative (-) influence on the control beliefs to intentions.

• Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.335-344
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• 2010

This paper presents both of an investigation on the ultimate responses and a verification study on the structural methodology using beam-truss element of steel transmission towers using experimental study. The partially scaled tower which verified with analytical model was fabricated and the horizontal load was applied up to failure in the laboratory. The structural methodology for finite element analyses was verified against experimental results and both the ultimate load capacity and collapse mechanism were shown in the test to give sufficiently accurate results with those of analytical study. It was shown as well that the ultimate failure is primarily attributed to instability of the main posts in the leg parts.