• Title/Summary/Keyword: 적합성 모형

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A Simulation of the Runoff and the NPS Pollutants Discharge using SWMM Model (SWMM 모형을 이용한 도시 유역의 유출 및 NPS 오염물 배출 모의)

  • 신현석;윤용남
    • Water for future
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 1993
  • This study was conducted for two purposes. The first was the selection of the proper model for the urban runoff, and NPS(non-point source) loads and the second was the adjustment of the selected model through the calibration and the verification of the observed data on an urban drainage basin. The selected model for this study was the Storm Water Management Model(SWMM) developed and maintained by the US Environmental Protection Agency(EPA). In particular, the Runoff Block for the surface discharge and the Transport Block for the flow routing was used. The study basin is Youngdu basin, which is a typical developed urban drainage basin. The four rainfall events for the runoff and the two for the four NPS pollutants(SS, BOD, COD and TN) were used for the calibration and the estimation of the model parameters. This study performed the calibration with regard to the peak discharge, the time to peak discharge, the volume and the relative error for three items. It was shown that SWMM can successfully be used for the prediction of the runoff and the NPS pollutants discharge. The result of this study can be used as the basis for the analysis of the correlation between the runoff and the NPS pollutants discharges, and the analysis of the mass balance with the monthly and annual NPS loads in an urban drainage basin.

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How to Improve Suitability of Irradiation Utilization in Development of Linear Regression Model for Estimating Paprika Productivity (파프리카 생산성 추정을 위한 선형 회귀모형 개발 시 외부광량 활용 적합성을 높이기 위한 방법)

  • Woo, Seung Mi;Kim, Ga Yeong;Kim, Ho Cheol
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.779-783
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    • 2021
  • The amount of sunlight (irradiation) acts as a very important factor for paprika (Capsicum annuum L.) productivity, but there are difficulties in developing a standard model for estimating paprika productivity using irradiation factors. This study was conducted to investigate how to increase the suitability of using irradiation as an independent variable when developing a standard model. In the linear regression analysis using the independent variable (cumulative irradiation) and the dependent variable (cumulative productivity) were classified as the average value of the total farm productivity (MTFP), and above and below (MHFP, MLFP) based on the average value, respectively. The RMSE value of the estimated linear regression model was 0.9418 kg·m-2 in the MHFP, which was significantly lower than 1.5468 kg·m-2 in the MTFP and 1.3812 kg·m-2 in the MLFP. And in due course of time (month), RMSE value was also the lowest in MHFP, below 1.0 kg·m-2 in all months. Therefore, when developing a regression model for estimating paprika productivity using irradiation, it is judged that it will improve the suitability of the estimation model by classifying and analyzing the difference in productivity of farms with an appropriate method.

Comparison of marginal and internal fit of 3-unit monolithic zirconia fixed partial dentures fabricated from solid working casts and working casts from a removable die system (가철성 다이 시스템으로 제작된 작업 모형과 솔리드 작업 모형 상에서 제작된 지르코니아 3본 고정성 치과 보철물의 변연 및 내면 적합도 비교)

  • Wan-Sun Lee
    • Journal of Dental Rehabilitation and Applied Science
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aimed to assess the marginal and internal fit of 3-unit monolithic zirconia fixed partial dentures (FPDs) fabricated via computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing (CAD/CAM) from solid working casts and removable die system. Materials and Methods: The tooth preparation protocol for a zirconia crown was executed on the mandibular right first premolar and mandibular right first molar, with the creation of a reference cast featuring an absent mandibular right second premolar. The reference cast was duplicated using polyvinyl siloxane impression, from which 20 working casts were fabricated following typical dental laboratory procedures. For comparative analysis, 10 FPDs were produced from a removable die system (RD group) and the remaining 10 FPDs from the solid working casts (S group). The casts were digitized using a dental desktop scanner to establish virtual casts and design the FPDs using CAD. The definitive 3-unit monolithic zirconia FPDs were fabricated via a CAM milling process. The seated FPDs on the reference cast underwent digital evaluation for marginal and internal fit. The Mann-Whitney U test was applied for statistical comparison between the two groups (α = 0.05). Results: The RD group showed significantly higher discrepancies in fit for both premolars and molars compared to the S group (P < 0.05), particularly in terms of marginal and occlusal gaps. Color mapping also highlighted more significant deviations in the RD group, especially in the marginal and occlusal regions. Conclusion: The study found that the discrepancies in marginal and occlusal fits of 3-unit monolithic zirconia FPDs were primarily associated with those fabricated using the removable die system. This indicates the significant impact of the fabrication method on the accuracy of FPDs.

A Sigma-Coordinate Scalar Transport Model Coupled with Boussinesq Equations (${\sigma}$-좌표계 기반의 혼합 모형과 Boussinesq Equations 모형의 연계)

  • Kim, Dae-Hong;Lynett, Patrick
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.218-222
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 ${\sigma}$-좌표계를 기반으로 하는 3차원의 이송확산 모형과 depth-integrated eddy simulation 모형을 결합한 효율적인 3차원 근역 (near-field) 해석모형을 제시하였다. 흐름 모형은 Boussinesq-type equations과 stochastic backscatter model을 기본으로 하고 있다. 이 흐름 모형은 수면의 변화와 바닥으로부터 발생하는 전단력과 파랑의 유동으로부터 발행하는 수심방향의 유속분포를 예측할 수 있다. 이와 같은 흐름 정보를 3차원 ${\sigma}$-좌표계의 이송확산모형에 제공하고 scalar의 이송과 확산에 대한 거동을 계산한다. 기본적인 이송과 이송-확산에 대한 검증 및 개수로에서 정량적 검증과 정성적 검증을 수행하였다. 전반적으로 타당한 결과가 도출되어 모형의 적합성이 있음을 확인하였다.

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The Introduction of KOSPI 200 Stock Price Index Futures and the Asymmetric Volatility in the Stock Market (KOSPI 200 주가지수선물 도입과 주식시장의 비대칭적 변동성)

  • Byun, Jong-Cook;Jo, Jung-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.191-212
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    • 2003
  • Recently, there is a growing body of literature that suggests that information inefficiency is one of the causes of the asymmetric volatility. If this explanation for the asymmetric volatility is appropriate, then innovations, such as the introduction of futures, may be expected to impact the asymmetric volatility of stock market. As transaction costs and margin requirements in the futures market are lower than those in the spot market, new information is transmitted to futures prices more quickly and affects spot prices through arbitrage trading with spots. Also, the merit of the futures market may attract noise traders away from the spot market to the futures market. This study examines the impact of futures on the asymmetry of stock market volatility. If the asymmetric volatility is significant lower post-futures and exist in the futures market, it has validity that the asymmetric volatility is caused by information inefficiency in the spot market. The data examined are daily logarithmic returns on KOSPI 200 stock price index from January 4, 1993 to December 26, 2000. To examine the existence of the asymmetric volatility in the futures market, logarithmic returns on KOSPI 200 futures are used from May 4, 1996 to December 26, 2000. We used a conditional mode of TGARCH(threshold GARCH) of Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkel(1993). Pre-futures the spot market exhibits significant asymmetric responses of volatility to news and post-futures asymmetries are significantly lower, irrespective of bear market and bull market. The results suggest that the introduction of stock index futures has an effect on the asymmetric volatility of the spot market and are inconsistent with leverage being the sole explanation of asymmetry. However, it is found that the volatility of futures is not so asymmetric as expected.

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Estimation of Hydrometeorologic Parameters using DHSVM (DHSVM을 이용한 수문기상인자 산정)

  • Cho, Hyungon;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.222-222
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    • 2016
  • 기후변화에 의한 자연재해의 규모와 빈도가 증가함에 따라 수자원 영향 평가 및 대응전략 수립을 위한 연구가 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 물리기반의 분포형 수문기상모형인 DHSVM을 이용하여 2012년-2014년 동안의 한반도 유역의 기상인자 자료를 수집하여 증발산, 토양수분, 현열, 잠열, 지열, 순복사량 등의 수문기상인자를 산정하였다(Fig. 1). 모형의 적합성 평가를 위해서 안동댐 유역에 대하여 검정통계량으로 NSE(Nash-Sutucliffe model efficiency coefficient), RMSE, $R^2$, MAPE(mean absolute percentage error example)위한 계산하였다.

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Development of Daily Rainfall Simulation Model Based on Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain (동질성 Hidden Markov Chain 모형을 이용한 일강수량 모의기법 개발)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae Jeong;Hwang, Seok-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1861-1870
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    • 2013
  • A climate change-driven increased hydrological variability has been widely acknowledged over the past decades. In this regards, rainfall simulation techniques are being applied in many countries to consider the increased variability. This study proposed a Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain(HMM) designed to recognize rather complex patterns of rainfall with discrete hidden states and underlying distribution characteristics via mixture probability density function. The proposed approach was applied to Seoul and Jeonju station to verify model's performance. Statistical moments(e.g. mean, variance, skewness and kurtosis) derived by daily and seasonal rainfall were compared with observation. It was found that the proposed HMM showed better performance in terms of reproducing underlying distribution characteristics. Especially, the HMM was much better than the existing Markov Chain model in reproducing extremes. In this regard, the proposed HMM could be used to evaluate a long-term runoff and design flood as inputs.

Reliability Analysis of Emotion Evaluation EPA.PAD Model in Each Design Field (디자인 분야별 EPA.PAD 감성평가모형의 신뢰도 분석)

  • Kim, Ji-Hye;Lee, Jin-Sook
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.79-92
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    • 2014
  • This study is aimed at minimizing the errors in using a sensitivity evaluation model that could occur when sensitivity analysis method is actively used for design evaluation. To extract words of a contrantion-type model by product, interior space, and streetscape design, primary word refinement was conducted with the words extracted from preceding studies. The analysis revealed that 19 words were used in all three fields. A reliability analysis revealed that different words had a bad impact on the reliability in each field. The applicability was reviewed through reliability analysis of EPA model as contraction-type and PAD model as inference-type. The results are as follows. Although the reliability of the contrantion-type model was higher than that of inference-type model in all three fields, the differences in Cronbach's Alpha were small. Also, When the reliability was analyzed after deleting the words that had a bad impact on reliability, the differences in the reliability's coefficients were clearly significant. Therefore, it is necessary to select words suitable for sensitivity evaluation target and objectivity of the evaluation can be boosted by using a proper model. Analysis of the sensitivity evaluation model suitable for future environmental evaluation should be analyzed with various statistical methods, beyond verification of reliability.

A Study on Suitability of Technology Appraisal Model in Technology Financing (기술력 평가모형의 기술금융 활용 적합성 연구)

  • Lee, Jun-won;Yun, J.Y.
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.292-312
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    • 2017
  • The purposes of this research are to verify: first, if the technology appraisal model reflects the company's management performance and the rates of bankruptcy and overdue; second, if the existing classification system of technology levels is suitable; and third, which is the most important appraisal factor that defines the classification system of technology levels. As a result of the analysis, financial performance (stability) and non-financial performance (technology environment) proved to be significant variables in explaining technology ratings. According to the verification of the suitability of classification system, it appeared that there is a significant difference in all appraisal items of all groups. The result of neural networks model verification indicates that the most important variable was the R&D capacity, the second variables which determine the suitability of technology financing were indicators related to the company management. The second variables which determine a company's technological excellence were a company's technological base. To summarize, the technology appraisal model not only reflects both managerial performance and risks of a company, but also anticipates the future by converging the management competence and technological competitiveness into R&D capacity. This implies that if the 'forward-looking' technology appraisal model is integrated into the existing, credit rating model, the appraisal model may have positive impact on improving anticipation and stability.

Performance Analysis of Volatility Models for Estimating Portfolio Value at Risk (포트폴리오 VaR 측정을 위한 변동성 모형의 성과분석)

  • Yeo, Sung Chil;Li, Zhaojing
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.541-559
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    • 2015
  • VaR is now widely used as an important tool to evaluate and manage financial risks. In particular, it is important to select an appropriate volatility model for the rate of return of financial assets. In this study, both univariate and multivariate models are considered to evaluate VaR of the portfolio composed of KOSPI, Hang-Seng, Nikkei indexes, and their performances are compared through back testing techniques. Overall, multivariate models are shown to be more appropriate than univariate models to estimate the portfolio VaR, in particular DCC and ADCC models are shown to be more superior than others.