• Journal of Teachers' Pension
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• v.1
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• pp.129-153
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• 2016

2009년~2015년 사학연금 급여를 신청한 퇴직자에 대한 자료를 기반하여, 사학연금의 유형별 선택에 따른 연금 및 일시금 수급액을 산출하고, 주요 거시경제변수의 변화에 따라 사학연금 유형별 개인의 노후소득 규모와 이에 따른 사학연금의 재정지출 부담액의 변화를 산정하였다. 2009년과 2015년 사이에 퇴직한 사학연금 수급자가 2063년까지 지급받게 될 지급규모의 2016년 현재가치는 1억 2,500만원에서 1억 2,700만원 사이인 것으로 계산되었다. 그리고 2009년에서 2015년 사이의 퇴직자인 175,573명에게 2063년까지 연인원으로 633,720명에게 2016년의 현재가치로 1조 6,864억 원에서 1조 7,163억 원 사이를 지급할 것으로 계산되었다. 분석결과 유치원 등에 재직하는 여성의 경우 재직기간이 짧으며, 이로 인하여 연금수급권을 갖지 못하고 퇴직일시금을 수급하는 경향이 높다. 연금을 선택하는 집단은 주로 중고등학교 이상에 재직한 교원으로서 법정퇴직연령까지 재직하다가 퇴직 이후 연금을 수급하는 경향이 높다. 현재의 지급구조 하에서 저금리-저물가 기조가 유지되는 경우 그렇지 않은 경우보다 개인이 수급하는 연금의 현재가치가 상대적으로 높아지는 경향이 있다. 기금운용자의 경우 수급자의 지출을 통합하여 관리·운용하게 되므로 저금리-저물가 지속시 이에 대한 지급규모가 더욱 커지게 되며, 이를 위한 재원 확보와 기금운용수익률을 높여 재정을 안정화시킬 필요성이 더욱 커지게 된다

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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• v.69 no.2
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• pp.9-30
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• 2017

Generally, regime shift occurs less frequently than policy change and/or government change. Regime shift needs alterations and changes along the three critical components which constitute a domestic regime: (1) the character of the socioeconomic coalition that rules the country; (2) the political and economic institutions through which power is acquired and exercised; and (3) the public policy profile that give political direction to the nation. This paper tries to examine characteristics of the welfare regime of Korea, and explore policy reform options for the welfare regime shift in Korea. From the viewpoint of livelihood security perspective, I firstly tries to examine development process of Korean welfare regime and specify the main characteristics of that regime. Secondly, I present three policy reform options: (1) reform of the formal political institutions such as electoral system and government type; (2) restructuring of the composition of government expenditure structure; and (3) reduction of the informal employment. These three policy reform options are related to the alteration of socioeconomic coalitions and the changes of the political and economic institutions. Instead of concluding remarks, I finally suggest two debate topics to the round table discussion.

• Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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• v.42 no.3
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• pp.207-231
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• 2011

The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of the intergovernment relationship on the local government's social welfare expenditure. The data of 230 local governments from 2003 to 2008 were analyzed with the PCSE(Panel Corrected Standard Errors) Model of Beck and Kats. The results were as follow. First, financial transfer from the higher governments increase the social welfare expenditure of the local governments. Second, the party structure, that is the political relationships among local, regional, and central governments, affect the social welfare expenditure of the local governments. Third, the local governments compete each other to expand the social welfare expenditure in Korea. These results suggest that the relationship of local governments with the higher ones as well as the community factors is important in Korea, where the centralization is still strong in the local autonomy system, to understand the development of social welfare.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.67-94
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• 1987

본(本) 연구(硏究)의 목적(目的)은 공무원연금제도(公務員年金制度)의 장래(將來) 재정안정(財政安定)을 위한 연금급여구조(年金給與構造)의 개선방안(改善方案)을 제시하기 위한 것이며, 이를 위하여 가입후(加入後) 연금수급(年金受給)을 마칠 때까지의 갹출(醵出) 및 급여과정(給與過程)의 시뮬레이션을 통하여 공무원연금(公務員年金) 가입자(加入者)의 수익률(收益率), 손익분기점(損益分岐點) 및 급여수준(給與水準) 등을 분석(分析)하였다. 분석결과(分析結果) 공무원연금제도(公務員年金制度)의 현급여구조(現給與構造)가 지속(持續)된다면 재정위기(財政危機)가 초래될 것으로 전망된다. 이는 퇴직시점(退職時點)의 최종보수(最終報酬)를 기준으로 연금액(年金額)을 산정하고 공무원(公務員)의 퇴직연령(退職年齡)이 일반적으로 낮으며 수급자(受給者)의 평균수명이 길어져 연금액지출(年金額支出)이 증대되고 있기 때문이다. 이에 대한 대안(代案)으로 국민연금(國民年金)의 산정방법(算定方法)(전가입자평균보수(全加入者平均報酬)와 가입자개인(加入者個人)의 전가입기간평균보수(全加入期間平均報酬)를 기준으로 연금(年金)을 산정(算定))을 적용하고 연금수급시점(年金受給時點)을 60세부터로 하는 경우를 검토하여 본 결과 현저한 재정안정효과(財政安定效果)뿐 아니라 소득재분배효과(所得再分配效果)도 가져 오는 것으로 분석되었다. 그러나 이러한 개선방안(改善方案)은 연금수급자(年金受給者)들에게 충격을 줄 수 있으므로 적정수익률(適正收益率)을 감안한 점진적(漸進的) 개선(改善)이 바람직하다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.1-40
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• 2007

This paper mainly estimates a trajectory of GDP induced by variations in fiscal expenditure and taxation policy using three variable structural VAR models. By assigning different combinations of identifying restrictions on the disturbances and measuring the corresponding fiscal multipliers, we compare how robust the estimated values of fiscal multipliers are with respect to the restrictions. Then, considering the dependency of Korean economy on the foreign sector, we extend the three variable SVARs to four variable ones by adding a variable reflecting external shocks. Empirical analyses into the Korean quarterly data (from 1979 to 2000) with the three variable SVARs reveal that the size and the significance of the estimated fiscal multipliers in Korea are very small and low or they decay very fast. Results from the four variable SVARs confirm these results while the significance of the effectiveness of fiscal policy is enhanced in some cases.

• Journal of Labour Economics
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• v.39 no.4
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• pp.1-29
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• 2016

This study examines the effects of the "youth unemployment bonus" program implemented in 2004. We view this program through the lenz of search-matching models and apply a quasi-experimental approach to an administrative unemployment insurance database of Korea. This episode is particularly useful because the program aims at long-term unemployed youths and the size of public assistance is large enough to subsidize employers for a year with a monthly subsidy of about $600. The main effects are found to be as follows: (i) the search period gets shortened by 18 days, (ii) the subsequent wage has increased by about three percents, and (iii) a conservative benefit-cost analysis reveals the validity of this program. We interpret these results in the context of general equilibrium models.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.25 no.1
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• pp.131-153
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• 2014

The Korean market of pension plans has recently increased and pension plans will be expected to play an important role in the retirement system as complement of the national pension system in the future. However, there are a few of research papers on actuarial projections of pension plans. This paper will discuss a long-term financial projection on defined pension plans using data based on the national pension workplace participants. Previous researches focused on company-based financial projection of pension plan. But, this paper concerns on total Korean pension participants and suggests a method to calculate future financial projection of total pension plans. Finally, this research will suggest several numerical results of normal costs, benefits, numbers of workers, etc.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.96-110
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• 2021

Korea is faced with the challenge of adapting to the world's fastest - growing low birthrate, aging society, and low growth with low interest rate era. With low fertility and aging population, the factors of financial income of health insurance are decreasing, and the increase of public interest in health, high cost medical technology and the development of medicine are leading to increase expenditure of health insurance. In this study, I will examine the strengthen protection of health insurance, financial stabilization, and fairness of medical care. First, the present status and limitations of health insurance were identified through domestic policy report, domestic and foreign literature, and precedent research. Second, the foreign health insurance policy measures to stabilize the finances were examined separately. Based on this study, in order to maintain sustainable health insurance through reinforcement and financial stabilization of health insurance, the current financial income structure of health insurance must be renovated. It will be necessary to expand government subsidies and discover new tax revenues. In addition, a policy to save finances by reorganizing the medical bill payment system and medical delivery system will also be needed.

• The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.369-378
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• 2024

The aim of this study is to conduct a comparative study on the sustainability of the public pension. While the mainstream view on the sustainability of the public pension presupposes financial sustainability, the original purpose of guaranteeing retirement income has been overlooked. The sustainability of the public pension needs to consider not only financial sustainability, but also various factors such as demographic structure, labor productivity, industrial structure, life cycle of working households, government spending on public pensions, economic growth, and social consensus. With this awareness of the problem, this study conducted a fuzzy set qualitative comparative study in 44 countries, including Korea. As a result of the analysis, it was found that Korea had high financial sustainability for a single year, but relatively low integration related to social consultation and public pension operation, and adequacy such as the degree of guarantee and linkage with other pension systems was also relatively low. The sustainability of the broader public pension should be emphasized not only for financial sustainability, but also for adequacy and integration.

• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.17-27
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• 2017

The purpose of this study is to analyze the determinants of start-ups by industry based on the theoretical background of entrepreneurship. For this purpose, regional industrial structure and local labor market structure are considered in order to focus on regional factors in addition to economic factors, income factors, and technological innovation factors. As an analyzed result, three theories of entrepreneurship generally agree with the determinants of industry - specific entrepreneurship. During the economic recession, the number of start-ups has increased. The intra-regional consumption and the local government expenditure per capita have also positive effects on the start-up. The incubation center has a positive effect on the start - up in the manufacturing sector. Therefore, the academic-industrial leading various incubation facilities should be activated in addition to the central or local government leading incubation centers, which is a part of the policy to support start-ups of central and local governments. In addition, population growth is a very important factor in terms of potential demand creation, and the characteristics of regional industrial structure and the effect of human capital within the region differ by industry. In the case of the manufacturing industry, the accumulation effect positively influences the start-up of the industry. In other service industries, the human capital variable had the greatest effect on the start-up when all other conditions are constant.