• The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.157-176
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• 2005

본 연구는 KOSPI자산 포트폴리오에 대한 VaR를 다양한 ARCH류 모형을 사용하여 추정하고 이들의 예측능력을 평가하였다. 활용된 모형은 우선 기본적인 GARCH(1,1)모형과 레버리지 효과를 감안한 TGARCH모형, 다양한 ARCH모형을 포괄할 수 있는 PGARCH모형, 변동성의 영속성을 고려한 IGARCH모형이 포함되었다. 모형 상호간의 성과비교에 추가하여 ARCH류 모형에서 수익률예측오차의 분포에 따라서 VaR의 예측성과가 얼마나 차이가 발생하는가를 확인하기 위하여 정규분포와 Student-t분포의 성과를 비교하였다. 마지막으로 VaR 추정시에 조건부평균을 무시하는 관례가 어느정도 타당성이 있는지를 확인하기 위하여 1시차 자기회귀과정에 입각한 조건부 평균을 감안한 결과를 검토하였다. ARCH류 모형에서 모형 설명력은 보다 정교한 모형인 TGARCH모형이나 PGARCH모형이 우월하게 나타났지만, VaR의 예측능력 우월성으로 이어지지는 않았다. Student-t분포를 가정한 경우 VaR모형 사후검증성과는 정규분포를 가정한 경우보다 모든 신뢰수준에서 개선되었으며, 조건부평균의 제거는 Student-t분포 가정하에서는 적합하지 않은 것으로 나타났다. ARCH류 모형에서 가장 단순한 형태인 IGARCH모형의 예측성과가 다른 모형들에 비하여 뒤떨어지지 않으며, 더욱 제약된 형태인 RiskMetrics의 EWMA모형이 사후검증에서 우수한 성과를 보여 단순한 모형의 유용성을 확인시켜주고 있다.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.47-60
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• 2017

As the recent cultural contents area start-ups are creating remarkable outcomes such as investment attraction together with the reinforced institutional supports from the government, this study aimed to reverify the significance of researches related to correlation analysis between service of Business Incubating Center of Small & Medium Business Administration operated with no separation of business type, and corporate performance, in the aspect of Business Incubating Center in cultural contents area, and also to suggest the importance of establishing the business incubating system in the systematic and rational cultural contents area through the differentiated business incubating service by verifying the significant effects of the business validity of items on corporate performance, and then discovering services suitable for business incubating in cultural contents area, targeting Gyeonggi-do cultural contents area Business Incubating Center recently showing the biggest growth. Especially, contrary to the existing researches, in order to verify the characteristics of Gyeonggi-do Cultural Contents Business Incubating Center, the personal support service and marketing support service were included. It also aimed to understand the effects of the business validity of start-up items on corporate performance. Summarizing the results of this study, contrary to the results of the existing researches saying that spatial & additional support service, management support service, technical support service, personal support service, and marketing support service had significant effects on corporate performance, among the support service of Gyeonggi-do cultural contents area Business Incubating Center, the spatial & additional support service, personal support service, and marketing support service had significantly positive(+) effects on corporate performance while the management support service and technical support service had no significant effects on it. Comparing with the results of the researches on the support service of Business Incubating Center(BI) of Small & Medium Business Administration, the effects of the management support service and technical support service of Gyeonggi-do cultural contents area Business Incubating Center on corporate financial/non-financial performance were not huge. Also, in the results of analyzing the business validity of star-up items, the spatial & additional support service, management support service, and technical support service did not have significant effects on the business validity of start-up items while the personal support service and marketing support service had significantly positive(+) effects on it. In case when selecting companies, Gyeonggi-do Business Incubating Center emphasized the business validity of start-up items. However, the support service provided after the selection did not have huge effects on the business validity of start-up items. Lastly, in the results of analyzing the effects of the business validity of start-up items in Gyeonggi-do cultural contents area on corporate performance, among the success factors of business start-up, the business validity of start-up items was an important element having effects on corporate performance(financial/non-financial) in the cultural contents area.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.279-304
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• 2003

This study presents some empirical results on variable rate deposit insurance premium in Korea. The study estimates deposit insurance premium for all insured financial institutions in Korea using Ronn and Verma(1986) model which is based on Merton(1977)'s option pricing model. The sample period is 1995-2001 and the study includes trend analysis and cross-sectional analysis for premium estimation. The study also includes the correlation analysis between the estimates and profitability and capitalvariables such as BIS capital ratios, ROE and ROA. The results show that the estimates differ across financial institutions and sample periods. Thus it supports that each deposit premium should reflect its own risks. It also supports the necessity for the system of variable rate deposit insurance premium.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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• v.14D no.1 s.111
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• pp.107-120
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• 2007

When it tomes to IT investment, it's a challenge for the management to make the right decision. Unlike investment in other business area, it's hard to measure direct cost vs. effect in IT business. To validate the investment in IT, it is required to establish objective assessment system that both provider and beneficiary of information can accept, and it is also required to suggest an assessment tool of fixed quantity that includes measuring standards and method for the economic effect of new investment. This study, therefore, has developed IT ROI Methodology that can prove investment validity by accepting the strong points of the existing models while complementing their weak points and by analyzing IT Investment and IT Efforts. It also has built an IT ROI System that reflects the methodology which is applied to 21 companies of 5 business categories. This system is designed to provide effective and objective decision-making tool for IT investment by proving what positive impacts IT could have on business activities.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.292-312
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• 2017

The purposes of this research are to verify: first, if the technology appraisal model reflects the company's management performance and the rates of bankruptcy and overdue; second, if the existing classification system of technology levels is suitable; and third, which is the most important appraisal factor that defines the classification system of technology levels. As a result of the analysis, financial performance (stability) and non-financial performance (technology environment) proved to be significant variables in explaining technology ratings. According to the verification of the suitability of classification system, it appeared that there is a significant difference in all appraisal items of all groups. The result of neural networks model verification indicates that the most important variable was the R&D capacity, the second variables which determine the suitability of technology financing were indicators related to the company management. The second variables which determine a company's technological excellence were a company's technological base. To summarize, the technology appraisal model not only reflects both managerial performance and risks of a company, but also anticipates the future by converging the management competence and technological competitiveness into R&D capacity. This implies that if the 'forward-looking' technology appraisal model is integrated into the existing, credit rating model, the appraisal model may have positive impact on improving anticipation and stability.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.84-91
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• 2015

Project Financing (PF) is a financing method, executed based upon the projected profitability from a project itself instead of relying on the credit rating of project sponsors or any type of collateral. However, most financial institutions of Korea lacks the long term profitability assessment capability, and they prefer to acquire credit reinforcement from the construction companies in the form of the guarantor or debt argument commitments. As a result, PF contingent liabilities as an indirect debt, are burdened to the construction companies. Even though the PF contingent liabilities are not supposed to be part of the financial statements, they became a mandatory disclosure items since 2009. In this study, PF contingent liabilities were studied to indicate how they were correlated with construction firms' financial ratios. Construction firms were grouped by their credit rating and each group was compared in order to analyze PF contingent liabilities' impact on the financial condition of the company in terms of liquidity, liability, and stability.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.44 no.9
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• pp.765-776
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• 2011

Flood discharge capacity in a dam downstream reach has been decreased after dam construction because of the river cross section reduction impacted by farm lands, sand-bars and parking lots, etc. in river flood plains. Those obstacles being in the river inside areas have caused negative influences to the dam operation policy. Therefore, the dam downstream river improvement work associated with the dam operation improvement plan is under construction for removing reduction factors on the dam effective storage, assuring flood safety in the dam downstream river and incrementing dam operation benefits. But the project has issued some problems such as project feasibility, economic evaluation, cost allocation and benefit share, etc. Since a dam enterpriser has not committed such kind of project before, it is necessary to set up an objective analysis process and a quantitative financial valuation. This study examines the measurable economic benefits and the cost allocation of the project for the fairness between benefit owners (central government and water electricity enterprisers). As a result, the total economic benefit from 3 dams (Imha, Daechung and Youngdam Dam) accounts for 14.41 Billion Won/year. The financial valuation of K-water as a project enterpriser is approximately estimated at 40% of the total value and the government is 60%.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.33-68
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• 2008

The purpose of this paper is to test the market timing hypothesis and impact of macro economic variables on capital structure choice as well as the traditional static trade-off and pecking order theories of capital structure in a integrated framework. Through a two stage test of target capital structure and capital structure choice, none of theories was consistently supported, but most of them were partly supported. In the first stage analysis of target ratio, coefficients of firm-specific variables generally supported the predictions of pecking order theory rather than those of the static trade-off theory. However, the result of the second stage test on capital structure choice supported the hypothesis of the static trade-off theory, which claims that firms usually set and pursue the target leverage ratio. Further, the result of the seconde stage shows that a simple pecking oder theory does not hold because firms with deficit of internal fund tend to issue bonds rather than stocks to raise outside fund. Also, the result indicates that the market timing hypothesis holds because firms with over-valued stocks tend to issue stocks rather than bonds. However, contrary to Korajczyk and Levy(2003), the impact of macro economic variables such as term or credit spreads on capital structure choice was negligible, and the impact of macro economic and market timing hypothesis variables were not greater in financially unconstrained firms as Korajczyk and Levy(2003) suggested.

• Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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• v.45 no.1
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• pp.75-97
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• 2015

Recently public institutions' debt is growing therefore it became an important issue to the level that the government concerns about the possibility of financial burden to reduce the debt. Especially debt of public enterprises in metropolitan areas was in a serious state where debt in late 2013 was 43.2 trillion, which takes approx. 58.4% of 73.9 trillion of debt of all local public enterprises. Sound financial state of local public enterprises is important to public enterprises in metropolitan areas and it may affect seriously financial stability of local governments when public enterprises have financial problems. However, land supply business to form local industrial complexes or local demand for development of public rental housing business always exist; and vitalizing local economy and creating jobs through these businesses are very necessary to develop the areas. However, for local economic development, industirial land business and public rental housing business are needed. In this study, Gwangju Metropolitan City Corporation Ltd is used as a case study to evaluate the local public financial soundness via debt management assessment i.e.(using) the feasibility analysis in the urban development and housing development. As an improvement measure following the result of analysis, for the enhancement of financial soundness of urban innovation corporation, the government and local government shall evaluate and differentiate market demand, price competitiveness, and infrastructure of new town land development project to improve accuracy of project feasibility analysis. Another important insight is that there should be local government-centered management of liabilities of the local government and local public enterprises with the integrated liability management system to reduce the liability of the corporation and solve the issue of debts for local government. This study is significant in that it has analyzed cases from the theoretical aspect to secure financial soundness of national and local public enterprises.

• The Korean Journal of Financial Studies
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.15-39
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• 2008

본 연구에서는 미국, 영국, 한국 금융시장의 주식, 회사채, 국채, 부동산지수와 상품지수로 구성된 포트폴리오에서의 상품지수의 역할을 실증적으로 제시하고자 했다. 일반적인 금융상품으로만 구성된 포트폴리오와 상품지수가 포함된 포트폴리오의 수익률과 위험을 비교 분석하여 상품지수의 포트폴리오 구성요소로서의 타당성을 검증했다. 또한, 국가별 통화정책의 변화에 따라 분석기간을 긴축정책기와 확장정책기로 구분하여 그 성과를 비교함으로써 상품지수가 인플레이션 헤지수단이 될 수 있는지를 확인하고자 하였다. 미국과 영국의 경우 GSCI지수는 긴축기에 다른 금융자산에 비해 위험대비 수익률이 높아 포트폴리오 편입비중이 크며, 포트폴리오의 효율성을 높이는 것으로 분석되었다. 영국의 경우 환율을 적용하기 전과 후의 분석결과가 크게 상이하지 않으나, 한국의 경우 환율을 적용한 GSCI지수의 포트폴리오 편입비중은 미국, 영국시장과 유사한 결과를 보이나, 환율과 GSCI지수를 각각 독립적인 자산으로 편입하여 분석할 경우 그 효과는 미미한 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 환율을 적용하여 편입한 GSCI지수의 포트폴리오 수익률 상승효과 중 상당한 부분이 환율로 인한 것이며, 해외시장의 경우와 단순히 비교하기는 어렵다는 점이다. 따라서, 우리나라의 경우는 미국, 영국과 달리 환율을 적용한 상품지수가 인플레이션에 대한 헤지수단이 되나, 환율효과가 지배적이므로 상품지수 자체의 공헌도는 높지 않다고 평가된다.