• Title/Summary/Keyword: 자기회귀분석

Search Result 1,314, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

Time series analysis for the amount of medicine from the Korea Consumer Agency (한국 소비자원 의료분야 처리금액에 대한 시계열 분석)

  • Hee Song Kang;Sukhui Kwon;SungDuck Lee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.36 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-32
    • /
    • 2023
  • The amount of money processed in medicine from the Korea Consumer Agency was studied by the various time series models. The medical data set from the Korea Consumer Agency were consisted of counseling, damage relief and conciliation. For the analysis of time series, autoregressive moving average model, vector autoregressive model and the transfer function model were used. We considered the stationarity and cross correlation function for the identification and fitting. As a result, the transfer function model showed a better prediction. Whereas, the vector autoregressive model also provided good information for the degree and duration of the influence of variables.

The effect of Fear of Negative Evaluation on Social Interaction Anxiety -Mediating Effects of Self-Encouragement and Self-Discouragement- (부정적 평가에 대한 두려움이 사회적 상호작용 불안에 미치는 영향 -자기낙담과 자기격려의 매개효과-)

  • Kim, Hyun-Sug
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.475-486
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study aims to discover the mediating effect of Self-Encouragement and Self-Discouragement on the Relationships between Fear of Negative Evaluation and Social Interaction Anxiety. A questionnaire was conducted on 319 university students and the data was analyzed with Pearson's correlation and regression. As a result, there was a positive correlation between Fear of Negative Evaluation and Social Interaction Anxiety. Also, Fear of Negative Evaluation and Social Interaction Anxiety were positively correlated with Self-Discouragement and negatively correlated with Self-Encouragement. Next, multiple regression showed that Self-Discouragement has a perfect mediating effect and Self-Encouragement has a partial mediating effect on the Relationship between Fear of Negative Evaluation and Social Interaction Anxiety. These results imply that counselee with Social Interaction Anxiety can be treated effectively by promoting self-encouragement.

Completion of the Missing Rainfall Data by a Multi-regression method (다중회귀분석을 이용한 강우량 결측치 보정)

  • Lee, Myoung-Woo;Lee, Bong-Hee;Kim, Hung-Soo;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2006.05a
    • /
    • pp.775-779
    • /
    • 2006
  • 강우자료의 구축은 수문해석에 있어 가장 기본적이며 중요한 단계라 할 수 있다. 하지만 수문 관측 자료의 경우 결측치가 존재하여 그에 대한 보정이 필요한 경우가 종종 발생하게 된다. 따라서 수문자료의 분석을 수행하기에 앞서 우선 자료에 대한 검정을 실시하고, 결측치가 존재할 경우는 이를 보정하여 분석을 수행하여야 한다. 본 연구에서는 다변량통계기법의 하나인 다중회귀분석을 이용하여 강우 결측치를 보정하였다. 본 연구에서는 다중공선성과 자기상관에 대하여 고려한 다중회귀모형을 구성하였다. 모형의 구성시 모든 결측지점에 적용이 가능하지 않아 일반성이 떨어짐을 확인 할 수 있었지만, 모형이 구성될 경우 통계적 적합도와 유의수준을 확인 할 수 있는 장점이 있었으며, 다중회귀모형이 구성되는 경우 좋은 보정 결과를 주는 것을 확인 할 수 있었다.

  • PDF

Relations among Work Hope, Career Attitude Maturity, and Career Decision-Making Self-Efficacy in Korean College Students (대학생의 직업희망과 진로태도성숙도 및 진로결정자기효능감의 관계)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Mi
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.497-504
    • /
    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between college students' work hope, career attitude maturity and career decision-making self-efficacy. For this, correlation analysis, variance analysis and multiple regression analysis were conducted using 299 data collected from 8 universities in the metropolitan area, Yeongnam, Honam, Gangwon and Chungcheong provinces. As a result of correlation analysis between work hope and career variables, there was a positive correlation between r=.64 and .73 in each sub-factor. After performing a variance analysis to explore the differences in work hope between gender, grades and major fields, there were no gender and grade differences found, but there were significant differences between major fields. Also, as a result of multiple regression analysis, it was found that work hope affecting career attitude maturity was pathways, and in career decision-making self-efficacy, agency, pathways thinking, and goal were influenced. On the analysis result, the limitations and implications of this study were discussed using college students' work hope scale.

Spatial Data Analysis for the U.S. Regional Income Convergence,1969-1999: A Critical Appraisal of $\beta$-convergence (미국 소득분포의 지역적 수렴에 대한 공간자료 분석(1969∼1999년) - 베타-수렴에 대한 비판적 검토 -)

  • Sang-Il Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.39 no.2
    • /
    • pp.212-228
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper is concerned with an important aspect of regional income convergence, ${\beta}$-convergence, which refers to the negative relationship between initial income levels and income growth rates of regions over a period of time. The common research framework on ${\beta}$-convergence which is based on OLS regression models has two drawbacks. First, it ignores spatially autocorrelated residuals. Second, it does not provide any way of exploring spatial heterogeneity across regions in terms of ${\beta}$-convergence. Given that empirical studies on ${\beta}$-convergence need to be edified by spatial data analysis, this paper aims to: (1) provide a critical review of empirical studies on ${\beta}$-convergence from a spatial perspective; (2) investigate spatio-temporal income dynamics across the U.S. labor market areas for the last 30 years (1969-1999) by fitting spatial regression models and applying bivariate ESDA techniques. The major findings are as follows. First, the hypothesis of ${\beta}$-convergence was only partially evidenced, and the trend substantively varied across sub-periods. Second, a SAR model indicated that ${\beta}$-coefficient for the entire period was not significant at the 99% confidence level, which may lead to a conclusion that there is no statistical evidence of regional income convergence in the US over the last three decades. Third, the results from bivariate ESDA techniques and a GWR model report that there was a substantive level of spatial heterogeneity in the catch-up process, and suggested possible spatial regimes. It was also observed that the sub-periods showed a substantial level of spatio-temporal heterogeneity in ${\beta}$-convergence: the catch-up scenario in a spatial sense was least pronounced during the 1980s.

Causal Analysis between the Korean and the U.S. Monthly Business Conditions (한미 월간 경기동향의 선행성 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.17-28
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study attempts to perform the statistical test for the causality between the Korean and the U.S. business conditions in association with the lead-lag relationship between the domestic stock price and the business condition. Their causal relationships are clearly identified after the outbreak of the IMF financial crisis. The vector autoregression for the corresponding period appears to reflect the strong interrelationships between the market variables and the dependency of the domestic business conditions on the U.S. market. The estimation results validate the leading effect of the stock price and the U.S. business behavior.

A Comparison of Robust Parameter Estimations for Autoregressive Models (자기회귀모형에서의 로버스트한 모수 추정방법들에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Hee-Jeong;Kim, Soon-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.11 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-18
    • /
    • 2000
  • In this paper, we study several parameter estimation methods used for autoregressive processes and compare them in view of forecasting. The least square estimation, least absolute deviation estimation, robust estimation are compared through Monte Carlo simulations.

  • PDF

Relationship of Initial Density, Biomass and Tuber Productivity of Scirpus planiculmis in the Nakdong River Estuary (낙동강 하구 새섬매자기 초기밀도, 생체량과 괴경량의 관계)

  • Yi, Yong Min;Yeo, Un Sang;Sung, Kijune
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.9-17
    • /
    • 2013
  • Scirpus planiculmis dominated in Nakdong river estuary is known as food for birds visiting to Nakdong river estuary and plays an important role in material cycle and food web, while repeating growth and production, decomposition process in 1-year interval. Therefore, if it is able to predict effectively biomass or tuber production of Scirpus planiculmis which is food source for estuarine organisms or birds, it can provide very useful information on the Nakdong river estuary management. In this study, regression equation that can predict the tuber production, food for birds, was obtained using initial density of Scirpus planiculmis that can minimize the disturbance of ecosystem and is faster and easier. The correlation analysis results show that density, biomass and tuber production have liner relationship(p<0.001) with 0.6103~0.9950 of correlation coefficients. In addition, the regression equations have high coefficients of determination of 0.3696~0.7145 and it shows that it is able to predict biomass or tuber production while using the estimated regression equation obtained from relationship among the initial density, biomass and tuber production. The results of this study are expected to utilize effectively the management of estuary ecosystem such as management on food source for migratory birds visiting to Nakdong river estuary.

Relationship between Middle School Boys' Game Addiction and Aggression: Focused on Mediation effects of Covert Narcissism (남자 중학생의 게임중독과 공격성의 관계: 내현적 자기애의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Lim, Jeeyoung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.688-698
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study examined the mediation effects of covert narcissism on the relationship between game addiction and aggression. For this study, 578 middle school boys in Chungcheong areas were included in the analysis. The results are as follows. First, correlation analyses showed that game addiction was positively correlated with covert narcissism and aggression. In addition, covert narcissism showed positive correlation with aggression. Second, step-wise regression analyses were conducted to examine the relative size that sub-factors of game addiction and covert narcissism explained aggression. It could be known that three factors of game addiction(tolerance, disregard of everyday life, damage of control) and two factors of covert narcissism(exploitation/self-centeredness, oversensitivity/vulnerability) showed significant explanatory power for aggression. Third, the Structural Equation Model was designed in which factors of game addiction and covert narcissism with significant explanatory power for aggression were included. Covert narcissism was found to partially mediate the influence of the boys' game addiction on aggression. Finally implications of this study and directions for future research were discussed.

Population Distribution Estimation Using Regression-Kriging Model (Regression-Kriging 모형을 이용한 인구분포 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byeong-Sun;Ku, Cha-Yong;Choi, Jin-Mu
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.45 no.6
    • /
    • pp.806-819
    • /
    • 2010
  • Population data has been essential and fundamental in spatial analysis and commonly aggregated into political boundaries. A conventional method for population distribution estimation was a regression model with land use data, but the estimation process has limitation because of spatial autocorrelation of the population data. This study aimed to improve the accuracy of population distribution estimation by adopting a Regression-Kriging method, namely RK Model, which combines a regression model with Kriging for the residuals. RK Model was applied to a part of Seoul metropolitan area to estimate population distribution based on the residential zones. Comparative results of regression model and RK model using RMSE, MAE, and G statistics revealed that RK model could substantially improve the accuracy of population distribution. It is expected that RK model could be adopted actively for further population distribution estimation.