• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구 성장

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어촌 자원을 활용한 소득증대 방안 연구 -경상남도 남해군 초전항을 중심으로-

  • 박경태;안웅희
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2021.11a
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    • pp.148-150
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    • 2021
  • 어촌은 바다, 섬, 자연경관, 해양레저, 수산자원 등의 다양한 해양 관광자원을 보유하고 있어 성장 잠재력이 풍부하나, 이를 통해 성장할 수 있는 기본적 인프라 및 콘텐츠가 절대적으로 부족한 실정이다. 또한 수산업 침체와 어촌인구 감소 및 고령화로 어촌 공동화 현상이 심화되고 있으며, 정주환경 저하 등 삶의 질 전반에 걸쳐 낙후된 상태이다. 본 연구에서는 어촌마을의 자원활용과 자원 간의 연계를 촉진시킴과 동시에 정주기능, 생산기능의 활성화를 도모할 수 있는 소득증대 방안을 마련하고자 함

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A Study on the Change of Population Distribution in Metropolitan Area by the Development of the New Town-type Innovation City: A Case Study of the Daegu Innovation City in South Korea (신시가지형 혁신도시 개발에 따른 대도시 인구분포 변화에 관한 연구 - 대구혁신도시 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Jeong-Il;Kim, Ji-Hye
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.55-68
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims to analyze the changes of the population distribution of metropolitan area by the development of the new town-type innovative city, focusing on the case of the Daegu Innovative City. Using dataset in the survey of population trend and the migration statistics microdata provided by the Statistics Korea, we decomposed population changes of Daegu and surrounding regions into natural increase and social increases(net migration). As a result of the analysis, Dong-gu, where the Daegu Innovation City is located, experienced population growth due to its increase of net migration, whereas the total population in Daegu been decreasing continuously between 2007 and 2016. In particular, the occurrence of high net migration to Dong-gu in 2014 showed a pattern consistent with the completion of the Daegu Innovative City development and the relocation of government institutions from the Seoul metro area. As a result of analyzing the migration to Dong-gu, the population moved from the Seoul metro area was 6.9% of the total, while the population moving from the other 7 gu-gun areas in Daegu (35.8%) and the surrounding regions (8.2%) were significantly high. In particular, the migration to Dong-gu were from neighboring areas, such as Suseong-gu, Buk-gu and Gyeongsan-si. Therefore, the development of the new town-type innovative city could accelerate toward sprawling urban structure.

Reconstruction of Urbanization Levels and the Nature of Over/underurbanization Problems in China (중국 도시화율의 재구성과 과잉/과소 도시화 문제의 성격)

  • Jun, Kwang-Hee
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.257-289
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    • 2004
  • 이 연구의 목적은 중국의 도시화율을 재구성하고 그것을 바탕으로 과잉/과소 도시화 논쟁을 재점검하는 것이다. 연구는 과거에 발표된 도시화율에 비하여 2000년 센서스 보고서에 발표된 36.01%의 도시화율이 신뢰할만한 수치인가하는 질문에서 출발한다. 여기에 대한 답은 부정적이다. 따라서 이 연구는 유엔의 도시/농촌 인구성장 예측기법을 사용하여, 도시화율에 관한 두 세트의 시계열 자료를 재구성한다, 이 연구는 그 중 하나인 1982~2000년 자료를 바탕으로 과잉/과소 도시화 문제의 성격을 해명한다. 이 연구는 1인당 국민소득과 도시화의 관계를 해명하기 위한 두 종류의 회귀모형을 개발한다. 세계은행의 자료를 바탕으로 전세계의 경제발전과 도시화 수준에 관계에 관한 회귀방정식을 추정하고, 선형방정식보다 로그방정식이 예측력이 높음을 확인한다. 로그방정식의 추정결과에 따르면, 중국은 1978년 개혁${\cdot}$개방정책 이전에는 과잉 도시화되었고, 최근에 들어 오히려 도시화의 지체로 인한 과소 도시화의 문제가 통계적으로 유의미한 현상이 되고 있다. 분석의 결과는 중국이 1978년 시장경제를 도입한지 15년이 지난 이후에야 도시화 지체현상이 나타나고 있음에 주목하면서, 중국의 각종 도시정책이 도시발전에 강력한 장애물로 규제력을 행사하였음을 강조한다.

The Research on the Gloabl Water Market (글로벌 물시장 동향 연구)

  • Kim, ShangMoon;Jang, SeokWon;Lee, ByoungChul;Suh, Jinsuhk;Park, Imsu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.79-79
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    • 2016
  • 오늘날 물산업은 인구증가, 도시화, 시설투자 증가 등으로 연간 수천조원 규모의 물시장을 형성하고 있다. 2050년 세계 인구는 96억 명으로 증가가 전망되며, 특히 도시화의 속도는 더욱 가속화되어 2030년이 되면 도시화율이 60%에 이를 것으로 전망된다(UN, 2014). 인구증가, 도시화, 기후 변화 등으로 물시장 규모가 바쁘게 성장함에 따라 많은 국가 및 기업들이 물시장으로 진입한지 오래이며, 우리 정부 및 기업들 또한 지속적인 노력을 경주하고 있다. 다음 그림은 물 관련 투자 분야를 분류한 주요 4개 분야이다. 이에 본 연구는 문헌 분석을 통한 글로벌 물시장 트렌드 및 분야별 시장 전망 등을 살펴봄으로써 국내 기업의 보다 활발한 해외 시장 진출을 돕고자 한다.

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An Empirical Estimation on Contributions of Education Level to Economic Growth by (한국의 교육이 경제성장에 미친 영향 분석;내생성장모형과 $1975{\sim}'04$년간 자료를 이용하여)

  • Jang, Chang-Won
    • Proceedings of the Population Association of Korea Conference
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    • 2006.12a
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    • pp.113-128
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    • 2006
  • The main theme of this paper was to investigate the role of education as a source of economic growth in Korea. In this study, first, the objective mode was built by extending neoclassical Solow growth theory. Second, the capital deepening typical of an endogenous economic per-capita growth model was developed empirically for seven East-Asian economies as for the medium term, during $1975{\sim}2004$. And then we found the meaning of coefficients of growth factors, direct relative contribution of each input to per-capita growth in seven East-Asian countries, relative indirect contribution of education to per-capita growth in Korea, accounting for difference due to accumulation in Korea. The indirect relative contributions of secondary and higher education and R&D to per-capita growth change the results somewhat. Secondary education is still the largest single contributor 83.6 percent of predicted growth is due to secondary school enrollment in Korea. Primary education comes second with 37.5 percent and followed by higher education at -52.9 percent. Physical investment gives 62.3 percent and unimproved raw labor contributes only -1.4 percent.

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Characteristics and Causal Factors of Urban Growth in Korea (우리나라 도시성장의 특성과 요인 1980 - 1994)

  • Park, Yeon-Soo;Yu, Wann
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.5 no.1 s.9
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 1997
  • Korea is one of the countries most greatly affected by modern urbanization in its speed and its magnitude. Urbanization in Korea however has great differences compare to those in Europe, America and even developing countries. The main purpose of this study is to evaluate the specific causes of urbanization in Korea to interpret past trends accurately and to predict future trends properly. To accomplish the purpose cross section data of 806 cities during 1980-1994 has computed in terms of totals and regression analysis has been performed to measure the relative impact of each factor.

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The Effect of a balanced time perspective on growth after adversity in adolescence: Mediating Effect of Social Connectedness (균형적 시간관이 청년기 역경 후 성장에 미치는 영향력: 사회적 유대감의 매개효과)

  • Kim, Min-jin;Park, Jeong-yun
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.163-186
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    • 2022
  • The study was conducted to reveal the influence of variables causing post-traumatic growth and suggest ways to utilize it in the counseling and clinical field. Data from 208 youths in Korea were collected and analyzed using the SPSS 25.0 and AMOS 26,0 statistic programs. This study took the perspective that post-traumatic growth was affected by the balanced- time-perspective and social-connectedness and tried to examine the influence and relation of the two variables. A frequency-analysis was performed to identify the demographic characteristics and the trends of the variables, and a Pearson's -correlation analysis was conducted to examine the relations between variables. A hierarchical- regression- analysis was performed to examine the influence of the major variables, And path-analysis was carried out to verify the research model, and the indirect effect was confirmed by using the bootstrapping method. First, religion, among all demographic variables, showed a significant effect on the post-traumatic growth. Second, the balanced-time-perspective and social-connectedness had a significant effect on post-traumatic growth. Third, the balanced time perspective influenced social-connectedness and through this process, the path explaining how post traumatic growth occurs was revealed. This suggests that the both balanced time perspective and social connectedness are important for inducing post- traumatic growth, and the utility of the variables in the counseling and clinical field.

Impact of Demographic Change on the Composition of Consumption Expenditure: A Long-term Forecast (소비구조 장기전망: 인구구조 변화의 영향을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Dongseok
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.1-49
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    • 2006
  • Considering the fact that households' demographic characteristics affect consumption decision, it is conjectured that rapid demographic changes would lead to a substantial change in the composition of private consumption expenditure. This paper estimates the demand functions of various consumption items by applying the Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System(QUAIDS) model to Household Income and Expenditure Survey data, and then provides a long-term forecast of the composition of household consumption expenditure for 2005-2020. The paper shows that Korea's consumption expenditure will maintain the recent years' rapid change, of which a considerable portion is due to rapid demographic changes. Results of the paper can be utilized in forecasting the change in the industrial structure of the economy, as well as in firms' investment planning.

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Analyzing Patterns of Sales and Floating Population Using Markov Chain (마르코브 체인을 적용한 유동인구의 매출 및 이동 패턴 분석)

  • Kim, Bong Gyun;Lee, Wonsang;Lee, Bong Gyou
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2020
  • Recently, as the issue of gentrification emerges, it becomes important to understand the dynamics of local commercial district, which plays the important role for facilitating the local economy and building the community in a city. This paper attempts to provide the framework for systemically analyzing and understanding the local commercial district. Then, this paper empirically analyzes the patterns of sales and flow of floating population by focusing on two representative local commercial districts in Seoul. In addition, the floating population data from telecommunication bases is further modeled with Markov chain for systemically understanding the local commercial districts. Finally, the transition patterns and consumption amounts of floating population are comprehensively analyzed for providing the implications on the evolutions of local commercial districts in a city. We expect that findings of our study could contribute to the economic growth of local commercial district, which could lead to the continuous development of city economy.

The Ageing Society of Korea and the Population Estimate (우리나라의 고령화 현상과 베이비붐 세대의 인구추계)

  • Hwang, Myung-Jin;Jung, Seung-Hwan
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.113-133
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    • 2011
  • The generation of babyboomers has a significant impact on the socio-economic development of the society in general. The Korean Babyboomers will soon leave from their workforce as they reach the retirement age. This, coupled with the low fertility rate, may cause a serious social problem in the society at large as well as the social welfare issues among the Korean elderly population. The Central Statistical Systems have estimated the future projection which plays critical role to establish fundamental basis for the social and economic policies of the nation. This study examined the effect of the babyboomers on the life expectancy by comparing forecasted life expectancies provided by the statistical office and the previous studies in the related areas. The study also suggested a future population projection based on fertility rates provided, along with the changes of the number of babyboomers as they become ageing. The study results with the comparison between the population projection by the statistical office are provided.