• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구변동

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A Preliminary Study on Inflow Forecasts Using Neural Networks in Imha Dam (신경망을 이용한 임하댐 유입량 예측에 관한 기초연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Bum;Keum, Do-Hun;An, San-Fu;Seo, Young-Min;Jee, Hong-Kee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1905-1909
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    • 2007
  • 최근 도시발달과 인구증가로 인하여 수자원의 중요성이 더욱 커지고 있으며 이를 효율적으로 이용하고자하는 노력은 계속되고 있다. 또한 전 세계가 가뭄과 홍수 등 물과 관련된 재해를 예방하기 위하여 지속적인 수자원계획관리가 이루어지고 있으며, 특히 댐은 수자원의 효율적인 관리와 안정적인 용수공급을 위하여 건설된 것으로서 유역의 수문특성에 따른 변동성이 고려되어야 한다. 따라서 댐의 최적운영을 위해서는 정확한 강우 예측과 이에 따른 유입량 예측이 선행되어야 하며, 유입량 예측을 위한 강우-유출과정을 모형화 하여야 한다. 그러나 모형화에 따르는 복잡한 과정과 수문자료의 비선형성과 비정규성으로 인하여 많은 오차가 발생할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점을 개선하기 위하여 임하댐 유역에 신경망 이론을 강우-유출모형에 수학적으로 모형화 하였으며, 이를 통하여 효율적인 댐 운영을 위한 유입량 예측기법에 관한 기초연구를 수행하였다.

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Analysis on geographic variations and variational factors in expenditures for hypertension (고혈압 의료비 지역 간 변이 및 변이 요인 분석)

  • Choi, Soon-Ho;Yong, Wang-Sik;Kim, Yoo-Mi
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.425-436
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    • 2015
  • This study is to investigate how the expenditures for hypertension is affected by socioeconomic, health care resources, and health behavior factors with a special emphasis on geographic variations and to provide the data about regional management for hypertension. To analyze, we combined a unique data set including key indicators from Medical Service Usage Statistics 2012 by Region by National Health Insurance Corporation, Annual Community Health Survey 2012 by Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and other government organizations at the 247 small administrative districts. We found that the average expenditures of hypertension in 249 small districts is 62,000 won and coefficient of variation is 30.0. Major factors of differences in hypertension expenditure is population density, marital status, household income, number of hospital per 100 thousand, medical expenses outside the jurisdiction, drinking rate, moderate and over-intensity physical activity, and hypertension diagnosis rate. The results of decision tree was that there were significant differences between regions in hypertension diagnosis rate, household income, marital status, number of hospital per 100 thousand, obesity rate, drinking rate. This study concluded that determinants of geographic variations in hypertension spending are not only health resources and socioepidemic characteristics but health behaviors.

Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Patterns of Nighttime Light Brightness of Seoul Metropolitan Area using VIIRS-DNB Data (VIIRS-DNB 데이터를 이용한 수도권 야간 빛 강도의 시·공간 패턴 분석)

  • Zhu, Lei;Cho, Daeheon;Lee, Soyoung
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.19-37
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    • 2017
  • Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite Day-Night Band (VIIRS-DNB) data provides a much higher capability for observing and quantifying nighttime light (NTL) brightness in comparison with Defense Meteorological Satellite-Operational Linescan System (DMSP-OLS) data. In South Korea, there is little research on the detection of NTL brightness change using VIIRS-DNB data. This study analyzed the spatial distribution and change of NTL brightness between 2013 and 2016 using VIIRS-DNB data, and detected its spatial relation with possible influencing factors using regression models. The intra-year seasonality of NTL brightness in 2016 was also studied by analyzing the deviation and change clusters, as well as the influencing factors. Results are as follows: 1) The higher value of NTL brightness in 2013 and 2016 is concentrated in Seoul and its surrounding cities, which positively correlated with population density and residential areas, economic land use, and other factors; 2) There is a decreasing trend of NTL brightness from 2013 to 2016, which is obvious in Seoul, with the change of population density and area of industrial buildings as the main influencing factors; 3) Areas in Seoul, and some surrounding areas have high deviation of the intra-year NTL brightness, and 71% of the total areas have their highest NTL brightness in January, February, October, November and December; and 4) Change of NTL brightness between summer and winter demonstrated a significantly positive relation with snow cover area change, and a slightly and significantly negative relation with albedo change.

Local Imbalance of Emergency Medical Services(EMS): Analyses on 119 EMS Activity Reports of Busan (구급서비스의 지역 불균형: 부산시 119 구급활동일지 분석)

  • Lee, Dalbyul
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.161-173
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed local imbalances in the supply and demand of emergency medical services in Busan using the 119 emergency activity reports of the Busan Fire & Disaster Headquarters. The data for EMS activity reports in 2017 was converted into Jimgyegu units. The spatial distribution of the indicators representing the local imbalance of emergency demand and supply (number of reports, number of reports relative to the population, average coefficient of variation and outlier of on-site arrival time, and number of dispatches outside the jurisdiction) was analyzed using Hotspot analysis of GIS spatial statistics analysis. As a result of the analysis, the hot spot area and the cold spot area where both supply and demand of emergency services are concentrated were clearly distinguished. This means that the supply and demand of emergency services in Busan are locally unbalanced. In particular, there was a difference in the demand and supply of emergency services in the original downtown and its surrounding areas, and in the outskirts of Busan.

한국의 이혼율 변동에 관한 사회$\cdot$인구학적 변인고찰

  • 변화순
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 1987
  • This work examines reemployment processes through the use of event history unemployment data in the United States. Two aspects of these processes, the duration of unemployment and changes in the reemployment rate, are modelled and analyzed in terms of individual characteristics and their structural positions in the labor market. The secondary labor market is a competitive market in which unemployment occurs because people quit their jobs to devote more time in search for better jobs. Using search theory, the rate of reemployment has a positive time dependence as the searcher lower her reservation wage with the passage of time. By contrast, the primary market is characterized by long-term employment relations which reduce voluntary turnovers but generate layoffs temporarily. Relying on contract theory, because workers on temporary layoffs wait for recall, reemployment rates have a constant time dependence. Empirical results of unemployment durations indicate that reemployment processes are influenced by individual's positions in dual labor market structures. While the analysis suggests that the amount of search reemployment seems to be positively related to the degree of competitiveness of a market, somewhat weaker results are noted in the search reemployment processes in competitive markets.

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New Social Risks and Social Welfare for Gender in Blind Spot (새로운 사회적 위험과 사각지대의 여성복지)

  • Seo, Dong-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.320-328
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    • 2009
  • New social risks is likely to emerge from instability of family structure, flexible of labor market, movement of globalization which is related with the post-industrial society and so on. Especially, a lot of women are exposure to not only old social risks but also new social risks. A breakdown of traditional family structure, flexible of labor market which is be followed by globalization, women's poverty and limited approaches at social security services are the representation risk which is confront to women. In this study, therefore, the social risk is recognized by breakdown of traditional family structure risk which comes from the social change, aging of population, the decrease of labor population and New Right ideology. The purpose of the study is to arrange the new welfare state at gender equality level by anglicizing about women's new social risks.

A Study on the Improvement Plan : Based on the Survey on the Teachers in Church Schools in Korea (한국 교회학교 교사의 실태조사에 따른 개선 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Man-Oh
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to suggest the improvement plan for the future church schools and the teachers after examining the reality and the situation of the teachers in church schools in Korea. In order to do this, the study examined the factors of the changes in Christian population in Korea, the factors of reduced number of Christian population and the factors of the reduced number of students in church schools. It also conducted the survey on the teachers in church schools to find the actual problems and situation of them. Based on the result and analysis of the survey, the study will suggest the alternative plans for improvement. The study asked 12 questions of 534 teachers to examine the real situations of the teachers in church schools in Korea and based on the analysis and result of it, the study will suggest a couple of alternatives to the teachers.

A Demographic Study of Changes in Nuptiality patterns in Korea (한국인의 초혼 연령 Pattern의 변동에 관한 인구학적 연구)

  • Choi, Soon
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.3-42
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    • 1983
  • The purposes of this paper is to introduce a technique for construction of nuptiality tables using proportion single of synthetic cohorts between times at two consecutive censuses, and to observe patterns of change in marriage habit of Korean through the nuptiality tables for single population from 1925 to 1980. In this paper abridged gross and net nuptiality tables for single population of Korea have been constructed for the four quinquinial period: 1925-1930, 1955-1960, 1970-1975, and 1975-1980. Significant time trend has been observed in the nuptiality rates among the single population. The major findings observed in each table are as follows; (1)During 1925-1930, the rates are initially small, but increase rapidly until they reach a maximum at ages 25-29 for bachelors and 20-24 for spinsters, following which they are still in high level. (2)During 1955-1960, the age pattern of nuptiality begins to change; for female population, the rates increase rapidly in the same pattern as in l925-l930 untill they reach the highest level at ages 25-29, after which they gradually decline. During the period, however, there were an unprecedented high level of marriage rates for male population at a relatively later ages. (3)During 1970-1975, Korea had experienced a transition in marriage habits; at this times, nuptiality rates for both sexes showed the same pyramid shaped patterns as in western countries as age increases. The mean ages at marriage for both sexes also reached the highest level of 27.5 years for males and 24.1 years for females. (4)During 1975-1980, the age patterns of nuptiality showed almost the same patterns as in 1970-1975. In the later age group, however, age-specific marriage rates for both sexes greatly declined compared to the level of 1970-1975, while the rate in age group of 20-24 for male population greatly increased.

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Spatial Distribution of Knowledge-Information Occupations (지식정보직업군의 공간적 분포 분석)

  • Jo Dong-Gi
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.175-195
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    • 2003
  • This paper investigates spatial distribution of the knowledge-information occupations by utilizing Geographical Information System(GIS). The knowledge-information occupations, comprised mainly of professionals, engineers and managers, have played a key role in the knowledge-based information society. The uneven development of bureaucratization and informatization among regions have resulted in unequal spatial distribution of the knowledge-information occupations. Analysis of 1995 and 2000 Census shows that these occupations tend to concentrate in some major metropolitan areas, while the other areas show rather traditional occupational structure. This spatial unequality has been also found in the occupational distribution within Seoul. This tendency of spatial concentration in the occupational distribution inherited from the industrial society and is not going to diminish in the knowledge-information society. More aggressive policies to make the most of decentralizing impacts of information and communication technologies should be implemented to counter-balance this tendency.

Real-Estate Price Prediction in South Korea via Machine Learning Modeling (머신러닝 기법을 통한 대한민국 부동산 가격 변동 예측)

  • Nam, Sanghyun;Han, Taeho;Kim, Leeju;Lee, Eunji
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2020
  • Recently, the real estate is of high interest. This is because real estate, which was considered only a residential environment in the past, is recognized as a stable investment target due to the ever-growing demand on it. In particular, in the case of the domestic market, despite the decrease in the number of people, the number of single-person households and the influx of people to large cities are accelerating, and real estate prices are rising sharply around the metropolitan area. Therefore, accurately predicting the prospects of the future real estate market becomes a very important issue not only for individual asset management but also for government policy establishment. In this paper, we developed a program to predict future real estate market prices by learning past real estate sales data using machine learning techniques. The data on the market price of real estate provided by the Korea Appraisal Board and the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport were used, and the average sales price forecast for 2022 by region is presented. The developed program is publicly available so that it could be used in various forms.