• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정나무 모형

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A Predictive Model of Depression in Rural Elders-Decision Tree Analysis (의사결정나무 분석기법을 이용한 농촌거주 노인의 우울예측모형 구축)

  • Kim, Seong Eun;Kim, Sun Ah
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.442-451
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: This descriptive study was done to develop a predictive model of depression in rural elders that will guide prevention and reduction of depression in elders. Methods: A cross-sectional descriptive survey was done using face-to-face private interviews. Participants included in the final analysis were 461 elders (aged${\geq}$ 65 years). The questions were on depression, personal and environmental factors, body functions and structures, activity and participation. Decision tree analysis using the SPSS Modeler 14.1 program was applied to build an optimum and significant predictive model to predict depression in rural elders. Results: From the data analysis, the predictive model for factors related to depression in rural elders presented with 4 pathways. Predictive factors included exercise capacity, self-esteem, farming, social activity, cognitive function, and gender. The accuracy of the model was 83.7%, error rate 16.3%, sensitivity 63.3%, and specificity 93.6%. Conclusion: The results of this study can be used as a theoretical basis for developing a systematic knowledge system for nursing and for developing a protocol that prevents depression in elders living in rural areas, thereby contributing to advanced depression prevention for elders.

A Prediction Model for Internet Game Addiction in Adolescents: Using a Decision Tree Analysis (의사결정나무 분석기법을 이용한 청소년의 인터넷게임 중독 영향 요인 예측 모형 구축)

  • Kim, Ki-Sook;Kim, Kyung-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.378-388
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: This study was designed to build a theoretical frame to provide practical help to prevent and manage adolescent internet game addiction by developing a prediction model through a comprehensive analysis of related factors. Methods: The participants were 1,318 students studying in elementary, middle, and high schools in Seoul and Gyeonggi Province, Korea. Collected data were analyzed using the SPSS program. Decision Tree Analysis using the Clementine program was applied to build an optimum and significant prediction model to predict internet game addiction related to various factors, especially parent related factors. Results: From the data analyses, the prediction model for factors related to internet game addiction presented with 5 pathways. Causative factors included gender, type of school, siblings, economic status, religion, time spent alone, gaming place, payment to Internet cafe$\acute{e}$, frequency, duration, parent's ability to use internet, occupation (mother), trust (father), expectations regarding adolescent's study (mother), supervising (both parents), rearing attitude (both parents). Conclusion: The results suggest preventive and managerial nursing programs for specific groups by path. Use of this predictive model can expand the role of school nurses, not only in counseling addicted adolescents but also, in developing and carrying out programs with parents and approaching adolescents individually through databases and computer programming.

Predictors of Protective Factors for Depression in Adolescent using Decision Making Tree Analysis (의사결정나무분석을 이용한 청소년 우울의 보호요인 예측모형)

  • Kim, Bo-Young
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.375-385
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    • 2015
  • The study is to develop specific strategies to prevent adolescents' depression, early detection and intervention services. This study was a descriptive research study with the purpose of predictors of protective factors for depression in adolescent using decision making tree analysis. The subjects for the study were 485 student in G city. This study collected data between September 23, 2013 and September 26, 2013 and analyzed them with frequency analysis, percentage, the mean and standard deviation, ${\chi}^2$-test, t-test, and a decision-making tree by using SPSS 20.0 program. From the data analysis, the predictive model for protective factors related to depression in adolescent with 4 pathways, 12 nodes. The common predicting variables of depression in adolescent were characteristics, family cohesion, parent adolescent communication, peer communication. The specialty of training data and test data was 76.0% and 65.4%. The sensitivity of training data was 78.2% and 63.7%. As for the classification accuracy, training data and test data explained 70.1% and 69.7%. Parent adolescent communication and peer communication to decrease depression of Korean middle and high school students are necessary. This study should contribute as baseline data for intervention strategies and planning ability of depression prevention in adolescents.

The guideline for choosing the right-size of tree for boosting algorithm (부스팅 트리에서 적정 트리사이즈의 선택에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ah-Hyoun;Kim, Ji-Hyun;Kim, Hyun-Joong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.949-959
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    • 2012
  • This article is to find the right size of decision trees that performs better for boosting algorithm. First we defined the tree size D as the depth of a decision tree. Then we compared the performance of boosting algorithm with different tree sizes in the experiment. Although it is an usual practice to set the tree size in boosting algorithm to be small, we figured out that the choice of D has a significant influence on the performance of boosting algorithm. Furthermore, we found out that the tree size D need to be sufficiently large for some dataset. The experiment result shows that there exists an optimal D for each dataset and choosing the right size D is important in improving the performance of boosting. We also tried to find the model for estimating the right size D suitable for boosting algorithm, using variables that can explain the nature of a given dataset. The suggested model reveals that the optimal tree size D for a given dataset can be estimated by the error rate of stump tree, the number of classes, the depth of a single tree, and the gini impurity.

Analysis of Students Leaving Their Majors Using Decision Tree

  • Park, Cheol-Yong;Song, Gyu-Moon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.157-165
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    • 2002
  • Since 1997, when a new educational system that encourages faculties instead of departments in universities is first introduced, students have much more chance to choose and leave their majors than before. As a result, colleges of basic arts and sciences confront with a serious problem since lots of students have left their majors at the colleges. In this paper, we analyze and provide a predictive model for those students in a university using decision trees.

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Determinants of job finding using student's characteristic information (학생정보를 이용한 대졸 취업에 미치는 영향력 분석)

  • Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.849-856
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we study the influence analysis of admission and enrollment variables including individual characteristics variables on employment of graduate students at K university. First, logistic regression analysis is used to examine the main effects of admission, enrollment variables including student's individual characteristics on employment. Also, decision tree analysis is used to examine the interaction effects for the variables on employment. The results of this paper may be helpful to K university in designing effective job finding strategies for graduate students.

On the Tree Model grown by one-sided purity (단측 순수성에 의한 나무모형의 성장에 대하여)

  • 김용대;최대우
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2001
  • Tree model is the most popular classification algorithm in data mining due to easy interpretation of the result. In CART(Breiman et al., 1984) and C4.5(Quinlan, 1993) which are representative of tree algorithms, the split fur classification proceeds to attain the homogeneous terminal nodes with respect to the composition of levels in target variable. But, fur instance, in the chum prediction modeling fur CRM(Customer Relationship management), the rate of churn is generally very low although we are interested in mining the churners. Thus it is difficult to get accurate prediction modes using tree model based on the traditional split rule, such as mini or deviance. Buja and Lee(1999) introduced a new split rule, one-sided purity for classifying minor interesting group. In this paper, we compared one-sided purity with traditional split rule, deviance analyzing churning vs. non-churning data of ISP company. Also reviewing the result of tree model based on one-sided purity with some simulated data, we discussed problems and researchable topics.

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Performances analysis of football matches (축구경기의 경기력분석)

  • Min, Dae Kee;Lee, Young-Soo;Kim, Yong-Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.187-196
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    • 2015
  • The team's performances were analyzed by evaluating the scores gained by their offense and the scores allowed by their defense. To evaluate the team's attacking and defending abilities, we also considered the factors that contributed the team's gained points or the opposing team's gained points? In order to analyze the outcome of the games, three prediction models were used such as decision trees, logistic regression, and discriminant analysis. As a result, the factors associated with the defense showed a decisive influence in determining the game results. We analyzed the offense and defense by using the response variable. This showed that the major factors predicting the offense were non-stop pass and attack speed and the major factor predicting the defense were the distance between right and left players and the distance between front line attackers and rearmost defenders during the game.

Churn Analysis for the First Successful Candidates in the Entrance Examination for K University

  • Kim, Kyu-Il;Kim, Seung-Han;Kim, Eun-Young;Kim, Hyun;Yang, Jae-Wan;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we focus on churn analysis for the first successful candidates in the entrance examination on 2006 year using Clementine, data mining tool. The goal of this study is to apply decision tree including C5.0 and CART algorithms, neural network and logistic regression techniques to predict a successful candidate churn. And we analyze the churning and nochurning successful candidates and why the successful candidates churn and which successful candidates are most likely to churn in the future using data from entrance examination data of K university on 2006 year.

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Development of Traffic Accident Models in Seoul Considering Land Use Characteristics (토지이용특성을 고려한 서울시 교통사고 발생 모형 개발)

  • Lim, Samjin;Park, Juntae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.30-49
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    • 2013
  • In this research we developed a new traffic accident forecasting model on the basis of land use. A new traffic accident forecasting model by type was developed based on market segmentation and further introduction of variables that may reflect characteristics of various regions using Classification and Regression Tree Method. From the results of analysis, activities variables such as the registered population, commuters as well as road size, traffic accidents causing facilities being the subjects of activities were derived as variables explaining traffic accidents.