• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정기법

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Ananlyzing Customer Management Data by Datamining (Focused on Apartment Customer Classification) (데이터마이닝을 통한 고객관리데이터의 분석 (아파트고객 세분화를 중심으로))

  • Baek, Shin Jung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.69-72
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    • 2004
  • 기업간의 경쟁이 심화되고 정보의 중요성에 대한 인식이 확대되어 가는 상황에서 다량의 데이터로부터 가치 있는 데이터를 추출하는 CRM 데이터 마이닝은 중대한 관심사가 아닐 수 없다. 본 연구는 데이터마이닝의 여러 활용 분야 중 고객세분화를 위해 최근 많이 사용되고 있는 데이터마이닝 기법인 로지스틱 회귀분석, 의사결정나무, 신경망 알고리즘 기법들을 비교하며, 이를 실제 아파트 고객의 데이터를 이용하여 검증하고자 한다. 따라서, 아파트 고객 세분화를 위한 데이터마이닝 수행시 기법 선택의 기준과 비교 평가의 기준을 제시하는 데 연구목적 있다.

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Multi-Criteria Group Decision Making under Imprecise Preference Judgments : Using Fuzzy Logic with Linguistic Quantifier (불명료한 선호정보 하의 다기준 그룹의사결정 : Linguistic Quantifier를 통한 퍼지논리 활용)

  • Choi, Duke Hyun;Ahn, Byeong Seok;Kim, Soung Hie
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.15-32
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    • 2006
  • The increasing complexity of the socio-economic environments makes it less and less possible for single decision-maker to consider all relevant aspects of problem. Therefore, many organizations employ groups in decision making. In this paper, we present a multiperson decision making method using fuzzy logic with linguistic quantifier when each of group members specifies imprecise judgments possibly both on performance evaluations of alternatives with respect to the multiple criteria and on the criteria. Inexact or vague preferences have appeared in the decision making literatures with a view to relaxing the burdens of preference specifications imposed to the decision-makers and thus taking into account the vagueness of human judgments. Allowing for the types of imprecise judgments in the model, however, makes more difficult a clear selection of alternative(s) that a group wants to make. So, further interactions with the decision-makers may proceed to the extent to compensate for the initial comforts of preference specifications. These interactions may not however guarantee the selection of the best alternative to implement. To circumvent this deadlock situation, we present a procedure for obtaining a satisfying solution by the use of linguistic quantifier guided aggregation which implies fuzzy majority. This is an approach to combine a prescriptive decision method via a mathematical programming and a well-established approximate solution method to aggregate multiple objects.

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A Study on the Combined Decision Tree(C4.5) and Neural Network Algorithm for Classification of Mobile Telecommunication Customer (이동통신고객 분류를 위한 의사결정나무(C4.5)와 신경망 결합 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • 이극노;이홍철
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.139-155
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the new methodology of analyzing and classifying patterns of customers in mobile telecommunication market to enhance the performance of predicting the credit information based on the decision tree and neural network. With the application of variance selection process from decision tree, the systemic process of defining input vector's value and the rule generation were developed. In point of customer management, this research analyzes current customers and produces the patterns of them so that the company can maintain good customer relationship and makes special management on the customer who has huh potential of getting out of contract in advance. The real implementation of proposed method shows that the predicted accuracy is higher than existing methods such as decision tree(CART, C4.5), regression, neural network and combined model(CART and NN).

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Development of Forecasting Model for the Initial Sale of Apartment Using Data Mining: The Case of Unsold Apartment Complex in Wirye New Town (데이터 마이닝을 이용한 아파트 초기계약 예측모형 개발: 위례 신도시 미분양 아파트 단지를 사례로)

  • Kim, Ji Young;Lee, Sang-Kyeong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims at applying the data mining such as decision tree, neural network, and logistic regression to an unsold apartment complex in Wirye new town and developing the model forecasting the result of initial sale contract by house unit. Raw data are divided into training data and test data. The order of predictability in training data is neural network, decision tree, and logistic regression. On the contrary, the results of test data show that logistic regression is the best model. This means that logistic regression has more data adaptability than neural network which is developed as the model optimized for training data. Determinants of initial sale are the location of floor, direction, the location of unit, the proximity of electricity and generator room, subscriber's residential region and the type of subscription. This suggests that using two models together is more effective in exploring determinants of initial sales. This paper contributes to the development of convergence field by expanding the scope of data mining.

The Quantitative Analysis of Alternative-Decision in Missile Test: Focusing on Selecting a Foreign Test Site through Data Envelopment Analysis (미사일 시험을 위한 대안결정의 정량적 분석: 자료포락분석을 이용한 국외 시험장 선정을 중심으로)

  • Han, Seung Jo
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2020
  • Although the related regulations or guidelines are not specified in the defense weapon system R&D process, R&D authorities frequently encounter problems that require rational decision-making. If the rational process is not applied in the matter of alternative choice, the project could be disrupted, which can result in longer project periods or more resource provision. In particular, a variety of decision-making methods are needed for test&evaluation of missile R&D. The issue of selecting a test site is one of the representative decision-making problems. If it is needed to determine the priority of multiple sites, Delphi Method and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) will be applied. However, if the input of cost is to be considered, Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA) is more valuable to solve the problem. This paper proposes a solution to handle quantitatively various decision-making problems that can occur in missile flight test, and shows how DEA is applied through a simulated case study of selecting a foreign test site.

Design frequency estimation in small basin and proper flood defense alternative (도시 소유역의 설계빈도 산정 및 적정 홍수방어대안)

  • Lim, Woo-Saeng;Lee, Jung-Ki;Choi, Kang-Soo;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.373-378
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    • 2008
  • 기존에는 잠재위험도와 해당지역 하나의 강우관측소에서의 기왕최대강우량을 이용하여 계획빈도를 결정하였다. 그러나 기왕최대강우량은 이미 발생한 최대강우량이기 때문에 안전치를 고려해 산정한 계획빈도를 따라가지 못하였고, 잠재위험도에 따른 계획빈도의 범위가 매우 작은 문제점이 있었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 문산천 유역의 기왕최대강우량과 잠재위험도를 이용하여 계획빈도를 산정하는데 필요한 가중치를 결정하였다. 본 연구에서는 수도권지역 6개의 기상청 강우관측소 강우량 자료를 사용하여 크리깅기법으로 공간분포를 시키고자 하였다. 또한, 기왕최대강우량으로 계획빈도를 연결시키는데 있어서 발생하는 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 계획빈도의 가중치를 산정하고자 하였다. 문산천 유역에 잠재위험도 산정에 따라 계획빈도를 결정한 결과, 크리깅기법으로 문산천 유역에 기왕최대강우량에 해당하는 계획빈도는 160년 정도이며, 회귀식으로 각 소유역별로 계획빈도를 산정한 결과 약 110년에서 120년까지 분포하였다. 이렇게 산정된 계획빈도를 공시지가와 홍수량으로 가중치를 구하여 소유역별로 분포시킨 계획빈도 값은 대략 100년에서 200년으로 산정되었다. 잠재위험도와 피해액 산정기법을 이용하여 문산천에 최적 홍수방어대안을 선정하고자 하였다. 최적 대안을 선정하기 위한 방법론을 제시하고 이에 따라 잠재위험도를 산정하고 유역 분담량을 결정하여 적합한 구조적 홍수방어시설물을 Decision Tree라는 의사결정을 통하여 계획하고 조합하여 3개의 적정 홍수방어대안을 선정하였다.

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A Study on the Application Methodology of Set-based Design Approach of Outrigger System based on Lean Process (린 프로세스 기반 아웃리거 시스템의 Set-based Design 적용 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Il;Cho, Young-Sang
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.50-58
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    • 2011
  • Lean concept is management philosophy that defines a customer's value and eliminates wasteful and impeditive factors. Management philosophy of Lean in the construction industry is referred to as "Lean Construction". Now this concept has expanded to achieve effective productivity during the design phase. Currently the norm of the domestic design process has been Point-based Design(PBD). It involves selecting a single structurally-feasible design option early and then refining that single design as more information becomes available throughout the design process. This single design is then re-worked until a solution is found that is feasible for all parties. On the contrary, Set-based Design(SBD) is based on lean processes to eliminate waste and improve project productivity. It focuses on keeping the design space as open as long as possible, to allow "subdesign" to advance and not labeling them as secondary in importance. Preserving the maximum number of feasible designs as long as possible reduces the likelihood that rework will be necessary and allows all project participants to utilize their unique expertise to make the project successful. This study proposes that the design methodology of minimizing waste and increasing productivity through SBD of AHP, one of the decision making process so as to compare PBD with SBD and tries to find decision making process and then suggest that application methodology through performs case study of SBD process.

Smart Farm Expert System for Paprika using Decision Tree Technique (의사결정트리 기법을 이용한 파프리카용 스마트팜 전문가 시스템)

  • Jeong, Hye-sun;Lee, In-yong;Lim, Joong-seon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2018.10a
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    • pp.373-376
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    • 2018
  • Traditional paprika smart farm systems are often harmful to paprika growth because they are set to follow the values of several sensors to the reference value, so the system is often unable to make optimal judgement. Using decision tree techniques, the expert system for the paprika smart farm is designed to create a control system with a decision-making structure similar to that of farmers using data generated by factors that depend on their surroundings. With the current smart farm control system, it is essential for farmers to intervene in the surrounding environment because it is designed to follow sensor values to the reference values set by the farmer. To solve this problem even slightly, it is going to obtain environmental data and design controllers that apply decision tree method. The expert system is established for complex control by selecting the most influential environmental factors before controlling the paprika smart farm equipment, including criteria for selecting decisions by farmers. The study predicts that each environmental element will be a standard when creating smart farms for professionals because of the interrelationships of data, and more surrounding environmental factors affecting growth.

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The Application of Fuzzy DHP in MIS Project Selection (퍼지 DHP를 이용한 정보시스템 프로젝트의 선정)

  • 정희진;이승인
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.189-199
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    • 1998
  • This study presents a FZOGP(fuzzified zero-one goal programming) model and a DHP (Delphic Hierarchy Process) that can be used to help information systems(IS) managers decides which IS projects should be selected. Delphic method is conducted prior to AHP so that not only can the objectives to be considered in analysis be determined, but the opinions of all decision makers can also be incorporated in problem formulation. While the DHP provides an ideal ranking process for the selection of IS Projects, it does not consider real constraints that exists in decision making process. Then this study intends to show how the DHP can be used to establish a priority structure for use within a FZOGP model. The advantages of FZOGP model are as follows: the imprecise aspiration level for each objective can be considered in FZOGP model. And, the common features between the new FZOGP and the GP models are that the objective functions in both models are minimized and the structure of their formulations are the same.

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A Study on the Development of Regional Innovative Capability Indices Using Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making (퍼지다기준 의사결정기법을 이용한 지역혁신역량지수의 도출)

  • Heo, Jae-Yong
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2008
  • We attempt to make regional innovative capability indices for overall understanding of regional innovation. We'll analyze various indicators on it using fuzzy set theory and compare regional innovative capabilities of 16 regions in Korea. The fuzzy set theory can reflect more normally the uncertainty of the stakeholder's responses than other decision making analysis methods. The overall results suggest that experts on regional innovation rank GRDP most important and Daejeon is the most innovative region. Building up regional innovative capabilities should be made for more balanced national land development.

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