• Title/Summary/Keyword: 유보율

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Undecided inference using bivariate probit models (이변량 프로빗모형을 이용한 미결정자 추론)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Jung, Mi-Yang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1017-1028
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    • 2011
  • When it is not easy to decide the credit scoring for some loan applicants, credit evaluation is postponded and reserve to ask a specialist for further evaluation of undecided applicants. This undecided inference is one of problems that happen to most statistical models including the biostatistics and sportal statistics as well as credit evaluation area. In this work, the undecided inference is regarded as a missing data mechanism under the assumption of MNAR, and use the bivariate probit model which is one of sample selection models. Two undecided inference methods are proposed: one is to make use of characteristic variables to represent the state for decided applicants, and the other is that more accurate and additional informations are collected and apply these new variables. With an illustrated example, misclassification error rates for undecided and overall applicants are obtainded and compared according to various characteristic variables, undecided intervals, and thresholds. It is found that misclassification error rates could be reduced when the undecided interval is increased and more accurate information is put to model, since more accurate situation of decided applications are reflected in the bivariate probit model.

Changes in Flavor Characteristics and Shelf-life of Roasted Coffee in Different Packaging Conditions during Storage (포장 조건에 따른 저장 중 커피의 향미 특성의 변화와 보존 기간)

  • Moon, Jun-Woong;Cho, Jae-Sun
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.441-447
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    • 1999
  • Changes in flavor characteristics of roasted coffee in 6 package models during storage were investigated by GC/MS analysis and sensory evaluation to establish the criteria of the shelf-life of the roasted coffee in three flavor quality-'fresh', 'satisfying' and 'minimally acceptable' levels. In direct headspace method of GC/MS, 47 volatile compounds were analyzed and the light volatile compounds were reduced sharply at initial stage of storage and faster in the package with air. The correlation between % retention of 2,3-butanedione and overall aroma of roasted coffee showed good linear-relation, of which correlation coefficient (R) were from 0.999 to 0.904 depending on package models, indicating that 2,3-butanedione would be an index chemical for evaluating the freshness of roasted coffee. In sensory evaluation of 6 package models during storage, roasted whole beans (RB) and roasted and ground (RG) coffee in air-package were preserved in 'fresh quality' for $0.5{\sim}1$ week, 'satisfying quality' for $2{\sim}3$ weeks and 'minimally acceptable quality' for 12 weeks, while roasted whole beans in valve-package and roasted and ground coffees in vacuum-package, nitrogen-package and oxygen absorbent-package were preserved in 'fresh quality' for $2{\sim}4$ weeks, 'satisfying quality' for $12{\sim}24$ weeks and 'minimally acceptable quality' for 52 weeks. The oxygen absorbent-package was slightly less effective than other three methods.

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The Cyclicality of Productivity, Market Power, and Returns to Scale in the Korean Open Economy: An Empirical Analysis 1975-2010 (한국경제의 총요소생산성의 순환성에 관한 실증분석(1975-2010))

  • Park, Sehoon;Zhu, Yan Hua
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.239-261
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    • 2011
  • The cyclicality of productivity has been one of the essential issues in macroeconomics. Since Solow(1957) developed the dominant approach to the measurement of productivity growth, Solow's approach, which assumes the perfect competition, the constant returns to scale, and the full use of input factor has been modified particularly in Hall's(1990) and Basu's(1996) works. Their researches take account of market power, returns to scale, and variable factor utilization. This paper establishes the empirical model based on Hall's(1990) and Basu's(1996) models, estimates 4 types of Solow's reidual in manufacturing and 2 service industries over the period 1975:1-2010:4, and analyzes the cyclicality of measured productivity. The result proved the measured productivity to be procyclical in manufacturing industries and electricity and water industry, and in contrast to the Basu's, the variable factor utilization transformed the countercyclicality of measured productivity into its procyclicality in the Korean economy.

Clinical and Therapeutic Aspects of Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Oral Tongue (구강 설 편평 상피 세포암의 임상적, 치료적 고찰)

  • Ryu Samuel;Lee Chang Gul;Park In Kyu;Suh Chang Ok;Kim Gwi Eon;Loh John J.K.
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.105-110
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    • 1987
  • Fourty nine patients with squamous cell carcinoma of oral tongue were reviewed retrospectively for the evaluation of clinical manifestation and for the comparison between therapeutic modalites. The gross shape of the tumor was infiltrative in 22, ulcerative in 12, ad ulcer-oinfiltrative type in 10 patients. Direct extension of the tumor was most commonly to the floor of the mouth. The incidence of nodal metastasis generally increased with tumor stage. $55\%$ of the patients showed neck nodal metastasis at the time of diagnosis. Ipsilateral subdigastric node were most commonly involved, followed by submandibular nodes. The 5-year survival rate of patients treated with surgery and radiotherapy was $58.7\%$ in contrast to $21.6\%$ in radiation alone group. Overall 5-year survival rate was $31\%$ In radiation alone group, half of the patients in stage I, II were locally controlled. But the local control In stage III, IV was much inferior to early lesions. Especially, of 4 patients combined with implantation technique, 3 were completely controlled. 5-year survival rate of these implanted patients was $50\%,\;49.4\%$ of patients treated over 7,000cGy survived 5 years. This was significant in contrast to $6.4\%$ of the group treated below 7,000cGy. The most common sites of failures were primary sites. In early lesions primary radiotherapy with implantation would be an appropriate treatment in cancer of oral tongue, operation reserved for radiation failure. Operation and adjuvant radiotherapy is recommended in cases of advanced disease.

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The Characteristic Study on Bottom Ash Flotation of Vegetable Oil as a Collector (식물성 기름 포수제의 바텀애쉬 부유선별 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Min Sik;Cha, Jong Mun;Kang, Heon Chan
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to investigate the characteristics on bottom ash flotation using vegetable oils as a collector. The experiment of changing the kerosene dosage as a collector for the flotation of coal ashes, the recovery of unburned carbon and unburned carbon content were 80% and 63%, respectively, when the dosage of kerosene was 9 kg/ton. The experiment of using soybean oil as a collector to improve flotation efficiency, the recovery of unburned carbon and unburned carbon content increased to 95% and 68%, respectively, when the dosage of soybean oil was 9 kg/ton. The recovery of unburned carbon and unburned carbon content were 99% and 78%, respectively, when safflower oil containing more poly unsaturated fats with double bonds than soybean oil was 9 kg/ton. The calorific value of the unburned carbon was 5,803 cal/g, confirming that it was possible to be used as a fuel for thermal power plants. Lastly, using vegetable oil as a collector it showed higher recovery of unburned carbon and higher unburned carbon than kerosene, which was mineral oil. Moreover, oil containing a large amount of poly unsaturated fat with two or more double bonds was found to have higher unburned carbon than other vegetable oils; thus showing excellent adsorbability for unburned carbon.

Lumbar Puncture in Patients Who Experienced First Seizure with Fever (열이 동반된 첫 경련시의 뇌척수액검사)

  • Kim, Jung;Lee, Jun Su;Lee, Sang Eun;Choi, Wan Suk;Han, Sung Ryoung;Cho, Kyunglae
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.46 no.10
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    • pp.1008-1012
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    • 2003
  • Purpose : We aimed to ascertain whether lumbar punctures should be done to prove febrile seizure, and to study what conditions can delay or abolish lumbar puncture. Methods : This retrospective study was done for four years, from January, 1996 to December, 1999. The subjects were the patients who visited Masan Samsung Hospital for the first convulsion with fever, and whose age ranged from 1-month to 5-years old. The total number of patients was 197. We investigated the rate of meningitis, which was classified by age, season, convulsion type, associated symptoms, and results of blood test. All data were tested chi-square. Results : The diagnosis rate of meningitis among all 197 patients was 7.6%, and of these only one patient was proved to have bacterial meningitis. The rate was high in the young(below 6 month), in males and in summer and autumn. Although the general appearance was good after resolution of the fever, the rate of meningitis was 6.5%. Patients with nausea and vomiting totalled 11%; 9.1% of them were diagnosed with meningitis. The diagnosis rate of meningitis in cases in which additional seizures took place were 33.3%. Conclusion : The ultimate goal of lumbar punctures in seizure patients with accompanying fever is to rule out bacterial meningitis, which, has been demonstrated to be rare. So we think that lumbar puncture can be postponed by close observation of pediatrics specialists and skilled nurses.

A Study on Rotational Motion Compensation Method for Bistatic ISAR Imaging (바이스태틱 ISAR 영상 형성을 위한 회전운동보상 기법 연구)

  • Kang, Byung-Soo;Ryu, Bo-Hyun;Kim, Kyung-Tae
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.28 no.8
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    • pp.670-677
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we propose a rotational motion compensation(RMC) for bistatic inverse synthetic aperture radar(Bi-ISAR) imaging. For this purpose, geometry-error, caused by changes of bistatic-angle, is removed using known position information of a transmitter, a receiver, and target trajectories. Next, RMC is performed to compensate non-uniform rotational motion error by reformatting radar signal in terms of a newly defined slow time variable that converts non-uniform rotational motion into uniform one. Simulation results using an aircraft model composed of ideal point scatterers validate the efficacy of the proposed Bi-ISAR RMC method.

Temperature Prediction and Control of Cement Preheater Using Alternative Fuels (대체연료를 사용하는 시멘트 예열실 온도 예측 제어)

  • Baasan-Ochir Baljinnyam;Yerim Lee;Boseon Yoo;Jaesik Choi
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.3-14
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    • 2024
  • The preheating and calcination processes in cement manufacturing, which are crucial for producing the cement intermediate product clinker, require a substantial quantity of fossil fuels to generate high-temperature thermal energy. However, owing to the ever-increasing severity of environmental pollution, considerable efforts are being made to reduce carbon emissions from fossil fuels in the cement industry. Several preliminary studies have focused on increasing the usage of alternative fuels like refuse-derived fuel (RDF). Alternative fuels offer several advantages, such as reduced carbon emissions, mitigated generation of nitrogen oxides, and incineration in preheaters and kilns instead of landfilling. However, owing to the diverse compositions of alternative fuels, estimating their calorific value is challenging. This makes it difficult to regulate the preheater stability, thereby limiting the usage of alternative fuels. Therefore, in this study, a model based on deep neural networks is developed to accurately predict the preheater temperature and propose optimal fuel input quantities using explainable artificial intelligence. Utilizing the proposed model in actual preheating process sites resulted in a 5% reduction in fossil fuel usage, 5%p increase in the substitution rate with alternative fuels, and 35% reduction in preheater temperature fluctuations.

A Study on the Digital Decipherment of the Goguryeo Stele in Chungju (충주고구려비(忠州高句麗碑) 디지털 판독의 성과와 고찰)

  • JO, Younghoon;KWON, Dakyung;AHN, Jaehong;KO, Kwangeui
    • Korean Journal of Heritage: History & Science
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.240-253
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    • 2021
  • Various decipherment technologies, including manual rubbing, have been continuously applied to the Goguryeo Stele in Chungju. However, an official document for advanced decipherment is required as there remain characters to be deciphered. This study focuses on interdisciplinary digital decipherment using digital visualization results based on reflectance transformation imaging and three-dimensional scanning. On that basis, the joint decipherment document in 2019 is classified into eight types according to character changes from 1979 to 2000, and decipherment achievements are discussed. Important outcomes of the joint decipherment document include a new interpretation of four existing characters and the identification of 28 new characters. Additionally, 68 characters on the front face and 20 on the left face, which are listed differently in previous decipherment documents, are determined to be a single character through a consensus process. Compared to the previous decipherment document, the "decision" character is increased by a total of 89 characters (22.6%), and the "different opinion" character is decreased by 126 characters (32.0%). Thus, this digital decipherment greatly contributes to the reexamination of the Goguryeo Stele in Chungju and complements the previous decipherment document through reflectance transformation imaging and three-dimensional scanning. However, continuous research is necessary to enhance decipherment rates, since 123 characters (31.3%) are yet to receive decipherment. In the future, decipherment advancement regarding the Goguryeo Stele in Chungju should be based on convergence research between the humanities and science. Furthermore, it seems that researchers must make constant efforts to apply new imaging analysis technology and to develop customized technology for decipherment.