• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측선행시간

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Perception of Internet Cyber Community Participants on Reconciliation of Divorced Couple (이혼 후 재결합에 대한 인터넷 사이버공동체 참여자들의 인식)

  • Lim, Choon-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.237-253
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the perception of cyber community participants on reconciliation of divorced couple and find reasons for pros and cons concerning reconciliation after divorce. The data were collected through searching for website or Internet cafe related to 'reconciliation after divorce' on Internet. The contents of 7 cases for asking for advice on reuniting and opinions of cyber community participants on them were analyzed. Cyber community participants expressed their approval of divorced couple's reuniting for following reasons: 'strong motive for reunion', 'sexual relation with ex-partner', 'parental responsibility', 'regarding reconciliation as a better choice than remarriage', 'regarding as a good choice for child' etc. But cyber community members were opposed to divorced couple's reuniting for following reasons: 'doubt about real intention to reuniting', 'no self-reflection on previous marriage and ex-spouse', 'concern for recurrence of former marital conflict', 'reuniting only for child not for couple', 'no prior settlement of former marital conflict', 'no forgiveness and tolerance for ex-spouse', 'no reflection and change', 'no effort on ex-spouse's side' etc. Though these results were restrictive, this study identified issues surrounding reconciliation after divorce through asking and giving advices by anonymous members on cyberspace. These findings implied that we should take more interest in reconciliation as an realistic alternative marriage pattern after divorce and consider what is important to successful reuniting after divorce.

Forecasting Brown Planthopper Infestation in Korea using Statistical Models based on Climatic tele-connections (기후 원격상관 기반 통계모형을 활용한 국내 벼멸구 발생 예측)

  • Kim, Kwang-Hyung;Cho, Jeapil;Lee, Yong-Hwan
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.139-148
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    • 2016
  • A seasonal outlook for crop insect pests is most valuable when it provides accurate information for timely management decisions. In this study, we investigated probable tele-connections between climatic phenomena and pest infestations in Korea using a statistical method. A rice insect pest, brown planthopper (BPH), was selected because of its migration characteristics, which fits well with the concept of our statistical modelling - utilizing a long-term, multi-regional influence of selected climatic phenomena to predict a dominant biological event at certain time and place. Variables of the seasonal climate forecast from 10 climate models were used as a predictor, and annual infestation area for BPH as a predictand in the statistical analyses. The Moving Window Regression model showed high correlation between the national infestation trends of BPH in South Korea and selected tempo-spatial climatic variables along with its sequential migration path. Overall, the statistical models developed in this study showed a promising predictability for BPH infestation in Korea, although the dynamical relationships between the infestation and selected climatic phenomena need to be further elucidated.

Association of Positive Ureaplasma in Gastric Fluid with Clinical Features in Preterm Infants

  • Jung, Yu-Jin
    • Neonatal Medicine
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.280-287
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: The purpose of the present study was to determine the association of positive Ureaplasma urealyticum in gastric fluid with clinical features and outcomes in preterm infants. Methods: Gastric fluid from the preterm infants was first aspirated within 30 minutes and cultured within 24 hours after birth to check for U. urealyticum. Infants were divided into two groups on the basis of the presence/absence of U. urealyticum. Results: U. urealyticum in gastric fluid was identified in 17 of 91 (19%) preterm infants. Compared with the negative U. urealyticum group, there were significantly higher percentage of infants with gestational age ${\leq}$30 weeks (P=0.020), higher Apgar score at 1 minute and 5 minutes (P=0.017 and P=0.048, respectively), and higher rate of vaginal delivery (P=0.000) in the positive U. urealyticum group. Although the incidence rate of bronchopulmonary dysplasia between the two groups was not different, the frequency of bronchopulmonary dysplasia without previous respiratory distress syndrome was significantly higher in the positive group (11%) than that in the negative group (1%) (P=0.030). Conclusion: The detection of U. urealyticum in gastric fluid is more frequent in infants with gestational age ${\leq}$30 weeks. It can be helpful to predict the development of bronchopulmonary dysplasia without previous respiratory distress syndrome in preterm infants.

Probable Volcanic Flood of the Cheonji Caldera Lake Triggered by Volcanic Eruption of Mt. Baekdusan (백두산 화산분화로 인해 천지에서 발생 가능한 화산홍수)

  • Lee, Khil-Ha;Kim, Sung-Wook;Yoo, Soon-Young;Kim, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.492-506
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    • 2013
  • The historical accounts and materials about the eruption of Mt. Baekdusan as observed by the geological survey is now showing some signs of waking from a long slumber. As a response of the volcanic eruption of Mt. Baekdusan, water release may occur from the stored water in Lake Cheonjii caldera. The volcanic flood is crucial in that it has huge potential energy that can destruct all kinds of man-made structures and that its velocity can reach up to 100 km $hr^{-1}$ to cover hundreds of kilometers of downstream of Lake Cheonji. The ultimate goal of the study is to estimate the level of damage caused by the volcanic flood of Lake Cheon-Ji caldera. As a preliminary study a scenario-based numerical analysis is performed to build hydrographs as a function of time. The analysis is performed for each scenario (breach, magma uplift, combination of uplift and breach, formation of precipitation etc.) and the parameters to require a model structure is chosen on the basis of the historic records of other volcanos. This study only considers the amount of water at the rim site as a function of time for the estimation whereas the downstream routing process is not considered in this study.

Internal Dose Assessment of Worker by Radioactive Aerosol Generated During Mechanical Cutting of Radioactive Concrete (원전 방사성 콘크리트 기계적 절단의 방사성 에어로졸에 대한 작업자 내부피폭선량 평가)

  • Park, Jihye;Yang, Wonseok;Chae, Nakkyu;Lee, Minho;Choi, Sungyeol
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.157-167
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    • 2020
  • Removing radioactive concrete is crucial in the decommissioning of nuclear power plants. However, this process generates radioactive aerosols, exposing workers to radiation. Although large amounts of radioactive concrete are generated during decommissioning, studies on the internal exposure of workers to radioactive aerosols generated from the cutting of radioactive concrete are very limited. In this study, therefore, we calculate the internal radiation doses of workers exposed to radioactive aerosols during activities such as drilling and cutting of radioactive concrete, using previous research data. The electrical-mobility-equivalent diameter measured in a previous study was converted to aerodynamic diameter using the Newton-Raphson method. Furthermore, the specific activity of each nuclide in radioactive concrete 10 years after nuclear power plants are shut down was calculated using the ORIGEN code. Eventually, we calculated the committed effective dose for each nuclide using the IMBA software. The maximum effective dose of 152Eu constituted 83.09% of the total dose; moreover, the five highest-ranked elements (152Eu, 154Eu, 60Co, 239Pu, 55Fe) constituted 99.63%. Therefore, we postulate that these major elements could be measured first for rapid radiation exposure management of workers involved in decommissioning of nuclear power plants, even if all radioactive elements in concrete are not considered.

Dynamic Analysis of CRM Strategy for Online Shopping-mall (온라인쇼핑몰의 CRM 전략에 관한 동태적 분석: System Dynamics 기법을 활용한 고객만족도 분석을 중심으로)

  • Kang, Jae-Won;Lim, Jay-Ick;Lee, Sang-Gun
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.99-132
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    • 2007
  • As customer management rises by important issue in electronic commerce, virtue study about CRM have proceeded much. However, because existent researches were positive researches of most statistical base, There are some limitation that does not show dynamic change with CRM flow by flowing of time, and can not forecast propriety and future result about CRM strategy. Therefore, in order to overcome existent limitation on these CRM study, this study designed dynamic model which draws factors that compose CRM strategy of on-line shopping mall, and do based on technique in system dynamics so that can analyze dynamic change between these factors. Concretely, atomized customer focuses in the on-line shopping mall and does based on Permission marketing theory, and applied CRM of different level to atomized customers and know change of customer satisfaction measurement and discomfort degree accordingly. According to the result of Simulation practice, situation that achieve CRM strategy of different level by atomize customer more increase the customer satisfaction than situation that is not so. Dynamic pattern that presented in this study is expected that can verify validity about CRM achievement strategy of different level at each CRM point of contact & how Internet enterprise including on-line shopping mall is establishing CRM strategy reasonably.

Soil Resilience and Threat Factors Related to Agricultural Environment (농업환경 분야에서의 토양 리질리언스와 그 위협 요인)

  • Kim, Min-Suk;Min, Hyun-Gi;Hyun, Seung-Hun;Kim, Jeong-Gyu
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.26-42
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    • 2020
  • Soils are the basis for plant rooting and ecosystem creation, the site of life for humankind, and require much time for their creation, so there will be no disagreement about the importance and necessity of soil conservation and management. Soil resilience is the ability of soils to maintain their original structure and function (resistance and recovery) from various kinds of disturbances, and is an indispensable field of study that prepares for a future with high uncertainty and unpredictability. Therefore, this study summarizes the concept and necessity of soil resilience, which is not yet widely known in Korea, and the contents of previous studies were reviewed. This study was carried out with the aim of contributing to lowering the threshold for entry into resilience research for domestic and foreign researchers who are new to soil resilience. In the first part of this study, we introduced resilience and soil resilience, and in the second part, we summarized the main causes of stress or disturbance that have been studied by many soil resilience researches. This makes it easy to find the references authors need. It is virtually impossible to find the same soil environment because there is no same area on the earth with all the same rock, climate, human activity, and culture, suggesting that each soil has its own uniqueness. Therefore, the researcher who wants to utilize the results of this study should take into consideration the specificity of the soil and the region to which the soil resilience is introduced, and modify it if necessary. In addition, efforts should be made to strengthen the network of soil resilience researchers to create a basis for sharing and actively utilizing the research results.

The Present and the Prospects for Batteries (전지기술의 국내외 연구동향)

  • 이주성
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Surface Engineering Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.1-2
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    • 1999
  • 시간과 공간의 구애를 받지 않는 양질의 음성, 화상, 문자정보의 교환을 위한 노력으로 디지털 휴대폰과 휴대용 컴퓨터가 등장하면서 음성과 문자정보의 교환분야에 커다란 진보를 이룩하였다. 그러나 현재는 휴대폰이 음성정보에 문자정보교환이 추가된 상황이기 때문에, 아직도 관련 정보교환기술 및 기기개발이 진행되고 있다. 앞으로 휴대폰과 휴대용 컴퓨터의 기능을 통합하고 화상정보까지 결합된 휴대용 정보기기를 위해서는 전자회로의 집적화 및 통신속도 증대가 필수적이다. 또한 이들 휴대용 정보기기를 구동시키기 위한 전력도 증가될 것으로 예측되기 때문에, 현재 전원으로 사용되는 2차전지보다 에너지 밀도가 더욱 증패된 전지가 요구될 것으로 예상된다. 그리고 내연기관의 배기에 의해 발생되는 환정오염문제를 해결하기 위한 방법중의 일환으로 전기자동차 개발이 진행되고 있으며, 이들 전기자동차에 2차전지를 장착하기 위해서 경제성이 있고, 고속충전이 가능하고, 안전성이 높은 고에너지 밀도의 2차 전지 개발이 요구되고 있다. 현재 2차전지는 음극재료나 양극재료에 따라 낚축전지, 니켈/카드륨(Ni/Cd) 전지, 니켈/수소(Ni/MH) 전지, 라륨 2 차전지등이 있으며, 전극재료의 고유특성에 의해 전위와 애너지 밀도가 결정된다. 특히 리튬 2차전지는 리튬의 낮은 산화환원전위와 분자량으로 인해 에너지 밀도가 높기 때문에 앞에서 언급한 휴대용 전자기기의 구동전원으로 많이 사용되고 있다. 리튬 2차전지는 음극 재료가 금속리튬인 경우는 리튬금속으로, 탄소재료인 경우는 리튬이온이라 하며, 한편으로 전해질이 고체 고분자이거나 혹은 역체 유기용매와 리튬염을 고분자와 혼성시킨 겔(gel)인 경우는 고분자로, 전해짙이 리튬염이 전리되어 있는 유동성 액체일 경우는 고분자를 생략하여 구분하고 있다. 즉 리튬금속 2 차전지(LB), 리튬이온 2 차전지(LIB), 리튬금속 고분자 2차전지(LPB), 리튬 이온 고분자 2차전지(LIPB)로 크게 구분된다. 금속리듐을 음극으로 사용하고 전해질로는 리튬염이 전리되어 있는 액체유기용매 를 사용한 리튬금속 2차전지는, 금속리튬전극이 충방전 과정을 반복하면서, 전리된 리튬이 균일하게 산화환원되지 못하고 표변에서 양극방향으로 성장하는 수지상 (dendrite) 현상으로 인해 안전성 확보에 문게가 있었다. 리튬과 알루미늄 합금형태로 음극에 사용한 동전형 전지는 상용화 되었지만, 이러한 단점을 개선하기 위해 리튬이온이 금속으로 석활되는 환원반응전위보다 높은 전위에서 전극재료가 충전되면서 리튬이온이 저장되고, 방전되면서 배출되는 탄소를 음극재료로, 그리고 리튬이온이 충방 전시 가역적으로 삼입 탈리되는 층상의 리튬금속산화물을 양극으로 구성하고, 엑체 전해질과 다공성 고분자 분리막을 사용한 것이 LIB이다. LIB에서 리튬이온의 이동이 가능한 액체전해질의 가능을 고분자 전해질이 대신함으로서 보다 높은 안정성을 확보 한 전지가 LIPB 이다. 또한 고분자 전해질을 사용한 경우 금속리튬상에서의 수지상 성장이 저하되는 현상이 관찰됨으로서, 이론용량이 3,860mAh/g 에 달하는 리튬금속 혹은 합금을 고분자 전지에서 음극으로 사용하고자 하는 2 차전지가 LPB 이다. 리튬 2차전지는 비록 1989년 액체전해질을 사용한 금속리튬 2차전지의 실패전력을 안고있지만 궁극적으로는 이론적으로 최대의 에너지밀도를 가지고 있는 LPB를 지 향할 것으로 예상되지만 가까운 장래에 실현되기는 어려울 것이다. 따라서 향후의 라튬 2차전지의 전개방향은 현재의 LIB를 고분자 전해질을 채용하는 LIPB로 진행시커면서 저가의 전극재료개발을 지속적으로 추진할 것으로 예상된다. 현재 리튬 2차전지는 소형전지에 국한되고 있지만 전기자동차나 전력저장용으로 이를 대형화시커기 위해서는 열적특성이 우수하고 저가인 전극재료개발이 선행되야하기 때문에, 저가의 탄소재료와 코발트산화물을 대신할 수 있는 철, 망칸 또는 니켈산 화물의 개발이 필요하다.

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Migration Pattern of the Oriental Honey Buzzard Pernis ptilorhynchus at Hongdo Island in Korea (전남 홍도를 통과하는 벌매(Pernis ptilorhynchus)의 이동 양상)

  • Choi, Young-Bok;Chae, Hee-Young;Kim, Sung-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.50-55
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    • 2009
  • To understand the status of the migrating Oriental Honey Buzzard(Pernis ptilorhynchus) in Korea, we carried out a preliminary study on the number and local movements of the Honey Buzzard from September 2005 to October 2007 at Hongdo Island, Jeonnam Province, Korea. A total of 702 Honey Buzzards in 2005, 404 individuals in 2006, and 659 individuals in 2007 were recorded during the fall migration season, but during the spring migration season only two and eight birds were observed in 2006 and 2007 respectively. The migrating Honey Buzzard showed peak numbers from 20 September to 5 October at the study site. According to observation of arrival time of538 Honey Buzzard in October 2007, a total of 2l6 birds(40.l %) were passing over Hongdo Island between 7:00 AM to 8:00 AM, rising skyward on columns of warm air. This suggests the use of thermal currents and avoidance of nocturnal movement for crossing water. They preferred moderate winds(<5 m/s in speed) from northwest, but the migrating number apparently decreased in case of strong winds (${\geqq}5 m/s$). This suggests that wind speed and direction are important environmental factors for migration of the Oriental Honey Buzzard. At present, it is unclear which breeding population(from north-eastern China or Japan) passes over Hongdo Island. Moreover, it is difficult to prove migration route and to understand migratory behaviors of the Oriental Honey Buzzard in Korea. To prove the breeding sites and routes of the migrants over the study site, we need more detailed and further studies such as satellite tracking researches.

An Empirical Study on Evaluation Factors of Cabin Service Quality of Airlines (항공사 객실서비스의 품질 평가요인에 관한 실증 연구 - MIAT 몽골항공사를 중심으로 -)

  • Hyun, Kil-Nam;Batbold, Senderi;Byun, Ki-Hyo;Hurr, Hee-Young
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.261-274
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    • 2006
  • Airline business operates in the 21st century within fast changing market environment and fierce competition. Management of airline companies has faced the need for vast adaptation to new trends in the growth of world economy that are cardinal changes in marketing environment due to quick development of Internet and IT, transport price competition and, as a consequence, low profit margin, diversified customer wants and needs, lack of investment needed for new aircraft equipped with the latest high tech innovations, unpredictable oil price changes, and exchange rate fluctuations. This study is aimed to evaluate the quality performance of cabin service, to analyse, further, the issues that appeared to be the most significant among customers' answers to questionnaire, to explore the relationships between these issues and customer satisfaction, to highlight the essential questions to address, and to provide some practical suggestions. The five dimensions (such as tangible, reliability, responsiveness, assurance, and empathy) were adopted to examine the relationship between the service quality and customer satisfaction of Mongolian and non-Mongolian passengers travelling by the MIAT. According to findings of analysis made with use of the SERVPERF model, it can be concluded that Mongolian travellers' satisfaction was effected by 'Tangible' and 'Responsiveness' dimensions of service quality, whereas the 'Empathy' dimension has more impact on the satisfaction of non-Mongolian.

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