• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.326-330
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• 2011

댐의 최적운영을 위해서는 강우량, 유량, 토양수분량, 증발산량과 같은 수문자료는 필수적이다. 이중 강우량과 유량자료는 치수 중심의 댐 운영에 가장 중요하게 이용되며, 국가 수자원계획, 이수 및 환경 계획 등에도 다목적으로 활용된다. 강우량은 면적 강우량을 대표할 수 있는 위치에서 관측되어야 점 강우량을 면적 강우량으로 환산하는데서 발생되는 오차를 최소화할 수 있다. 이는 실제 발생되는 연속형 강우량과 강우관측소에서 관측되는 이산형 강우량의 차가 최소화될 때 가능한 일이다. 최근 강우 특성은 급 점진적으로 변화하고 있다. 과거에 비해 매우 시공간적으로 불규칙해졌으며, 특히 짧은 지속시간 동안 많은 양의 강우가 집중되고 있다. 이와 같은 강우 특성 변화는 강우관측망에 반드시 반영되어야 한다. 강우 특성을 반영하여 댐을 효율적으로 운영하기 위해서는 기존 관측망에 대한 재평가가 선행되어야 하며, 재평가된 결과를 토대로 관측망을 개선해야 한다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 최근 10개년(기상청)의 강우자료를 Kriging method로 공간 분포시켜 연속형 강우량과 강우관측소에서 관측되는 이산형 강우량의 차가 최소화될 수 있는 강우관측망을 구축하였다. 강우관측망을 구축한 결과, 최소 72개소의 강우관측소가 필요하였다. 기관별로는 한수원(주) 29개소(화천댐 유역, 신설 2개소 포함), 국토해양부 18개소, 한국수자원공사 4개소, 기상청(유인 및 무인) 21개소로 구축되었다. 본 연구에서 설계한 강우관측망은 대략 평균 $100km^2$의 밀도로 구축되었으며, 팔당댐 유역에서 가장 크게 개선되었다.

• Water for future
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• v.20 no.2
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• pp.139-150
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• 1987

The present study is to develop the hydrologic analysis procedure for the purpose of drawing the probable isohyetal charts in Korea. In the establishment of optimal distribution types, the eleven continuous probability distribution types included the transformed variable normal distribution (Y-k method) is applied to the annual maximum rainfall depth series in each duration. The optimal selection of distribution is done by Chi-square test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test in the eui-class interval. The application of probability distribution is checked by the fitting on four durations of annual maximum rainfall data(10 min., 60 min., 6 hrs., and 24hrs.) at four meteorological stations in Korea (Seoul, In Cheon, Bu san, and Kwang Ju). The properties in hydrologic application of the considered distribution and the hydrologic characteristics of the applied rainfall data groups are investigated from the results of this study.

• Water for future
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.145-154
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• 1995

The various analyses of the historical rainfall data need to be utilized in a hydraulic engineering project. The probability distributions of the rainfall events according to annual maximum continuous rainfall depths are studied for the hydrologic frequency analysis. The bivariate normal distribution, the bivariate lognormal distribution, and the bivariate gamma distribution are applied to the rainfall events composed of rainfall depths and its durations at Kangnung, Seoul, Incheon, Chupungnyung, Teagu, Jeonju, Kwangju, and Busan. These rainfall events are fitted to the the bivariate normal distribution and the bivariate lognormal distribution, but not fitted to the bivariate gamma distribution. Frequency curves of probability rainfall events are suggested from the probability distribution selected by the goodness-of-fit test.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.463-463
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• 2017

최근 다변량 확률모형 연구 및 기후변화에 따른 강우패턴 연구의 증가에 따라 시계열로 기록되어 있는 강우량 자료로부터 강우사상(Event)을 분리하는 연구 또한 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 일반적으로 강우사상은 최소무강우시간(Inter-Event Time)을 기준으로 전후강우가 독립적인 강우인지 연속적인 강우인지 구별하는데 이 최소무강우시간을 결정하는 방법이 각 사용되는 분야마다 일관되지 않은 점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 30년 이상 기록된 기상청 강우관측소 자료를 이용하였으며, 설계강우의 시간분포를 위한 Huff 4분위법에서 사용되는 6시간의 최소무강우시간분터 지수확률분포 방법으로 얻어지는 최소무강우시간(일반적으로 12시간 내외)까지 최소무강우시간의 변화에 따라 분리된 강우사상의 특성을 분석하였다. 또한 강우사상의 이변량 빈도해석 적합성을 검토하기 위해 연최대강우량 사상을 선정하여 빈도해석을 수행하였으며 최소무강우 시간에 따라 이변량 확률분포형 적합성을 검토하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.949-949
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• 2012

유출수문곡선은 강우량, 강우강도, 강우지속시간, 강우이동방향 및 이동속도와 같은 강우발생특성과 강수대의 공간적 이류방향과 유역형상과의 상호작용에 의하여 영향을 받으며, 특히 강우의 이류과정에서 나타나는 시간적, 공간적인 분포는 유출에 영향을 미치는 중요한 인자이다. 일반적으로 유출해석 기본이론은 연속방정식과 운동방정식으로서 운동파가정(kinematic wave analogy)을 기반으로 한 집중수문모형(lumped hydrologic model)에 의하여 수행되고 있지만 집중형 모형은 한 매개변수에 여러 가지의 물리적 과정을 개념화하여 담고 있기 때문에 유출과정에 대한 섬세한 모형화의 제약으로 인하여 강우의 이류과정에 따른 유출변화특성을 모의하기가 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 완전 분포형 수문동력학적 강우-유출 모형을 사용하여 강우의 이류특성을 반영할 수 있는 유출 모델을 구성하고, 강우의 이류특성에 따른 유역 출구에서의 유출수문곡선의 변화과정을 살펴보고 상관관계를 분석하였다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.29-38
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• 1982

Nonlinear hydrological model containing the nonlinearity of effective rainfall, lag time and runoff is presented. In the evaluation of rainfall excess, the polynomial fitting method for total rainfall, 5 day antecedant rainfall and direct runoff is developed. In the application to actual watershed, the estimated model parameters of nonlinear lag model reflecting the nonlinearity of lag time are compared with the parameters, by both the fitting method and the correlation, model which are the modified version of the storage function model. The Successive Approximation Method in mathematical solution and Newton-Rhapson method in numerical solution are found to be superior to the conventional numerical graphic method in the analysis of nonlinear processes.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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• v.30 no.3
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• pp.313-321
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• 2012

Korea has been continuously affected by landslides, as 70% of the land is covered by mountains and most of annual rainfall concentrates between June and September. Recently, abrupt climate change affects the increase of landslide occurrence. Gangwon region is especially suffered by landslide damages, because the most of the part is mountainous, steep, and having shallow soil. In this study, a landslide risk assessment model was developed by applying logistic regression to the various data of Duksan-ri, Inje-eup, Inje-gun, Gangwon-do, which has suffered massive landslide triggered by heavy rain in July 2006. The information collected from field investigation and aerial photos right after the landslide of study area were stored in GIS DB for analysis. Slope gradient entered in two ways-as categorical variable and as linear variable. Error matrix for each case was made, and developed model showed the classification accuracy of 81.4% and 81.9%, respectively.

• Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.79-87
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• 2017

In this paper, for 43 sites neighboring to western area of Gangwondo where disaster of debris flow occurred from 2006 to 2013, magnitude of debris flow was estimated from results of site investigation and correlation analysis between influencing factors to its magnitude was performed. Magnitude of channelized debris flow was found greater by 6.5 times of that of hill slope debris flow and approximately 5% of total volume was occurred at initiation part of channelized debris flow. As results of analyzing yield rate of debris flow, for channelized debris flow, yield rate values of $19m^3/m$ and $8m^3/m$ were obtained for total volume being over $10,000m^3/m$ as the large scale of debris flow and less than $10,000m^3/m$ respectively, and value of $5m^3/m$ was estimated for hill slope debris flow. As results of correlation analysis of influencing factors to magnitude of debris flow, runoff distance and erosion width were very highly correlated to its magnitude whereas average slope of basin and erosion depth showed relatively low correlation. In particular, value of erosion depth was in the range of 0.5-2.6 m, being similar range to the value proposed by Ikeya (1981). Triggering rainfall to debris flow such as continuous rainfall and maximum intensity of hour rainfall were analyzed to have low correlation with magnitude of debris flow.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.48 no.4
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• pp.257-268
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• 2015

The objective of this study is to assess the dual-polarization radar for flood forecasting. First, radar rainfall has temporal and spatial errors, so estimated radar rainfall was compared with ground observation rainfall to assess accuracy improvement, especially, considering the radar range of observation and increase of the rainfall intensity. The results of this study showed that the error for estimated dual-polarization radar rainfall was less than single-polarization radar rainfall. And in this study, dual-polarization radar rainfall for flood forecasting was assessed using MAP (Mean Areal Precipitation) and SURR (Sejong University Rainfall Runoff) model in Namkang dam watershed. The results of MAP are more accurate using dual-polarization radar. And the results of runoff using dual-polarization radar rainfall showed that peak flow error was reduced approximately 12~63%, runoff volumes error was reduced by approximately 30~42%, and also the root mean square error decreased compared to the result of runoff using single-polarization radar rainfall. The results revealed that dual-polarization radar will contribute to improving the accuracy of the flood forecasting.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.7 no.4
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• pp.97-107
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• 2005

As the distributed model is developed and widely used, the accuracy of a rainfall measurement and more dense rainfall observation network are required for the reflection of various spatial properties. However, in reality, it is not easy to get the accurate data from dense network. Generally, we could not have the proper rainfall gages in space and even we have proper network for rainfall gages it is not easy to reflect the variations of rainfall in space and time. Often, we do also have missing rainfall data at the rainfall gage stations due to various reasons. We estimate the distribution of mean areal rainfall data from the point rainfalls. So, in the aspect of continuous rainfall property in time, we should fill the missing rainfall data then we can represent the spatial distribution of rainfall data. This study uses the Fuzzy-Genetic algorithm as a interpolation method for filling the missing rainfall data. We compare the Fuzzy-Genetic algorithm with arithmetic average method, inverse distance method, normal ratio method, and ratio of distance and elevation method which are widely used previously. As the results, the previous methods showed the accuracy of 70 to 80 % but the Fuzzy-Genetic algorithm showed that of 90 %. Especially, from the sensitivity analysis, we suggest the values of power in the equation for filling the missing data according to the distance and elevation.