• Title/Summary/Keyword: 앙상블 평균 속도

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Development of ensemble weighting technique for sequential forecasted rainfall to extend forecast precedence time (예측 선행시간 확장을 위한 순차적 예측강우 가중평균 앙상블 생성기법 개발)

  • Na, Wooyoung;Kang, Minseok;Kim, Gildo;Lee, Hyunwook;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.59-59
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    • 2019
  • 최근 기후변화로 인해 대류성 집중호우가 빈번하게 발생하고 있으며, 이러한 강우 특성은 산지지역에 위치한 소하천유역에 상당한 피해를 야기한다. 대류성 집중호우는 규모가 작고 속도가 빠르기 때문에 중규모 이상의 유역에서 부분적으로 상이한 강우특성을 보인다. 아울러 이러한 호우패턴의 변화는 일시적인 현상이 아닌 하나의 기상 특성으로 자리를 잡아가고 있기 때문에 이에 대한 대책마련이 더욱 필요한 실정이다. 돌발홍수 예경보시스템에 예측강우 자료는 예측 선행시간의 한계를 가진다. 즉, 예측강우 자료자체가 가지는 편의와 불확실성으로 인해 예측 선행시간이 3시간을 초과하면 신뢰도가 급격히 하락하게 된다. 이를 해결하기 위해 우리나라에서는 지상관측치와의 편의를 보정하거나 예측강우자료 자체의 품질을 개선하려는 노력을 지속하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 예측 선행시간을 확장하고자 순차적으로 생산되는 예측강우를 가중평균하여 앙상블 예측치를 모의하는 기법을 개발하였다. 각 선행시간별 예측강우자료를 앙상블 멤버로 인식하여 이들의 공분산 구조를 파악하고, 분산과 공분산 수치를 이용하여 가중치를 결정하였다. 1, 2, 3시간 예측 선행시간에 대한 확장 가능성을 확인하고자 하였고, 최적의 앙상블 멤버 개수를 결정하여 적용 및 평가하였다. 본 연구에서는 2016년과 2017년에 발생한 주요 호우사상을 선정하고, 우리나라 전역에 걸쳐 예측강우 앙상블 생성 방법론을 적용하였다. 그 결과, 가중평균 앙상블의 예측치가 예측강우장 1개, 단순평균 앙상블 예측치에 비해 좋은 품질의 예측 성능을 보였으며, 예측치의 분산 또한 감소하여 예측에 대한 불확실성이 줄어듦을 확인하였다.

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Prediction of Hindered Settling Velocity of Bidisperse Suspensions (이중 입도 분포를 가진 현탁액의 침강 속도 예측)

  • Koo, Sangkyun
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.609-616
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    • 2008
  • The present study is concerned with a simple numerical method for estimating the hindered settling velocity of noncolloidal suspensions with bidisperse size distribution of particles. The method is based on an effective-medium theory which uses the conditional ensemble averages for describing the velocity fields or other physical quantities of interest in the suspension system with the particles randomly placed. The effective-medium theory originally developed by Acrivos and Chang[1] for monodisperse suspensions is modified for the bidisperse case. Using the radial distribution functions and stream functions the hindered settling velocity of the suspended particles is calculated numerically. The predictions by the present method are compared with the previous experimental results by Davis and Birdsell[2] and Cheung et al.[3]. It is shown that the estimations by the effective-medium model of the present study reasonably agree with the experimental results.

The Influences of Factors on Turbulence Intensity in Combustion Chamber (연소실내의 난류강도에 미치는 각종 인자의 영향)

  • 한성빈;이상준;이종태;이성열
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.793-804
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    • 1994
  • Turbulence intensity caused by piston movement was almost as same tendency as the piston speed. The turbulence intensity was increased from 0.39m/s to 0.79m/s when mean piston speed increased from 2.33m/s to 4.67m/s. In this case the maximum turbulence intensity caused by piston speed was decreased about 82 percent near the top dead center at the end of compression stroke. The maximum turbulence intensity was created from 12m/s to 22m/s when inlet flow velocity was increased from 22m/s to 45m/s. Also turbulence intensity caused by inlet flow velocity was linearly increased from 0.97m/s at top dead center at the end of compression stroke. The ratio of turbulence intensity and mean inlet flow velocity was about 3 percent for inlet flow velocity.

A Performance Evaluation of Blind Equalization Algorithma for a Variable Step-Size MSAG-GMMA (가변 스텝 크기 MSAG-GMMA 적응 블라인드 등화 알고리즘의 성능 평가)

  • Jeong, Young-Hwa
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.77-82
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    • 2018
  • This paper is concerned with the performance analysis of a modified stop-and-go generalized multi-modulus algorithm (MSAG-GMMA) adaptive blind equalization algorithm with variable step size. The proposed algorithm multiplies the fixed step size by the error signal of the decision-oriented algorithm in the equalization coefficient update equation, and changes the step size according to the error size. Also, the MSAG-GMMA having a fixed step size is operated so as to maintain a fast convergence speed from a certain threshold to a steady state by determining the error signal size of the decision-directed algorithm, and when the MSAG-GMMA to work To evaluate the performance of the proposed algorithm, we use the ensemble ISI, ensemble-averaged MSE, and equalized constellation obtained from the output of the equalizer as the performance index. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm has faster convergence speeds than MMA, GMMA, and MSAG-GMMA and has a small residual error in steady state.

Effect of Stroke Changes on the In-Cylinder Flow Field in a Four-Valve SI Engines (Stroke변화가 Four-Valve SI 엔진 실린더내 유동장에 미치는 영향)

  • 유성출
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2001
  • The flow field inside a cylinder of four-valve Sl engine was investigated quantitatively using a three-dimensional Laser Doppler Velocimetry system, to determine how stroke changes affect the flow field. The purpose of this work was to develop quantitative methods which correlate in-cylinder flows to engine performance. For this study, the sane intake manifold, engine head, cylinder, and the piston were used to examine the flow characteristics in different strokes. Quantification of the flow field was done by calculating three major parameters which are believed to adequately characterize in cylinder motion. These quantities were TKE, tumble and swirl ratios. The LDV results reveal that flow patterns are similar, the flow velocities scale with piston speed but another parameters such as TKE, and tumble and swirl numbers are not the same for different stroke systems.

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A Study on the Characteristics of In-Cylinder Air Flow with 3-D LDV Measurement (3차원 LDV를 이용한 실린더내 공기 유동특성에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, S.C.
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2006
  • In-cylinder flows in a motored 3.5L four-valve SI engine were investigated quantitatively using three-component LDV system, to determine how engine configuration affects the flow field. The purpose of this work was to develop quantitative methods which correlate in-cylinder flows to engine performance. For this study, two distinct intake/piston arrangements were used to examine the flow characteristics. Quantification of the flow field was done by calculating two major parameters which are believed to characterize adequately in-cylinder motion. These quantities were turbulent kinetic energy(TKE) and tumble ratio in each plane at each crank angle. The results showed that in-cylinder flow pattern is dominated by the intake effects and two counter rotating vortices, developed during the intake stroke, produced relatively low tumble ratio. Therefore, the applicability of these quantities should be carefully considered when evaluating characteristics resulting from the complex in-cylinder flow motions.

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Experimental Analysis on the Catalytic Converter Internal Flow (촉매 변환기 내부 유동의 실험적 해석)

  • Yoo, S.C.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Visualization
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.20-24
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    • 2012
  • Increasing the active catalyst surface area is important in improving a converter's efficiency. In addition, uniform flow is advantageous in that it produces more efficient catalytic conversion. This results in the ability to use a smaller catalytic converter with uniform flow as opposed to a larger converter requirement for non-uniform flow. Therefore, it is important to characterize the internal flow of the catalytic converter. To characterize the system's flow patterns, velocity measurements were taken at the mid and exit planes of a ceramic honeycomb catalytic converter at flow rates of 37.8 l/s and 94.4 l/s. Measurements were conducted using LDV. The profiles were measured along both the major and minor axis of the planes. Primary flow direction velocities measured along the minor axis, at both flow rates, varied greatly at the mid plane and somewhat at the exit plane. The areas of greatest air flow were seen near the edges of the walls and on the side of the converter opposite the flow's entrance region. It also appears that the high velocities opposite the intake are due to the design of the entrance region. The entrance region is possibly too small to properly redirect the vertically entering fluid into an evenly distributed flow in the primary flow direction.

Performance Improvement of MSAGF-MMA Adaptive Blind Equalization Using Multiple Step-Size LMS (다중 스텝 크기 LMS를 이용한 MSAGF-MMA 적응 블라인드 등화의 성능 개선)

  • Jeong, Young-Hwa
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2013
  • An adaptive blind equalization is a technique using to minimize the Inter-symbol Interference occurred on a communication channel in the transmission of the high speed digital data. In this paper, we propose a blind equalization more improving performance of the conventional MSAGF-MMA adaptive blind equalization algorithm by applying a multiple step size. This algorithm apply a LMS algorithm with a several step size according to each region divided by absolute values of decision-directed error to MSAGF-MMA. By computer simulation, it is confirmed that the proposed algorithm has a performance highly enhanced in terms of a convergence speed, a residual ISI and a residual error and an ensemble averaged MSE in a steady status compared with MMA and MSAGF-MMA.

Flow Field Measurement in Catalytic Converter-Comparison with Computational Fluid Dynamics Analyses (촉매 변환기의 내부 유동장 측정-CFD 해석과 비교)

  • Yoo, Seoung-Chool;Jang, Sung-Kuk
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.197-202
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    • 2014
  • The efficiency of a catalytic converter depends on the flow distribution across a system's chemically active substrate. If irregularities or non-uniform flow patterns exist, the system's conversion efficiency decreases, whereas the manufacturing cost increases. Therefore, it is important to analyze the internal flow of a catalytic converter. In this study, flow pattern measurements along the minor axis were recorded at the mid and exit planes of a ceramic honeycomb catalytic converter at flow rates of 37.8 l/s and 94.4 l/s. Flow distributions of the measurement plans were compared with an automotive company's computed velocity profiles. Measurements along the minor axis showed uneven velocity profiles. The ${\upsilon}$-velocity components between the honeycomb bricks were small but somewhat erratic opposite the intake side of the converter, however, they became flatter in measurements recorded near the intake entrance. For almost all velocity values, the computer model suggested velocities greater than the measured values.

PIV Measurements of Wake behind a KRISO 3600TEU Container Ship Model (PIV를 이용한 KRISO 3600TEU 컨테이너선모형선의 반류 측정 및 해석)

  • Sang-Joon Lee;Min-Seok Koh;Choung-Mook Lee
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.48-56
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    • 2002
  • The flow characteristics around KRISO 3600TEU container ship model have been experimentally investigated in a circulating water channel. The instantaneous velocity vectors were measured using 2-frame PIV measurement system. The mean velocity fields and turbulent statistics including turbulent kinetic energy and vorticity were obtained by ensemble-averaging 400 instantaneous velocity fields. The free stream velocity was fixed at 0.6m/s and the corresponding Reynolds number was $9{\times}10^5$. The test sections were divided into two regions, three transverse sections of the wake region(Station -0.5767, -1, -3) and five longitudinal sections of the wake((Z/(B/2)=0, 0.1, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6). In the wake region, large-scale longitudinal vortices of nearly same strength are symmetric with respect to the wake centerline and a relatively weak secondary vortex is formed near the waterline. With going downstream, the strength of longitudinal vortex is decreased and the wake region expands.