• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시뮬레이션모형

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Real-time Estimation on Service Completion Time of Logistics Process for Container Vessels (선박 물류 프로세스의 실시간 서비스 완료시간 예측에 대한 연구)

  • Yun, Shin-Hwi;Ha, Byung-Hyun
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.149-163
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    • 2012
  • Logistics systems provide their service to customers by coordinating the resources with limited capacity throughout the underlying processes involved to each other. To maintain the high level of service under such complicated condition, it is essential to carry out the real-time monitoring and continuous management of logistics processes. In this study, we propose a method of estimating the service completion time of key processes based on process-state information collected in real time. We first identify the factors that influence the process completion time by modeling and analyzing an influence diagram, and then suggest algorithms for quantifying the factors. We suppose the container terminal logistics and the process of discharging and loading containers to a vessel. The remaining service time of a vessel is estimated using a decision tree which is the result of machine-learning using historical data. We validated the estimation model using container terminal simulation. The proposed model is expected to improve competitiveness of logistics systems by forecasting service completion in real time, as well as to prevent the waste of resources.

Study on Optimal Real Time Pricing Model for Smart Grid in a Power Retailer Market (스마트 그리드 환경의 전력소매시장을 위한 최적의 실시간 가격결정 모형에 대한 연구)

  • Moon, Joon-Yung;Shin, Ki-Tae;Park, Jin-Woo
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.105-114
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    • 2012
  • Recently, global warming, energy shortage, and environmental disruption have been serious problems in every nation. It became more and more important to reduce the emission of CO2 and to use of energy efficiently. Smart grid was also introduced using the rapidly developing information technology. It deployed the mutual communication concept between customers and the suppliers in the electricity supply. There were increasing demands to adopt the smart meter and to present incentive for efficient energy usage in many developed countries. The objective of this research was to develop the optimal real time pricing model which maximized the profit of the power retailer and reduced the usage of energy. The simulation study was given to show the usefulness of the model. Simulation considered the customer demand response rate and price elasticity rate. The price elasticity rate was compared in the condition of fixed value according to time and variable value according to the customers. The optimal price model could maximize the profit of the power retailer and reduce the energy usage of the consumers.

Numerical Simulation of the Flow around Advancing Ships in Regular Waves using a Fixed Rectilinear Grid System (고정된 직교격자계를 이용한 파랑 중 전진하는 선박주위 유동의 수치시뮬레이션)

  • Jeong, Kwang-Leol;Lee, Young-Gill
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.419-428
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents a numerical simulation method for the flow around advancing ships in regular waves by using a rectilinear grid system. Because the grid lines do not consist with body surface in the rectilinear grid system, the body geometries are defined by the interaction points of those grid lines and the body surface. For the satisfaction of body boundary conditions, no-slip and divergence free conditions are imposed on the body surface and body boundary cells, respectively. Meanwhile, free surface is defined with the modified marker density method. The pressure on the free surface is determined to make the pressure gradient terms of the governing equations continuous, and the velocity around the free surface is calculated with the pressure on the free surface. To validate the present numerical method, a vortex induced vibration (VIV) phenomenon and flows around an advancing Wigley III ship model in various regular waves are simulated, and the results are compared with existing and corresponding research data. Also, to check the applicability to practical ship model, flows around KRISO Container Ship (KCS) model advancing in calm water are numerically simulated. On the simulations, the trim and the sinkage are set free to compare the running attitude with some other experimental data. Moreover, flows around the KCS model in regular waves are also simulated.

A Study on the Resistance Performance of Korean High-Speed Small Coastal Fishing Boat (한국 고속 소형 연안어선의 저항성능 연구)

  • Yu, Jin-Won;Lee, Young-Gill;Park, Ae-Seon;Ha, Yoon-Jin;Park, Cheong-Kyu;Choi, Young-Chan
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.158-164
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    • 2011
  • The study on the improvement of resistance performance is very important for coastal fishing boats in Korea, because the prices of fuel oil are gradually risen and the demand of high-speed fishing boats is increased lately. This study is concerned with the improvement of the resistance performance for Korean high-speed small coastal fishing boats. A semi-planing hull form of Korean small coastal fishing boat is selected in the role of initial hull. From the modification of the hull form parameters and the local characteristics of the hull form, the improvement of the resistance performance is achieved. The resistance performances of the initial and the modified hull forms are estimated by using a numerical simulation method. Also, ship model tests are carried out in ship model basin.

Skeletonization Methods for Complex Water Distribution Network (상수관망 시스템의 골격화 기법 평가)

  • Choi, Jeong Wook;Kang, Doosun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.845-855
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    • 2015
  • Studies of optimizing pump operation in water distribution networks (WDN) are receiving spotlight in recent days. However, the water networks are quite complex including thousands of or even tens of thousands of nodes and pipes, thus simulation time is an issue. In some cases, implementing a computer model for pump operation decisions is restrictive due to intensive computation time. To that end, it is necessary to reduce the simulation time of water networks by simplifying the network layout. In this study, WDN skeletonization approaches were suggested and applied to a real water transmission network in South Korea. In skeletonizing the original network, it was constrained to match the water pressure and water age in the same junction locations to maintain the hydraulic and water quality characteristics in the skeletonized network. Using the skeletonization approaches suggested in this study, it is expected to reduce the simulation time of WDN and apply for developing a computer module of WDN real-time optimal operation.

A Study of BIM Delivery Model for Railway Construction Project using BIM Function Breakdown Structure (BIM 기능요소 분류체계 도출에 의한 철도시설공사 BIM 기능발주 구성 방안)

  • Kim, Young-Hwan;Kim, Hyeon-Seung;Kang, Leen-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.344-353
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the utilization of the BIM system has been extended to cost and resource simulation, visualized management of construction site information and application of augmented reality including basic 3D modeling. Therefore, various BIM functions are being developed for practical applications. However, since clear classification criteria and knowledge information of BIM functions are not sufficient for field engineers, it is difficult to identify the necessary BIM functions for a construction project. This study suggests a BIM function breakdown structure considering the individual functional properties and a process model that can be ordered by applying BIM in a railway construction project. The proposed delivery model is used to obtain a practical utilization of BIM by analyzing features applicable to railway construction projects; model is verified using a case project.

Determination of Control Time Point for Internal Metering Policy Application within COSMOS Environments (실시간신호시스템 환경내 내부미터링 적용 시점에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Soo;Song, Sung-Ju;Lee, Choul-Ki
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.22-31
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    • 2008
  • RT/IMPOST is an effective algorithm that can realize real-time internal metering policy (IMP) using queue information from loop detector and signal control strategies. In this paper, an investigation was made to adopt the IMP methodology within COSMOS environments in terms of communication environment and control time point. Through the analysis of the communication environment of COSMOS and communication and control steps in RT/IMPOST, a set of applicable alternative were developed and evaluated. Then, one of the alternatives was selected, and performance of the alternative was compared with RT/IMPOST system using a simulation technique. Results showed that two techniques produced the similar performance. Therefore, the method suggested in this paper was evaluated as a practically viable alternative.

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Development of the Maintenance System for Gate Bridge (배수갑문 노후도 감시시스템 구축연구)

  • Kim, Kwan-Ho;Cho, Young-Kweon;Kim, Myeong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.1025-1028
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    • 2008
  • Using of maintenance system for gate bridge algorism, We made out algorism and engine for prediction of life cycle by neutralization, freezing-thawing and damage from sea wind. To objective of this system, user can use easily with maintenance system for gate bridge. Also, to improve of maintenance efficiency, web-program made out by superannuated evaluation and analysis of field exposure data. To develope web-program, we framing structure design of database, which is adapted to method of maintenance, repair, and reinforcing

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Bayesian Algorithms for Evaluation and Prediction of Software Reliability (소프트웨어 신뢰도의 평가와 예측을 위한 베이지안 알고리즘)

  • Park, Man-Gon;Ray
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.14-22
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    • 1994
  • This paper proposes two Bayes estimators and their evaluation algorithms of the software reliability at the end testing stage in the Smith's Bayesian software reliability growth model under the data prior distribution BE(a, b), which is more general than uniform distribution, as a class of prior information. We consider both a squared-error loss function and the Harris loss function in the Bayesian estimation procedures. We also compare the MSE performances of the Bayes estimators and their algorithms of software reliability using computer simulations. And we conclude that the Bayes estimator of software reliability under the Harris loss function is more efficient than other estimators in terms of the MSE performances as a is larger and b is smaller, and that the Bayes estimators using the beta prior distribution as a conjugate prior is better than the Bayes estimators under the uniform prior distribution as a noninformative prior when a>b.

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Application of Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Profitability-Evaluation of Apartment Reconstruction Projects (아파트 재건축사업의 수익성평가에 대한 확률적 위험도 분석 모형 적용방안)

  • Woo, Kwang-Min;Lee, Hak-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2006
  • It was found that Korean Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of cost estimate of public construction projects had some side effects such as jerry-build construction and over-estimation because it failed to reflect the current price and the state-of-the-art construction methods in a changing construction environment. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004. This paper presents analytic criteria and a process model for deducing more current and reasonable historical construction cost for contract items from not only previous contract prices but also all of the other bid prices that were not contracted. The procedure of estimating actual unit cost proposed in this paper focuses on the removal of abnormal values including strategically too low or high prices and the time correction. In addition, basic research is conducted for the correction of actual unit cost through the analysis of fluctuation of bid price depending on bidding types and rates of successful bid. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process model for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.